Silver
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-13-25 : Inside BreakawayToday's video highlights some of the deeper, more detailed research I do behind the scenes for all of you.
My SPY Cycle Patterns are just one part of what I attempt to develop to identify opportunities and to help guide all of you toward success.
And, trust me, creating and reviewing all of this data, creating all this content, and staying ahead of the markets is not an easy task. It takes insight, knowledge, and experience to be able to try to read these charts, plan for what the markets are likely to attempt to do in the future, and try to convey that information to you in a concise format.
You'll see my suggestion the markets will attempt to establish a new low early this week, then REJECT and move higher into the Inauguration.
I know it seems counter-intuitive to suggest the markets are breaking downward while telling you to expect a REJECTION and a brief move higher - but price moves in waves - not in a straight line.
Gold and Silver are pulling down as the initial selling pressure drives a bit of a panic in metals. This downward move should end with a strong rally where Gold attempts to move above $2800.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is the hard asset I believe will see the bigger decline - possibly targeting the $72-74k level before the end of February.
I believe the Excess Phase Peak pattern is confirming the move down to consolidation right now, and that low (possibly near $72-74k) will act as temporary support before a much deeper low is set.
Remember, we are just getting started into 2025. so we have lots of time to try to manage and trade our accounts into profits.
Get some.
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XAGUSD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range.
But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
XAGUSD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range.
But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Silver H4 | Falling to overlap supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 29.85 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 29.33 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 30.68 which is an overlap retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Levrage During this Metals Bull - finding the next Newmount?Relatively safe ways to gain exposure to leveraged plays in the form of mining companies.
Many established miners are way too unbelievably low with current metals prices. Here we look at the technical perspective on why I am bullish on these cyclical mining stocks and why they could yield outstanding returns - which is to say now may be the time to scale in before they catch up to precious metals prices.
FSM
ASM
SBSW
BRIEFING Week #2 : Beware of the long term TopHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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SILVER BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on SILVER, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 28.676.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 1-9-25 : Behind The Scenes ResearchMany of you are following my research and Plan Your Trade videos - watching my SPY Cycle Patterns play out as the markets trade through various phases/trends.
What you do not see is the extended research and predictive modeling that go into my deeper research, which aims to help traders.
The SPY Cycle Patterns are just one part of my extensive coded solutions related to cycles/trends/phases and other market conditions. Every week, I review and research dozens of market conditions, attempting to determine the current phase, setup, and conditions related to the market and what to expect in the near future.
That is why, in many cases, I will be ahead of the trends by 2 to 5+ weeks.
You may wonder why I'm able to draw future expected price action often so accurately. This is because of my extended market research (done behind the scenes). My work is not only about the SPY Cycle Patterns - it includes many other more detailed market analyses related to key fundamentals and cycle/phase market trends/setups.
In this video, I try to share some of the extended work I do to help traders so you can better understand how all of my research/work ties together to deliver the best information I can.
In my opinion, trading is about what is likely to happen now, and attempting to identify what is likely to happen in the near future - so we can prepare and trade efficiently through any market trend.
As we take a day off to remember President Carter, I thought you might be interested to see what I actually do every day/week in terms of research and software development trying to help you learn to become a better trader.
Stay safe & get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SILVER Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 30.244.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 31.757 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAG/USD (Silver) Wedge BreakoutThe XAG/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Wedge After Confirmation.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 29.42
2nd Support – 29.04
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SILVER Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in a local
Uptrend and the price is
Consolidating above the
The horizontal support
Level of 29.89$ so we are
Locally bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-8-25: RALLY patternPlease take a few minutes to watch this entire video.
I spent quite a bit of time trying to explain to all of my followers why the markets are struggling to find a trend and why the volatility has been so excessive over the past 3+ months.
Simply put, the markets are trying to reprice a Trump Economy (changing from a Biden economy).
In my opinion, the new Trump economy will still be decent/good - but there will be changes and the US Fed is still trying to borrow based on past data - which traders no longer believe is going to be valid reflecting future US economic/policy actions.
Thus, yields are rising as investors demand MORE PROTECTION against unknowns.
And, THAT is one of the primary reasons why the US Dollar and Yields are really driving most of this market volatility.
Again, simply put, investors/traders are unsure of what the future US/global economy looks like (specifically with Trump suggesting he is going to "streamline" the US government/agencies, and fix the US BLOAT). To many people, that is a big unknown.
I do believe today's Rally phase in the SPY/QQQ, as well as the Rally phase in Gold, will resolve to the upside. Yesterday's move was, IMO, another "washout low".
We'll see how things play out today and see IF we get a RALLY move in the markets.
Bitcoin rolled downward right at the dual Flag levels - just as I suggested. Now we'll see Bitcoin roll back towards recent lows - trying to identify support, or break downward - targeting the $72k I suggested would be the next lower level.
Get some.
Stay ahead of these markets and remember to trade efficiently (BOOK PROFITS).
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Silver H4 | Approaching overlap resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 30.67 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 31.10 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 29.79 which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-7-25 : Counter Trend BreakawayToday's pattern suggests the markets will move upward (counter-trend) in an attempt to move into the RALLY, RALLY, RALLY phase closing out this week's price action.
I suggest traders prepare for what may become a fairly explosive upward trend over the next few days - but stay fairly cautious as unexpected news may derail price trends a bit.
We are still moving into the early 2025 liquidity flood - where traders who pulled capital away from risks in late 2024 are starting to move back into the markets. We are also moving into Q4:2024 earnings data (in about a week or so). So there are still lots of opportunities for big trends.
I'm watching to see if the markets attempt to move to new All-Time Highs again - which I believe is a highly probable outcome.
If my research is correct, we are going to move into that RALLY, RALLY, RALLY phase very cleanly today and tomorrow.
Gold and Silver are moving higher again - which is great to see. Today is a RALLY day on my Gold Cycle Patterns. Could be a great opportunity for skilled traders in Metals this week.
Bitcoin has reached that DUAL FLAGGING zone. In other words, stay cautious at this point.
Volatility will likely increase for Bitcoin and I believe the most likely outcome will be to attempt to move back downward after reaching this dual flagging zone. We'll see what happens next.
Remember, we are just starting 2025, so you have lots of time to try to identify opportunities throughout the year. Your goal as a trader is to find the best opportunities to BOOK PROFITS. The more you are able to BOOK PROFITS, the more likely you are to GROW YOUR ACCOUNT.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
A case for silver.Silver is currently under significant regulatory constraints, and its prevailing market price does not incentivize the allocation of capital toward ventures focused on increasing its supply. This creates a supply constraint for the asset.
Beyond its role as an inflation hedge, a characteristic shared by most commodities, silver possesses unique properties that are particularly valuable for industrial applications. As we stand on the brink of a new wave of industrial expansion, silver's conductivity and reflectivity make it indispensable in various technologies, such as solar panels (where China leads in production), antifreeze formulations, and numerous other applications.
Recently, President Putin announced that Russia will include silver in its strategic reserves. Meanwhile, China has been engaging in confidential agreements with miners and refiners to secure prices over extended periods. Due to China's relatively loose regulatory framework, these transactions are not publicly disclosed, and as a result, they are not reflected in silver's market price. This can be said for African, Latin-American, or other Asian countries with loose regulation for these kinds of markets. Silver pricing predominantly occurs on the futures market, which underscores cases where a disconnect arises between market prices and underlying realities, leading to potential distortions in valuation.
Case 1: JP Morgan commodities trading desk scandal.
" A federal jury in the Northern District of Illinois convicted a former trader at JPMorgan Chase and Credit Suisse today of fraud in connection with a spoofing scheme in the gold and silver futures markets.
According to court documents and evidence presented at trial, Christopher Jordan, 51, of Mountainside, New Jersey, was an executive director and trader on JPMorgan’s precious metals desk in New York from 2006 to 2009, and on Credit Suisse’s precious metals desk in New York in 2010. Between 2008 and 2010, Jordan placed thousands of spoof orders, i.e., orders that he intended to cancel before execution, to drive prices in a direction more favorable to orders he intended to execute on the opposite side of the market. Jordan engaged in this deceptive spoofing strategy while trading gold and silver futures contracts on the Commodity Exchange (COMEX), which is a commodities exchange operated by the CME Group. These deceptive orders were intended to inject false and misleading information about the genuine supply and demand for gold and silver futures contracts into the markets... Four other former JPMorgan precious metals traders were previously convicted in related cases. In August 2022, Gregg Smith and Michael Nowak... spoofing... In October 2018, John Edmonds pleaded guilty in the District of Connecticut... wire fraud, commodities fraud, price manipulation, and spoofing... In August 2019, Christian Trunz pleaded guilty in the Eastern District of New York to one count of conspiracy to engage in spoofing and one count of spoofing... "
This is the article if you'd like to read more: www.justice.gov
My thoughts; This type of practice is an example of how there always a disconnect with real life and markets. One must also remember how information travels and the infrastructure and systems in place that runs our financial system. I believe JP Morgan's swift settlement shows to me there was not much accountability addressed.
Case 2: Silver Thursday, Hunts Brothers, 1970s
" Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt — oil company executives, investors and brothers — first began purchasing silver in the early 1970s at a price of less than $2 per ounce. The Hunt brothers’ fervor for silver accelerated dramatically following the death of their father in 1974, a Texas oil tycoon known as H.L. Hunt. His passing released a $5 billion fortune to members of the Hunt family.
Fueled by an enormous amount of capital, the Hunt brothers continued stockpiling silver and purchasing silver futures contracts. By early 1979, the price of silver had risen to about $6 per ounce. The Hunt brothers acquired roughly 195 million ounces of silver, about a third of the world’s total supply. They facilitated their silver purchases in part by investing in futures contracts through several brokers, including Bache Halsey Stuart Shields, Prudential-Bache Securities, and Prudential Securities. By December 1979, the market price for silver fluctuated between $20 and $25 per ounce.
Silver had become exorbitantly expensive even for practical uses. Doctors struggled to afford X-ray film for patients, families melted down their heirloom silver flatware, silver burglaries skyrocketed, and Tiffany’s & Co. was forced to drastically raise its jewelry prices. Tiffany’s even took out a full-page ad in the New York Times criticizing the Hunt brothers, writing, “We think it is unconscionable for anyone to hoard several billion, yes billion, dollars’ worth of silver and thus drive the price up so high that others must pay artificially high prices for articles made of silver.”
Silver reached a record high of $48.70 per ounce on Jan. 18, 1980. By some estimates, the Hunt brothers’ entire silver fortune peaked at a value of $10 billion.
Thursday, March 27, 1980
Facing out-of-control silver prices, COMEX (Commodity Exchange, Inc.), a division of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), acted against the Hunt brothers. On Jan. 7, 1980, COMEX introduced Silver Rule 7, which placed heavy restrictions on the purchase of commodities on the margin.
Following its peak price of $48.70 per ounce, silver began its decline and the Hunt family’s silver fortune began to shrink.
On March 27, 1980, known as Silver Thursday, the price of silver dropped 50% in a single day, from $21.62 to $10.80 per ounce. The Hunt brothers failed to meet several margin calls and about $7 billion in paper assets suddenly turned into a $1.7 billion debt.
The sudden price drop threatened to collapse several investment firms and banks. To prevent widespread financial chaos, multiple banks joined together to issue the Hunt brothers a $1.1 billion line of credit..."
The original article: learn.apmex.com
My thoughts: Now you see that one entity can have huge influence on the market. Your once dusty silver mirror can become valuable enough for you to go and find it and clean it and sell it.
One actionable step you can take today is to capitalize on silver's current low valuation. There's clearly a lag between what's happening in the physical market and how that information gets reflected in exchange prices. Interestingly, we've seen noticeable price increases and premiums when buying physical silver, but there hasn’t been much movement in the more liquid instruments like the GLD or SLV ETFs—which, by the way, JPM vaults silver for. This disconnect exists because the market takes time to catch up to reality. What’s your take on this?
More articles:
marketsanity.com
www.justice.gov
www.reuters.com
www.investing.com
seekingalpha.com
investingnews.com
metalsedge.com
www.moneymetals.com
SI - Silver Looks GoldenHow does this look?
Yep, I’m stalking a Long, just like in Gold (check out my latest Gold post).
With the price sitting at the Center-Line, it might drop a bit further to the Shift-Line. Or, it could start climbing today.
For me, this is a "building a position" scenario.
Buy… wait… buy more when the price confirms my projection. Or bail out if it doesn’t.
Trading is so simple...
...but SO HARD §8-)
Happy digging!
How Can You Trade Silver Online?How Can You Trade Silver Online?
Silver’s dual role as an industrial metal and investment asset makes it a fascinating market for traders. Its price volatility, global demand, and diverse trading options offer exciting opportunities for those looking to diversify their strategies. In this article, we’ll explore how to trade silver online, key market drivers, and what makes it such a unique asset.
What Makes Silver an Attractive Asset?
Silver is a unique asset that appeals to traders for several reasons, particularly its dual demand in industrial applications and silver investing for portfolio diversification. While gold is primarily an investment metal, silver is used in electronics, solar panels, and even medicine, equating to steady demand regardless of market conditions. This industrial relevance adds a layer of complexity to its price movements, which offers opportunities for a comprehensive analysis.
The metal is also known for its market volatility. Prices can swing significantly within short periods, creating numerous trading opportunities for those who monitor its fluctuations. Despite this volatility, silver remains highly liquid, meaning traders can buy or sell substantial amounts without causing major disruptions to the market.
For those trading and investing in silver, affordability is a key aspect that sets it apart. With a much lower price than gold, it’s accessible to a broader range of market participants. This affordability allows traders and investors to hold larger positions, which can help with diversification. Lastly, silver has long been seen as a hedge against economic uncertainty, often serving as a so-called safe-haven asset during periods of instability, alongside other precious metals like gold.
Silver Trading Hours
Silver trading operates nearly around the clock, opening at 11:00 pm GMT on Sunday and closing at 10:00 pm GMT on Friday. However, the market closes for short overnight breaks during the week, usually for around an hour each day between 10:00 pm and 11:00 pm GMT. It’s important to note that trading hours may vary depending on a trader’s location, but the market always follows this GMT schedule.
Key Factors That Influence Silver Value
Silver online trading is influenced by a mix of economic, industrial, and geopolitical factors, making it difficult for traders and investors to analyse silver market movements. Recognising these key factors is vital for anyone exploring how to trade silver.
- Supply and Demand Dynamics: The balance between a metal's availability and its demand significantly impacts its value. Industrial applications, such as electronics and solar panels, drive demand, while mining production and recycling affect supply. Disruptions in mining or shifts in industrial needs can lead to price fluctuations.
- Economic Indicators: Inflation rates, interest rates, and overall economic health play crucial roles. During inflationary periods, it often attracts investors seeking to hedge risks, potentially driving up prices. However, higher interest rates designed to quell inflation can make non-yielding assets like silver less appealing.
- Geopolitical Events: Global uncertainties, such as political tensions or conflicts, can increase its appeal as a so-called safe-haven asset, leading to price surges.
- Currency Strength: Since silver is priced in US dollars, its value often moves inversely to the dollar. When the dollar weakens, silver value typically rises, and vice versa.
- Market Speculation: Investor sentiment and speculative trading can lead to rapid price changes. Large trades or shifts in market sentiment can cause significant volatility, affecting the metal’s market value.
Different Ways to Trade Silver Online
When it comes to trading silver online, there are several ways to access the market, each with its own appeal and considerations.
1. Silver CFDs (Contracts for Difference)
Most traders interact with CFDs on silver. CFDs enable traders to trade based on silver's price movements without needing to own the physical asset. They can trade on both rising and falling prices, making CFDs a flexible option. CFDs also offer leverage, offering a way to control larger positions with a smaller initial investment. However, it’s essential to understand the risks, as leverage amplifies both potential returns and losses.
Silver CFD trading is available at FXOpen. Check the real-time chart on the free TickTrader trading platform.
2. Spot Silver Trading
Spot silver trading refers to the buying and selling of silver at its current market price, known as the "spot price," with settlement occurring immediately. Unlike silver futures or options, where traders agree to buy or sell silver at a predetermined price on a future date, spot trading reflects the present value of silver for direct exchange.
3. Silver Futures
Futures are contracts where traders agree to buy or sell silver at a specified price on a future date. They are ideal for those looking to speculate on longer-term trends. Futures require a margin account and involve high leverage, which can lead to significant returns or losses.
4. Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
Silver ETFs provide exposure to the metal without needing to handle the metal physically. These funds are traded on stock exchanges and offer a more traditional investment route. While they’re less volatile than leveraged products like CFDs, they also lack the flexibility of short-term trading.
5. Silver Mining Stocks
Companies that mine silver are often used to invest in silver online, though they can be an indirect trading avenue. While stock prices often correlate with silver, they can also be influenced by other factors, such as a company’s operational performance or management decisions.
Comparing Silver with Other Precious and Industrial Metals
Silver occupies a unique position in the commodities market, bridging the gap between precious metals like gold and industrial commodities such as copper. Understanding these relationships can be an essential part of a silver trading strategy.
Silver vs Gold
Both are precious metals and often serve as so-called safe-haven assets during economic uncertainty. However, silver is more volatile than gold. This increased volatility stems from silver's significant industrial applications, which account for about 50% of its demand, compared to gold's 10%. Consequently, silver's price is more susceptible to fluctuations in industrial demand.
Additionally, accessibility in silver as an investment is important to note, since it’s more abundant and less expensive per ounce than gold.
Silver vs Platinum and Palladium
Platinum and palladium are also precious metals with substantial industrial uses, particularly in automotive catalytic converters. Palladium has seen a surge in demand due to stricter emission standards, leading to higher prices.
Silver, while used in various industries, has a more diversified application base, including electronics, solar panels, and medical devices. This diversification can lead to different demand dynamics compared to platinum and palladium. Moreover, silver's market is larger and more liquid, offering more trading opportunities.
Silver vs Industrial Commodities (e.g., Copper)
Silver shares some characteristics with industrial metals like copper, as both are essential in the manufacturing and technology sectors. However, silver's dual role as an investment asset and industrial commodity sets it apart.
While copper prices are primarily driven by construction and infrastructure developments, silver's price is influenced by both industrial demand and investor sentiment. This duality can lead to unique price movements not typically observed in purely industrial metals.
Silver Correlation with Other Assets
Silver exhibits some interesting correlations with other assets that can help traders better anticipate market movements.
Gold-Silver Correlation
Historically, silver and gold move in tandem due to their shared status as precious metals. However, silver tends to be more volatile, with sharper price swings during market upheavals. This relationship isn’t always consistent—during periods of intense industrial demand or unique market shocks, silver can diverge from gold, making it harder to analyse its market moves. Still, silver is an exciting trading option.
Equity
Silver often reacts inversely to stock market trends. When equities perform well, silver can lose appeal as investors shift to riskier assets. In contrast, during downturns, silver may gain traction as a defensive asset.
US Dollar
Like many commodities, silver has an inverse correlation with the US dollar. When the dollar strengthens, silver prices typically fall, as a stronger dollar makes it more expensive for foreign buyers and vice versa.
Crude Oil
Silver shares an indirect connection with oil prices, as energy costs significantly impact mining and refining processes. Rising oil prices can increase production costs, potentially influencing the silver supply.
Risks of Trading Silver
Silver trading online comes with its own set of risks, tied to its unique characteristics as both a precious metal and an industrial commodity.
- Volatility Risks: Silver is known for its price swings, which can be more pronounced than gold due to its smaller market size. These sharp movements create opportunities but also expose traders to the potential for significant losses, especially if positions aren’t carefully managed.
- Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty: While silver often acts as a so-called safe haven, it may be difficult to analyse its price movements. For example, a strengthening US dollar or unexpected global events can cause sudden price drops, catching traders off guard.
- Market Sentiment: Speculation and emotional trading can also drive silver’s price, leading to rapid and sometimes irrational movements. This requires traders to exercise caution and use risk management strategies, such as position sizing and stop-loss levels.
- Market Liquidity: Although silver is generally liquid, certain market conditions can lead to reduced liquidity, making it challenging to execute trades at desired prices. This can result in slippage and losses.
- Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations, such as margin requirements or trading restrictions, can impact silver markets. For instance, historical events like "Silver Thursday" in 1980 saw regulatory shifts that led to significant market disruptions.
The Bottom Line
Silver’s unique combination of industrial and investment demand, along with its market volatility, makes it an exciting asset for traders. Understanding the factors that influence its price and the different ways to trade it is essential for navigating this dynamic market. If you’re ready to explore silver CFD trading, open an FXOpen account today to access competitive spreads, advanced tools, and a reliable platform for your trading needs.
FAQ
How Can I Trade Silver Online?
Online silver trading can be done through various platforms offering spot markets, futures, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and Contracts for Difference (CFDs). CFDs are particularly popular for online traders, as they allow speculation on silver’s price movements without owning the metal.
Can You Trade Silver in Forex?
The silver code XAG is typically used for trading against the US dollar as the XAG/USD pair. This pairing allows traders to speculate on silver prices relative to the dollar’s strength, combining commodity and currency market dynamics. However, silver can be traded against other currencies, for example, the euro.
Which Pair Correlates With Silver?
Silver (XAG/USD) is most closely correlated with gold (XAU/USD). Both metals often move in similar directions due to their shared status as so-called safe-haven assets, though silver’s industrial demand adds unique price drivers.
What Is the Best Time to Trade Silver?
The best time to trade silver depends on a trader’s trading strategy. However, the most active trading hours for silver are during the overlap between the London and New York sessions, from 1:00 pm to 5:00 pm GMT (winter time) or from 12:00 am to 4:00 pm GMT (summer time). These times offer high liquidity and volatility, creating more opportunities for traders.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-6-25 : Inside BreakawayToday's pre-market RIPPER RALLY somewhat invalidates the "Inside" part of any Inside Breakaway pattern. But, this rally mode in price validates what I've been suggesting for more than 3 weeks now - that the markets would settle after the new year and start to move into a rally phase before the Presidential Inauguration event.
Today's rally in metals and the SPY/QQQ suggests traders are eager to see the Q4:2024 results and are starting to PILE INTO the US equities markets after a very volatile end to 2024.
Even though 2024 was a banner year for the SPY (up over 20% YoY), December was very difficult for many traders. Aren't you glad you listened to my advice and moved to 80-85% CASH back on October 25 and avoided all this chaos?
As we start this week, I want to warn you that trades will be fairly quick in terms of "making up for lost ground". I believe quite a bit of the market's movement will take place overnight and pre-market. We'll still see some trending throughout the US regular trading session - but I believe the bigger moves will take place after hours in most cases.
Remember, foreign capital will be pouring into US assets for safety and security over the next 3-6+ months.
Gold and Silver will act as a hedge against perceived risks and I believe Gold will make a rally attempt above $2800 in early 2025. Silver.. Well, Silver is about to see an explosive move to levels above $35 in my opinion.
Bitcoin is still struggling to break away from this sideways price range. I believe the real struggle will materialize in about 24 to 48 hours as Bitcoin reaches an overlapping consolidation phase (almost like a Flag Apex). This is where I believe big volatility will hit for Bitcoin.
Get some..
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