SILVER BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the SILVER pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 28.536 level.
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Silver
XAGUSD - Silver, waiting for the start of the upward trend?!Silver is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. If the decline continues, we can see a support limit. Stabilization of silver above the resistance range will provide us with the path of silver up to the supply zone, where we can sell in that range with a suitable risk reward.
In 2025, it might be wiser to adopt a contrarian approach, as the upcoming year has the potential to be one of the most turbulent, especially in the commodities market. The return of Donald Trump as the President-elect of the United States brings the threat of disrupting global trade flows through the imposition of heavy tariffs on U.S. imports. With a Congress led by Republicans, there seems to be little to restrain him this time. Furthermore, there remains significant uncertainty regarding the economic trajectory of China, the world’s second-largest economy and the biggest buyer of commodities.
Historically, the dollar tends to perform strongly in January and February. Interestingly, last month also saw a 2.6% rise in the DXY index, breaking a seven-year streak of December weakness. This performance suggests that macroeconomic factors and expectations around Trump’s policies were strong enough to counteract the usual seasonal drag. As the year begins with a positive phase for the dollar, any shift in the current narrative sustaining the dollar’s strength through the end of the year would require a significant change in economic dynamics.
The U.S. dollar started 2025 with a slight dip but quickly resumed its upward trend, as the fundamental drivers of the U.S. economy remain intact. The Federal Reserve, adjusting its projections downward, indicated that there might only be two rate cuts in 2024. This stance has further widened the yield gap between the U.S. and other major economies, as central banks in other regions move towards more accommodative monetary policies.
Kugler, a member of the Federal Reserve, recently stated that the U.S. economy ended 2024 in good shape, exhibiting solid growth. He noted that the Federal Reserve is likely to take its time before implementing future rate cuts and sees no urgency in this regard. Meanwhile, questions remain about whether inflationary pressures will continue to persist.
Kugler also highlighted improvements in productivity and labor supply, which have played a key role in strengthening the economy. He emphasized that the labor market still appears stable, with the current unemployment rate remaining at historically low levels. Even as the labor market cools gradually, real wages remain elevated. Overall, while the labor market is slowly losing heat, it continues to demonstrate resilience. Similarly, the disinflation process is steadily progressing at a consistent pace.
SILVER: Potential Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 29.80$
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 29.30$
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BRIEFING Week #1 : Recession in 2025 ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 28.654 level area with our short trade on SILVER which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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SILVER BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅SILVER made a bullish
Rebound from the support
Level below at 28.77$ just
As I predicted in my previous
Analysis but the price has
Retested a horizontal
Resistance level of 29.90$
So we are locally bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade: Learning A or B Trading StylesYesterday, after the GDP Now data hit, I received a number of messages related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and how they work in comparison to big news data (like GDP, JOBS, PMI, & Others).
Let me try to explain one simple thing to all of you.
The SPY Cycle Patterns are based on GANN/Fibonacci Time/Price cycles. They DO NOT correlate or predict price movement based on NEWS EVENTS or other extraneous data.
The SPY Cycle Patterns are, in essence, the core price expectations related to time/price cycles WITHOUT EXTERNAL NEWS EVENTS.
They represent what price is likely to do without any big news, economic data, or critical major event taking place to disrupt the Cycle Pattern.
So, it is important for traders to understand what I call the "A or B" type of trade setup.
Price is always attempting to reach new highs or new lows - ALWAYS.
Failure to reach new highs means price must roll downward and attempt to reach new lows. Failure to reach new lows means price must roll upward and attempt to reach new highs.
It is that simple.
Price is always attempting to break above previous critical highs or lows - ALWAYS.
Thus, once you understand this as a basis of price structure/movement, then you can begin to apply more advanced patterns (Fibonacci Price Theory, Excess Phase Peak Pattern, Others) as an additional layer to price structure in an attempt to understand how price dictates all trending/movement.
Now, one must also understand when price attempts to break levels (high or low), it can REJECT at those level (after breaking to new highs or lows). This is what I call a "Washout" pattern.
Rejection happens when a new low or high is reached, but the price FAILS to continue to trend in that direction. For example, if price were to reach a new higher high, then reject, this would be an example that strong resistance exists at/near the previous high level - causing price to FAIL to maintain that new high price level. Thus, I would expect price to move downward after REJECTING at the new high levels (see above).
The reason I'm trying to teach you these price concepts is because I want you to learn to make better decisions - not learn to just "follow along". You have to learn to understand price and understand how price moves related to opportunities.
That is what trading is all about - anticipating price moves because of what you are able to discover on a price chart.
Get some. Happy Friday.
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Silver- Obvious Head and Shoulder pattern, with great potential!Hi guys, today we are overlooking Silver (XAG/USD) with some great Technical analysis. Currently the overview is on a 1D time frame making this opportunity Mid-Term as to how much time we would expect it to reach it's destination.
Currently as we can see on the chart there has been a perfect formulation of the typical Head and Shoulders pattern. Additionally I would say on a shorter term the overall price has entered and formuilated a Descending Channel, which boost's our confidence in the price action that we are expecting. Additionally we are looking into the fundamentals so we can get the extra confidence in the price action that we are targeting.
Entry: 29.31
Target: 26.60 which is just above the Strong Support Level
Do let me know what you think about this analysis in the comments and what is your overview on this great Precious Metal.
Silver H4 | Rising into overlap resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 29.83 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 30.30 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 28.79 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-2-25 : Inside Pause PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will stall a bit after the overnight reversion move.
If you were following my research, you already knew I was expecting the markets to rally a bit over the past 3-5 trading days. But that didn't happen as the low liquidity end of year trading prompted another downside price event.
In my opinion, this was all due to a lack of market liquidity. When there is very low liquidity, the MMs can move price more easily as the number of buyers and sellers drops (creating a wider price spread). It is also the type of market environment where FLASH CRASH types of events can take place.
Now that we are into early 2025, liquidity will deepen (more active traders) and this will result in a possible reversion event (upward) in price leading to the Inauguration event (IMO).
Just like I've been suggesting over the past 2-3+ weeks.
Gold and Silver are recovering nicely. I believe Gold and Silver will move back towards their recent highs over the next 30+ days.
Bitcoin is still struggling just below $100k, but I believe the ultimate move for Bitcoin will be a retracement to the downside before finding support near $72k and then starting a bigger rally above $120k.
In 2025, I've made a commitment to do more to help more traders. I'm working on new TIMING tools to assist in developing better analysis for everyone. If this research/work plays out well, I'll try to make these new tools available to everyone.
Remember, trading is all about managing capital, expectations, and risks. If you are still struggling with your trading - follow my research and learn how to time/execute better trades.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Silver Short Setup: High-Probability Sell Targeting SSLFollowing the HTF bearish bias, silver is presenting a high-probability short setup. Price has respected both LTF and HTF Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), aligning with the overall downtrend. Additionally, the 30 MA has been decisively broken, adding confluence to the bearish narrative.
Key Points:
- HTF bearish bias confirmed with respect to FVGs on multiple timeframes.
- Price broke below the 30 MA, signaling a shift in momentum.
- High-probability sell setup targeting previous day’s low, where sell-side liquidity resides.
- Equal lows (EQL) observed at the target level, increasing the likelihood of a liquidity sweep.
Trade Idea:
- Entry: Around 29.30 after price confirms rejection from FVGs.
- Target: Sell-side liquidity at 28.78 (previous day’s low).
- Risk: Ensure proper risk management with a stop loss above the FVGs for protection.
- The setup aligns perfectly with ICT principles, leveraging liquidity sweeps and fair value gaps for high-probability entries. As always, DYOR before taking any trades.
DYOR :)
Is silver about to go BONKER!!??Good Day, Fellow traders and followers,
IS SILVER ABOUT TO TO GO BONKERS?!?!?!?
This chart is kind of busy, I don't normally make busy charts, but there is so much going on in this monthly chart. Lets dig in!!
First off, lets start with the price action, it has clearly broken through resistance (blue line). Also, the price action is in a purple cup, that's actually the handle of the GIANT 40 YEAR cup and handle it has been in. The green lines are the support and resistance areas. Also I have added what seems to be a pattern of 50 bars bottom consolidation that does also happen to resemble a Wyckoff a pattern before a break out.
Lets move on to the indicators
RSI - I have drawn in a support band for the silver RSI. IT really likes the 46, 50 to 55 level before a break out. Going below here is either very bearish or the best buy in bull market.
STOCHASTIC RSI - has had a massive cross recently on which chows momentum coming in to this market.
RSI 3 LINES - WOW!! This looks like a serious power play for silver, ever since the RED line crossed down through the GREEN, it found support on the blue and turned right back up in big way!! Also it look like the BLUE could follow suit very soon which would confirm bullish movement for this asset as all the colors would be aligned.
THE LAZY BEAR - This one is kind of a no brainer. Breaking out above and holding the 0 level usually leads to big moves higher!!
ASO (SENTIMENT) - It looks like there is a 50 bar pattern here and within it could be another 12 bar pattern right before a break out.
Please keep in mid every bar is monthly, so what might seem like a small pattern could be a year long.
I want to add, I do believe there is a fairly substantial move coming to silver. I'm not sure where it would be going to0, however I do know that the last true resistance is at aprox $35 usd Getting above that on a monthly level could or should lead to NEW ALLTIME HIGHS in short order well above $50 usd to possibly $70 to $80 before a correction. Any Correction at that point would be considered a buying opportunity !!
Please like and share this chart to all silver lovers!
Also, any questions or comments are welcome down below!!
Kind Regards,
WeAreSat0shi
Silver - Another Textbook Trade For 2025!Silver ( TVC:SILVER ) is again approaching strong support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Silver has now been consolidating for more than 6 months and is slowly but steadily approaching the previous horizontal support. Another retest would perfectly match with the overall bullish trend, the rising channel formation, as well as the fact that Silver will soon catch up with Gold.
Levels to watch: $27.0, $34.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-31: Top PatternHappy New Year Everyone,
Today's pattern is a TOP pattern. This suggests the SPY/QQQ will rally in early trading, attempting to identify a resistance level and then rolling into a TOP type of pattern.
I don't expect the markets to fall much after reaching the top/resistance level. I expect it to be more of a stalling type of price action after reaching resistance.
Gold and Silver will likely attempt to confirm a base/bottom near recent lows. I don't expect too much movement in metals today.
Bitcoin moved below recent support, then rejected back to the upside. If this support fails, Bitcoin will move strongly to the downside over the next few days.
As we move into 2025, capital will start to rush back into the markets in early January. This low-liquidity phase will end near Jan 5 through Jan 8.
Be prepared for price to attempt to revert back into normal 0.5 to 1.25% price ranges - consolidating as liquidity increases in the markets over time.
Remember, the first half of 2025 will be very volatile - so buckle up and get ready for some big price rotation in early 2025.
Get some..
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Bearish hammer on 6M chartI sold all of my AMEX:SILJ last week, which I'd typically wait for the yearly candle to close but it seemed like it was barely holding on by a thread and might not wait the few more days. Then the bottom completely fell out this morning. Whew, close call
The 6M candle looks like death. I'm still very bullish on silver as a LT play but I don't want to be out on the edge of the risk curve while the market pukes. Next major support is around $6.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12/30 : GAP ReversalThis week should resolve as a Momentum Rally in the SPY/QQQ. Yet, I believe price action will be very volatile as we are still transitioning through the holidays.
Overall, I expect the SPY/QQQ to attempt to mount a fairly solid rally this week - possibly attempting to reach new All-Time highs again.
Then, I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into an extended topping pattern over the next 2+ weeks - resulting in a breakdown trend after the Inauguration.
Gold and Silver appear to be trying to base/bottom and we may see a decent rally in metals this week. I hope so because I don't believe Metals should be this low compared to the risk factors throughout the global markets.
Bitcoin is transitioning through an EPP pattern Flag breakdown event. If this continues, I suspect we'll see a downward price move targeting $74k before the end of January 2025.
Remember, my Daily/Weekly Cycle Patterns are designed to help us plan and prepare for market opportunities. No, they are not 100% perfect all the time. But I don't know of anything else that can attempt to accurately identify price trends, setups, events weeks and months into the future.
2025 is going to be a great year for traders. Remember, it is all about what you can do with the information I share to profit from these moves.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold