Silver Analysis by zForex Research TeamSilver Surges to $31.7 on Fed Speculation and Supply Deficit
Silver jumped past $31.7 per ounce on Thursday, a six-week high, as Fed policy speculation boosted demand for non-yielding assets.
The Silver Institute projected a fifth straight annual supply deficit despite higher output from China, Canada, and Chile.
Investors also assessed industrial demand, particularly from Chinese solar panel manufacturers, a key driver of silver consumption.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.00 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90 consequently. On the downside 30.90 will be the first support level. 29.80 and 29.30 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Silver
Silver/Gold Ratio AnalysisOften you will see the Gold/Silver ratio chart get more analysis. However, I like to look at this one as I find it easier to spot the bottoms.
Rarely has silver traded at this level to gold. At .01, it means that it would take 100oz of silver to trade for 1 oz of gold.
Historically, this ratio has traded higher. With gold pushing up towards all time highs, and silver often lagging gold, the silver trade is on.
SILVER | The longest timeframe cup & handle in history!SILVER has been forming a cup-and-handle pattern for the past 45 years. And even though SILVER has made some incredible moves during that time, its price has been blatantly manipulated by the LBMA (London Bullion Market Association), central banks around the world, and a completely fraudulent derivatives market that circulates fake paper silver at hundreds of times greater than the underlying asset. Prices have been artificially suppressed for decades to prop up the global fake fiat currency Ponzi scheme and tighten the grip of control over nearly every asset and human being—making these fake currencies appear legitimate when they are clearly instruments of debt and deception.
This artificial suppression of SILVER and many other commodities is coming to an end as the debt-and-death paradigm unravels before our very eyes.
The day is rapidly approaching when SILVER will enter true price discovery, and people will not believe the price points it will reach in the very near future. Silver is one of the most—if not the most—undervalued physical assets of all time.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 1-30 : Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the markets will attempt a minor rally in early trading, possibly targeting the 605 resistance level, then shift/rollover into a downward price trend (the TOP pattern) and being to move downward into the pre-DeepV low levels I've suggests (possibly near 585-588).
At that point, I suspect we'll get a few days of consolidation before we see the DeepV breakdown take place near Feb 11-13 (which may actually start on Friday the previous week).
Overall, I'm expecting the markets to roll into downward trending over the next 7 to 10+ days.
Gold and Silver are moving higher - which is great to see (finally). Maybe all Gold needed was to roll to the newer contract to finally break above the $2820 level. lol
Who knows.
This is the start of the BIG RALLY (Expansion Phase) in metals that should last almost all year. If my research is correct, Gold and Silver will reach a peak level near July-October 2025.
Bitcoin has moved into an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern that may prompt a rally up to resistance near $108,450.
At this point, the inverted EPP pattern is in the consolidation phase and I'm watching for it to break above $105,500 (moving to the ultimate high), or below $100,270 (as an invalidation breakdown move).
The next 5+ trading days should be very interesting for everyone.
Get some.
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SILVER at Key Resistance: Correction Ahead?OANDA:XAGEUR is currently approaching a key resistance zone. The ongoing bullish momentum may face exhaustion as price reaches this area, making it a potential turning point.
If bearish confirmation appears, such as rejection candles or a bearish engulfing pattern, I anticipate a pullback targeting the 29.49615 level. This area represents a logical target within the current market structure, reflecting a possible short-term correction.
This setup aligns with the idea of trend exhaustion near resistance. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
Silver Prices Flat, Fed and US Tariffs in FocusSilver remained steady at around $30.40 per ounce on Wednesday as traders awaited the Fed’s policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged despite pressure from President Trump to lower borrowing costs.
Investors also assessed potential US tariffs, with Trump planning levies on Canada and Mexico by Saturday, while tariffs on China remain under consideration. Meanwhile, overcapacity in China’s solar panel industry may dampen silver demand.
Key resistance is at 31.00, with further levels at 31.80 and 32.50. Support stands at 29.85, followed by 28.80 and 28.50.
SHORT SILVER (XAGUSD) Based on Trend Exhaustion & Mean ReversionThe line-work pretty much spells it out ...
Not shown are the pitchforks that generated some of the trendlines. The Resistance/Support Channel is derived from the same. The AVWAP establishes the "horizontal" (i.e. "momentary) component of the range, while the diagonals establish the "arguably more reliable"trading range. The anchored Volume Profile lends further corroboration.
SILVER - Potential Short Setup at Key Resistance LevelOANDA:XAGUSD is currently testing a key resistance level, presenting a potential sell opportunity. If price fails to break above and holds below this resistance, a downward move towards 30.61800 could be expected.
A rejection at this level—confirmed by a bearish candlestick pattern or strong selling pressure—would strengthen the bearish outlook. Traders should watch for signs of failure to break resistance, which would support the short position. However, if the price breaks and closes above resistance, the bearish scenario would be invalidated, and the bias would shift to the upside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
Silver Price Setup = Major Move Ahead?Silver (XAG/USD) Analysis – Breakout Incoming?
Silver (XAG/USD) is currently testing a key resistance zone after a strong upward move, supported by a rising trendline. The price has respected this trendline multiple times, confirming its role as a strong support level. If bulls push beyond the resistance zone, a breakout could trigger further upside momentum.
Key Insights:
🔹 Trendline Support – The ascending trendline has acted as a strong base for price action, providing steady higher lows.
🔹 Key Resistance Zone – Price has faced multiple rejections here in the past, making it a crucial breakout level.
🔹 Potential Breakout Setup – If Silver breaks and holds above resistance, we could see a rally towards $31.50–$32.50+
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-29 : GAP ReversalToday's pattern suggests the markets are going to start off with a bit of a bang.
Although I expect the markets to try to hold up with some support, I believe, ultimately, the markets will break downward - continuing into the Deep-V Feb 9-10 bottom my cycles are projecting.
Gold and Silver are acting to attempt to hedge the global risks and could explode much higher over the next 30 - 60+ days.
Bitcoin looks like it will continue to move downward, first to 98k, then to 92k.
I'm seeing lots of Excess Phase Peak patterns in price action. This suggests the markets are struggling for direction right now and could move aggressively into a downward cycle phase before the Feb 9-10 Deep-V base/bottom.
Either way, we are going to find a lot of opportunities over the next 30+ days as traders.
Get some.
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SILVER Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 30.495
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 30.267
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver Declines as Trump’s Tariff Threats Shake MarketsSilver fell to $30 per ounce on Wednesday, extending losses as the dollar rebounded amid Trump’s escalating tariff threats. Trump announced tariffs on chips, pharmaceuticals, steel, aluminum, and copper to boost domestic production. Traders remained cautious ahead of the February 1 tariff deadline for China, Mexico, and Canada.
Meanwhile, the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged this week. In China, overcapacity in the solar panel industry led firms to adopt a government-led self-discipline program, potentially limiting silver demand.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 31.00 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 31.80 and 32.50 consequently. On the downside 29.85 will be the first support level. 28.80 and 28.50 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Silver- Bulls need 30.50 breakAs I mentioned in my previous posts, I’m bullish on OANDA:XAGUSD and expect a rise to $32.
However, the price action lately has been choppy and constrained in a range between $31 and around $30.
The good thing is that bulls have defended the $30 zone well so far. At the time of writing, silver is trading just under the $30.50 median of the range. A break above this level should help clarify things and open the door to $31, with potential acceleration toward my $32 target.
I’ll remain bullish as long as the price stays above $30 on a daily close basis.
Silver/Gold Ratio signals Lower Interest Rates AheadWhen OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver) does well relative to OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold), it means the economy is strong and interest rates tend to rise when that happens. The opposite is also true. When Silver is weak relative to Gold, interest rates tend to fall.
See how it works historically? The 1997 drop in rates when the silver/gold ratio shot up is the rare exception
Why does it work? Silver is an economic metal used in industry and gold is a precious metal which used to be used for technology in the 1970's.
Well - it shows now that rates should be going down because the economy is flat, weak or recessionary. However you want to label it, the economy can afford lower interest rates.
This LONG TERM indicator has worked quite well and deserves to be on your list of indicators to track the likely path of interest rates. OF COURSE, the more important factor is WHO is at the head of the Fed.
Lower rates would make sense especially if the profligate Government spending machine slows down its aggressive spending. The global war on covid didn't help and the clear message that the market is telling us is that we needed to slow down the price hikes but we now have a US Gov't deeply in debt and struggling to be able to justify lower rates.
Here's to clarity on the future moves by the Fed, which if you were just looking at this indicator you would be cutting rates steadily for the foreseeable future.
Cheers,
Tim
11:47AM EST January 28, 2025
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-28 : Temp Bottom PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Temp Bottom.
After yesterday's big breakdown and consolidation, I believe the SPY will attempt to identify support, possibly near 597, and attempt to move higher a bit today.
Ultimately, a Temp Bottom pattern is where the price seeks out support (moving downward or retesting recent support levels) and then rolls to the upside, creating a base/bottom type of pattern.
The QQQ should follow the same pattern.
Gold and Silver seem trapped for the next 2-3 days (possibly melting a bit higher as the US Dollar appears to be moving downward a bit).
I don't see Gold/Silver starting to make any big moves until Jan 31 or in early Feb.
Bitcoin will likely stall out, just like the SPY/QQQ, over the next 2-3 days, then move into a downward price phase - attempting to move back towards $92k.
I believe the markets are stalling and in a bit of shock at the moment. Don't get too aggressive in any trades unless you are confident in your ability to manage risk levels.
Some sectors/symbols will trend. But the SPY/QQQ will likely stall out for another 2-3 days before making another big move.
Get some.
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SILVER Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 30.136.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 31.006 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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