#Silver taking a short for silver as we hit the top of the fibMy medium term bias is bearish for silver and entering a short at current levels.
Silveranalysis
SILVER (XAGUSD) Great Trading Setup For Today🥈
Hey traders,
After a bearish breakout of a key level on a weekly, I was looking for shorting opportunities on Silver.
Nicely recovering the market reached a strong horizontal structure yesterday.
On 1H time frame, the market formed a head and shoulders pattern.
21.51 - 21.55 is its horizontal neckline.
To short with a confirmation, wait for an hourly candle close below that.
Then sell aggressively or on a retest.
Goals will be:
21.25
21.0
If the price sets a new higher high on 1H, the setup will be invalid.
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Silver trading planhi, this is my Silver trading plan, great buy opportunity will come at 19.20 zone
one could scalp buy but will be high risk as price could push for one more low before reversal.
trade well,
Alex
Silver- False break of support?Since August last year, Silver is trading, more or less, in a range and, excepting, March and April's false break of resistance, the boundaries are pretty clear at 22 and 25.
Last week the price has broken under 22 support, but, considering the quick reversal and retest of now resistance, this can be a false break.
The confirmation comes with the price back above 22 and bulls can target 24 resistance. 23.30 is interim resistance and, as long as the recent low is in place, buy dips can be a good strategy.
SILVER (XAGUSD) The Zone to Watch 🥈
Last week we spotted a confirmed breakout of a major weekly structure on Silver.
Now, as the market is recovering, I am preparing to short.
The zone from where I will look for selling opportunities is based on a confluence between fib retracement levels
and horizontal structure.
Let the price reach 21.8 - 22.2 supply area.
Then wait for a confirmation within to sell.
Your initial target will be 20.7
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SILVER | BULLISH BIASEDSILVER (XAGUSD) - has defined the bottom around 20.45. Since then the price looks in bullish trend as price is making higher highs and higher lows.
Currently, it is flirtering with EMA100 which has been reactive in the past. It has overhead resistance of 23.6% fib level.
If price has successfully break above it, one can build long position as strategy is buy on breakout.
Trade your levels accordingly.
My new silver idea...Based on the Fed's adamant nature on raising rates over the next two meetings, I see weakness in the silver price. But not much more.
I think the Fed pauses and possibly pivots to easing after August when the true nature of the coming recession reveals itself.
Following that I see a rapid rise in the price of silver, in a similar time frame between 2008 and 2011. However I do see silver will retaking $50/oz much quicker than it did the last time.
Then the price of silver is in no man's land and we must base our projects based on measurements of silver compared to other investments or commodities.
SILVER (XAGUSD) Important Breakout🥈
It looks like Silver broke a key weekly demand zone this week.
Weekly candle closes in just 10 hours.
With a high probability, we will see a bearish trend continuation to lower structure levels.
Next demand zone on focus: 18.8 - 19.6 area.
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Get long Silver for the long haul? This chart is a super zoomed-out view of Silver priced in U.S. Dollars going back about 10 years on a Monthly time frame. While I think a very good trade idea could be coming a little later this year (2022), I think the thesis is best illustrated on the longer time frame.
As you can see in the chart, Silver spent about a year and a half consolidating in a range between the high $18 range, to the mid $24 range. I've drawn a rectangle from this time period to the Volume Profile to show that a small value area was formed at these prices.
Since April 18th, Silver has been crushed - it has barely seen an uptick on it's way to declining about -17%. The broader view isn't much better, as it is down -16.5% YoY, and -6.5% YTD. Over that same time, Gold has held up much better and is up +4% YoY and +1.3% YTD. Consequently, the Gold/Silver ratio has been trending upward on a steady incline.
While its possible that the current consolidation range can hold, and Silver can sustain prices above $20 before heading back up, but I think its easier to make the case that Silver is weakening over the near term, and could break its range to the downside.
If you believe that inflation will be a problem for months, if not years to come, metals should eventually rebound and back up to retest the previous highs. A break below $20 would likely push the Gold/Silver ratio higher, and offer a fantastic opportunity to get long Silver. with the potential tailwinds of a dramatic price rise in the near future - both in terms of U.S. Dollars, and Gold.
If the break lower does come to pass, good candidates to enter longs silver positions would be either via Futures, or options in the SLV ETF. I'd also look to put positions on in the Small Exchange's Precious Metals contract SPRE . While this is product would give exposure to the entire precious metals complex, Silver would act as the driver to push it higher.
Silver could reverse from supportSince the 18th Aprile Silver's price has dropped almost in a straight line with a single significant green candle on the 4th of May.
Now the price is trading in the important 22 support zone and we can have a reversal at this point
The first resistance is just above 23 followed by important 24.
Buy dips under 22 can be a good strategy with negation if support falls.
Silver: JumpyWhile bears aren’t normally known to be jumpy, the bears on the silver market have just shown signs of scariness. They must have been so focused on their way downwards that they didn’t realize how close they had already come to the support at $21.98. Although they have shrunken back from this mark, we expect them to pick up courage again quickly – after all, they have been so strong and composed lately. So, the bears should push silver below $21.98 and towards the orange zone between $20.91 and $19.59, where wave iii in orange should end. Then, a countermovement should lead silver back above $21.98, where it should finish wave iv in orange before resuming the overarching downwards movement.
XAGUSD - SILVER - LOOKING FOR THE LONGWe're looking for the LONG in SILVER - XAGUSD
We have hit the 618 retracement of the previous swing ( 15.12.2021 - 08.03.2022)
We are approaching a 1.272 extension of the last minor swing (28.03.2022-08.04.2022)
There is a buying tail now except we have no real evidence of buyers yet.
We could see further decline to 707 or 786. The 786 happens to match up with the 1.618 ext. This would be a great buying area.
Keep your eye on this one...
SILVER (XAGUSD) Correctional Move From Key Level 🥈
Silver reached a strong structure resistance yesterday.
From the underlined blue area we see strong selling pressure.
The price formed a double top formation and broke a support line of a rising wedge pattern on an hourly time frame.
Now I expect a bearish move to 25.37 / 25.02 levels.
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