XAG/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSISOn the monthly and weekly analysis of silver, you can see the price has formed a double top pattern and broke the neckline. I expect the price to decline back to the area where covid started and that will be in confluence with the target of the double top pattern which is the 14.20 area unless any unpredictable events occur in the time being. This is a medium-term analysis so keep in mind prices can move up and down in the short term, rely on a lower time frame analysis for better entry prices.
Silveranalysis
Silver CFD Analyzehello everyone
i think we reach to 38.2% fibo level and also a trendline.
we see two candlestick patterns too.
one bullish engulfing pattern
and one morning star pattern.
so maybe we could grow to 200MA and then correct again.
if you open a position dont forget too set your SL under this trendline
and early bottom u see in chart.
(!!!NOTE!!!
my posts are just my own opinion and you must trade and invest in your own strategy.
be careful and protect your capital first.)
thank you all for your supports
Silver / USD Long Term PositionSilver is in a falling wedge pattern. RSI indicator is in oversold area. Bollinger bands show a trend change because last candles are below the down Bollinger band. It can be inferred that it is time to buy and take a long position.
Target: 25.545
Entry: breakout to the upside from the falling wedge
SILVER (XAGUSD) Key Levels to Watch This Week 🪙
Here is my latest structure analysis for Silver.
Support 1: 18.83 - 19.63 weekly demand area.
Resistance 1: 20.45 - 20.67 daily supply area.
Vertical resistance 1: falling trend line connecting lower highs.
Because the market is trading in a bearish trend,
pay close attention to a contracting confluence zone between the horizontal resistance area and a falling trend line.
From there, I will look for trend-following opportunities.
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Silver can drop to 18.90After the false up break of resistance from late May and the beginning of June, Silver has started to drop again and, last week has finally dropped under important 20.50 support.
Now Silver is trading also under 20usd figure and there is a high probability of down continuation.
Rallies above 20 should be sold with a target of 18.90 support and negation above 20.50
Silver underlying support, wave count, and target of $34+Thanks for viewing,
Big fan of silver as a way to gain leverage over an increasing gold price. So where to we sit currently?
- After a huge (~+150%) run-up From March to mid 2020 (depending on the chart source - some charts (like this one put the local high at Feb '21) silver entered a period of mostly sideways consolidation.
- The goldsilver ratio has swung dramatically, from over 120:1 in March 2020 to a low of 62.5 in Feb '21 and since then has had a mild up-trend and now sits at around 72:1. Of late, silver has performed unfavourably versus gold.
- The US Fed rate (which is updated tomorrow) currently sits at 0.25% - unchanged since March '20 (investing dot com forecasts no change at that next meeting).
- US monthly Inflation numbers (depending on the source) indicates inflation on the rise (fred.stlouisfed.org) Which will mean that low-yielding long-term government debt will stay neutral or below inflation and possibly move to a even greater negative real yield (Presently 1.3% US10y yield less 5% (5% taken from investing dot com) inflation is presently a -3.7% real yield)). If you take the CPI numbers (fred.stlouisfed.org) the real yield is almost exactly ZERO - not negative, but not exactly attractive (and also not protective to the holders in the eventuality of continued rising inflation)
- US Federal debt (on balance sheet anyway - off balance (or "unfunded") sheet debt is around 5 times higher) rose 21% since the start of 2020. I don't think it is a controversial statement to say that this level of debt will be a significant future challenge to service unless interest rates stay depressed medium to long-term and the principal is repaid in significantly depreciated currency).
Ok, there is more, but the general case for silver remains intact and the outlook for gold and silver remains medium to long-term bullish. So, what is next?
I put a possible wave count for silver and some possible support levels. I especially pay attention to areas where a number of different areas of support converge; e.g. peak or trough support, fib extension / retracement levels, trend-line etc. So we seem to have one of those levels approaching with;
- The 0.382 for the full 2020 move seeming to provide strong support,
- Fib extensions almost perfectly hit the 1.618 before bouncing three times now,
- Lower trend-line support isn't too far below current prices at around 23 (this isn't a strong trend-line as there are only two points - but the larger price trend forms a generally symmetrical triangle with around 6 points of contact),
- Seemingly strong level support sits at 23.781 and is coincident with other smaller areas of support,
- I don't expect we will see prices below $24.
The only reason why I don't point to Elliot Wave as indicating a local bottom at the current swing low is that I see another small wave down to end the current correction.
Importantly, I am starting to see some RSI bullish divergence on the 4hrly - which is also evident on the daily chart. I definitely pay attention when the RSI starts to form higher lows while the price heads lower. It's a good time to think about getting in or out - or at least scaling in / out / taking profit. At a minimum it shows a slowing in the price momentum.
So, to continue my Memoirs :) I am not looking to the next Fed rate decision - unless they suddenly hike it to above 3% (which is basically impossible now if the US is ever to service is current (and fast expanding) public debt) - the long-term case for gold and silver remains in place. I posted yesterday that I can see, one of the possible future scenarios being $2140 gold in the near-term (an 18.5% rise) and silver could conservatively be expected to double that % rise which would put it around $34/oz.
Best of luck everyone, and protect those funds.
Current silver XAG resemble BTC 2018 pattern As the points numbered it has some resemblance between BTC and Silver (current price: $25.70) where points 1-5 has already touched an important trendline. To see what will happen to the future price action, we will have to see what is the price reaction at the trendline.
If it hovers around the top of the trendline a quite some time, go LONG when the price tighten and the spread is small seems to be a better probability.
If price get some kind of dramatic reaction especially to the down side of the trendline, expect a CAPITULATION event happening soon. Long term holders will have to place their stop loss lower than $7 mark. Short term holders can place orders around the $12-$9 mark and expect a bull run for 2-5 years afterwards.
Of course the timeframe for BTC is daily and silver is weekly however because BTC moves fast and large enough I consider them to offsetting each other. However if its outside this plan you should know where to place the stop losses with reasonable R:R ratio.
May the best plan wins!!
SILVER (XAGUSD) 2 Scenarios Explained 🪙
Hey traders,
Silver is currently approaching a year's low.
Depending on the reaction of the price to that structure,
I see 2 potential scenarios:
Taking into consideration that the market is trading in a bearish trend,
we will most likely see a breakout attempt 20.46 - 20.66 horizontal support.
Its violation and daily candle close below that will most likely trigger a bearish continuation to 19.72.
If buyers start pushing from the underlined yellow zone,
wait for a bearish breakout of a falling trend line.
Its violation will trigger a bullish move to 21.5 level.
Wait for a breakout and then follow the market!
What do you expect?
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Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
SILVER (XAGUSD) Important Breakout & Bearish Continuation 🪙
Update for Silver.
As you remember, traders, we were preparing for a structure breakout attempt yesterday.
The price easily broke and closed below 20.44 - 20.94 demand area.
The broken structure turned into a supply zone now.
I expect a further bearish continuation to 19.69.
Consider an occasional retest of a broke structure for entries.
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Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Right Angled Descending Broadening WedgeChart Story here is.. from a Ascending broadening wedge the bears took it down.. and there was a great chance that a Bullish divergence would appear.
It did... course went up and so a Descending triangle formation was there to bring the course down again. Because the price then widens a bit on the downside in a sideways move, I consider it a Right Angled Descending Broadening Wedge for now.
Besides this pattern, you could probably also make a W pattern out of it but the characteristic of the Broadening wedge is "often", that after hitting the top or bottom 2 or 3 times the price comes back halfway during a rise or fall and then breaks out.
these scenario's makes it possible to trade them but in times of macro economic uncertainties at the moment, caution is advised at all times. manage your risks at all times.
disclaimer: this is not a financial advise
DeGRAM | SILVER longA couple of weeks ago, we predicted that silver would most likely go down.
Price action went down and tested the support level.
We expect prices to go up since the market is in consolidation.
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SILVER (XAGUSD) Your Detailed Trading Plan 🪙
Hey traders,
Silver is trading in a bearish trend.
After a recent retracement, the market formed a cute head and shoulders pattern on 4H.
21.28 - 21.47 is its neckline.
Wait for 4H candle close below that as your confirmation to sell.
Then open short aggressively or on a retest.
Goals will be 20.93 / 20.7
Good luck!
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
First Majestic Silver Corp - AG | by requestI am flattered to have had a request for a chart. Special thank you to @RocketFuel20 🙂
My view of this chart is that the price action is somewhat inconclusive at the moment. That said, we CAN summarize a theme for which there is evidence to believe that this AG is NOT YET ready to buy:
How does the price behave?
Following a top, we observe from August 2014 - January 2016 :
1. Failed breakout; 2. a subsequent selloff (collapse tbh); 3. a little rally; 4. another subsequent selloff - after which point we develop a bottom and then takeoff with a legit and very attractive breakout.
Notice this series of events takes place over roughly 17 months.
Based on where we are today and the 1 - 4 summary provided above, I think it is reasonable to expect some kind of rally in the short term. Will it be the big attractive breakout? I cannot say for sure, but I remain doubtful based on the historical behavior and the "why", which follows:
Now we can start to ask why , based on what we observe in in the economy today:
Kicking off this post, I mention that the evidence is inconclusive at the moment. To me, $AG is not something I would buy or short, but rather I would wait until we see more of a bottom.
Last, the US is raising interest rates, which means that the US Dollar is likely to gain strength (not so bullish for silver - or any precious metal... or any risk asset really). On that note, when the time comes to buy silver, I think you are better suited to buy in the spot market, as opposed to a company that produces silver to sell on the open market. So for right now, the portfolio management question becomes: would you rather own US Debt securities that are paying a guaranteed risk-free rate of return, or would you rather speculate in silver? I personally would not choose to speculate in silver, based on the data we have in this chart.
Take care.
God bless!
Silver short?Silver reached HTF resistance confluence(blue) and firmed a HUGE head& Shoulders.
After a break of neckline a small H&D is forming a gain, at the retest of the bigger H&D.
High odds for sell.
Like and subscribe.
Note: Manipulation occurred to the downside recently, which is not good for sell positions......
Silver: CircuitousSilver seems to prefer things a bit more complicated, and thus has made a detour back above the mark at $21.25. However, as long as it stays below the resistance at $22.56, we still expect silver to directly continue the descent below $21.25 and into the lower orange zone between $18.78 and $16.88, where the overarching downward movement should end. There is a 38% chance, though, that silver could expand the detour above the resistance at $22.56. In that case, it should rise until the upper edge of the orange strip between $22.74 and $23.46 before resuming the descent.
SILVER on the weekly chart looking great.SILVER weekly chart:
The most manipulated asset in world history
in my opinion and opinion of many other top
economist. Take a look at the price and the
RSI, we have classic Bullish Divergence right now,
which is a higher low on price and higher low
on the RSI...The DeMark 9 indicator is showing
we may be close to the bottom as well. Price
targets and support levels listed.