NZDJPY Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 85.439.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 85.706 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Signals
EURAUD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURAUD is currently presenting a textbook bullish setup with a well-defined falling wedge formation on the daily chart. After a strong impulsive rally in April, price has been consolidating within this wedge, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows—typical of a corrective pattern. Now, with price testing the upper trendline of the wedge, we are positioned for a potential breakout, supported by increasing bullish momentum and clean structure. With the current price around 1.75, the next leg higher toward the 1.85 resistance zone is well on the radar.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength on the back of improving Eurozone macro data, with recent PMI figures showing resilience and inflation staying moderately sticky—making the ECB cautious about aggressive rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar continues to face headwinds amid declining commodity prices and weakening consumer sentiment. The Reserve Bank of Australia remains relatively dovish, especially as wage growth plateaus and inflation expectations cool. This EURAUD divergence sets the stage for a broader move in favor of the euro.
Technically, the breakout from this wedge structure would signify the continuation of the prior bullish trend, and given the size of the previous impulsive move, a breakout target of 1.85 is both conservative and well-aligned with market structure. The bullish divergence forming on oscillators such as RSI and MACD also confirms the slowing momentum in the downward move. A clean break and close above 1.7550 would be the trigger point for long positions, with invalidation below 1.7220.
This is a high-probability breakout setup with strong confluence across technical and fundamental indicators. With euro strength coming into play and AUD fundamentals remaining weak, I’m favoring the long side here. A move toward 1.85 is well-supported, and a break above the wedge could trigger significant upside in the coming sessions. This is a setup worth watching closely.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
After a powerful bullish rally since the beginning of 2025, gold has entered a corrective phase
In the current price zone, we expect a temporary upward retracement, potentially offering short-term relief, before the downtrend resumes.
For a safer bearish entry, it's recommended to wait for a confirmed break below both the marked support zone and the ascending trendline to validate continuation to lower levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD is showing a textbook technical reaction from a well-defined support zone around the 3145–3170 range, which aligns perfectly with previous structure and demand zones. After a sharp retracement from recent highs, gold is now posting a strong bullish bounce, validating this level as a significant area of buyer interest. With today’s push above 3230, this bounce confirms our bullish thesis, and I now expect a continuation move toward the 3500 mark in the coming weeks.
Fundamentally, gold remains one of the most favored assets in 2025 due to ongoing global economic uncertainty, rising geopolitical risks, and persistent central bank demand. With US inflation cooling and the Fed signaling the potential for rate cuts later this year, real yields are slipping, giving gold the macro tailwind it needs to push higher. Moreover, recent data from China shows continued accumulation of gold reserves, reinforcing the long-term bullish case.
Technically, this correction appears to be a healthy retest in a strong uptrend. The market has respected the previous breakout level, and we are seeing early signs of momentum returning. The price action is starting to structure higher lows, and if price clears the 3250 level convincingly, it will likely trigger further momentum-based buying. I’m targeting 3500 as the next major resistance, where we could see some profit-taking.
This setup is one of the cleanest long opportunities on the board. With institutional positioning still net long, and technical and macro alignment pointing higher, I see this as a high-conviction trade. As long as price holds above 3145, the path of least resistance remains up. I’ll be closely watching for further confirmation as we build toward the 3500 target.
Positive market, GOLD drops to 3,220 USD in short termOANDA:XAUUSD fell to $3,220/oz, down 0.61% on the day at press time, resuming a bearish trend and cooling demand for safe-haven assets. US President Trump spoke by phone with Russian President Vladimir Putin, with Trump saying Russia wants to reach a major trade deal with the United States and will immediately begin ceasefire negotiations with Ukraine. Ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech, central bank officials remained on the sidelines, with the likelihood of a rate cut in the summer very low.
Trump said Russia wants to make a “big” trade deal with the United States. Trump posted on his Truth Social account that he spoke with Putin on Monday to discuss the deal. “I just had a two hour phone call with Putin and I think it went very well.”
Trump said he discussed a number of issues with Putin, primarily the ceasefire agreement between Putin and Ukraine. “Russia and Ukraine will immediately begin negotiations to achieve a ceasefire and, more importantly, an end to the war,” Trump wrote. “Both sides will negotiate the terms of this agreement, which is only possible because they have details of the negotiations that others do not. The tone and atmosphere of the talks were very good.”
After announcing the ceasefire, Trump also wrote that Putin was looking for a trade deal with the United States. “Russia wants to engage in massive trade with the United States after this disastrous ‘bloodbath’ is over, and I agree. Russia has a tremendous opportunity to create many jobs and wealth. The potential is limitless.” Trump also said that Ukraine could also benefit from a potential trade deal with the United States. He even added that the Vatican, represented by the new pope, would be willing to hold trade/ceasefire talks.
Recent cooperative initiatives between Putin and Trump, including the US President receiving a painting from Putin, have raised questions about how the US-Russia axis will affect trade dynamics between the two countries. The two countries have maintained active communication since Trump took office in January. Given the current global tensions, a new US-Russia trade deal would be a significant step forward.
Trump discussed peace in Ukraine with Putin on Monday after the US said it may have to pull out of a stalemate over ending Europe’s bloodiest conflict since World War II.
Looking ahead, markets are focused on a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, with traders now betting that the chances of a rate cut in the summer are extremely low.
The more positive news the market gets, the more pressure gold will face as cooling safe-haven demand will send investors looking for riskier assets.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
As noted to readers in previous publications since gold was sold below EMA21, up to now, it still has a short-term technical trend leaning towards the downside. Specifically, gold has repeatedly failed to overcome the resistance level of 3,250 USD and has decreased in price every time it approaches this level. And in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for momentum to decline ahead.
For gold to be in a position to enter a new bullish cycle, the most important condition is that it needs to break above the $3,300 base level then target around $3,371 in the short term.
On the other hand, once gold breaks below the $3,200 support point it could continue to decline with the target then around the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement in the short term.
For the rest of the day, the technical outlook for gold is bearish with notable positions listed as follows.
Support: $3,200 – $3,163 – $3,120
Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3226 - 3224⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3230
→Take Profit 1 3218
↨
→Take Profit 2 3212
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3150 - 3152⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3146
→Take Profit 1 3158
↨
→Take Profit 2 3164
BITCOIN This Cycle's peak zone is $150k - $200k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its gains week after week since the April 07 bottom on the 1W MA50, which as we've analyzed extensively its a new Higher Low launchpad for the new (current) Bullish Leg, the way it's been consistently doing on the Higher Lows trend-line since the start of this Bull Cycle.
It's in fact the very same Higher Lows trend-line it had during both previous Cycles, which ended up peaking on the Logarithmic Growth Curve's (LGC) top 2 zones (red), breaking also above the 2 SD above band (orange) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB).
This time the price has 'only' broken above the 1 SD MMB (grey), while having breached into just the lower pink LGC zone. This highlights the theory of Diminishing Returns but at the same time also shows the strong upside potential of the market while subject to these conditions.
So assuming it won't hit by the end of this Cycle the 2 SD MMB nor the top 2 zones of the LGC, the bad case scenario seems to be topping the lower pink LGC zone and the good case scenario topping the upper pink LGC zone. Those two give a profit taking range of 150 - 200k respectively and based on the Sine Waves, we should peak around October 2025.
Is that your profit taking zone as well for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Lingrid | GBPJPY possible Channel BREAK Bearish MoveThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:GBPJPY is consolidating after a strong rally toward the March high. Price is now testing support near 193.8, where the ascending trendline and prior breakout zone converge. A failure to hold this level may open the door for a drop toward 191.000. However, bulls remain in control while price stays above trend support.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 193.0 – 193.8
Buy trigger: bounce from trendline with bullish momentum
Target: 196.3
Sell trigger: break below 193.0
💡 Risks
Weak UK data may trigger bearish sentiment.
Yen strength due to safe-haven flows could pressure GBPJPY.
Break of trendline may lead to deeper correction below 191.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Lingrid | ADAUSDT Bullish Pattern Continuation from SUPPORTBINANCE:ADAUSDT is pulling back after forming a local top near the $0.81 resistance. Price is now drifting toward a confluence support zone around $0.70–0.71, where the upward trendline meets previous breakout levels. If buyers step in here, a rebound could propel price back toward the upper range at $0.81. Holding above this support keeps the bullish channel structure intact.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.7000 – 0.7088
Buy trigger: bullish reaction from channel support
Target: 0.8100
Sell trigger: break below 0.7000
💡 Risks
BTC volatility could drag alts lower.
Break below the trendline may signal broader weakness.
Low trading volume near support could cause false breakouts.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GBP-CAD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD is trading in a local
Uptrend and the pair made a
Breakout and a retest of the
Key horizontal level of 1.8600
Which is now a support and
We are seeing a bullish rebound
From the new support already
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
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GBP_NZD WILL GROW|LONG|
✅GBP_NZD has retested a key support level of 2.2520
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 2.2600 is likely
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Market next move 1. Over-Reliance on Support Zone
The analysis heavily leans on the assumption that the support zone (marked with the purple "Support" label) will hold.
However, this support has already been tested multiple times, which weakens its strength.
A break below this zone could trigger significant stop-loss hunting, leading to a bearish breakdown instead of a bullish reversal.
2. Volume Analysis Suggests Weak Momentum
The recent bounce lacks strong volume. This suggests that buying interest is not convincing at this level.
Without volume confirmation, any bullish move is less likely to sustain.
3. Lower Highs Pattern
Despite small rallies, the chart is forming lower highs, which is typically a bearish signal.
This hints at seller dominance, and the yellow bullish projection might be overly optimistic.
4. Resistance Overhead
The price is approaching a short-term resistance zone (red box), which has rejected the price previously.
Without a clear breakout above that, the bullish case is speculative.
5. Fundamental Factors Unaccounted
The chart doesn’t account for macro factors like U.S. dollar strength, interest rates, or geopolitical influences that often affect gold.
If the dollar strengthens, gold may drop, breaking the support.
Gold Stuck Between 3250 and 3200 – Watch the Breakout!After another week filled with violent price swings, Gold started this week on a much calmer note. Yesterday, after filling the Asia open gap, price pushed up to test the 3250 resistance, only to reverse and fall back toward the 3210 support zone.
🔺 A triangle is forming… but which way will it break?
Since last Thursday, price action has been forming an ascending triangle — a pattern that typically favors upside breakouts.
But for this to play out, we need a clean break above 3250. If that happens, we could see a fresh 1,000 pips move up in the short term.
📉 What if 3200 fails again?
A break back below 3200 would cancel the bullish structure and likely send price toward the 3160 support, or even further down to the 3100 zone.
📊 Trading Plan:
For now, I remain on the sidelines, waiting for a clear breakout in either direction. No need to rush — the breakout should bring strong momentum either way.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Market next move Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. Range Weakness and Exhaustion Risk:
The price has been ranging within a tight zone, and repeated tests of the support line near 3,215–3,218 show weakening buyer pressure.
If bulls were strong, we might have already seen a breakout with momentum. Instead, there's sideways choppiness, suggesting indecision or exhaustion.
2. Lower Highs Forming:
Despite a flat support zone, price is forming lower highs, a bearish signal. Sellers are stepping in earlier on each bounce, tightening the range from the top.
3. Volume Depletion:
Volume is gradually dropping during this consolidation. If a breakout happens without a volume surge, it risks becoming a false breakout.
4. Liquidity Sweep Possibility:
Market makers might push price below the support zone (~3,215) to trigger stop-losses and accumulate orders before a potential real breakout. This would trap late buyers who enter early.
5. Bearish Scenario Path:
If price breaks below 3,215 and closes under that on decent volume, expect a move to the next demand zone near 3,200 or lower.
Downside target could be around 3,180–3,190, where the previous demand base formed on May 15.