XAUUSD : TODAY'S GOLD TRADING STRATEGY The movement in the precious metal comes amid global economic sentiment hit by a weakening US dollar and speculation about a more dovish policy stance by the Federal Reserve. The Comex gold market has been fueled by these expectations. According to forecasts from CME's Fedwatch tool, there is about a one-third chance that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates as early as March of next year, with the balance expected by the end of 2023.
Further affecting market dynamics is lower-than-expected US bond yields, which are currently lower than Fed interest rates. What's different is that this has brought up discussions about the possibility of demonetization in the near future. Adding to the global economic story are China's pledges to argue for fiscal measures to strengthen the economic recovery. These solutions are spearheaded by the initiatives of Finance Minister Lan Fo'an.
However, the cautionary tone was also struck by Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, who warned against a slow assessment of the timing of the cake that could require prolonged high interest rates.
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RBLX Roblox Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RBLX Roblox Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 35usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $4.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
BYND Beyond Meat Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BYND Beyond Meat prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 7.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.83.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
LI Auto Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the Top on LI:
or ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LI Auto prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 38usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-24,
for a premium of approximately $2.93.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TTD The Trade Desk Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold TTD on this bearish chart pattern:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TTD The Trade Desk prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 75usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-10,
for a premium of approximately $3.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
EURUSD trading strategyThe euro to USD exchange rate increased 0.06% at 1.0946. The dollar fell to its lowest level in more than two months, falling deeper than last week as investors largely believed that the Federal Reserve The state has completed its rate hike cycle and is looking ahead to when it might begin cutting interest rates. According to CME's FedWatch, the market is currently trying to determine when the Fed might begin cutting interest rates and is currently pricing in a more than 50% chance of a cut of at least 25 basis points in May. Joseph Trevisani, senior analyst at FXStreet.com said that credit, equity and currency markets are convinced that the Fed has completed raising interest rates, but the Fed is not yet ready to say so. Therefore, the greenback is gradually weakening, simply because the Fed is trying its best to decide to raise interest rates.
BZUN Baozun Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BZUN Baozun prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-7-19,
for a premium of approximately $0.42.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
LOW Lowe's Companies Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LOW ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RUM Rumble prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 210usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $3.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
EURUSD: Will fall to 1.07600 then recoverEUR/USD fell again on Wednesday, after mounting a bullish burst in the previous trading session. However, the Euro currently maintains a positive outlook against the US dollar as it continuously creates a series of higher highs and lows and is still trading above important MA lines.
To maintain the uptrend, the pair needs to hold above the 200 and 100-day SMA, around 1.0765. If this support holds, it opens up the potential for a rally to 1.0900, beyond that to Fibonacci resistance at 1.0960 and 1.1075.
In case, the sellers return and push the price below the 1.0765 area, EUR/USD will change to a downtrend in the short term. In the above case, support will be at 1.0650, if the price continues to weaken then support at the 1.0570 trend line will come into view.
EUR continues to fall today then will bounce back and increase sharply to reach a new peak in the future.
GBPUSD Will recover after sharp decline“The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is committed to achieving a monetary policy stance that is restrictive enough to reduce inflation to 2% over time; We are not confident that we have reached such a position,” Mr. Powell said in his opening speech to a policy panel at the 24th annual Jacques Polak Research Conference, organized by the International Monetary Fund. position.
The Fed chief acknowledged that US inflation has fallen over the past year but said it was still "far above our 2% target", Powell said, but signaled the Fed was not ready to accept that inflation was sustainable low level. Inflation “has given us some fake news,” he added.
On the H4 frame, the RSI indicator dropped to 40, showing that selling pressure is accumulating. Important support is gradually forming at the 1.2200/20 area, with the 23.6% Fibo level of the down phase from the peak of September 5 to the bottom of November, the downtrend line and MA lines 100 and 200. If this support is broken, , the next target for sellers will be 1.2130 and 1.2100.
Comment on EURUSD: Revolving around the 1.0700 areaAccording to the governor of the Croatian central bank, “if our current forecasts come true, we will have a soft landing with little loss, meaning no economic recession and a significant increase in unemployment ”.
“We cannot be certain that it will continue to be that way until we achieve our goals, but in my view, a soft landing remains a central scenario,” he added. .
Inflation fell to 2.9% last month, from a peak of more than 10%, after the ECB raised interest rates at the fastest pace in history.
Officials have warned that achieving the 2% target remains difficult and that the economy is at risk of a mild recession after shrinking 0.1% in the third quarter.
The war between Israel and Hamas is a major source of instability because it threatens to drive up energy costs. However, according to Mr. Vujicic, the extent of the impact on the Eurozone economy is "hard to predict" at this time.
“First, we have to see whether such a shock will occur. If so, what is the nature of that shock and what is its magnitude? And then we will try to estimate the possible impact on price developments and act accordingly.”
XAU/USD is likely to decline sharply in the near future.“The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is committed to achieving a monetary policy stance that is restrictive enough to reduce inflation to 2% over time; We are not confident that we have reached such a position,” Mr. Powell said in his opening speech to a policy panel at the 24th annual Jacques Polak Research Conference, organized by the International Monetary Fund. position.
The Fed chief acknowledged that US inflation has fallen over the past year but said it was still "far above our 2% target", Powell said, but signaled the Fed was not ready to accept that inflation was sustainable low level. Inflation “has given us some fake news,” he added.
However, the Fed chief balanced his remarks by reiterating that the Fed will continue to "move carefully" in future policy decisions.
A cautious approach, he added, would allow the Fed to “address both the risk of being misled by a few months of good data and the risk of over-tightening.”
On the daily chart, gold continues to decline towards the psychological level of $1,950. A drop below $1,950 could push prices back towards $1,900 but gold would have to overcome some previous support.
DDOG Datadog Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DDOG Datadog prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 80usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $3.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
CVNA Carvana Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CVNA here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CVNA Carvana prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 25usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $3.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
GBPUSD The BoE release a fresh macro forecastOn the Federal Reserve side, investors will be left wondering how they view the Fed's stance, especially the recent strong economic report, as it could give officials a reason to continue raising interest rates. We are also awaiting further guidance on the Fed's stance, including how that will affect its policy stance. However, inflation and job creation have slowed since the September meeting, suggesting the Fed will end its tightening cycle without raising rates for the remainder of 2023. Markets have already priced in a pause in Wednesday's announcement, and while a December rate hike remains unlikely, the central bank's stance is likely to impact expectations for its final meeting in 2023.
GBPJPY Despite further YCC correction, the BOJ disappoints The BOE is losing credibility because it is stimulating the economy too little, too late. At this week's MPC meeting, Governor Bailey will have to hide behind his message that inflation will persist for longer as it becomes more entrenched, but policymakers are keeping interest rates on hold amid concerns about the economy. UK government bonds are poised to match the general global direction and rising yields, with 10-year bonds continuing to rise towards 5%
GBPCAD still on trendFurther interest rate hikes are likely to further worsen a struggling economy, but concerns continue to rise that the Bank of England is taking too much risk in taking action and exposing the UK economy to further inflation. There is.
On the U.S. side, investors are hoping and pleading that the Fed will move into a rate-cutting cycle sooner rather than later, but with the economy stable and downside risks limited, the Fed will continue to hold interest rates for longer periods of time. It will be maintained at a high standard.
The Bank of Japan is considering adjusting YCC to allow 10-year According to the Nikkei Shimbun, which correctly warned just before the Bank of Japan's last YCC adjustment, after several YCC adjustments, the Bank of Japan realized that it was once again in a trap, and the Japanese government "may take 10 years" It seems that further adjustment is required. It's now possible. ``Bond yields are expected to exceed 1%'' at Tuesday's policy meeting.
Long-term interest rates are currently capped at 1%, and the central bank conducts unlimited fixed-rate purchases to keep yields below that level, weakening the yen and further increasing inflation.
GBPUSD The British pound is in a safe price zone Chart The British Pound defended the confluence support at 1.2084/89 throughout the month. This range is defined by the targeted year-to-date open and 78.6% year-to-date retracement. range. Price has fallen just above this threshold and monthly opening resistance is currently at 1.2199. The focus will be on a breakout of this short-term range by the end of the month. Keep in mind that BOE and Fed interest rate decisions are at stake, and US non-farm payrolls are expected to be released on Friday.
GBPJPY Ueda faces risk of market collapse as Bank of Japan weighMr. Kazuo Ueda of the Bank of Japan is in a predicament. If he sticks to policy this week, there is a risk that the yen will fall to a 10-year low and the yield control program will come under attack from speculative markets.
If the Governor simultaneously raises the upper limit of 10-year yield curve control, either explicitly or implicitly, the Governor could raise long-term interest rates to levels that are inconsistent with economic fundamentals, which is the Governor's goal. The achievement of stable inflation would be at risk.
In a sign of how tense the monetary policy debate will be, BOJ officials are likely to monitor developments in yields right before deciding whether to adjust the YCC, the people said.
PINS Pinterest Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold PINS, which reached its Price Target here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PINS Pinterest prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 25usd strike price in the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.96.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
F Ford Motor Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought F here:
or sold before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of F Ford Motor Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 11.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-10-27,
for a premium of approximately $0.31.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.