USD/MXN - Strong Buying OpportunityWhats up traders, I hope you all had a good weekend.
With USD/MXN recently rallying straight of a downtrend, it was bound to have a correction. Here I have USD/MXN on the 1D chart. Price recently had a small downside correction after an up impulse.
Price recently showed a pullback after the up impulse and small upside since. I believe this is a very high probability upside move. We don't get such good quality trades often and I love the set up!
After the up impulse, price corrected to the Fibonacci retracement , 200 major moving average, and sideways support. When price hit the level mentioned, there has been multiple doji candles, and some very gentle bullish pressure. This very subtle shift from bears to bulls is absolutely perfect, and I am expecting a very strong up move from this area. This trade is a gem, and you don't get them this good often.
For those who trade indicators, I also accidentally found a compelling bullish Stochastic divergence with this analysis. Usually I would not post indicators on my charts, but due to how strong and compelling the bullish divergence is, it is worth noting for this analysis and can be found on the above chart.
I am expecting price to move to the upside, to the 3 wave target of 19.4000. My bias is up for this pair, however there are is 2 key trading scenarios that could play out for price to complete the desired move.
-Price retests the swing low (The 18.5000's level where price had it's previous correction low) before having the move to the upside target.
-Price rallies from current levels, straight to upside target (Due to the nature of this set up, this is surprisingly likely)
Bare in mind that this trade could retest lows before upside, so you must use this analysis as a guide but trade using your own.
I will be updating this analysis as the trade progresses.
Signalspackage
Stellar/Bitcoin - Upside OpportunityHi traders, I hope you're all having a good start to your weekend.
Here I am analyzing Stellar/Bitcoin on the 1D chart.
Price recently had an impulse leg, and a small correction, and has now continued to the upside (See chart for details). I am expecting if that price breaks the resistance zone, that price will go to the highs.
There is a few scenarios for this trade and how it could play out. These are below:
Price corrects within the resistance zone (the zone it is in now) retests the downside side-wards support level at 0.0000056, and then rallies again creating the up move.
Price breaks the resistance without a correction. After breaking the resistance zone completely, then it corrects and retests the resistance zone as a new support zone before price moves to our target of 0.00001239.
Price stalls at resistance zone and price corrects and remains under the resistance level. We would be looking to other trades if this scenario occurs.
Bare in mind that price needs to either correct or break resistance zone before there is an active trade. With this in mind, do be sure to enter this trade only when one of the 2 scenarios has happened.
I will be updating this analysis below, so be sure to give a like & follow to keep up to date with my analysis.
ETH/USD - Buy OpportunityWhats going on traders, today I am analyzing ETH/USD on the 1D chart.
After price recently broke a long term horizontal resistance, investors are now able to consider a long position after a successful retest. Breaking the resistance zone and testing it as support is perfect for this trade. I believe now that the retest and new support retest has completed and the up move will now take place.
Price recently broke a long term resistance zone, and retested it as a new support zone and were successful. I believe that the bulls are now in control and will bring price to the high target on the chart, which is at the Fibonacci 1.618 extension target at 647.65.
I am expecting price to hit target, however it could have a retest of the support zone first. On the chart, I have outlined 2 different trading scenarios for the pair.
The likely scenarios are:
Price will continue as it is, to the highs, after the morning star at the resistance turned support zone.
Price will retest the support zone level (Not breaking the previous low however) and then continue to the upside and achieve our extension target.
Bare in mind that this is my analysis, and you should only use this as a guide, and not as your own (Unless you are a signal subscriber then they are entirely applicable as you have my full trading plan on these already)
I have some advice that I give to my trading students, and that is "A chart is literally a graphical depiction of investors sentiment."
In other words for those who didn't understand- it means that the chart tells you all you need to know about the chart, the condition of trend, AND if the bulls or bears are in control.
If you look at the above chart and apply my above quote, you'll see how this quote is applied to the chart. This chart has everything we need to know to see this is a long trade (until invalidated by further action).
Over the weekend, I have posted multiple Cryptocurrency analysis. Please take a look at them and share your thoughts. I will also leave the Cryptocurrency ideas in the related ideas.
I will be updating this analysis as the trade progresses.
NEO/BTC - Forecast AheadTraders, how is it going? I am current analyzing NEO/BTC on the 1D chart.
Currently price is falling from a recent retest of a resistance level. It appears when analyzing the chart, that current price action is part of a bigger move, where price is falling toward previous structure support.
When price hits structure support levels (Around 0.00200000) it could be a nice opportunity for price to rebound and retest the sideway resistance again. This will be an imperative retest, as the test could prove to fail and NEO/BTC could find momentum to start a new trend again to the upside in the near future. But for the time being, price needs to drop more to get a retest it needs.
There could be a nice pullback during the fall to retest channel resistance before support is even hit. This would not be a good opportunity to find a cheeky long, but actually just to short into continuation to the support level. Only then you should consider longs (Long plays too dangerous when price is in an uninterrupted free fall.
Attached in the related ideas are my other Cryptocurrency ideas.
I will be updating this analysis as it progresses.
BCH/USD - Trading Opportunities AheadTraders I recommend reading this entire post so that you fully understand what I have done, and how I have come to this analysis.
With Bitcoin recently hitting a massive high, it is bound for an eventual correction. Here we have BCH/USD on the 4H chart. Price recently chad a small upside correction after a compelling down impulse. Now, price is at a juncture and there is good opportunities to trade this market.
Price recently showed a pullback after an impulse down leg and some continuation downside. My bias is that downside is the most likely option for this pair. However, we must consider both possibilities.
I am expecting price to correct further to the downside, however (as above) there is possible opportunity for both a buy and a sell signal on this chart. Below, I have listed a few likely trading scenarios this pair could take below.
-Price manages to break channel support and continues the down move started by the previous impulse leg and hits it's target in the support zone at around 1025.000000. (See chart for details)
-Price bounces off the recently formed channel support level, and trades to the upside, breaking previous side-wards resistance and moving toward the upward target of 1780.700000
-Price bounces off channel support, retests the side-wards resistance AGAIN, before finally breaking down. (This scenario would prove the safest and best probability trading scenario if it plays out.)
Bare in mind we need to see a confirmation before this trade is valid. So you need to watch this chart carefully before considering a position.
In my related ideas, I have posted a few Cryptocurrency analysis. It takes me a while to write up these analysis on TradingView, so if you could like & follow my profile that would be highly appreciated.
I will be updating this analysis as the trade progresses.
EUR/SEK - The Long Road Back To 10 PointsTraders, we have a set up on EUR/SEK on the 3H chart, with a cycle pattern buy. (Three drivers pattern).
When analyzing this chart, I discovered that price appears to be moving in patterns. Price has an impulse leg, and then has a corrective leg, and then has a new impulse leg that measures the same size as the previous one.
When analyzing the chart, I started by measuring the first impulse, I discovered that the price correction seemed to hit a Fibonacci retracement, there was a new impulse leg. Price has recently been impulsive and has been showing signs of more uptrend. Sure enough, when I measured the second impulse leg, it was the exact same measurement as the first impulse.
I am expecting an up move up to the Cycle #3 completion, which exactly coincides with a historical high to the EXACT pip! Coincidence?
Do remember that before price completes Cycle #3 it will likely correct, so it's important you watch this trade carefully before considering a position.
I will be posting updates on this trade below, so leave it a like & follow so that you can keep up to date with this analysis.
USD/CHF - Breakout OpportunityWhat's up traders, here we have USD/CHF, with a breakout opportunity on the 4H chart.
This is a great opportunity with an over 1:3 Risk to Reward.
I am expecting USD/CHF to make an up move to 1.0020
Bare in mind that price needs to have a successful breakout for this to be a valid trade. So it is important you indeed use this analysis, but use your own to make a trading decision.
Our AUD/USD trade is in good profit, and I will be adding to this position. See analysis on my page for updates.
Bitcoin - Key LevelWhats going on traders, today I am analyzing BTC/USD on the 1D chart.
After price reached the 10,000 level, investors are now thinking with logic and not hype and enthusiasm. Reaching this level was the pique of many Bitcoin analysis that I have seen all over TradingView and my Bloomberg Terminal. I believe now the level was hit, a correction is due.
Price recently showed 2 huge doji's, showing major indecision. I believe this is the bulls running out of steam and bears starting to nudge the market into submission.
I am expecting price to correct. On the chart, I have outlined a few possible places for BTC/USD to correct to on the chart.
The correction measurements are:
Correction move to 8100-7500. Then price will regulate and continue its intended trend.
Correction move to 5530. I believe this will be the maximum correction the pair will have.
Bare in mind that however strong an instrument is, however compelling it is, however amazing it is performing, it will ALWAYS CORRECT. A correction is not a sign of a change of ideology, it is simply a sign of trading.
Always remember, trade your CHART and not your MIND. If you do this you will be a successful trader always.
In my related ideas, I have posted my previous BTC/USD analysis. If you review both of these analysis together you will see how I have come to this analysis.
I will be updating this analysis as the trade progresses. Leave a like & follow to keep up to date with my analysis.
AUD/USD - Downside LikelyHi traders, hope you're all having a good weekend.
We have a potential setup forming for AUD/USD on the 4H chart with a breakdown trade.
This could be an excellent shorting opportunity. I have tested a few hypothetical trading scenarios that could come into play when the FX market opens later. Each time, I have got over an 1:2 Risk to Reward.
When analyzing the pair, I discovered that price seems to react when it hits specific technical levels. Each time price hits the sideways resistance, it seems to test the resistance, and price stalls, and falls into the lows. I then zoomed out on my chart, and drew the line acting as sideways resistance further back. I was surprised to discover that the sideways resistance line I'd drawn had been having a strong affect on price for a very long time (Since May 2017).
With this information, I now knew that the sideways resistance line I'd discovered was more likely to be reliable, because it had been having an affect on price for a long time. I then discovered that price is currently at a horizontal support level as well, and is about to break the support level. If price breaks the horizontal support, coupled with the discovered sideways resistance, I believe these lines will act as a very strong resistance ceiling.
At the resistance line there is multiple reversal candlesticks showing weakness. And a clear Fibonacci retracement was hit. This further consolidates that we have hit a resistance level in play.
I am expecting a down move of 55-100 pips. If price is not affected by local support levels, it will achieve the full 100 pips. Only if a minor support affects price it will not achieve target.
Upon using a Stochastic indicator on this instrument, I discovered a strong hidden bearish divergence. I am personally not an indicator trader, but to those who do may find this information useful.
Do remember that price needs to open below the current price & support level, to be favorable to trade. So it is important to watch this trade carefully before considering a position.
I will be posting updates on this trade below as it progresses, so like & follow to keep at to date with this analysis.
If you have any questions or queries on this trade, feel free to connect.
NZD/USD - New Uptrend OpportunitiesTraders I recommend reading this entire post so that you fully understand what I have done to come to my analysis.
NZD/USD looks like a long opportunity on the 12H chart.
After analyzing this pair, I discovered that price appears to be moving in patterns. Price seems to have an impulse leg, and then has a corrective leg which measures approximately 124 pips each time, before the next impulse down move begins.
When I began analyzing the pair, I started by measuring the downtrend legs. I discovered that each correction seems to be around 124 pips. Price has recently hit a bottom, and has had some upside, and is showing signs of a new uptrend. Sure enough, when I measured the upside legs, we had a measurement of 124 pips as well. Despite the change of trend, the measurement of the corrective legs remained intact. This shows that these cycles are obviously having an affect on price.
With this information, I was able to predict and plot the next move on the chart. I have calculated each cycles move by measuring the amount of points it moved before a new impulse. After I found there was an approximate 124 pip corrective move before each new impulse, I was then able to replicate a cycle at around 124 pips to see the future direction of the instrument.
I am expecting an up move of 124 pips which will complete at around 0.7029. Below I have illustrated the calculations as to how I came to this conclusion.
The principle of the cycles being used here is that every time there is an impulse leg in either direction, there is a corrective move of 124 pips, and then an impulse move which exceeds the impulse leg. (With exception of Cycle #1, which was the first leg of the trend and excepts this rule). With this information we can calculate (using data from the downtrend corrective cycles + Cycle #1 data) where cycle 2 is likely to end up. Using the calculations below we can make a mathematical assumption as to where price will lead.
Cycle 1 = Cycle 1 + 124 = 0.6905
Cycle 2 - Cycle 1 + 400 = 0.7029
Following these calculations, we can expect a reliable short term up-move, by using the previous trend cycles from the downtrend. Since there is a change of trend, it will interesting to see where these cycles end up. We could get a lot more pips than we bargained for.
Do remember that price may have a correction before Cycle #2 begins. It is important you watch this carefully before considering a position.
I will be posting updates on this trade below, so leave it a like or follow so that you can keep up to date with this analysis.
BTC/USD - Upside OpportunitiesTraders I recommend reading this entire post so that you fully understand what I have done, and how I have came to my analysis.
BTC/USD looks like a long opportunity on the 4H chart.
After analyzing this pair, I discovered that price appears to be moving in patterns. Price seems to move up, have a corrective move, and then move up again, exceeding the previous top by around 400 points every time.
With this logic, I was able to predict and plot the next move on the chart. I have calculated each cycles move by measuring the amount of points it moved up before correcting. After I found there was an approximate 400 point move before each correction, I was then able to replicate a cycle at around 400 points to see the future direction of the instrument.
I am expecting an up move of 400 points which will complete at around 8780. Below I have illustrated the calculations as to how I came to this conclusion.
The principle of the cycles being used here is that every time there is an up move, there is a corrective move, and then an up-move which exceeds the previous move by approximately 400 points. With this information we can calculate (using cycles 1+2 data) where cycle 3 is likely to end up. Using the calculations below we can make a mathematical assumption as to where price will lead.
Cycle 1 = Cycle + 400 = 7980
Cycle 2 - Cycle 1 + 400 = 8380
Cycle 3 - Cycle 2 + 400 = 8780
Following these calculations, we can expect a reliable short term up-move, using previous trend cycles to predict a reliable, yet conservative move.
Do remember that price may correct before cycle 3 initiates. So it is important that you watch this trade carefully before considering a position.
I will be posting updates on this trade below, so leave it a like or follow so that you can keep up to date with this analysis.
CAD/JPY - Bearish OutlookToday we have a potential setup forming for CAD/JPY, on the 1H chart, with a swing trade.
This is an excellent short opportunity with a just over 1:2 risk to reward.
Price has been struggling to find upside for sometime now, and a move to 86.90's is on the horizon.
If price breaks the 87.40 support level, I am expecting a breakdown to our measure target.
This trade could potentially turn into a good long opportunity in the near future if it bounces at our target level.
Feel free to connect with me below :-)
EURNZD watch for a sell.Hi traders, I hope you all had a wonderful weekend.
I am expecting EURNZD to fall. Price is currently at a long term high, and is showing topping behavior. Coupled with this, price is showing a very compelling dark cloud cover and is showing a short in the bigger picture, expecting further downside.
Best regards,
Tom_Killick
EURNOK buy setupHi guys,
The pair EURNOK looks like a buy. The pair nicely landed on the resistance turned support structure, and there has been a nice bullish engulfing signal and a clear follow on to the upside after. It is clear that there is more upside to be seen, and I am expecting a move to at least the previous structure high, as outlined on the chart.
Best regards,
Tom_Killick
NZDUSD down move into the mean priceHi guys, and I hope you all had a great weekend.
NZDUSD looks good for some downside. I am expecting a move to the lows of the range. The price should break down, correct, and then have another down move where I expect price to finish at the mean price level. There is also lots of structure at the mean price level so this is a good indication that the target we have is legitimate and more reliable.
Best regards,
Tom_Killick
USDTRY sell setupHi guys,
The pair USDTRY looks like a sell. I am expecting a retest of the above moving averages, or highest the previous swing high, before the breakdown. I expect then a break of the sideways support level where I am expecting a strong drop to the downside.
If you don't know where to enter or exit this trade, you are NOT ready to trade live funds.
Best regards,
Tom_Killick
GBPUSD buy setupHi guys,
I've lately had many people messaging me and asking my whereabouts lately, as I've not posted on this site for some time. For those of you who don't know I'll explain it here so that you're all informed.
I've been working on my managed fund lately. For those of you who know, I am a full time fund manager, and as it's half year period, I have been EXTREMELY busy, and have not had any time to commit to posting my free content for the community. Saying this, my time has now significantly cleared up and I am back like before, and will now be making my contributions as before.
It feels really good to be back, and I'm excited. Just so you all know, my services are all business as usual, so contact me if you need anything.
Now, to analyse.
The pair GBPUSD looks good for a buy setup. The pair lately broke a minor resistance level after a pullback following a bullish impulse leg. I suspect price will now move up to the highs, and create a 3 wave move. Target is the measure move of the first wave.
All the best,
Tom_Killick
USDJPY sell setup.Hi traders,
Keep an eye on this one for downside. I am expecting price to roll over to the lows, in the form of a 3 wave move. I expect price to hit the 3 wave measure move target, where previous support structure is located. Use your tested trading strategy to find the move.
Best regards,
Tom_Killick