BTC/USD Bitcoin bull-run peak and the next 1-2yr downtrendI haven't posted anything in a very long time so here goes:
We can clearly see that BTC/USD is still continuing to follow a Cycle Pattern of 8-Bars (8x 6 month candles) so around 1461 days of a full cycle. Note that each half cycle is between 730-731 days.
Following this pattern, technically the BTC/USD Bullrun should peak on the 6 month candle starting July 2025. This does not mean that the upcoming 6 month candle before starting 1st Jan 2025 has to be bullish, only that the next 6 month candle starting 1st July 2025 ends bullish or at least creates a new ATH within that 6 month candle.
If this pattern holds true, the 6 month candle starting 1st Jan 2026 will take us into another 1 1/2 year to 2 year long downtrend until the cycle reverse to the uptrend on the 6 month candle starting 1st July 2027. But as we can clearly see, the bottom of a downtrend can potentially be on the previous 6 month candle before the upwards Sign Wave such as we have seen previously on the 1st Jan 2015, 1st July 18 and 1st July 2022 6 month candles.
That's it.
Enjoy.
