Signals
GBP-NZD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD keeps growing
Just as I predicted in my
Previous analysis but the
Pair will soon hit a horizontal
Resistance of 2.222 from where
We will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Buy!
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Targeting a new era peak, risks blanket the marketOANDA:XAUUSD hit another all-time high as U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of tariffs increased market fears of a global trade war, boosting safe-haven demand.
Trump's tariff policy and global market reaction
Trump said on Wednesday that he would announce new tariffs on lumber, autos, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals "next month or sooner."
Since taking office on January 20, Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on imports from China and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum.
As trade risks increase, global central banks are likely to continue buying gold, which is one of the key supporting factors for gold prices.
Ukraine situation and the possibility of gold correction in the short term
Trump also criticized Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy as a "dictator" on Wednesday and warned that Ukraine must quickly reach a peace deal with Russia or lose the country.
If a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine is reached, geopolitical tensions could temporarily ease in the short term, which could put pressure on gold prices. However, gold still has enough fundamental support and the long-term uptrend could continue.
Fed policy and Swiss gold exports soar
Minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting released Wednesday showed that Trump's early economic policies have raised concerns about rising inflation. This reinforces the Fed's stance on maintaining the current interest rate policy.
According to foreign media, Swiss customs data showed that Swiss gold exports increased significantly year-on-year in January, with gold exports to the United States reaching their highest level in at least 13 years.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold reached the target level of 2,946 USD, readers noted in the previous issue that the price point of the Fibonacci extension was 0.382%, it broke this level to renew its all-time high.
With the current position, if gold takes price action above the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level once again, it will have conditions to continue to increase with a target then around 2,971 USD in the short term, more than 2,996 – 3,000 USD.
The relative strength index also does not indicate any possibility of a downward correction in terms of momentum.
During the day, the short-term uptrend of gold prices will be noticed by trend, and as long as gold remains in the price channel, it still has a main bullish outlook, declines should only be considered as short-term corrections or a buying opportunity.
Notable locations will also be noticed again as follows.
Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD
Resistance: 2,954 – 2,971 – 2,996USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2975
→Take Profit 1 2963
↨
→Take Profit 2 2957
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2905
→Take Profit 1 2917
↨
→Take Profit 2 2923
Minor correction, GOLD renewed its peakOANDA:XAUUSD spiked to a record high on Monday as concerns about Trump's tax plans fueled safe-haven demand, and inflows into the world's largest gold ETF also provided further support. Although there have been adjustments as of the time this article was completed, this price decrease is insignificant, currently gold is trading around 2,940USD/oz, equivalent to a decrease of 0.41% on the day.
OANDA:XAUUSD hit an intraday high of $2,956.29 an ounce on Monday, a record high and the 11th all-time high refresh this year.
The US Dollar Index (Dxy) hit its lowest since December 10 last year in intraday trading on Monday, making gold cheaper for buyers using other currencies.
Another positive news for gold was that the US 10-year Treasury yield fell 1 basis point to 4.443%.
SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, announced its gold holdings rose to 904.38 tons last Friday, the highest level since August 2023.
Trump says tariffs on Canada and Mexico will be imposed on time
US President Donald Trump said on Monday that comprehensive US tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico will take effect as scheduled after a one-month reprieve ends next week.
Trump signed an executive order on February 1 imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada. However, on February 3, Trump announced that new tariffs would be postponed for 30 days as Mexican President Sheinbaum and Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau both pledged to increase border enforcement.
According to Trump's announcement, tariffs on Canadian goods will be deferred for 30 days, while tariffs on Mexican imports will be deferred for one month.
Markets generally believe that these tariff plans will cause inflation and potentially trigger a trade war, thereby increasing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold and silver.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Although on the daily chart, the RSI shows that the buying force is "exhausted" with price activity in the overbought area, the corrections that have occurred are not significant because the RSI has not yet gone below the 80 level with its steep slope.
Looking at the technical chart, staying above $2,940 is a bullish factor and if gold continues to trade above the 0.382% Fibonacci extension it has a bullish outlook and a target then around $2,971 in the short term.
The trend will still act as a short-term trend, even in case it breaks below, the main outlook for gold is still bullish with the price channel and EMA21 as main support.
However, the market will not move in a straight line, so traders must always be ready for large downward corrections that can occur when RSI operates for a long time in the overbought area.
In terms of trading, trades should be trend-based with support and resistance positions noted again as follows.
Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD
Resistance: 2,946 – 2,956 – 2,971USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2975
→Take Profit 1 2963
↨
→Take Profit 2 2957
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2905
→Take Profit 1 2917
↨
→Take Profit 2 2923
Gold Bulls Beware: Is the Market Ready for a Pullback? Since the beginning of the year, Gold has closed every week in the green, with the last four weeks marking all-time highs.
However, not even trees grow to the sky—let alone gold. 🌳✨
Looking at the posted chart, we can see that despite reaching ATHs and trading above 2900 over the past three weeks, the price has consistently reversed sharply from those highs. This suggests that a correction is becoming increasingly likely.
Yesterday's ATH was only about 20 pips higher than the previous one, and once again, the price quickly reversed. At the time of writing, Gold is trading at 2936, hovering near a critical confluence support level.
If the confluence support breaks, traders should anticipate a deeper correction, with an initial target around 2880 and a potential move toward 2850.
I'm bearish on Gold, but I’m waiting for further confirmation before initiating sell trades. 📉🔍
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
NZDUSD Short-term Channel Up aiming higher.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a 20-day Channel Up and today hit its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Last time it did (February 18), it held and initiated a rebound marginally above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
Given that the current pull-back is almost as strong (-1.30%) as the previous, but more importantly the 4H RSI hit its 1-month Higher Lows trend-line, we expect a rebound. Our Target is again the 1.236 Fib ext, this time at 0.57900.
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CHINA A50 Rebound expected.China A50 index (CN50) has been trading within a Channel Down since the October 18 2024 Low and is currently attempting to hold its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. If successful, we expect this Bullish Leg to approach the top of the pattern.
The shortest Bullish Leg rise has been +10.94% so a 13900 Target would be well within the risk limits.
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S&P500 Channel Up bottomed. Huge reversal expected.The S&P500 index (SPX) had been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 2024 Low and yesterday broke below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 20 days. Since January 17, every such break below the 4H MA200 has been a technical buy opportunity.
This time it is even stronger as the index appears to be replicating the Channel's first price structure and more specifically Leg (d). What followed after Leg (d) bottomed, was a symmetrical with (b)-(c) +7.05% rise to form a top at (e).
The confirmation for this rise came when the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross. As a result, we are waiting for this confirmation to continue with additional buying on S&P and target 6330, which would be a +6.22% rise, symmetrical with (b)-(c).
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ALUMINIUM at Key Resistance – Potential Drop to 2,630FUSIONMARKETS:XALUSD has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance zone, there is a high likelihood of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 2,630 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
NAS100USD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 21,289.6.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 20,988.9 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SILVER Is Going Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 32.267.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 30.865 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 156.763.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 158.582 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum. @fxopen
BITCOIN Is this a healthy Bull Cycle pullback or new BEAR CYCLE?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the $90k barrier, reaching so far today 89000. The market is undeniably bleeding and this is roughly a -19% price decrease from January's All Time High (ATH). Talks about the end of this Bull Cycle have resurfaced again, but is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or simply a usual technical pull-back during a Bull Cycle?
Well we can find the answer by examining the 3 most recent Bull Cycles. As you can see, such declines are common during Bull Cycles, and they've been very well present on the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle as well.
Going back to the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can see four -40% corrections, with an average Cycle decline of -35.28%. The average in the following Bull Cycle (2019 - 2021) declined to -26.12% with many -30% corrections this time. On the current Cycle, the average is so far -23.60% with the vast majority of corrections being around -20%, which is exactly what we are up against at the moment.
As you realize, the corrections have been greater in the past, which is natural as so were the total Cycle gains, so the higher the rallies, the stronger the corrections have been. As Bitcoin started to normalize, become mainstream and adopted, the Cycles returns started to diminish, offering subsequently smaller/ more manageable pull-back phases.
As a result, it is very likely for BTC to be experiencing at the moment a typical Bull Cycle pull-back and equally probable not to diverge much from the -20% mark of the current Cycle standard.
But what do you think? Is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or just a Bull Cycle pull-back? And if it's the latter, will it stop around the current -20% levels? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Lingrid | GOLD Bullish TREND Continuation TradeOANDA:XAUUSD market continues to struggle to break through the previous week's high, moving sideways despite the price closing above the key level of 2950 on the daily timeframe, which is a bullish sign. The price is consistently bouncing off the support zone around the 2920 level, it ssems the market find support around this zone. Since there are no high-impact news today, the price is likely to continue its sideways movement until Thursday. However, if the market pulls back toward the support level and the previous day's low, we can look for buying signals in anticipation of the new highs. My goal is resistance zone around 2970.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Lingrid | EURAUD pullback to SUPPORT with Trend CONTINUATION FX:EURAUD market is currently trading at the key level of 1.65000 and is near the previous day's high. EURAUD is showing bullish momentum by making higher highs and higher lows. Given this trend, I think the market is likely to move to higher levels since the price closed above the psychological level on the 1H timeframe. However it may consolidate around this level before breaking through. If the market pulls back and rejects the support level and the upward trendline, I expect the price to rebound from these support levels. My goal is resistance zone around 1.65700
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EURCAD – Bullish Continuation Toward 1.49730OANDA:EURCAD has broken above a key resistance zone around 1.49000, which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong buyer interest and reinforcing the bullish outlook.
With momentum favoring the upside, the next logical target is 1.49730, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. As long as the price remains above the 1.49000 support, the bullish bias stays intact.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
Lingrid | BNBUSDT buying OPPORTUNITY the Market PullbacksThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target. The price is forming an ABC pullback from the resistance zone, and the entire crypto market is experiencing a massive sell-off. The markets are breaking out of the consolidation zone that has formed over the past two months. The price has moved below this consolidation zone as well and is heading toward the support area. I think if the price reaches the support zone around 550-560, where the trendline and channel border, we will have a good chance of seeing the market bounce off that level and bullish move. My goal is resistance zone around 630.00
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Long OXTGood moment to try to Buy OXTUSDT. We have ready temporary low point that can be a first point in the forming new up trend. Also before we can see 3 fast move down and back days. It can be good signals that instrument to take a power for future move up. Now the good moment to take it with good risk rewards ratio. Will see...
EUR/USD Faces Key Resistance Amid Liquidity Grab ExpectationsEUR/USD is undergoing a pullback after reaching a one-month high of 1.0528, closing at 1.04658 on February 24, marking a 0.22% decline from the previous day. The euro's recent strength was driven by post-election stability in Germany, where centrist parties formed a coalition government, boosting market confidence. However, bullish momentum has stalled near key resistance levels around 1.0530 and 1.0560, with the pair struggling to sustain gains above the 100-day simple moving average.
From a technical standpoint, the price is approaching a significant supply zone, where a liquidity grab could occur before a potential downside move. Resistance in this area aligns with broader concerns over Germany's economic outlook and coalition negotiations, which could weaken the euro’s appeal. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar, despite recent weakness due to declining consumer confidence, remains in a favorable position for a short-term recovery, adding further pressure on EUR/USD.
If the pair fails to break through resistance, a rejection could trigger a decline toward 1.0400, with further downside potential extending to 1.0283. Conversely, if buyers manage to push past the liquidity zone, the next upside targets lie at 1.0530 and 1.0560.
Gold will touch $3000In a comment to Kitco News, Chris Mancini - Portfolio Manager of Gabelli Gold Fund (GOLDX) - said that Western investors are pouring into gold ETFs to hedge against economic or inflation risks due to the impact of tariffs. He also emphasized that investment demand still has room to continue to increase.
"Gold is acting as a hedge against the devaluation of the USD and other currencies," he said. “Tariff measures could accelerate this process as global commodity prices rise. In addition, if global central banks (including the US Federal Reserve - FED) reduce interest rates or pump money to combat economic weakness, prices will tend to increase, making gold more attractive to investors.
"The buyers still show no signs of slowing down and this week continues to be a strong candle on the weekly chart. I think there is a high possibility that gold will reach the 3,000 USD/ounce mark in the near future, but there can also be big fluctuations around that level."