NZDUSD Short-term Channel Up aiming higher.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a 20-day Channel Up and today hit its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Last time it did (February 18), it held and initiated a rebound marginally above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
Given that the current pull-back is almost as strong (-1.30%) as the previous, but more importantly the 4H RSI hit its 1-month Higher Lows trend-line, we expect a rebound. Our Target is again the 1.236 Fib ext, this time at 0.57900.
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Signals
CHINA A50 Rebound expected.China A50 index (CN50) has been trading within a Channel Down since the October 18 2024 Low and is currently attempting to hold its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. If successful, we expect this Bullish Leg to approach the top of the pattern.
The shortest Bullish Leg rise has been +10.94% so a 13900 Target would be well within the risk limits.
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S&P500 Channel Up bottomed. Huge reversal expected.The S&P500 index (SPX) had been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 2024 Low and yesterday broke below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 20 days. Since January 17, every such break below the 4H MA200 has been a technical buy opportunity.
This time it is even stronger as the index appears to be replicating the Channel's first price structure and more specifically Leg (d). What followed after Leg (d) bottomed, was a symmetrical with (b)-(c) +7.05% rise to form a top at (e).
The confirmation for this rise came when the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross. As a result, we are waiting for this confirmation to continue with additional buying on S&P and target 6330, which would be a +6.22% rise, symmetrical with (b)-(c).
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ALUMINIUM at Key Resistance – Potential Drop to 2,630FUSIONMARKETS:XALUSD has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance zone, there is a high likelihood of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 2,630 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
NAS100USD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 21,289.6.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 20,988.9 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SILVER Is Going Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 32.267.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 30.865 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 156.763.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 158.582 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum. @fxopen
BITCOIN Is this a healthy Bull Cycle pullback or new BEAR CYCLE?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the $90k barrier, reaching so far today 89000. The market is undeniably bleeding and this is roughly a -19% price decrease from January's All Time High (ATH). Talks about the end of this Bull Cycle have resurfaced again, but is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or simply a usual technical pull-back during a Bull Cycle?
Well we can find the answer by examining the 3 most recent Bull Cycles. As you can see, such declines are common during Bull Cycles, and they've been very well present on the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle as well.
Going back to the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can see four -40% corrections, with an average Cycle decline of -35.28%. The average in the following Bull Cycle (2019 - 2021) declined to -26.12% with many -30% corrections this time. On the current Cycle, the average is so far -23.60% with the vast majority of corrections being around -20%, which is exactly what we are up against at the moment.
As you realize, the corrections have been greater in the past, which is natural as so were the total Cycle gains, so the higher the rallies, the stronger the corrections have been. As Bitcoin started to normalize, become mainstream and adopted, the Cycles returns started to diminish, offering subsequently smaller/ more manageable pull-back phases.
As a result, it is very likely for BTC to be experiencing at the moment a typical Bull Cycle pull-back and equally probable not to diverge much from the -20% mark of the current Cycle standard.
But what do you think? Is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or just a Bull Cycle pull-back? And if it's the latter, will it stop around the current -20% levels? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Lingrid | GOLD Bullish TREND Continuation TradeOANDA:XAUUSD market continues to struggle to break through the previous week's high, moving sideways despite the price closing above the key level of 2950 on the daily timeframe, which is a bullish sign. The price is consistently bouncing off the support zone around the 2920 level, it ssems the market find support around this zone. Since there are no high-impact news today, the price is likely to continue its sideways movement until Thursday. However, if the market pulls back toward the support level and the previous day's low, we can look for buying signals in anticipation of the new highs. My goal is resistance zone around 2970.
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Lingrid | EURAUD pullback to SUPPORT with Trend CONTINUATION FX:EURAUD market is currently trading at the key level of 1.65000 and is near the previous day's high. EURAUD is showing bullish momentum by making higher highs and higher lows. Given this trend, I think the market is likely to move to higher levels since the price closed above the psychological level on the 1H timeframe. However it may consolidate around this level before breaking through. If the market pulls back and rejects the support level and the upward trendline, I expect the price to rebound from these support levels. My goal is resistance zone around 1.65700
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EURCAD – Bullish Continuation Toward 1.49730OANDA:EURCAD has broken above a key resistance zone around 1.49000, which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong buyer interest and reinforcing the bullish outlook.
With momentum favoring the upside, the next logical target is 1.49730, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. As long as the price remains above the 1.49000 support, the bullish bias stays intact.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
Lingrid | BNBUSDT buying OPPORTUNITY the Market PullbacksThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target. The price is forming an ABC pullback from the resistance zone, and the entire crypto market is experiencing a massive sell-off. The markets are breaking out of the consolidation zone that has formed over the past two months. The price has moved below this consolidation zone as well and is heading toward the support area. I think if the price reaches the support zone around 550-560, where the trendline and channel border, we will have a good chance of seeing the market bounce off that level and bullish move. My goal is resistance zone around 630.00
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Long OXTGood moment to try to Buy OXTUSDT. We have ready temporary low point that can be a first point in the forming new up trend. Also before we can see 3 fast move down and back days. It can be good signals that instrument to take a power for future move up. Now the good moment to take it with good risk rewards ratio. Will see...
EUR/USD Faces Key Resistance Amid Liquidity Grab ExpectationsEUR/USD is undergoing a pullback after reaching a one-month high of 1.0528, closing at 1.04658 on February 24, marking a 0.22% decline from the previous day. The euro's recent strength was driven by post-election stability in Germany, where centrist parties formed a coalition government, boosting market confidence. However, bullish momentum has stalled near key resistance levels around 1.0530 and 1.0560, with the pair struggling to sustain gains above the 100-day simple moving average.
From a technical standpoint, the price is approaching a significant supply zone, where a liquidity grab could occur before a potential downside move. Resistance in this area aligns with broader concerns over Germany's economic outlook and coalition negotiations, which could weaken the euro’s appeal. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar, despite recent weakness due to declining consumer confidence, remains in a favorable position for a short-term recovery, adding further pressure on EUR/USD.
If the pair fails to break through resistance, a rejection could trigger a decline toward 1.0400, with further downside potential extending to 1.0283. Conversely, if buyers manage to push past the liquidity zone, the next upside targets lie at 1.0530 and 1.0560.
Gold will touch $3000In a comment to Kitco News, Chris Mancini - Portfolio Manager of Gabelli Gold Fund (GOLDX) - said that Western investors are pouring into gold ETFs to hedge against economic or inflation risks due to the impact of tariffs. He also emphasized that investment demand still has room to continue to increase.
"Gold is acting as a hedge against the devaluation of the USD and other currencies," he said. “Tariff measures could accelerate this process as global commodity prices rise. In addition, if global central banks (including the US Federal Reserve - FED) reduce interest rates or pump money to combat economic weakness, prices will tend to increase, making gold more attractive to investors.
"The buyers still show no signs of slowing down and this week continues to be a strong candle on the weekly chart. I think there is a high possibility that gold will reach the 3,000 USD/ounce mark in the near future, but there can also be big fluctuations around that level."
GBP/USD: Bullish Momentum Faces Key ResistanceGBP/USD has reached its highest point since mid-December at 1.2690, primarily driven by the weakness of the US dollar. The pair has shown strong momentum, and as long as it holds above the key support at 1.2520, analysts see potential for further upside toward 1.2725. Positive UK economic data, including better-than-expected retail sales and inflation figures, have reinforced a bullish outlook for the pound. However, minor retracements have been observed, with slight declines following recent gains, such as the 0.05% drop on February 24. Market volatility remains a factor, with geopolitical tensions and fluctuating commodity prices impacting the dollar’s strength. From a technical standpoint, the price is currently testing a resistance zone while approaching key moving averages, which could act as dynamic resistance. The presence of supply zones above suggests that the pair could face selling pressure before a potential continuation higher. If the price fails to sustain above the resistance area, a retracement toward the 1.2520 level and possibly deeper into the 1.2400 region could materialize. Despite the recent bullish momentum, caution is warranted due to broader market uncertainties, and future movements will depend on economic indicators from both the UK and the US, as well as overall market sentiment.
Coca-Cola at Key Resistance: Will Sellers Step In?NYSE:KO has reached a significant supply zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a resistance level, suggesting the potential for a bearish reversal if sellers regain control.
The recent bullish momentum has brought the price into this key resistance zone, and if the market confirms rejection here, we could see a move lower. I anticipate that if sellers step in, the price may decline toward the 68.80 level.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have any additional thoughts, feel free to share them in the comments!
USDCAD - Sell Opportunity After Support BreakOANDA:USDCAD has broken below a major support level, signaling a shift in momentum. If the price will retest the zone at 1.42600, which previously served as support, this area may now act as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation.
If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to move downward toward the 1.41130 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a failure to hold resistance could suggest a potential bullish shift.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
EUR-CAD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A retest of the horizontal
Support level of 1.4879
And then went up sharply
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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