The Beginning of DXY DeclineThe DXY (US Dollar Index) is showing strong signs of entering a downward trend. The attached chart reinforces this view, highlighting the development of Wave 4, which is likely nearing completion. A continuation of the decline in Wave 5 is expected, in line with technical analysis and external factors.
Wave Structure: The chart clearly shows the DXY in a corrective pattern, with Wave 4 approaching its peak around the 0.618 retracement level at 102.030. Once this wave concludes, we can anticipate the continuation of the downward trend towards the completion of Wave 5, likely targeting levels below 100.
Bearish Channel: The DXY remains within a well-defined descending channel, indicating sustained selling pressure. This suggests that the overall momentum is bearish, with further declines expected as the channel holds.
External Factors: Slower-than-expected U.S. economic growth, particularly in key areas such as manufacturing and employment, has weakened the dollar’s outlook. Additionally, expectations that the Federal Reserve will halt rate hikes are dampening investor confidence in the dollar.
In conclusion, both technical analysis and external economic indicators suggest the DXY is likely to continue its decline. Traders should remain cautious as Wave 5 approaches, with potential downside targets below 100 as the dollar weakens further.
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TRXUSDT CorrectionTRXUSDT is currently pulling back after forming a double top at a resistance zone. The price is now testing a previous support level, and there is a chance it could dip below this support, given the liquidity below this level and near the February highs. The market has already seen a pullback of around 12%, with the potential to extend to a 15% pullback. This price action might develop into a trend continuation pattern, possibly forming a triangle as it consolidates. If the market finds sufficient buying pressure at these lower levels, it could set the stage for a future upward move. The target is the resistance zone around 0.1618
Lingrid | GOLD where is Endpoint of market CORRECTION ?The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. The price has hit the target level, and the OANDA:XAUUSD continues to push lower. It has closed below the 2500 level, confirming the break below the consolidation zone. Given this movement, I also believe the market is likely to continue to lower levels. Considering the major trend is bullish, the correction might find its endpoint around the support level at 2450. If the market retests this level and shows signs of rejection such as bullish long tailed bar, it may provide a good opportunity for us. A strong bounce from the 2450 support level could set the stage for a continuation of the bullish trend toward the all-time highs. My goal is resistance zone at 2505
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Bulls Held Their Ground, But Will the Ground Hold Them?In the past two days, I've emphasized the importance of the 2480 support zone, suggesting that the price was likely to test this level before potentially reversing.
This prediction played out as expected, with XAU/USD indeed dropping to that specific zone.
However, my bullish outlook has shifted, and here’s why:
Failure to Break 2500:
Most importantly, yesterday the price attempted twice to stay above the 2500 level but failed both times. The second attempt was met with aggressive selling, and that time support zone was hit.
Signs of Distribution:
Over the past three weeks, price action has been sluggish, resembling a distribution phase rather than accumulation. The lack of momentum in making a new all-time high is concerning.
On the daily chart, while there is a Pin Bar that typically signals a reversal, it's of poor quality—featuring a red body and a large upper shadow ("nose").
In conclusion, I am now looking to sell above 2500, but I plan to keep a tight stop.
Best of Luck!
Mihai Iacob
Lingrid | TRXUSDT Correction in the MARKET. LomgThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. BINANCE:TRXUSDT is currently pulling back after forming a double top at the resistance zone. The price is testing the previous support level, and I believe there's a possibility the market could dip below this support level, especially since there is liquidity below this level and near the February highs. The market has already experienced around a 12% pullback, and I anticipate it could reach a 15% pullback. I expect the price action may establish a trend continuation pattern, potentially forming a triangle formation as it consolidates. This could set the stage for a future upward move if the market finds enough buying pressure at these lower levels. My target is resistance zone around 0.1618
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FLUXUSDT(FLUX) Updated till 03-09-24FLUXUSDT(FLUX) Daily timeframe range. while many alts created new lows compare to that its holding off well for now. for some time its been trying to get a close over 0.6643 but lack of volume not helping here. if PA stay consistent surely it gonna have its breakout.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly OUTLOOK. What to Expect This September?OANDA:XAUUSD market spent the entire week in a consolidation zone, trading back and forth. The price tested the resistance multiple times, but we did not see any higher highs or higher closes. Looking at the weekly chart, we can observe that the price action has created two doji candles in a row, suggesting that a breakout—either above or below last week's range—is imminent.
I believe the market may be overextended based solely on price action, not considering fundamental factors. Since March, we have seen only bullish months, with June being neutral. Additionally, the price has formed a significant divergence on the weekly timeframe signaling the pullback.
If we examine September trends over the past five years, we notice that this month has typically been bearish, despite the overall bullish trend. Given this historical context, I suspect we could see a deeper pullback toward the 50% retracement level of the previous month's range. However, it's important to note that this pullback may not happen immediately, so caution is advised in chasing the market, especially after two neutral weekly candlesticks.
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Lingrid | AUDUSD complex PULLBACK. LongFX:AUDUSD broken out of an expanding triangle pattern. The recent break and close below the support level that had been respected multiple times indicates a shift in trend. On the 1H timeframe, the market is currently pulling back towards the lower border of the channel, which presents a potential bounce point, especially since the major trend remains bullish on the D. Given this bullish context, I expect there is a good chance the market will gain momentum and push upwards. This suggests that price may enter a consolidation phase as it oscillates between support and resistance. It will be important to monitor the price action around the lower border of the channel and the support level for confirmation of the expected movement. My goal is the resistance zone at 0.67613
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Lingrid | SOLUSDT breakout-PULLBACK-Continuation tradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target level. BINANCE:SOLUSDT has been ranging between the 140 and 160 levels, but it has recently broken and closed below this range. This indicates a shift in market dynamics. I believe the market is now heading to retest the area where we observed a bullish impulse leg previously. The break below the upward trendline suggests that the price has entered a consolidating phase, which was signaled by the price being above the trendline and showing bullish momentum. Given this context, I expect the market to push a little further down towards a key round number, which could act as a psychological level of support. My target is support level at 120
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DXY- Where to?After forming a double top above the 106 level, with the second top occurring at the beginning of July, the DXY (US Dollar Index) began to decline.
After breaking the 104 neckline of this pattern, the index tumbled to the key support level at 100.50, which coincides with the price level from the start of the year.
As expected, the price started to recover, and at the time of writing, it is trading at 101.66. Although there has been a rebound from support, it's too early to consider the trend reversed. For a confirmed reversal, the price needs to break back above the 102.50 zone.
If this happens, the price could continue upward, with a longer-term target around the 106 level and an interim resistance at 104.
Conversely, if the index fails to break above 102.50 and drops back to 100.50, there is a high probability of a further decline, with 98 as the next target.
VICUSDT(Viction) Updated till 02-09-24VICUSDT(Viction) Daily timeframe range. PA still in price discovery level. so a valid retrace or reject can be profitable. its trying to claim over 0.4130. thats a good thing cause not much hold up till 0.5563,depends on bag holders. recent support and low at 0.2779.
EURUSD Buy from the confluence zoneEURUSD closed bullish on the monthly timeframe but faced resistance and pulled back from that zone. The price is now retracing toward the psychological level at 1.1000, which acts as a key support area. On the daily chart, the market remains in a bullish trend, suggesting that this pullback could offer a chance for a rebound. The market may bounce off a confluence zone created by the lower channel boundary, a trendline, and the psychological level at 1.1000. This combination of support factors could provide a strong base for the market to continue its upward momentum. The target is the resistance zone at 1.11350
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Gold- Drop to 2480 before reversal?In my Friday analysis, I mentioned that a break above 2530 could trigger an upward acceleration, especially since gold had been trading within a tight range throughout the week. However, this breakout did not occur. Instead, XAU/USD ended the week just above the key 2500 level.
As of this writing, the price is slightly below 2500, currently at 2496, and it may continue to decline. However, there's strong support at 2480, a level that has previously acted as resistance three times—in mid-July, early August, and mid-August. If the price reaches this level, I anticipate a reversal.
In conclusion, I'm looking to buy on dips, targeting a reversal that would push the price back above 2500.
Final fall? Bitcion Review #BTCAfter the last fall, you entered the zone of interest. Now, we are likely to go to the white box, from which we will see the final movement down and the subsequent impulse with the renewal of new tops or without dipping into the zone of 54-56k.
I look at the market extremely positively.
-Because everything is down right now -
Altcoins
-We've held the Bitcoin level.
-In a few days, it's September.
-Markets rise on fear.
Best regards @Forexcryptowithjohn
HARDUSDT(KavaLend) Updated till 31-08-24HARDUSDT(KavaLend) Daily timeframe range. PA is trying to get out of its trouble zone. staying above 0.1230 will be more optimal here. specially depends on sellers it wont take much to push toward 0.1619 again. staying below 0.1230 will push it back to trouble zone.
Lingrid | NZDCAD short from STRONG resistance zoneThe market has reached a significant resistance level on the daily timeframe, specifically at the area where a sharp bearish move occurred two months ago. The price action is currently creating a broadening triangle pattern, which can indicate a loss of momentum and increased volatility. Considering these factors, I anticipate a pullback toward the support level, especially in light of the divergence observed in the price action. Additionally, the psychological level at 0.85000 adds weight to the potential for a retracement as we might look to take profits or reassess positions around this key area. My target is support level at 0.83700
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EURUSD - correction from the Resistance zoneEURUSD is currently approaching a weekly resistance level that was last tested in December 2023. Since this resistance level previously triggered a bearish reversal, we could see a potential short-term pullback or choppy price action in this area. The price might attempt a false breakout above both the channel border and the resistance level, which could lead to a short-term correction in the market. The target is the support level around 1.10500
Lingrid | AUDCAD ranging MARKET. Potential SHORTFX:AUDCAD has been consolidating following a significant move, with price action fluctuating between established support and resistance levels. This consolidation phase has formed a slight descending channel. As the market approaches the highs from the previous week, we may witness a rebound from the channel's upper boundary and the upward trendline, suggesting a potential continuation of the current sideways trend. My target is support level at 0.91330
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DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $24.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
RDNTUSDT(RadiantCapital) Updated till 30-08-24RDNTUSDT(RadiantCapital) Daily timeframe range. getting out of 0.0846 will be a relief or else uncertainty is there until someone picks up. anyone can make good profit from price discovery level if one can detect a valid retrace point. recent support at 0.0610.
Lingrid | GOLD trend CONTINUATION patternThe price perfectly fulfills my last idea. It hit the target zone. OANDA:XAUUSD has formed a trend continuation pattern in the shape of an ascending triangle. This pattern indicates that buying pressure is increasing as the price continues to test the resistance zone, suggesting that a breakout could be imminent. I believe that if the price successfully breaks through this resistance level, it may continue to rally, potentially reaching the 2500 resistance zone. With high-impact news scheduled for today, there is a strong possibility that the market may be poised to push towards new all-time highs. Keep an eye on the market reactions to the news, as they may provide key insights into the strength of the breakout and overall market sentiment. My goal is resistance around 2555.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻