Strifor || AUDUSD-23/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: We did not see another short-term growth in the Australian dollar , as a result of which we had to abandon this idea, and today it is most likely better to consider this instrument more from the seller’s point of view. The most likely maneuver in favor of the seller will most likely develop from the level of 0.66460 , which will most likely become resistance again (scenario №1) . However, a close above this level, especially on the daily chart, will immediately restore confidence in buying, and selling will have to wait.
Scenario №2 is more conservative, according to which you should look for a sale near the level of 0.67500 , after updating the local maximum.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Silver
Strifor || GBPUSD-23/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Today is quite an interesting day from the point of view of the publication of economic events, and, most likely, there will be volatility in both the European and American sessions . Against this background, it makes sense, based on a number of important technical factors, to begin to consider selling priority for a number of major currency pairs. Among them is the British pound.
It should be noted that this is not a short-term trade, and here we will consider two scenarios. Scenario №1 assumes a fall today, especially against the backdrop of those important economic indicators whose publication we expect today. Scenario №2 is a more conservative, but at the same time less likely, maneuver. In both cases, we consider the target at the level of 1.26500.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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UPDATE: Silver trajectory remains up with target at $37If you place the regression channel you'll see Silver has been on an uptrend for the last few months.
We have had a Reverse Cup and Handle and the price has been above both 20 and 200MA...
So with the Zig Zags, the price will continue to move up until it reaches the first target at around $37.25.
Silver is the second type of safe haven that is common for investors to buy during risky market conditions. Simlar to gold - but is generally on a slower path up.
SILVER (XAGUSD): End of Correction?! 🪙
Silver formed 2 bullish patterns on an hourly time frame
after a correctional movement.
I see a tiny double bottom formation and a falling wedge pattern.
Neckline / trend line of both patterns were broken.
We might see a bullish movement today.
At least to 30.9
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XAGUSD. Weekly trading levels 20 - 24.05.2024Not much has changed on Silver. We were above 10 years ago; there is no data on volumes for such a period. If we go higher, we can clarify the levels in Daily publications.
During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
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SILVER SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
SILVER uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 28.879 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the SILVER pair.
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Strifor || GOLD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: For metals , all our previous targets were hit with a plus, both for gold and silver . If we talk about gold , we are trading near the historical high, which is always a key moment for any instrument. Against this background, it is largely better to refrain from trades and monitor.
Most likely, the metal will try to renew itself to the maximum, but this will most likely require a pause or a preliminary rollback (scenario №1). In case of an unsuccessful breakdown of this maximum, one can count on growth, but closer to the level of 2343.869 (scenario №2).
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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SILVER Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 31.547.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 28.697 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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XAGUSD (Silver) Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaSilver (XAGUSD) has exhibited a robust bullish trend on the daily timeframe. We’re currently seeking a buy opportunity aligning with the trend continuation, assuming price action plays out as per the analysis presented in the video. The video covers essential aspects such as trend analysis, price action, market structure, and a potential trade idea. Remember to manage risk diligently when trading, and note that this information is purely educational and not financial advice. 📈👍
$SLV ETF Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern & Fibonacci ResistanceAMEX:SLV ETF Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern & 50% Fibonacci Resistance. Silver will need to consolidate before it can break higher to the blue line.
The Inverse Head & Shoulders (IHS) pattern is a bullish reversal pattern in technical analysis, typically appearing at the end of a downtrend. It is characterized by three distinct lows:
1. **Left Shoulder:** The initial low formed during the downtrend.
2. **Head:** A lower low, signifying a continuation of the downtrend but also a potential reversal point.
3. **Right Shoulder:** Another low, typically higher than the head, indicating weakening downward pressure.
The neckline of the IHS pattern is a resistance level drawn by connecting the highs between the left shoulder and head, and the head and right shoulder. When the price breaks above this neckline, it confirms the pattern and signals a potential reversal to an uptrend.
Traders often use the IHS pattern in conjunction with Fibonacci retracement levels to determine potential price targets. After the neckline breakout, the price is likely to retrace a portion of the initial move up before continuing higher. Common Fibonacci retracement levels used are 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%.
**Here's how the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern and Fibonacci resistance work together:**
1. **Identify the IHS Pattern:** Locate the left shoulder, head, right shoulder, and neckline on a price chart.
2. **Confirm the Breakout:** Wait for the price to break decisively above the neckline on increasing volume.
3. **Apply Fibonacci Retracement:** Draw Fibonacci retracement levels from the low of the head to the high of the right shoulder.
4. **Set Price Targets:** Look for potential resistance and profit-taking opportunities at the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% retracement levels.
**Key Points:**
* The IHS pattern is a powerful bullish reversal signal.
* Fibonacci retracement levels can help identify potential price targets after the breakout.
* Traders should always combine the IHS pattern with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to improve their trading decisions.
**Disclaimer:** Technical analysis is not a foolproof method for predicting price movements. It's essential to conduct thorough research and consider various factors before making any investment decisions.
What's next for Silver and Gold?OANDA:XAGUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
TVC:DXY
Finally 😎 Silver broke through $30.
So what's next?
Long-term: I would say there is nothing on its way to go for $50. BUT, what would support Silver to go for $50? where's the demand for silver? How would supply change in the coming years? ....
I would say, let's not get ahead of ourselves and focus on what's going on now, then I try to prepare a separate post for the reasons I have for staying bullish on silver in the coming years.
Short-term: As you might have noticed, on 15 May, after the US Fed announced the CPI data, silver started its rally to $30. The recent CPI y/y data came out at the expected level of 3.4% and the CPI m/m was at 0.3% which was lower than the market expectations. So, Fed Chair Jerome Powell continued his recent interviews with a dovish tone which signals that we are very close to a rate cut **. For now, the first rate cut is expected to happen in September.
Long story short, gold and silver are pricing in the rate cuts now as this sentiment pulling DXY down. So, in the short-term , I would like to see Silver between $33.6 - $36.4 and Gold entering the $2580 - $2650 area. In the meantime, DXY can reach to 103. I have highlighted these areas on the chart 😊.
** Watch out for unemployment numbers as the Fed shifts its focus on that. If you are a day trader, you can expect higher volatility around unemployment news than before and you expect this number to have a higher impact on the longer-term trends of DXY.
** Also, keep that in mind, if they want to normalize the 3% inflation rather than 2%, it means we can expect higher levels of interest rates for a longer period of time.
Silver Futures Under Pressure Yet Targets Remain Intact Today'sToday's silver futures are experiencing some pressure, reflecting a challenging day for the precious metal.
Yesterday, there were outflows in the portfolio on June 25 from strikes of 32.5/35. Outflows of funds from the portfolio are partial and did not lead to the liquidation of the portfolio, which indicates the management of the portfolio in a negative scenario, however, they do not cancel the most bullish idea in the medium and long term.
Despite this, the previously set targets based on the significant positions held by informed market participants mostly unchanged. in addition, it is not the first time that extremely aggressive portfolios appear, aiming at the area of 45-50 dollars.
It's a reminder that in the commodities market, short-term fluctuations are often just noise against the backdrop of longer-term trends and targets.
XAGUSD - Long Trade IdeaHello all,
I have a long trade possibility forming on XAGUSD.
Basically, my draw on price is the Relative Equal Highs residing above. My POI for taking a trade is where the BISI 2D is. Since we have a SIBI 2D, we should see lower prices to this POI. If price does not reach my POI before trading higher, I would like to see a clean 2D close above the SIBI 2D. Preferably I see price start to halt and create a consolidation at my POI. What I DON'T want to see if price blast right through it and have a 2D candle close below the BISI.
Silver is lagging behind Gold, so I am using that to back up my bias. Based on my proprietary analysis, price SHOULD go to the current target, if not at my POI, then still soon. Of course, we make allowance for wicks, and I will still hold my POI valid should any 2D candle not close below the BISD 2D and no other SIBI 2D be created, at least without an instant rejection through it in the next 2D candle.
Overall, simple and clean by the looks of it. We can always go to the lower timeframes to refine the narrative and frame some trades.
Have a good weekend!
- R2F
Silver at the top of a channel?Silver has been trading traditional fib longs and and extensions in this big bull runup. However, we are very overextended, trading well in excess of big support over the past two days. We are also at a potential top in terms of it trend channel. The risk of a decline in silver is significant, and unlike gold which gives you a clue on the fifteen minutes charts, silver could simply start falling and keep going. Given the lack of bull fib support, I think this is a good spot to take profit and enter a small short position. There is a good chance that we begin the down leg of silver here.
SILVER - near supporting area? holding or not ??#SILVER.. it was perfect move as per our expectations, and now market near to his weekly supporting area,
that is 31.10 to 31.15 around, keep close that area because it will play key role for next move to any side.
dont be lazy here guys,
good luck
trade wisely
BRIEFING Week #20 : Pay the Price, Receive the Value !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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SILVER (XAGUSD): Massive Breakout 🪙
Silver went up rapidly on Friday,
violating a massive psychological resistance cluster.
With a high probability, the broken structure turned into support.
The market has a nice potential to go higher after a pullback.
Next resistance - 34.0
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