Lingrid | EURUSD pullback After an IMPULSIVE SurgeFX:EURUSD market reached the November high area and is currently testing last week's high as well. On the weekly timeframe, the price has formed a large bullish candle, indicating an impulse leg. Typically, after such a move, prices tend to make a sharp drop. Given the presence of both the weekly and November highs above, I think the market may struggle to move higher. I expect a more oscillating phase below the resistance. On the 4H timeframe, the price has formed a higher high; however, there is a bearish divergence that supports the idea of a corrective move in the market. I expect a short-term pullback from the resistance zone. My goal is support zone around 1.07000
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 2955 (Wave 3).Dear Colleagues, after Trump's statements and the general political situation, the price went sharply into a downward movement, but this does not mean that I give up the upward movement.
At the moment I think that wave “2” is completing the correction and soon we will see the long-awaited upward movement.
I think that the price can still update the minimum of wave “2” in the area of 2833, then (or immediately) will start an upward movement in wave “3” at least to the area of the maximum of 2955 of wave “1”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Fatigue in EUR/USD: Time to Sell the Rallies?Last week, EUR/USD saw an explosive rise, breaking above my 1.06 target and even surpassing the next resistance at 1.08.
However, signs of fatigue are emerging, and there appears to be significant selling liquidity around the 1.09 level.
With the DXY currently in a support zone and potentially set for an upward reversal, I expect EUR/USD to decline and correct its 500-pip rally.
A break back below 1.08 would confirm this scenario, potentially leading to a test of the 1.06 zone.
Selling rallies near 1.09 could offer a favorable risk-reward opportunity.
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Bearish Outlook for US500: Watching 5,200 SupportAfter testing support at the end of February, the US500 fell below this key level at the start of March, signaling the potential for a deeper correction.
In my view, this scenario is likely, and any rebound this week could present a good selling opportunity for speculators.
My target for this correction is the 5,200 support zone. A stabilization above 6,000 would invalidate this outlook.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Lingrid | SUIUSDT continued DOWNTREND with NEW Lower LowsBINANCE:SUIUSDT is currently showing lower lows, indicating a selling trend in the market. Although it seems to have stabilized around the 2.50 level, a closer look at the price action reveals the formation of bearish long-tailed bars, suggesting potential for further declines. Given the prevailing bearish dominance, I think there is a possibility that the price may retest the support area above 2.00. I expect it to be a critical point for the market in the near future. The bearish sentiment suggests that we may look for opportunities to short the asset as it approaches this support level. My goal is support zone around 2.18
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Lingrid | GOLD coiled UP for a BREAKOUT Ahead of NFPOANDA:XAUUSD has nicely bounced off the support level and is currently testing the previous day’s high. With the market trading within the range of the previous day, it seems to be in anticipation of the upcoming NFP data. There are two daily highs above the current price, which may create some resistance for further upward movement. However, considering the bullish momentum since the start of the week, it appears that the price might be forming an ABC move suggest that the market may reach 2985 level. I think price may retest the zone above last week's high then pulling back closing below it. Overall I expect upward spike, if the upcoming news doesn't negatively impact the price. My goal is resistance zone around 2945
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Lingrid | USDCHF pullback Trade as BEARISH Momentum ContinuesThe price perfectly fulfills my previous idea . It reached the target. The FX:USDCHF is making lower lows and lower closes, indicating bearish momentum in the market. Recently, it broke through the downward trendline and the significant level of 0.89000. On the weekly timeframe, the price is currently trading within a big range between 0.84000 and 0.92000. Given that the price has recently bounced off resistance and is heading toward the lower end of this range, I expect a shorting opportunity. If the price pulls back to the resistance around the downward trendline zone, I expect it to continue moving lower toward the December low level. My goal is to support zone around 0.86800
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Lingrid | TONUSDT short-Term BULLISH Momentum on the HorizonOKX:TONUSDT market reached the 3.00 support level, as I predicted in my previous forecast . Currently, the price is fluctuating around this psychological level, squeezed between the support level and a downward trendline. This situation is likely to result in a breakout, and I think the market may push higher, given that the price continues to bounce off the support level. Notably, it reached the March high of 2024. Thus the price may oscillate around the 3.00 level, moving up and down. However, I expect an upward movement if the unexpected news does not have a negative impact on the cryptocurrency market. My goal is resistance zone around 3.250
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the area of 1.08878 (Wave C).Well, colleagues, it happens, wave “3” continued its rapid development. Wave “3” is usually the longest and it happens that it becomes too long on the news background, which we saw.
At the moment, I assume that the correction in wave “4” will still take place in the area of 1.06966, to then complete wave “5” at least in the area of 1.08878.
But there is another option - wave “3” is still not over. This happens often in wave analysis, so use limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Why I shorted BTC?In last weekend’s crypto analyses, I mentioned that many altcoins were in a support zone, with a strong chance of a reversal from that level.
Shortly after I published my analyses, the announcement regarding the federal crypto reserve was released, triggering a massive pump.
However, this surge was short-lived, and prices quickly retraced back to their initial levels. For me, this is not a good sign—when major positive news fails to sustain gains, it often signals weakness in the market.
Now, regarding Bitcoin: although its price remains above the announcement level, it has struggled to hold gains above the 91K support level and continues to break below it.
I don’t believe prices are dropping just to set up a massive bull run for everyone to buy in—this looks like a bearish signal to me.
As a result, I have shorted BTC and expect a decline to 75K. That said, with my stop-loss placed above the initial pump’s high, I’m currently running a 1:3 risk-reward ratio, which—regardless of the outcome—is ideal in my book.
Will the NFP report act as a catalyst for a downside breakout?In my post yesterday, I argued that multiple resistance levels exist above 2925, which could lead to a market decline.
Indeed, throughout the day, gold dipped below 2900 once again, but support held, keeping the price stuck in a range.
Looking ahead, today’s NFP data could act as a catalyst for a breakout from this range.
My bias remains bearish, and I expect a break of the support level, followed by a continuation downward toward last week's lows.
However, a breakout and sustained buying above 2925 would shift my outlook.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Lingrid | GOLD possible CONSOLIDATION phase in the MARKETOANDA:XAUUSD market is currently trading sideways. A look at the daily chart reveals that the price has printed a doji candle, indicating indecision. Price action has created a range around the 2910 level, and it is now pushing lower after failing to break above. There is a potential for the price to retest the support zone between 2870 and 2880, which has been respected multiple times in the past. On the weekly chart, we can see the formation of an inside bar pattern, and the current weekly candle may end up doji bar. Since we high-impact news, we can expect increased volatility in the market. My goal is resistance zone around 2920
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Gold Price Action: Why I Took Profits EarlyYesterday, gold initially dropped below 2900, briefly testing the 2895 zone as support before reversing sharply to the upside.
Although I had a sniper entry with a 500-pip profit target, I chose to close my trade with a 250-pip profit instead.
The reason for this decision is the strong resistance between 2920 and 2930, along with multiple barriers extending toward 2940.
Looking ahead, a breakdown below 2910 would confirm my slightly bearish bias and could trigger a new leg downward.
For now, I’m staying out of the market, waiting for confirmation of my bearish outlook before initiating sell positions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD: Riding the Trade War Wave: Will We See New Highs?Hey Realistic Traders, Will OANDA:XAUUSD See New All-Time High Soon? Let's dive into the analysis...
Analyzing XAUUSD price movements using Elliott Wave Theory suggests a possible significant upside in Wave 5. Wave 3 previously didn't go beyond the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, classifying it as a normal wave. Wave 4 then retraced to around the 0.618 Fibonacci level, forming a bullish descending broadening wedge pattern.
The breakout from this descending broadening wedge on the 1-hour chart, combined with a golden cross in the MACD indicator, indicates the potential start of Wave 5. Since Wave 5 is expected to be extended, its movement might be greater than Wave 3. However, we conservatively expect the extended Wave 5 to reach a maximum of the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Based on these technical indicators, the price is projected to rise towards the target of 2950, and possibly the second target at 2969, as long as it stays above the critical stop loss level of 2900.
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"Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold".
Lingrid | AUDCAD potential BREAKOUT of Weekly HighFX:AUDCAD market is currently testing the previous weekly high, and there is a possibility that the price may move higher from this area. It has been making higher highs and higher lows, and it recently broke above the trendline, signaling a shift in market. The price took out liquidity below the psychological level at 0.9000. While it may attempt to move directly toward the resistance zone, I think that is unlikely. Instead, the price may pull back to retest Tuesday's high, creating a short-term pullback before continuing bullish move. I expect that market will move higher toward the next key level to test a channel border. My goal is resistance zone around 0.91500
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Lingrid | AVAXUSDT short Opportunity at DAILY High LevelBINANCE:AVAXUSDT market has been consistently making lower lows within a downward channel. The market recently formed a consolidation zone before breaking through it, reaching yesterday's high level. On the daily timeframe, the trend is still making lower lows, and on Tuesday, it closed below the significant psychological level of 20.00. I think the market may continue to test this 20.00 level, especially since it has recently bounced back above it forming ABC pullback, which typically signals a continuation afterward. There is also a possibility that the price could reach middle of the range zone below. My goal is the support zone around 20.50.
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EUR/USD Surges, but Is a Reversal Coming?After retesting the 1.0360 support during Monday’s Asian session open, EUR/USD reversed to the upside, reaching the 1.05 resistance zone.
The pair then broke above this level, surging higher and reaching the 1.08 zone, surpassing the 1.0780 resistance.
Currently, the pair is consolidating above this level. However, since the DXY is sitting on strong support with a high chance of reversal, this breakout could turn out to be a false one.
If the price drops back below the 1.0780 zone, it would confirm a false breakout, potentially leading to a decline toward the 1.06 support level.
In conclusion, I’m waiting for confirmation to enter short positions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USD Index Drops Sharply – Watching for Reversal SignalsSo far, it has been a rough week for the USD, with the index dropping from the 107 zone to 104 and breaking below the key 106 support level.
However, the DXY is currently seated on strong support, and a relief rally could be imminent.
I’m closely watching for signs of a reversal for confirmation while keeping an eye for short trades on EUR/USD and GBP/USD.