Silver's Next Big Move: A High-Probability Trade to $34.88!This trade is based on a clean 4-hour FVG (Fair Value Gap) setup. The FVG displaced above a short-term high, confirming a bullish structure shift, and subsequently retraced into a high-probability FVG. This type of retracement often offers strong entries with minimal risk while aligning with the higher timeframe directional bias.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Within the retraced 4-hour FVG.
- Immediate Target: HTF (Higher Timeframe) buyside liquidity at 34.88981.
- Stop Loss: Positioned below the 4-hour FVG to protect against invalidation of the setup.
Conclusion: This setup leverages a textbook ICT concept, utilizing displacement and retracement into a high-probability zone. If the price continues respecting the FVG and bullish structure, the HTF buyside liquidity target at 34.88981 becomes highly achievable.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
Silver
The Anomaly Price Event May Hit Before December 31Just before the US Presidential Elections, I published a detailed research report suggesting the markets may move into a low-liquidity event that could be very dangerous for traders.
My Adaptive Dynamic Learning (AI) predictive modeling system highlighted a range of price volatility just after the election showing a very real downward price event. If this event takes place, we may see the SPY/QQQ fall more than 5.5% while other sectors may fall more than 10.5%.
What is interesting is the post-election rally pushed some SPDR sectors above the upper ADL predicted price range. This means price is now very overbought in terms of expected levels.
Any reversion could prompt a very solid downward price move and catch many traders by surprise.
I'm watching my Crash Index and the XLF & XLRE sectors for any signs of a breakdown.
I suggest all of you move to protect capital as we move into the end of 2024 and prepare for what may become a very violent and volatile Anomaly Price Event.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-05 : Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat-Down pattern may continue the rolling top pattern in my Crash Index - suggesting the markets are consolidating after the post-Election rally phase.
I continue to warn traders this low liquidity market phase will likely prompt some very big volatility in price action between the election and, roughly, January 5-10. Stay cautious.
I believe the markets are starting to revert a bit downward and I believe this is a very healthy move for the markets - especially after the post-election rally phase.
We need the markets to resolve back into a moderation phase before attempting to make another bigger move to the upside. So, watching the markets potential roll over and fall about 3~5% would not surprise me.
Gold and Silver are moving into a fairly strong rally phase. This could be coupled with a moderate US Dollar decline.
Bitcoin rallied above $103k over the past 24 hour - WOW. Buckle up - the Bitcoin crew will be out in force with their memes and other comments.
Remember, play these market moves safely. If you can afford to take the lumps, don't trade too much capital with each trade.
Going to be a very interesting holiday as I believe liquidity will continue to erode and present even more volatility.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-04: Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will run into resistance in early trading and roll downward at some point after reaching resistance.
I see the markets opening much higher this morning as the SPY/QQQ are both broadly rallying overnight.
This type of GAP UP opening often leads to the identification of price resistance and a rollover topping formation where price attempts to trail downward to fill the GAP.
The concept that my SPY Cycle Patterns new this was likely many months before today's price action happens is rather unique. And this is why I love my SPY Cycle Patterns.
The is no other place where you can attempt to clearly see into the future like using my SPY Cycle Patterns.
Gold and Silver are still struggling today - but should attempt to make a rally move higher over the next 5+ trading days. Until we break above the Flag High level, Gold and Silver are trapped in a sideways price range.
Bitcoin is also trapped in a sideways price range after reaching recent highs.
As I warn in this video - be prepared for very unusual price action and events over the next 30+ days. I believe we are about to see some very unusual political and economic events play out.
Keep a healthy CASH reserve and trade small quantities right now. Better to protect cash than to risk it on unknowns right now.
Get some.
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What’s Flowing: XAU/AUD Bullish MomentumKey Observations:
1. Support Levels Hold:
• XAU/AUD has established strong support near 46,800 AUD, forming a base for a potential rebound.
2. Trend Reversal Indications:
• Volume Profile Analysis indicates buyers stepping in around the Point of Control (POC), confirming accumulation in the lower range.
• A breakout above 47,637 AUD highlights bullish momentum gaining strength.
3. Bullish Targets:
• Short-term target: 48,253 AUD, aligning with the Value Area High (VAH).
• Extended target: 50,000 AUD, should momentum sustain.
4. News Flow Insights:
• Positive sentiment in gold markets due to global uncertainties and potential rate adjustments.
• Market talk highlights consistent buying, especially in regions with heightened demand like India and China.
5. Risk Management:
• Stop Loss: Below 46,800 AUD.
• Take Profit: Incrementally at resistance zones (48,253 AUD, 50,000 AUD).
Context:
XAU/AUD reflects a favorable environment for safe-haven assets amidst global market uncertainties. Gold’s bullish seasonal trend adds strength to the outlook.
This is an excellent opportunity for traders and investors seeking upside exposure. Stay tuned for updates!
Metals & Miners Are About To EXPLODE HIGHER (50%-100%+)Please don't miss this opportunity.
I've been studying the metals charts, and last weekend, the SILJ chart caught my attention.
I started looking at longer intervals (Weekly and Monthly) to see what I could find.
XME and SILJ are showing excellent Inverted Excess Phase Peak patterns that may resolve as a breakaway upward price trend over the next 8 to 24+ months - sending both XME and SILJ over 40-50% higher at a minimum.
This sounds crazy, but Metals and Miners are probably the best opportunities for swing position trading right now as hedge investments and/or very long-term options play.
There is nothing else out there that has a 100-200% rally potential and the ability to hedge against global risk factors.
I believe SILJ, XME, Gold, Silver, & Platinum will likely be HUGE WINNERS over the next 12-24+ months.
Get some.
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SILVER: Price Action & Swing Analysis
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the SILVER pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-3: Gap ReversalToday's Gap Reversal pattern in a Counter-Trend mode suggests the SPY & QQQ will experience an opening price GAP - followed by a reversal of trend - possibly to the upside.
I believe we need to watch how the GAP forms at the open to determine if we are likely to see an upward or downward price trend throughout the rest of the day.
My analysis suggests an upside price move is more likely than a downward price move today for the SPY/QQQ.
Gold and Silver appear ready for a liftoff. Silver appears to be attempting to break above the recent high price levels and Gold should follow along.
I believe any Gold and Silver are poised for a big rally phase - but that rally will come when the US Dollar advance stalls and pulls downard a bit.
Bitcoin is still trending in a Flagging formation - setting up the Phase #2 of a Bullish Excess Phase Peak. We need to watch for a breakdown in price - possibly sending BTCUSD down to $80k-$82k.
I urge traders to stay cautious (Still). This is not the time to be aggressive as I still believe the low liquidity in the markets will present a very real risk of a volatility event (the Anomaly Event I keep suggesting is likely).
Remember, if you can't take the lumps, stop and rethink what you are trying to trade.
Get some.
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SILVER Is Going Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 30.989.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 28.202 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SILVER BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
SILVER pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 29.618 area.
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SILVER Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 30.622 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 30.343
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver Moving Up to 37 & 44Weekly chart has a confirmed inverted H/S during the long consolidation from 2020 and 2021 highs, it successfully broke and then tested the neckline at $25.85 and then moved up.
It's possible that 28.3 gets tested if it doesn't hold above the prior wick high at ~30.5.
As long as 28.3 holds, and especially if 25.85 continues to hold, silver should move up to 37 and 44 approximately.
SILVER What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on SILVER and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 30.514 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 30.292
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-2: Tmp Bottom PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to move a bit higher after finding support in early trading.
The one BIG event over the past 5+ trading days is the SPY rallying above the Ultimate High level - breaking into a confirmed Bullish price trend.
This is part of what I'm trying to teach you: the patterns, techniques, thinking, and logic behind my decisions are based on mechanical price structures/processes. Once you understand the structures and price patterns, it is simple to try to understand.
Fibonacci Price Theory teaches you to follow price as the ultimate indicator - measuring and marking ultimate, unique, and standout highs/lows as trigger points.
AnchorBar theory teaches us to watch for breakaway or breakdown bars as precise indications of price trend direction/momentum.
The Excess Phase Peak patterns represent a more nuanced price pattern that can assist us in determining the current "phase" of the markets and how we can expect prices to react to that phase.
If you understand these three concepts, I believe you, as a trader, can unlock any price action and determine what type of trend we are currently in for any symbol/interval and where your opportunity lies for potential trades.
I will continue to delve further into trading and teaching techniques to reinforce these techniques in the future.
Stay cautious as the markets are still struggling to find a post-election trend.
The Anomaly Event is still likely, but the probability of such an event has fallen to about 30-40% overall.
Get Some.
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XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Balances at Key SupportXAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Balances at Key Support
As reflected in the XAG/USD chart, the price of silver this morning is trading near $30.2, just above a critical support zone formed by:
→ The psychological level of $30.00;
→ The lower boundary of the ascending channel. As indicated by the blue arrows, this lower boundary has consistently provided support, enabling bullish reversals in silver prices throughout 2024.
However, the price is currently below the 200-day moving average (MA), which is trending downward. An examination of price action in November reveals a lack of sustained growth following two breaches of the psychological level. As the red arrows illustrate:
→ On the first occasion, the price encountered resistance near $31.50;
→ On the second, it failed to rise above $31.
This could indicate weak demand, increasing the risk of a bearish breakout below the key support zone, potentially breaking the 2024 uptrend.
Meanwhile, analysts remain optimistic, citing strong fundamentals. According to media reports:
→ ANZ Research analysts forecast silver prices reaching $35.4 in 2025;
→ JP Morgan analysts predict silver at $36;
→ Saxo Bank analysts anticipate prices climbing to $40 by 2025.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
BRIEFING Week #48 : Nothing NewHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Silver 4hr Timeframe Silver has risen by 3.90% in just over a day. I anticipate a reaction around the 30.7399–30.8383 zone due to multiple confluences, including a reversal point, a 4-hour order block, the 0.618 Fibonacci level, an ascending trendline from November 13th, and structural factors. This area presents a potential sell opportunity, with a target drop to the 30.2753 level.
Meanwhile, gold is approaching my area of interest, which appears to be another promising sell setup. If both gold and silver align as sell opportunities, it’s a strong indication of market synchronization, increasing the likelihood of this scenario playing out.
Dollar Index Basket
Is now reacting off my area of interest I expect double tap to then move higher
Gold 1hr
my area of interest for gold 2669.412 -2673.545