SILVER: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 32.816 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver
SPY Plan Your Trade For 4-22 : Breakaway In Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests the markets are moving in a counter-trend mode and that we may see a Breakaway type of price bar.
The current trend is Bearish. Thus, I believe the current Counter-Trend is Bullish.
As many of you already know. I picked up some Calls off the lows yesterday after noticing a complete EPP pattern (Ultimate Low) setup about 75 minutes before the end of the regular trading day on 4-21.
My opinion, overall, is that we are still stuck within a consolidation phase. But that doesn't mean we can't see the SPY/QQQ move higher (toward the upper consolidation high) or roll back downward (toward the lower consolidation low).
I do believe we are moving into a moderate upward price trend over the next 3-4+ days where price will attempt to retest the 525-535+ level on the SPY, then ROLL into a top and start a sharp downtrend.
This volatility presents an incredible opportunity for traders. Staying ahead of these trends is key to improved success.
The SPY Cycle Patterns are fairly clear. We've moved into consolidation, and the price is very volatile. The Counter Trend pattern today may setup a 3-4+ day minor rally in the SPY/QQQ.
But, ultimately, I believe the SPY/QQQ will roll downward into the May Cycle lows - just as I have been predicting for the past 45+ days.
Don't get greedy. Play the immediate trend and learn to identify the EPP patterns on 5-minute charts.
Today should be a very good day for traders.
Get some.
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SILVER Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,271.5.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,036.0 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Plan Your Trade Update For 4-21 : Waiting For The EPP SetupThis video is, hopefully, going to help many of you learn to use the Excess Phase Peak (EPP) pattern more efficiently.
For months, I've been trying to teach all of you to use this pattern to efficiently identify and trade some of the biggest price moves.
Remember, price only does TWO THINGS - TREND or FLAG.
These components are essential to the EPP pattern setup.
First, price must TREND into a peak or trough.
Second, price must pullback from the peak or trough.
Third, price must move into a SIDEWAYS/FLAGGING formation.
Forth, price must break away from the sideways/flagging formation and attempt to TREND into the new consolidation phase.
Fifth, once the new consolidation phase starts, price will trend and flag within the consolidation range for a period of time - before...
Sixth, price will attempt to break up or down to the Ultimate High/Low.
This chart of the ES/SPY will show you how I used my analysis to "front-load" my positions before the Easter holiday weekend.
I've been telling all of you the markets would likely attempt to move a little bit higher, trying to target 525-535 (if we are lucky). Then, price would roll into a topping formation and move downward towards my May 3-6th low (estimate).
Last Thursday, I decided to throw on two positions to protect against any big news that may cause the markets to collapse over the holiday weekend.
I picked up :
4 SDS CALL options @ $23 expiring on May 16
3 XLF PUT options @ $47 expiring on May 16
Both of those trades worked out perfectly this morning. I booked 2 of the XLF and 2 of the SDS for profits near 1030 AM PT. Lovely.
Next, in between phone calls and loading up my car for a short trip, I noticed a beautiful EPP pattern setting up in the ES, and that EPP pattern has already reached what I believe to be the Ultimate Low.
I tried to get into 2 SPY Call options @ $512 and held my breath to see if I timed the entry well.
NOT.
I took a $280+ loss on those two Calls.
I waited a bit longer to see what price did, and after the price setup a base below $510 on the SPY, I loaded up on two more SPY Calls @ $510 and two SSO calls @ $67 about 70-80 minutes before the end of trading.
The way I looked at it, I already had my downside trades placed from last Thursday, and I just added some upside exposure while my downside trades were profitable.
I didn't know if the SPY would rally or not, but the EPP Ultimate Low setup suggested NOW is the time to buy.
So, I kept both downside and upside trades active to protect my account overnight.
The SPY rallied into the close, and I ended up making some nice profits off that EPP Ultimate Low.
Now, I'm going to wait to see what happens tomorrow morning and try to BOOK my upside trades in profits while letting my longer-term downside trades play out into early/mid May.
This is trading. The entire purpose of trading, like I trade, is to position for the best opportunities and try to catch the GIFTS the market throws at you as often as possible.
Nothing is guaranteed, but price ultimately shows us everything we need to know.
Watch this video to see if you understand the EPP Ultimate Low that prompted me to buy my CALLS today.
If so, then you are starting to GET IT, and that is a very big step towards improving your trading skills.
Get some.
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SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 32.755 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-21 : Inside Breakaway PatternToday's Inside Breakaway pattern may not show up as I would expect.
An Inside Breakaway pattern suggests the OPEN will be within the Body range of the previous bar - I don't see that happening today.
The Breakaway portion of the pattern is much more likely to happen today with Gold/Silver moving much higher and BTCUSD moving slightly higher today. It appears Safe-Haven assets are THE THING right now.
That would suggest the US Dollar and US-Dollar based assed would continue to fall (move downward) as devaluation and contraction in the global economy continues to play out.
If you watched my video (posted late last night), you already know my data suggests there is almost no reason for the markets to mount a rally right now. The only thing I can see that would drive a big rally from these lows would be some incredible news that the world is immediately going back to somewhat normal in terms of GCB spending and Global Trade. I don't see that happening.
I know there are a lot of emotions related to these Tariff wars and global trade. Heck, almost anything that goes on in the world right now is full of emotions.
I urge all traders to STEP BACK. Think of the markets like an engine that runs on the quality of AIR, FUEL, SPARK, LUBRICATION, STRUCTURAL MECHANICAL PARTS, & INTAKE/OUTPUT CAPACITY.
If you start to think about the markets (global markets) as a big engine, while thinking of individual economies (by country) as smaller engines, it starts to make a little more sense (at least in my mind).
Every country runs its own engine (see the components above). If some of those components are failing, then that country's economy will falter a bit.
And that faltering economy may put additional pressure on the global economy/engine.
It takes a lot to destroy a functional economy. I mean A LOT. War, Total Destruction of government/law/society. Maybe even some type of internal conflict.
But, even then, the economy will still have roots and will fall back to core elements.
So, don't worry about all of these people telling you "the world is going to CRASH in the next 2 years because of Trump". That is highly unlikely.
What is more likely is that the world will "re-settle expectations" related to future growth and output. Strengthening economies where needed and building up the core elements of global trade/economies over many months.
So, if you are worried or don't know what to do right now, move your positions into CASH and wait it out a bit.
There will be lots of opportunities for you to pick the right time to start trading again.
There is no reason why you have to try to FORCE the markets to adhere to your wants (they never do that anyway).
Just wait it out, keep learning, and plan/time your trade efficiently.
Get some...
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SILVER SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 32.821
Target Level: 31.594
Stop Loss: 33.634
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 5h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For The Week Of April 20-25 : CautionI want to thank all of you for the great comments and questions over the past few months.
I'm very impressed by all of you and how well many of you are picking up my techniques to improve your trading results.
This video is more of a Pre-Week review - telling you why I expect the markets to trade/trend a certain way over the next 5 to 25+ days (or longer).
Additionally, I want to remind all of you my research goes much deeper (behind the scenes) than what you see in these Plan Your Trade videos.
I know many of you rely on my morning videos and some of you have messaged me about how important my videos are in helping you prepare for the day's price range/trend.
Ultimately, I started doing these Plan Your Trade videos to highlight my SPY Cycle patterns and to prove my research is accurate and helpful. Obviously, if my technology/techniques were failures, I would be hearing about it from lots of people by now.
But that is not the case. It appears my SPY Cycle Patterns and other techniques/tools are very well appreciated and are really helping traders learn to build better skills for greater success.
And that is what this is all about.
Remember, I've been lucky enough to rub shoulders with some of the greatest traders/minds on the planet for the past 35+ years. Sometimes, we would sit down for Coffee and share ideas. Sometimes, they would hire me to explore something they thought was important (coding/research). At other times, we would simply show up at an event together and chat about life and the markets.
I was lucky.
I got into this industry in the late 1980s (a long time ago) and have continued to learn new things and build my skills over the past 35+ years.
Now, I'm trying to share some of that knowledge with all of you so you can carry this information forward and make a real difference in your life (finding success while trading).
One of the biggest things I continue to try to teach all of you is PATIENCE.
Right now, the markets are in a unique phase (consolidation in a downward trend). You are going to have to learn to WAIT for the best trade setups and try not to force the markets do to what you want.
If you are not sure what to trade, sit on the CASH until you see a better opportunity.
OK. This week, after Easter, should be fairly quiet. Tax day and Easter usually fall fairly close to one another. This year, they were on the same week.
The markets are usually very flat near Tax Day - so don't expect much in terms of trending.
Volatility is still elevated. So, we may see some wild price action this week. Trade smaller amounts if you are still unsure about direction/setups.
Get some...
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SILVER Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is already making
A local bearish pullback
From the horizontal resistance
Level of 33.20$ which is happening
After a strong bullish move up
Which temporarily took Silver into the
Overbought territory so we are locally
Bearish biased and we will be
Expecting a local bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER – Wave 3 Breakdown Using Elliott Wave Theory3-Day Silver Chart Analysis
We're analyzing the full structure of Wave 3, which itself consists of 5 smaller waves, following the Elliott Wave impulsive pattern:
Impulse Wave Structure (5 Waves):
Wave 1: 5 subwaves (either impulse or leading diagonal)
Wave 2: 3-wave correction
Wave 3: 5 subwaves (impulse)
Wave 4: 3-wave correction
Wave 5: 5 subwaves (can be impulsive or corrective)
Right now, we’re in Wave 5 of Wave 3, and within that, we’re in subwave 1, expecting a subwave 2 correction next.
Trade Plan:
- Watch for the subwave 2 correction to develop
- Once wave C of the correction forms, draw a trendline and enter on the breakout
- Set hard stops below the invalidation level, or under Wave 2 after the breakout
- Take profit levels: 35, 37, 39
Good luck and as always, trade safe!
Take a look at our earlier Silver setups below:
Free Setups
SILVER:
SILVER:
SILVER:
VIP Setups
SILVER:
SILVER:
SILVER:
SILVER:
XAGUSD - Retest of Local Top Likely to Precede Deeper CorrectionSilver has staged an impressive recovery from its early April low near $2,830, rallying back toward the key psychological level of $3,300. Currently, price action suggests we'll see a final push higher into the resistance zone highlighted in blue (approximately $3,300-$3,320) before encountering significant selling pressure. This anticipated pullback makes technical sense considering the speed of the recent recovery and the horizontal resistance level at $3,250, which has historically acted as a significant pivot point. Traders should exercise caution as silver approaches this resistance zone, as exhaustion signals may soon emerge after this rapid recovery phase, potentially offering favorable short-entry opportunities once the retest completes.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on SILVER and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 32.515 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 31.382
Safe Stop Loss - 33.187
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅SILVER has hit a horizontal
Resistance level around 33.13$
And we are already seeing a
Bearish reaction so we will be
Expecting a further move
Down on Monday
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BRIEFING Week #16 : ObservationHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
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Phil
SILVER: Short Signal Explained
SILVER
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell SILVER
Entry Level - 32.561
Sl - 33.271
Tp - 31.314
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD v DXY in breakout move --- HVF hunt volatility funnelAlways good to measure against the DXY not just the USD value
Not perfect of course as it is mainly the Euro and Yen but still insightful.
Been watching the relationship for a while
currently breaking out to the upside
HVF theory means this should be a violent expansion
Target 1 coming up.
Are US Tariffs Similar To The COVID-19 Global DisruptionThis video is in response to a question asked by one of my followers on TradingView.
He specifically asked if the current US Tariffs create a similar situation to the COVID-19 supply disruptions and how it may result in longer-term market disruptions.
In this video, I try to answer these questions and highlight the differences I see related to what is happening now vs. the COVID-19 shutdown.
It is an interesting question.
I certainly see similarities, but I also see vast differences in terms of how the global markets are attempting to address the US tariff issues.
First, the current tariff issues are somewhat self-inflicted, not something like COVID-19 (unavoidable).
Second, the global central banks acted in concert to present immense liquidity to support a global shutdown with COVID. I don't see that happening right now.
Supply-side disruptions are evident, but we'll see how they play out over the next 60- 90+ days.
Longer-term, I hope these tariff issues are resolved before the global economy moves into a deeper recession. I will state that hard assets are likely to take a hit over the next 60-90+ days across the globe.
Any moderate (think 15 to 35%) slowdown in production, shipping, and consumption across the globe is going to be felt all over the planet. It is not going to be isolated to just one or two areas.
This is the smackdown that I don't believe anyone is really ready for. And that creates the urgency to resolve the tariff issues asap.
Hope this helps.
Get Some.
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SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 32.430 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 32.151.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video For 4-17 : Another BLANK dayToday's BLANK pattern in counter-trend mode is nothing to worry about.
As I research and document these patterns, there are patterns that appear frequently on the Daily price chart and there are others that appear more infrequently.
If I have not already marked these patterns and documented them, they have not appeared anywhere in the 11+ years of the Daily price data I use within the Lookup Engine.
Therefore, these are VERY RARE types of patterns - Extremely infrequent.
I will add that the secondary looking criteria show yesterday and today could be similar to "key top/bottom" types of price rotation. So, I do believe the current price level on the SPY (520-535) could prove to be very critical support/resistance going forward.
Tomorrow is Good Friday (no trading). So if you are going to take any trades today, make sure you remember to plan your exits for TODAY or NEXT WEEK (or later). You will not be able to exit stock/ETF trades tomorrow (sorry).
Gold is moving into a Momentum Rally, and I really want to see how that pattern plays out before the long holiday weekend.
Fingers crossed we see a BIG RALLY again today.
BTCUSD is still rolling into a downward price trend based on my EPP pattern structure. This downward trend aligns with my May 2 Major Bottom pattern for the SPY/QQQ. So I would expect BTCUSD to start to roll downward sometime near the middle/end of next week.
Remember, this weekend should be about your family, your friends, and your beliefs.
Relax and enjoy.
Get some...
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Silver H4 | Falling to an overlap SupportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 32.007 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 30.400 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 34.480 which is a swing-high resistance.
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$ETH = Silver and $BTC = Gold Means WHAT!?They say Ethereum is the Silver to ₿itcoin being Gold.
If that's the case, does that mean that the ceiling for CRYPTOCAP:ETH will forever be stuck at $4,800
just like TVC:SILVER being capped at $48 for the past 45 years?
Does anyone really think ETH will be higher than $4,800 in 45 years???😆
A true store of value 💯