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Downtrend when meeting resistance of GBPUSDSterling was last 0.06% lower at $1.2598, but hovered near Friday's over two-month peak of $1.2615, on data last week showing that British companies unexpectedly reported a marginal return to growth in November after three months of contraction. "That indicates the resilience of the UK economy despite the very aggressive monetary policy tightening from the Bank of England," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA). "But we still expect the UK economy to weaken and experience a short-lived recession." The pound was on track for a roughly 3.7% gain for the month, its largest monthly gain in a year, aided by a falling U.S. dollar.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
1
GBPUSD will decrease when it hits resistanceGBPUSD is a bit clearer as we can see a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows this week. The question will be whether bulls have one more push to the upside and push Cable toward the 1.2600 handle. If we do break below the 50-day MA we have support at the 1.2400 mark and lower at the 1.2360 mark. A selloff ahead of the weekend may also be on the cards as this would be down to profit taking as buyers who got in during the early part of the week may want to close out before the weekend. A lot will depend on the return of liquidity tomorrow and how much risk market participants are willing to take before the weekend.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
EURUSD has an uptrendThe dollar index DXY, which measures the U.S. currency with six peers, eased 0.029% to 103.73, staying close to the two-and-a-half month low of 103.17 it touched earlier this week. The index is down 2.8% for the month, on course for its weakest monthly performance in a year on rising expectations that the Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates and could start cutting rates next year. Markets have dialled back expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2024, with futures now showing a 26% chance that the Fed cuts its target rate at the March 2024 policy meeting, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. That compares with a 33% chance last week. The euro stood at $1.0904, having risen 0.16% overnight after a series of preliminary surveys showed recession in Germany may be shallower than expected, which offset a downbeat reading of French business activity.
Long
by TinaTradingGold
Gold trading ideas todayWorld gold spot price is around 1,991.9 USD/ounce, down 0.92 USD/ounce compared to overnight. Gold futures price for February 2024 on the Comex New York floor is at 2,013.3 USD/ounce. However, experts commented that the decline in gold prices was stopped by expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) had ended the cycle of raising interest rates. Lower interest rates typically boost gold prices because they reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said that falling prices are a good buying opportunity because at some point the Fed will cut interest rates. This expert predicts that the gold price will increase to 2,150 USD/ounce by the end of 2024. OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 1990 - 1988 TP1: 1995 TP2: 2000 SL : 1983
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TinaTradingGold
EURUSD's uptrend returnsThe EUR/USD currency pair remains steady around 1.0900 as markets anticipate the release of Eurozone Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) figures, with investors looking for signs of economic recovery in area. Upcoming data, expected to show manufacturing PMI at 43.4, services PMI at 48.1 and composite PMI at 46.8, could provide insight into the economic health of the US. Eurozone amid challenging global conditions. In recent statements, Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel indicated that interest rates in the Eurozone may be approaching a peak, suggesting a cautious approach to further increases. ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos reinforced this view by backing a data-driven approach and downplaying discussions of possible interest rate cuts in the near future. Investors and analysts will be closely watching the PMI figures for signs of the Eurozone's economic trajectory, which could influence the European Central Bank's monetary policy decisions. Europe in the coming months. A better-than-expected PMI result could bolster confidence in the euro, while weaker figures could raise concerns about lingering economic headwinds in the region.
Long
by TinaTradingGold
XAUUSD : TODAY'S GOLD TRADING STRATEGY The movement in the precious metal comes amid global economic sentiment hit by a weakening US dollar and speculation about a more dovish policy stance by the Federal Reserve. The Comex gold market has been fueled by these expectations. According to forecasts from CME's Fedwatch tool, there is about a one-third chance that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates as early as March of next year, with the balance expected by the end of 2023. Further affecting market dynamics is lower-than-expected US bond yields, which are currently lower than Fed interest rates. What's different is that this has brought up discussions about the possibility of demonetization in the near future. Adding to the global economic story are China's pledges to argue for fiscal measures to strengthen the economic recovery. These solutions are spearheaded by the initiatives of Finance Minister Lan Fo'an. However, the cautionary tone was also struck by Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, who warned against a slow assessment of the timing of the cake that could require prolonged high interest rates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TinaTradingGold
LI Auto Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the Top on LI: or ahead of the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LI Auto prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 38usd strike price in the money Calls with an expiration date of 2023-11-24, for a premium of approximately $2.93. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:LILong
by TopgOptions
TTD The Trade Desk Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold TTD on this bearish chart pattern: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TTD The Trade Desk prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 75usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2023-11-10, for a premium of approximately $3.60. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:TTDShort
by TopgOptions
EURUSD trading strategyThe euro to USD exchange rate increased 0.06% at 1.0946. The dollar fell to its lowest level in more than two months, falling deeper than last week as investors largely believed that the Federal Reserve The state has completed its rate hike cycle and is looking ahead to when it might begin cutting interest rates. According to CME's FedWatch, the market is currently trying to determine when the Fed might begin cutting interest rates and is currently pricing in a more than 50% chance of a cut of at least 25 basis points in May. Joseph Trevisani, senior analyst at FXStreet.com said that credit, equity and currency markets are convinced that the Fed has completed raising interest rates, but the Fed is not yet ready to say so. Therefore, the greenback is gradually weakening, simply because the Fed is trying its best to decide to raise interest rates.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
LOW Lowe's Companies Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LOW ahead of the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RUM Rumble prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 210usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-12-15, for a premium of approximately $3.70. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:LOWLong
by TopgOptions
EURUSD: Will fall to 1.07600 then recoverEUR/USD fell again on Wednesday, after mounting a bullish burst in the previous trading session. However, the Euro currently maintains a positive outlook against the US dollar as it continuously creates a series of higher highs and lows and is still trading above important MA lines. To maintain the uptrend, the pair needs to hold above the 200 and 100-day SMA, around 1.0765. If this support holds, it opens up the potential for a rally to 1.0900, beyond that to Fibonacci resistance at 1.0960 and 1.1075. In case, the sellers return and push the price below the 1.0765 area, EUR/USD will change to a downtrend in the short term. In the above case, support will be at 1.0650, if the price continues to weaken then support at the 1.0570 trend line will come into view. EUR continues to fall today then will bounce back and increase sharply to reach a new peak in the future.
by NicoTradingMaster
GBPUSD Will recover after sharp decline“The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is committed to achieving a monetary policy stance that is restrictive enough to reduce inflation to 2% over time; We are not confident that we have reached such a position,” Mr. Powell said in his opening speech to a policy panel at the 24th annual Jacques Polak Research Conference, organized by the International Monetary Fund. position. The Fed chief acknowledged that US inflation has fallen over the past year but said it was still "far above our 2% target", Powell said, but signaled the Fed was not ready to accept that inflation was sustainable low level. Inflation “has given us some fake news,” he added. On the H4 frame, the RSI indicator dropped to 40, showing that selling pressure is accumulating. Important support is gradually forming at the 1.2200/20 area, with the 23.6% Fibo level of the down phase from the peak of September 5 to the bottom of November, the downtrend line and MA lines 100 and 200. If this support is broken, , the next target for sellers will be 1.2130 and 1.2100.
by MrTrongVo
Comment on EURUSD: Revolving around the 1.0700 areaAccording to the governor of the Croatian central bank, “if our current forecasts come true, we will have a soft landing with little loss, meaning no economic recession and a significant increase in unemployment ”. “We cannot be certain that it will continue to be that way until we achieve our goals, but in my view, a soft landing remains a central scenario,” he added. . Inflation fell to 2.9% last month, from a peak of more than 10%, after the ECB raised interest rates at the fastest pace in history. Officials have warned that achieving the 2% target remains difficult and that the economy is at risk of a mild recession after shrinking 0.1% in the third quarter. The war between Israel and Hamas is a major source of instability because it threatens to drive up energy costs. However, according to Mr. Vujicic, the extent of the impact on the Eurozone economy is "hard to predict" at this time. “First, we have to see whether such a shock will occur. If so, what is the nature of that shock and what is its magnitude? And then we will try to estimate the possible impact on price developments and act accordingly.”
by MrTrongVo
XAU/USD is likely to decline sharply in the near future.“The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is committed to achieving a monetary policy stance that is restrictive enough to reduce inflation to 2% over time; We are not confident that we have reached such a position,” Mr. Powell said in his opening speech to a policy panel at the 24th annual Jacques Polak Research Conference, organized by the International Monetary Fund. position. The Fed chief acknowledged that US inflation has fallen over the past year but said it was still "far above our 2% target", Powell said, but signaled the Fed was not ready to accept that inflation was sustainable low level. Inflation “has given us some fake news,” he added. However, the Fed chief balanced his remarks by reiterating that the Fed will continue to "move carefully" in future policy decisions. A cautious approach, he added, would allow the Fed to “address both the risk of being misled by a few months of good data and the risk of over-tightening.” On the daily chart, gold continues to decline towards the psychological level of $1,950. A drop below $1,950 could push prices back towards $1,900 but gold would have to overcome some previous support.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrTrongVo
1
CVNA Carvana Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CVNA here: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CVNA Carvana prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 25usd strike price in the money Calls with an expiration date of 2023-11-17, for a premium of approximately $3.95. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:CVNALong
by TopgOptions