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Oil Market Analysis - 17/12/2024The oil market is currently under pressure, with WTI down to $69.30 and Brent at $72.66. The main causes are: Pemex Production Recovery: Oil platforms in the Gulf of Mexico have returned to full capacity after improved weather conditions and the end of the hurricane season. This has increased available supply, partially offsetting the decline in Russian production. Decline in Russian Crude: Russian maritime oil exports have fallen by 11% since October due to maintenance at a key terminal. This has temporarily limited flows but has not significantly supported prices due to increased production from other sources like Pemex. Strengthening US Dollar: The Dollar Index (DXY) is around 107.00, gaining strength thanks to preliminary US PMI data for December, which signals the fastest economic growth in 33 months, driven by the services sector. A strong dollar negatively impacts oil, making it more expensive for buyers using other currencies. API Expectations: Crude inventory data from the API, scheduled for 21:30 GMT, could add volatility. Last week, there was a build of 0.499 million barrels. EU Sanctions: The EU has imposed sanctions on a Dutch trader involved in trading Russian oil above the price cap. The impact on volumes remains limited for now. Oil Technical Analysis Price Range: Oil is trading within a range between $67.00 (support) and $71.50 (upper resistance), with this band likely extending into January 2025. Resistance: The key resistance is located at $71.03 (100-day SMA) and $71.46, where prices encountered selling pressure last week. A breakout above $71.03 could push prices toward $75.27, but caution is needed for quick profit-taking as the year-end approaches. Support: The first solid support is at $67.12, a level that held prices in May-June 2023. A break below could see crude testing the 2024 yearly low at $64.75 and then $64.38, the 2023 low.
TVC:USOILLong
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Alikze »» TONCOIN | Corrective scenario of ending wave 3💎 In the daily and weekly time, it is moving in an ascending channel, and currently the current wave of the 3rd ascending wave has started from the bottom of the channel. 💎 Scenario 1: Currently, it is placed in an important resistance, which according to the shaded area in the confirmation of its correction process, we can wait for the candle to confirm that this correction can continue until the green box area, which is also in the midline of the channel. 💎 Therefore, it is not recommended to buy at the moment and you should wait for the range break to continue the process. 🔔 Scenario 2: otherwise, correction should be seen up to the green box area. In case of a break, this upward trend can continue up to the channel ceiling. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Sincerely.❤️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Short
by alikze
EURUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving in an UPWARD channel. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
Long
by TheGrove
3
EURJPY Set To Fall! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for EURJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 161.37 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 159.91 My Stop Loss - 162.19 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
BROADCOM made a Top on the 2year Channel. Potential danger aheadExactly 1 month ago (November 18, see chart below) we gave the buy signal on Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), which turned out to be a big success as shortly after the stock catapulted past our $223 Target: This time however we share with you an analysis that is calling for profit taking on this amazing rally as technically it is coming to an end. The price hit yesterday the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 2-year Channel Up, which has approached another 3 times during that time. As you can see, the pattern's structured Legs and Phases are cyclical and repeat themselves. The current Top seems to be similar to the previous Highs (orange circles) that initiated the re-accumulation phases before resuming the uptrend for the final top (red circles) of the Bullish Leg. Both of those pre-Top Highs (orange circles) and their re-accumulation phases that followed, touched the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) before the final rally of the Bullish Leg. As a result, we won't turn bullish again on AVGO until it tests the 1D MA200 again, which given the aggression of the recent pump, the pull-back could be equally strong. After the re-accumulation Phase is completed, we will resume our long-term bullish Target of $285.00. That represents a +121.85% rise from the August 05 2024 Low, which is the % rise that both previous Bullish Legs had. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AVGO
by TradingShot
6
S&P500 entering a new Bull Cycle according to the Dollar IndexThe S&P500 index (SPX) has been rising aggressively since the October 2022 market bottom, as it recovered from the Inflation Crisis of 2022. Despite the All Time Highs (ATH) that it is currently trading at, we have strong evidence based on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) that it is entering a new, more structured Bull Cycle. As you can see on this cross chart analysis on the 1W time-frame, the market has been on a multi-year uptrend with clear Phases, ever since the March 2009 bottom of the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis. At the same time, the DXY (blue trend-line) initiated its own Channel Up. Every time the DXY bottomed, the S&P500 transitioned from the more aggressive, recovery phase (blue Arc pattern) of the Bear Cycle to a more structured (green) Channel Up. As long as the DXY remains below its (dashed) Lower Highs trend-line, the uptrend of the Channel Up is being extended. Once broken, the stock market starts to form a top, which is natural as a strong/ expensive dollar is far from ideal for buying risky assets like stocks. In any case, it appears that the DXY bottomed in late September 2024 and rebounded aggressively. This is rebound is the exact behavior it has when the previous two (green) Channel Up patterns started. As a result, we believe that the S&P500 has ahead of it around 4 years of growth within this Channel Up, whose pull-backs/ corrections will be the cyclical buy opportunities. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
SILVER Will Go Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for SILVER. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 30.270. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 31.022 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY Will Move Higher! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 153.785. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 154.383 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
3
AUDUSD Is Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.633. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.637. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by syomking76418
Algo:Bullish Momentum Intact for a Potential Upside continuationAlgo/USDT has been one of the standout performers among altcoins over the past month, with the price soaring by over 500%. After peaking just above $0.60, the coin experienced a healthy correction, forming a local low at $0.35, a level slightly above March's high. Following this correction, BINANCE:ALGOUSDT entered a consolidation phase, creating a base around the $0.40 mark. This consolidation suggests the market is gathering strength for another potential upward move. Currently, the price action indicates that Algo/USDT may be preparing for a new leg higher, with a likely target at the significant resistance near $0.70. From a strategic perspective, I remain bullish as long as the $0.32 support level holds firm. The suggested approach is to buy dips, capitalizing on opportunities within this uptrend. Key Levels to Watch: - Support: $0.35 (recent local low), $0.32 (critical support) - Resistance: $0.60 (previous high), $0.70 (major target resistance)
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
ALTSEASON This is why you shouldn't delay buying alts any more!Our last Altseason call was exactly two months ago (October 18, see chart below) which turned out to be the exact level that the new rally of the total crypto market cap (excluding top 10) started: As you can see, the current Cycle (2022 - 2025) displays incredible resemblances with the 2014 - 2017 period. Their Accumulation Phases during the transition from the Bear Cycle to the Bull are very similar, with the Pivot trend-line initially acting as Resistance and then turning into Support on the first Bull Flag formation. That was the pattern that pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, tested and held the 2W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, which was what gave us our accurate buy call 2 months ago. Even the RSI and MACD fractals between the two Cycles are identical, with the RSI bottoming on the exact same pattern and the MACD forming a Bearish-into-Bullish-Cross pattern while the market was forming the Bull Flag. Right now we've entered the Parabolic Rally phase (green Channel Up), where the market should continue to rise without major pull-backs towards the -1.5 Fibonacci extension level. Besides that level, what signaled the market top in January 2018 was the RSI forming a Triple Top and the MACD forming its 3rd Bearish Cross. Use those as additional indicators for exiting with huge profit. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by TradingShot
7
Lingrid | AUDCAD Choppy Market. Potential SHORT from RESISTANCEThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target. FX:AUDCAD is currently moving sideways, indicating a choppy market. On the weekly timeframe, the last candle is a large doji, which signifies indecision in the market. Currently, the price is pulling back towards the resistance zone at 0.91000, following a bearish impulse leg. I think there is a likelihood that the price will bounce off both the psychological level and the upward trendline. It’s possible that the market might briefly push above the range zone to take liquidity before moving lower to retest the bottom of the range. My goal is support zone around 0.90100 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
3
XAU/USD Strategy: Selling Rallies Amid Bearish StructureIn my analysis of XAU/USD yesterday, I highlighted that after the 800-pip drop, a rebound was likely. However, given the weekly Pin Bar and the bearish daily structure, I emphasized that any upward move should be viewed as a correction and an opportunity to sell. Indeed, the market did see a rebound, but it was weak and short-lived. After reaching the 2665 zone, the price reversed to the downside and ended the day with minimal change. Currently, the price sits at 2652, with the recent lows now acting as confluent support, reinforced by the rising trendline from the recent bottom. A decisive break below this support zone would shift focus to the next key level at 2610-2615. My strategy remains unchanged: I continue to look for selling opportunities on rallies.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
1