GM General Motors Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GM ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain of GM General Motors Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15
for a premium of approximately $1.77.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
Signalsfree
VZ Verizon Communications Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t sold VZ here:
or here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of VZ Verizon Communications prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 32usd strike price in the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.14.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
EURUSD Good developments for tradersSince August, the market has not priced in a full rally into the November-December session.
At the end of August, the probability of an increase in November was 70% (currently down to 10%). of
The probability of a rate hike in December has fluctuated between 30% and 55% since the end of August.
Yes, WIRP has shifted further outside the curve (allowing for fewer cuts). But the reality is:
There's another reason the 30-year Treasury yield rose to 5% in October from 3.8% in July.
FRB.
GBPUSD developments after the FED meetingOver time, inflation returned to 2%. New and old uncertainties complicate our challenge of balancing the risks of monetary policy being too tight with the risks of being too tight. If too little is done, above-target inflation could become entrenched and ultimately force monetary policy to contain more persistent inflation in high-employment-cost economies. Going too far can also cause unnecessary damage to the economy.
Given the uncertainties and risks and our progress, the Committee is proceeding with caution. We will decide on the extent of further policy tightening and for how long policy restrictions should remain in place, based on the overall data available, the outlook, and the balance of risks.
EURJPY The increasing trend is quite strong. Resistance can be rThe next phase of the Digital Euro project, the preparatory phase, will begin on November 1, 2023 and initially last for two years. This includes defining the rules for a digital euro and selecting providers that can develop the infrastructure and platform for a digital euro. This also includes testing and experimentation to develop a digital euro that meets both Eurosystem requirements and user needs, for example in terms of user experience, data protection, inclusive finance, and environmental footprint. . The ECB will continue to work with the public and all stakeholders during this period. After two years, the Council will decide whether to proceed with the next preparatory steps that will pave the way for the issuance and launch of a future digital euro.
EURUSD Many disadvantages for the USDIt’s been an abnormal week for the US Dollar so far. While the bullish trend took over for much of the past three months, the current weekly bar is showing as an inside bar with the entirety of this week’s range contained inside of the prior week. This isn’t necessarily abnormal, but it does speak to the overbought nature of the move as we came into the month of October and for the past two weeks, bulls have been unable to push up to a fresh high to continue that move, even with some strong data in the form of a Non-farm Payrolls report and a very strong outing for retail sales earlier this week. But there is great potential next week
GBPCAD The UK economy is recovering stronglyAfter increasing 1.9% month-on-month in August, the IPPI rose 0.4% month-on-month in September.
Energy and petroleum product prices rose 3.7% month-on-month in September, leading to an increase in the IPPI. Price movements for refined products were mixed. Diesel prices rose by 7.0% and gasoline prices fell by 2.3%. Crude oil, the raw material for these products, rose 9.9%. The rise in diesel fuel prices was also due to low distillate stocks in the United States and Europe. On September 21, Russia announced temporary restrictions on diesel and gasoline exports, which also contributed to the rise in global diesel prices.
GBPJPY Inflation in Japan is getting worse and won't stopToday, October 20, the Japanese government will begin a meeting expected to last almost two months to decide on a number of new policies, including those related to economic stimulus.
In particular, opposition parties are proposing economic stimulus measures such as providing 30,000 yen in cash to low- and middle-income households.
The meeting is considered extremely important for Kishida's administration, as his approval rating is at its lowest level since he took office. The policies he advocates are likely to determine his re-election.
AXP American Express Company Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AXP American Express Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 155usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $7.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
GBPCAD The UK economy is gradually stabilizingA recent survey by market research firm Ipsos found that two-thirds of Canadian respondents have given up on plans to own a home. Additionally, three-quarters believe that buying a home is a privilege for the wealthy. And 71% said the real estate crisis is still ongoing.
"The dream of homeownership is becoming a nightmare for an entire generation of Canadians," said Sean Simpson, vice president at Ipsos. The Ipsos survey surveyed Canadians of all ages, including those who already own a home. Sean Simpson said the results reflect Canada's attitude that homeownership is becoming increasingly unaffordable, especially for young people.
Federal government data also suggests younger Canadians may be leaving the housing market. According to a Statistics Canada report last week, outstanding mortgage debt is
GBPUSD UK economy in crisisAccording to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the UK is the only G7 country whose inflation rate is still rising.
The UK's consumer price index (CPI) rose by 7.9% in May over the same period, up slightly from 7.8% in April, according to the OECD. Meanwhile, the remaining G7 countries, including the United States, Canada, France, Germany, Italy and Japan, all see inflation slowing.
Across the G7 group, inflation fell to 4.6% in May from 5.4% in April, the lowest level since September 2021. Many major central banks are beginning to consider suspending interest rate hikes as prices cool down.
CADCHF CANADA's inflation is decreasing slightlyThe Canadian Dollar fell against the majority of G10 currencies following the release of data that showed inflation in Canada was slowing faster than economists expected.
Canadian CPI inflation rose 3.8% year-on-year in September, said Statistics Canada, which makes for a sharp decrease from 4.0% in August and was below expectations for a reading of 4.0%. The month-on-month change stood at -0.1%, which was below expectations for 0.1% and 0.4% recorded in August.
Meanwhile, Core CPI was down 0.1% m/m in August (2.8% y/y), while the trimmed CPI measure was at 3.7% y/y, below the 3.8% expected by markets and 3.9% previously.
CADJPY Recovery of currency exchange after inflationBanks and financial institutions buy and sell currencies with each other - these large institutions are the 'market' and the rate they trade at is the 'market rate'. The difference between the amount being bought and sold is the spread, which is essentially the difference between the buy and sell price.
However, when currency is sold by banks to retail customers, the spread increases significantly and the profit from the transaction is therefore significantly larger.
Therefore, when we focus on money transfer fees when sending money abroad, we often ignore the biggest cost: exchange rate differences.
GBPCAD Abuse of the CANADA currency but will quickly recoverThe CAD's fall reflects a bearish market bias based on the likelihood that the central bank will continue to raise interest rates: British Pound to Canadian Dollar exchange rate under pressure as Canada unleashes inflation thanks to some lower-than-expected UK payroll figures, but it recovered to trade steady on the day at 1.6617.
Dips continue to be buying opportunities, and I don’t think tha As long as the Bank of Japan tries to keep its interest rates as low as they are, the Japanese yen will be one of the least favorite currencies by traders to own.
With the massive interest rate differential, you get paid to hang on to this pair, and I think that will end up being one of the major drivers of where we go next. In other words, it just makes more sense to own the British pound and it does the Japanese yen. Dips continue to be buying opportunities, and I don’t think that changes anytime soon.
GBPUSD grows thanks to reduced inflationary pressureGBP/USD remains stuck near the 1.2200 level as traders wait for additional catalysts. Interestingly, rising Treasury yields did not put pressure on GBP/USD.
If GBP/USD settles above 1.2200, it will move towards the next resistance, which is located in the 1.2370 – 1.2410 range.
GBPUSD has an upward trendThe dollar fell slightly in mid-session after data for US retail sales rose more than expected in September, as consultants focused on a series of speeches from government agencies. US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials.
Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, said: “The view that the US economy slowed in the fourth quarter is because consumers will cut back on spending activities after ramping up spending. spent in the third quarter".
Despite positive sales, LPL Financial Chief Economist Jeffrey Roach noted that there are several headwinds affecting American consumers. “Investors need to look at sales figures to get a better view of consumers. Increasing credit usage and early signs of overdue debt could reduce spending demand," he emphasized.
Traders are assessing whether the US central bank may raise interest rates again, in an effort to bring inflation closer to its 2% target. According to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, Fed funds futures traders are pricing in a 43% chance of another rate hike this year, but only a 12% chance of a rate hike next month.
In the opposite direction, the Euro increased 0.08%, reaching 1.0569 USD.
CADJPY fell sharply because of the country's recessionCurrently, data is showing that Canada will avoid a full recession this year. According to forecasts by consulting firm RSM Canada, the probability of a recession in the next 12 months is now at 60%, down from 75% at the beginning of this year. Furthermore, that probability may decrease further in the coming days. After three years of dramatic economic change, Canada is on a path to steady, if slower, growth. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected to increase 1.7%/quarter this year and 1.4%/quarter next year.
Saturation of GBPCADOutput growth in the first half of the year was more stable than expected. GDP increased 0.4% in the June quarter, although GDP and household consumption both continued to decline on a per capita basis. Domestic demand was stronger than expected as strong growth in business investment and public investment offset weak growth in household consumption during the quarter. There have also been modest upward revisions to GDP over the previous several quarters, leaving year-end GDP growth about half a percentage point higher than forecast in August. Timely indicators point to continued output. continued modest growth in the September quarter.
GBPUSD's strong returnGBP/USD is currently trying to settle above the resistance at 1.2180 – 1.2200 as traders bet that Fed will not raise rates again this year.
In case this attempt is successful, GBP/USD will head towards the next significant resistance at 1.2370 – 1.2410, although it may also face resistance near the 1.2300 level.
C Citigroup Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t bought the dip on Citigroup here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of C Citigroup prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 41.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.06.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Inflation is moving in the right direction. Forecast of GBP fallThe trading opportunities widen next week as we see more corporates report earnings, but the event which Warren Venketas, from Daily FX, is watching is UK inflation. As he says, this will go some way to helping the markets assess the potential for another Bank of England rate increase at its 2 November meeting. The trade to watch is a short GBP/USD position, targeting $1.20 support.
GBPUSD after falling will increase againGBPUSD was last trading over 0.2% higher at $1.2202.
Investors also digested producer and consumer prices data out of China on Friday that showed deflationary pressures were slightly stronger than expected.
"What we've got is a fairly weak growth story (from China), and that's weighing on the price numbers," said Rob Carnell, regional head of research in the Asia-Pacific region at ING.
He added that the government could feel pressure to offer further support to the economy, albeit limited.
Bloomberg News reported earlier in the week that China is considering raising its budget deficit for 2023 as the government prepares to unleash a new round of stimulus to help the economy meet the official growth target.
China's trade data for September, meanwhile, showed exports and imports both shrank at a slower pace for a second month, providing some encouragement to authorities.