XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 1, 2025
Yesterday's trading session, gold prices recovered to the 3315 area and then continued to decrease to the 3281 area. Currently, gold prices are fluctuating quite unpredictably due to the impact of tariff news and investor confidence.
Basic news: The Federal Reserve FED continues to maintain the federal funds benchmark interest rate in the range of 4.25% - 4.50%, in line with policy since 2025. Chairman Powell did not give any signal about the next interest rate cut on September 16 - 17.
Technical analysis: After falling sharply to the 3269 area, gold prices are showing signs of recovery. In the current downtrend channel, there has been a higher bottom than the bottom at H1. We can see that if the bullish pattern at H1 is confirmed, combined with the reversal candlestick appearing at H4, the possibility of gold bouncing back to reach the resistance area of 3330, even 3350 is completely possible. In the weekend trading session, we will wait at the support zones to trade.
Important price zones today: 3280 - 3285 and 3269 - 3274.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3283 - 3285
SL 3280
TP 3288 - 3300 - 3310 - 3330.
Plan 2: BUY XAUSD zone 3269 - 3271
SL 3266
TP 3274 - 3284 - 3300 - 3320.
Wish you a safe, favorable and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Signals
GOLD: Short Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry Level - 3299.9
Sl - 3304.2
Tp - 3291.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Correction Ahead? SP500 Prints Reversal Signal at Key Resistance📘 This market moves like a textbook chart
SP500 is acting like a perfect case study from a trading manual. Back in early April, the index dipped just below 5,000, right into a confluence support zone ( I had spoken about this at the time ) – formed by the long-term ascending trendline and the 2022 all-time high. Just like other U.S. indices, the market reversed aggressively from that area.
🚀 A 30% rally in 4 months
From that low, SP500 rallied around 30% in just four months. An incredible move that brought the index straight to the upper boundary of the yearly rising channel.
🕯️ Bearish signal at the top
And just like in NAS100’s case , the index printed a strong Bearish Engulfing candle exactly at that resistance level. This kind of signal, after such a rise, shouldn’t be ignored.
📉 A correction is not only probable – it’s needed
A pullback from here is not just likely, but in my opinion, healthy and necessary . Short-term speculators could look for a move toward the 6,150 zone, which would already offer decent room for profit.
🔍 What if it goes deeper?
I wouldn’t be surprised to see a correction down to 5,750–5,800. That’s about a 10% decline, which wouldn't even classify as a bear market, just a normal reset after a euphoric rally.
🧠 Perspective matters
In a market that gained 30% in four months, a 10% correction is not a crash — it’s discipline being restored.
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Lingrid | GOLD Possible Retest of the Major Support ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is bouncing from recent lows but remains under pressure below the key resistance at 3,331.90 and the downward trendline. The prior rejection near 3,440 led to a steep selloff with a clean break below the upward channel. Current action shows a potential lower high forming near the broken trendline. A rejection there could send gold tumbling toward the 3,250.00 support zone.
📌 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Failure to reclaim 3,331.90
Sell zone: 3,330 – 3,340
Target: 3,250.00
Invalidation: Strong bullish breakout above 3,340 and descending trendline
💡 Risks
Bullish reversal breaking above downward trendline
Dovish Fed news boosting gold
Unexpected macroeconomic shocks increasing safe-haven demand
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.319.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.345 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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CADCHF Will Grow! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADCHF.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.587.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.588 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Lingrid | AUDCAD Swap Zone. Potential Selling OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:AUDCAD is rebounding from a strong support area after a fake break below 0.88805 and is now moving toward the descending trendline. The price is expected to test the swap zone near 0.89421, where prior support may flip to resistance. This setup favors a SELL scenario from the lower high structure within the flag and downtrend. A rejection from the trendline could resume the bearish continuation back toward support.
📌 Key Levels
Sell zone: 0.89421 – 0.89500
Buy zone: 0.88805 – 0.88600
Target: 0.88805
Invalidation: Break and close above 0.89550
💡 Risks
Bullish breakout through the descending trendline
Sharp reversal from macroeconomic news
Short-term consolidation above 0.89100 weakening momentum
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Top in Place? NASDAQ100 Signals Exhaustion After Incredible Run📈 The crazy run since April
NASDAQ100 has had a spectacular run since early April, when the index dipped to 16,300 amid rising tensions caused by Trump’s tax war. From that low, we’ve seen a mind-blowing rally of over 7,000 points, which translates to a 40% gain in just 4 months.
Such a rise is not just impressive— it’s overextended , especially by historical standards. Markets don’t move in straight lines forever, and this one might be showing signs of fatigue.
🕯️ Bearish signal at the top
Fast forward to this week: yesterday, the index marked a new all-time high at 23,700, but closed the day with a strong bearish engulfing candle — one that wipes out the gains of the previous 4 trading sessions.
This is not a small technical detail. Such candles, when appearing after an extended rally, often signal exhaustion and a potential shift in momentum.
❗ Top in place?
In my opinion, there's a high probability that a top has been set, at least temporarily. We might be looking at the beginning of a healthy correction, or even something more meaningful, depending on follow-through in the next sessions.
📉 Where to next?
The first major support to watch is the 22,200 level.
I expect that zone to be tested soon — and honestly, considering how much the index has gone up, this shouldn’t surprise anyone. It’s nothing more than a minor pullback, all things considered.
🧠 Stay smart!
When markets go vertical, it pays to stay disciplined and realistic. Tops rarely announce themselves, but when signals like this appear, it’s wise to listen.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
AUDCHF Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.524.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.522 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Lingrid | TONUSDT Potential Long From the KEY ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . OKX:TONUSDT is pulling back from a fake breakout above 3.590 but holding within the boundaries of an upward channel. The price is approaching strong confluence support near 3.250, where both the trendline and horizontal zone align. A rebound from this level could launch a new bullish leg toward the resistance zone. Buyers will look for confirmation at the bounce area to aim for 3.590 and beyond.
📌 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3.250 – 3.300
Sell trigger: Break below 3.250
Target: 3.590 – 3.700
Buy trigger: Bullish engulfing or breakout from local consolidation near 3.300
💡 Risks
Loss of support at 3.250 trendline
Bearish pressure from broader market sentiment
Another fakeout or choppy move around 3.300–3.400 zone
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
EUR/JPY Setup: Retail is 82% Short – Squeeze First, Drop After?🔹 Technical Context
Price reacted with a strong bullish wick in the 169.50–170.30 demand zone, signaling clear buyer defense. The RSI bounced from weakness but remains subdued, showing limited momentum.
📍 Current price action suggests a potential retest of the 172.50–173.30 area, which aligns with a supply zone, before a possible directional decision is made.
🗓️ Seasonality
Historically, August tends to be bearish for EUR/JPY:
5Y average: -0.48%
10Y average: -0.12%
15Y/20Y averages: -1.3% and -1.2%
📉 Seasonality indicates potential weakness, especially in the second half of the month.
🪙 COT Report (EURO & YEN) – July 22
EURO: Strong long accumulation by non-commercials (+6,284) and commercials (+17,575)
JPY: Net decline in both longs (-1,033) and shorts (-4,096), with a drop in total open interest
🧠 The market is heavily positioned on the Euro, while Yen positioning is fading. This creates a divergence between the two currencies, favoring a short-term technical bounce on EUR/JPY, though downside risks remain in the mid-term.
📉 Sentiment
82% of retail traders are short EUR/JPY
Volume: 1,564 lots short vs 352 lots long
📣 This extreme sentiment imbalance suggests a potential short-term squeeze against retail traders.
📊 Market Mood & DPO
Overall mood: Neutral
DPO at -9.0, Wyckoff score below 50
Momentum remains weak, but not showing a clear divergence.
🧩 Operational Summary
Retest of the 172.50–173.30 supply zone
Likely exhaustion in that area
Ideal setup: rejection + bearish confirmation
→ Targets: 170.30, then 169.00
USDJPY breaks out as US data crushes forecastsHello traders! Do you think USDJPY will continue its upward momentum?
From a technical perspective, after several sessions of "building pressure," this pair has finally broken through a key resistance zone—opening the door to what could be the next bullish breakout.
Current price action suggests the uptrend remains firmly intact. The market continues to respect the rising trendline and finds strong support near the 34 & 89 EMA – a powerful technical combination that buyers often rely on. This isn’t just a typical breakout; it could be the start of a brand-new bullish cycle.
On the fundamental side, the U.S. dollar remains strong, supported by a string of solid economic data: employment, PCE, and consumer spending have all exceeded expectations. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen remains in “hibernation” as the Bank of Japan shows no sign of shifting away from its ultra-loose monetary policy. This divergence makes USDJPY one of the hottest pairs on the radar right now.
What’s next? If bullish momentum continues, the 151.25 level is likely the next short-term target. However, if the price encounters strong resistance at that level, a minor pullback could occur before the uptrend resumes.
So, what do you think? Is this the beginning of a major rally – or just a false breakout? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Wishing you successful and well-timed trades ahead!
CHF_JPY LOCAL SHORT|
✅CHF_JPY has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a
Horizontal resistance of 186.000
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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GOLD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 3313$ and we are already
Seeing a bearish reaction and
We will be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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EUR_CHF WILL KEEP FALLING|SHORT|
✅EUR_CHF broke the key
Structure level of 0.9295
While trading in an local downtrend
Which makes me bearish
And I think that after the retest of the
Broken level is complete
A rebound and bearish
Continuation will follow
SHORT🔥
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USD_JPY RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅USD_JPY is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 151.232
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 150.368
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Lingrid | USDCHF Potential Bullish Move Following Level BreakoutFX:USDCHF surged from a higher low and is now retesting the broken structure near 0.802, maintaining its position within the broader upward channel. A clean bounce from this zone would confirm the bullish structure, targeting the upper channel resistance near 0.815. Pullback and higher low structure support continued upside movement with short-term consolidation possible. A breakout from the consolidation box could accelerate momentum toward the resistance area.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.802 – 0.805
Buy trigger: Bullish confirmation above 0.805
Target: 0.815
Invalidation: Drop below 0.796
💡 Risks
False breakout near 0.805 may lead to rejection
Failure to form higher high would invalidate bullish sequence
Momentum divergence could slow rally near resistance
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | USDJPY Possible Strong Bullish RallyThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:USDJPY is trading within an upward channel after forming a higher low near the 147.50 zone, bouncing from the support trendline. Price action suggests a bullish structure continuation toward the 150.95 resistance, especially if the recent consolidation breaks higher. The overall formation aligns with a healthy correction phase before a potential push into the resistance area. Confirmation above 148.60 would likely accelerate the bullish move.
📌 Key Levels Buy zone: 147.50–147.25
Sell trigger: Below 147.00
Target: 150.95
Buy trigger: Break above 148.80
⚠️ Risks
Break below 147.50 may shift sentiment bearish
Strong resistance awaits near 150.00
Broader market volatility could invalidate pattern
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
AUD-USD Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Broke the key horizontal
Level of 0.6470 which is
Now a resistance then
Made a retest and a
Confident pullback which
Reinforces our bearish
Bias and makes us expect
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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EUR-USD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.1460 then made
A retest and a pullback so
We are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish continuation
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US30: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 44,459.35 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 36.490 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 36.231..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.14350 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.14588.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️