Silver
SILVER: Market Is Looking Up! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 33.68170$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-28 : Top Resistance PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Top Resistance pattern in Countertrend mode.
I believe this pattern will represent a moderate early topping price action in the SPY/QQQ - resolving slightly to the downside, then rolling into an upward price trend near the end of the day.
The reason I believe this to be the case is because of two factors.
A. The Countertrend mode suggests the top will actually be a moderate bottom in price (a pullback resolving as a base/bottom).
B. The continued bias for the markets is slightly upward, thus I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt to reach new intermediate ATHs before we start to move into the pre-election downtrend.
Gold and Silver will struggle today as both appear to be consolidating in a FLAGGING formation.
Bitcoin is still consolidating in the Phase #3 sideways consolidation pattern of the Excess Phase Peak pattern.
Everything is playing out generally very well aligned to my research and cycle patterns. Last week I warned that market price would likely be very difficult in comparison to my SPY Cycle Patterns and that traders should begin to move to protect capital.
This week is the last week you have for any upside opportunities. You need to plan to protect capital (if you plan to) before the pre-election correction. I believe skilled traders will be able to move back into the strongest sectors at a 5.5 to 8.5%+ pullback just after the elections.
That is a smart move if you can pull it off.
Also, don't hold any Gold/Silver futures contracts through the 2-3+ days around the election day. Volatility will be EXTREME and unless you can take the lumps (margin calls), I don't advise anyone trying to trade metals on November 5-6. If you do, get in and get out QUICKLY.
Here we go...
Get some.
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Preparing For Pre Election Volatility - Stay Protected From RiskI wanted to highlight what I believe is the most likely 5 to 10+ day price activity and why I believe traders should immediately begin to prepare for extreme price volatility.
I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into a very moderate rally phase over the next 2 to 4 days, then peak near Oct 30-31 and shift into a very aggressive downward price trend.
That downward trend could evaporate 5.5 to 8.5%++ (possibly even resulting in a 10-14% downward price move in some of the most volatile tech sector stocks/ETFs).
Traders really need to understand the risks of holding positions through the election vs. the opportunities of CASHING out of 80-85% of your holdings and attempting to buy back into those same symbols at a 5.5 to 8.5% discount on November 6-8.
Think about it.
Why take the 6 to 10%+ risk when you don't have to.
Again, I'm trying to help you plan and prepare for what I believe is likely to happen. I could be wrong - we'll see.
But, even if I'm wrong about some of my expected ranges, you would still be able to buy back into these shares at a reasonable price no matter what happens.
Remember, a quick 6 to 10% pullback can provide a very good opportunity for skilled traders.
Get some.
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XAGUSD (Silver) still BullishMonthly Chart
The monthly candle is still bullish.
Weekly Chart
Weekly candle closed as indecision candle while the trend is still bullish and we are expecting the price to at least retrace towards the middle of previous IPA (or FVG) candle of previous week and then resume higher. Next Target above 35.15 level.
Daily Chart
We will be looking a bullish structure around 32.47 or slightly lower for a buy entry. Next target around 35.15 level.
SILVER BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
SILVER pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 45m timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 33.031 area.
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SILVER (XAGUSD): Important Demand Zone Ahead
Silver is retracing after a sharp bullish movement.
Ahead, I see a significant demand zone.
The underlined yellow area is based on a rising trend line
and a recently broken weekly/daily horizontal resistance cluster.
With a high probability, we will see an up movement from that area.
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XAGUSD: Sell the bounce. Top about to be completed. Silver reached the top of the 3 month Channel Up, naturally on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.183, MACD = 0.939, ADX = 32.693) and since 3 days it got rejected to the 4H MA50 today. The 2 bullish waves before that show that this is technically the last bounce before the top is formed. We are ready to sell this back to the bottom of the Channel Up, targeting the 0.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 32.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Understanding The Basics Of AI/Inference Engine ConstructionRecently, there has been a lot of discussion related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and how they work.
In short, without disclosing proprietary code/quants, I built an inference engine based on Fibonacci, GANN, and Tesla theories.
Part of this inference engine is to identify the highest probable outcome related to the patterns.
This is not rocket-science. This is the same process your brain does when determining when and what to trade.
The only difference is I'm doing a bunch of proprietary calculations/quants related to data and price theory in the background, then the inference engine determines the best, most likely outcome.
Take a few minutes to watch this video and try to understand the difference between static and dynamic modeling.
Again, my objective is to help as many traders as possible. My Plan Your Trade videos are my opinions based on my skills, knowledge, and proprietary modeling systems/tools.
None of my tools are 100% accurate all the time - nothing is. But, I do believe the quality of information and instructional information I provide is invaluable to most traders.
Get some.
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Silver long term view Silver is yet to confirm it's breakout from the 6 year bullish wedge accumulation after breaking out in 2020.
Since then we've seen consolidation in the range between 20 - 30.
Short term target of 36 after confirmation using the fib extension, but this, as we all know has the potential to go miles above that.
A classic double bottom to wrap it all up I'm sure would take place as shown on the chart.
All the best.
Cheers,
Sky
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-25: Rally111 PatternHappy Friday,
Today is potentially the start of a moderate rally phase in the SPY/QQQ headed toward my predicted peak level near October 30-31.
Although this week has had lots of rotation, we've seen the markets hold up pretty well. Tesla surprised with earnings recently after Boeing and other issues prompted a bit of panic selling.
My research suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move a bit higher over the next 3-4 days - attempting to setup a peak just before the election. The 3-4 days prior to the election are likely to be very volatile as liquidity dries up.
Traders need to stay keenly aware of risks over the next 15+ days - even after the election day.
Whatever happens on election day, we are likely to see some moderate level of unrest and challenges related to who won. I believe the current election will be the most watched and validated election in US history. Everyone is watching for errors and shenanigans this time.
As traders, our #1 job is to protect capital. That is why I suggested traders more to 80-85% CASH over the past 2+ weeks.
There is no reason to be engaged in this market at full allocation levels when I expect the markets to become extremely volatile (and potentially prompt a flash-crash type of event).
Remember, lack of liquidity means extreme price volatility.
Gold and Silver are moving into another rally phase. Get ready to see Gold above $2800.
Bitcoin is still consolidating - just as I expected.
This is the time to play it smart. Trade smaller allocation levels and prepare to hedge against risk factors over the next 2-3 weeks.
Get some.
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XAGUSD - 1H BullishOANDA:XAGUSD is showing strong bullish momentum, particularly as we approach late October 2024. On the technical side, the current chart presents a series of three bearish pullbacks, each one weaker than the last, suggesting the bearish trend is losing strength. Silver has now reached a key support zone, which aligns with the end of the bearish phase and a potential upward reversal. The breakout is likely, supported by bullish signals from the trend line and weakening bearish pressure.
From a fundamental perspective, there are several factors supporting this bullish outlook for silver. Global demand for silver, particularly in renewable energy sectors and industrial uses, continues to grow. In October 2024, silver prices have also been supported by increasing inflation concerns and the weakening U.S. dollar, as noted by various market analysts. Additionally, silver remains above critical moving averages, further reinforcing the possibility of continued upward momentum.
With a strong technical foundation and supporting fundamentals, silver looks well-positioned for a rally in the coming weeks. Keep an eye on key resistance levels and potential macroeconomic developments for further confirmation of the bullish trend.
Silver (XAGUSD): Anticipating a correction after new local highsTwo out of our three Silver positions remain active, with Silver reaching a remarkable high near $35. Today, we decided to fully close our second position, locking in substantial gains. The first position, initiated at $26.30, will remain open with a stop loss placed slightly below $26, aligning with the high-timeframe support and wave 1 level.
Given current analysis, a correction in Silver may be on the horizon after reaching the minimum target for wave 3. With increased Treasury yields and some profit-taking, Silver could face resistance in climbing further, especially considering the upward trend in yields.
While we cannot predict the exact speed of this potential downturn, if it unfolds as expected, we’ll look to re-enter with Silver certificates around the $30 to $28.30 range. The ideal correction would see a pullback toward the volume range high and a subsequent bounce within the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone, which we’ll confirm once wave ((a)) is established. Stay patient and focused, as volatility is expected to rise with the upcoming presidential elections.
SILVER: Market Is Looking Down! Sell!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 32,80376$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Platinum the trend leader for metalsPlatinum, the trend Queen.
Platinum this session has led the trend for metals so far.
PL has broke it's long uptrend with force. Generally PL likes to trend for several days.
Short intraday pops might happen, but I am watching for possible continuation.
Consolidation or ranging may also be possible short term.
Careful eyes to see if support is made and will hold.
SI looks to be setting up a classic head and shoulders, with Platinum being the warning.
This is NOT trade advice, simply observation.
Have a nice weekend
Silver’s U-Turn: Head & Shoulder Formation Triggers Sell Signal● After breaking out from the Rounding Bottom formation, the price soared to an impressive peak of $34.87.
● Subsequently, a consolidation phase unfolded, leading to the development of the Head & Shoulder pattern.
● We expect a swift drop once the neckline is breached, potentially retracing the price back to its earlier breakout point.
Key levels to watch
● Entry : Below $33.4
● Potential Target : $32.7
● Stop-loss : Above 33.7
XAGUSD Bull Flag to test the strength of the MA50 (1d).Silver has completed a Cup pattern with the price breaking above it this week.
Yesterday's pull back may start a Bull Flag, delayed Handle of the Cup, same as the mid April Bull Flag that gave an excellent buy above the MA50 (1d).
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the 1.0 Fibonacci level.
Targets:
1. 38.500 (the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is also trading on a similar pattern as April. A neutral (1d) RSI is perhaps the most efficient buy signal there is.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Correction Silver H4. 24.10.2024Correction Silver 📉
The correction in silver started a bit earlier than the expected zone, so I'm clarifying the situation. Buying zone is important at 31.31-32.17 and slightly above the margin with support level. I am still aiming for 35.50 and higher after the end of the pullback. There were no strong culmination volumes at the top, so it is more likely that a pullback is forming downwards.
CAPITALCOM:SILVER