Silverlong
expecting a big upwards push in silver in the next 2 weeksSilver has ran it's bottom down cycle for now and I am expecting a big upwards move to over 30 in the next week or two. It will depend on gold as silver moves in conjuction with gold if gold stays low, silver will go up but slower. If gold moves fast silver will shoot up.
Silver, a new weekly cycleNow, silver on the week has some interesting going ons behind the shiny curtain. I bet many have heard about the new "commodities cycle". Seems like the whole market is in a new cycle. this obvious cup formation is amazing for people who bought in, i dont know if it will drop below the bottom of the cup. It's to be said that a cup formation is the leading indicator in the start of run ups in markets, so my assumption is with a little patients we will see silver go higher, remember that silver is needed for solar and water purification systems. That should be bullish for physical silver.
XAUUSD SHORT As forecasted!!!!XAUUSD is heading south. I had missed a trade late last night on this pair short. As forecasted on Sunday, Silver is going down. We are coming up to some key traffic areas . Lets see what type of reaction we get before entering. I will be looking for some good continuation patterns. Silver will fill the Daily IMB and Weekly IMB short at some stage. Lets see what the next two days of Price action presents itself. Long positions, I will wait for my key Areas to get hit first and I will wait for some confirmation before entering. CONSISTENCY IS THE KEY TO SUCCESS!!!
SILVER ON THE GLOBAL RISE - LONG Dear viewers, followers, silver lovers, reddit traders, all in one (we are together)
Thank you for taking your time to read the information, that i am sharing with you all for free and backed by available research on internet.
Firstly, i will take the credit of being the early retailer that get into SLV last year in april when prices were hovering around $14, you can go back on my tradingview profile to read that idea.
I understand i will be questioned for this, but i simply am just using publicly available information, my countless hours of study and reading history to back up my idea on SILVER LONG.
Here we go!
Silver has been manipulated both ends, that being said Silver has been manipulated when it was "short" and as well when it was "long". But why?
The answer to that made me dig deep in to silver history from 1980's to 2021.
Silver is globally used in industrial sectors, recently in the last 10 years it became an important element in Automotive and Technology. Jewellery market consumption for silver is relevantly low as Gold is highly consumed in jewellery market, apart then that Gold just sit under a tight vault in banks.
From 1994 (the year i was born), silver reserve metric (q) was around 420,000 MT, in which after 2 years it raised to 1,570,000 MT, a staggering rise in mining sector around mexico, peru, bolivia, china and the rest of total 59 countries that produces silver around the world. America has by far being the biggest importer for silver since 1990's ever since gold standards were lift off by President Nixon.
During the early rise of computer and dot com boom, Silver met a giant rise in year 2000 to 1,860,000 MT and right after 2 years it dropped down to 430,000 MT. Since year 2002, Silver never went back up in reserve above 600,000 MT, which means the last time we ever had a lot of Silver available for consumption was year "2000".
Fast forward today in 2021, Silver reserve has shrunk down to between 570,000 MT to the lowest 400,000 MT. (WHAT DOES THAT MEAN) take a guess!
We have been running short on Silver since year 2004, price remained super cheap for Silver as low we saw $12 per oz in 2020 to the higher of $48 per oz in 2011 during Obama tenure.
Why recently Reddit Community have been pulling strings on going Long on Silver? Because historically it doesn't make any sense for the 15-1 ratio btw SLV & GOLD.
Meanwhile Gold remains all time high at $2075 in 2020 and Silver at $30 (2021)
Why is SILVER CHEAP? when other commodities are expensive?
Take a good guess?
From technical point of view, we have seen strong price manipulation since 1st of february 2021 when reddit pumped in over $230 million of contracts and hit new highs, and right after that it was dumped in the same direction by big banks, it could be JP Morgan or Someone out there leasing silver to private institutions for dumping (aka short squeeze). I HATE THIS GREEDY MOVE but theres nothing we can do about it, they are scared that we are all notbaly understanding the undervalued precious metal. This will EXPOSE everything about everything!
CURRENTLY ONLY 500,000 MILLION OF SILVER IN RESERVE IS AVAILABLE! (SUPPLY CHAIN) was over since 2004, but banks purposely kept the value for silver low (idk) for what BS reason.
The law of supply/demand that was stamped by Buffet in early 90's, Buffet was super big on SLV but until he found timid pressure, he had to sell off his positions. BUFFET WAS BIG SINCE 90'S.
"NUMBERS DON'T LIE" BUT THE BANKS CAN LIE
There's so much i can share about Silver, but i guess for that we will have to keep the conversation private.
Feel free to reach out to me, if you believe in Silver and it has been manipulated!
SILVER LONG
Entry: $25-$26
SL: $23.5-$24
TP1: $30
TP2: $32
TP3: TO THE MOON! ($100-$300) per oz
TP4: WEALTH FORVER (IM SURE YOU KNOW WHAT I MEAN)
Perfect double top in Gold on a monthly basis and cycles are up.We have hit a perfect double top in gold futures at 1767.9 (1767.2 first low in Nov) on a monthly time frame. Cycles are up and selling volume is decreasing. As long as gold doesn't close below 1767.2 this week - it is one of the most bullish assets on the planet right now! However, remember to be cautious because futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
Chart analysisI've made more direct notes on the chart. If the lines on the chart are broken we will see respective turns upwards or downwards. When we meet the cross-sections there will be more volatility. My overall analysis is bullish on longer term but the time estimates unless we see a larger move are in accord to the notes on the chart.
But don't take my word for it, I'm just a TA Noob.
Turn at the bottom of the trend channelFollowing the development of the silver price since the hype some time ago it seems that we now from a technical analysis standpoint are the bottom of a longer term trend channel. From here on out my idea is that we will turn back climbing upwards towards the upper parts of the trend channel.
But hey - I'm just a TA Noob, so don't take me all to serious.
Silver - ready to break out of range?Since reaching $30 and coming back down, XAG has been stuck in a beautiful technical structure. It bounced straight off of the long-term fib at around $26.15 before becoming range bound between the weekly support at around $26.85 and the recent 0.618 level at about $27.75.
Last night after the market opened back up, XAG crashed back down to the long term fib at $26.15 before being bought straight back up. You can see this on the 5m chart (I would post it but TV won't let me with my rep level).
Combined with all the talk of Gold bouncing off its support and starting a new bull run and the general rising trajectory of Silver, I feel like Silver is ready to make a move up into the $28-29 area.
If we do break out past $27.75, $28.27 will probably be where it finds resistance. I would say the best setup if you aren't in already would be to buy on the pullback of this break at $27.75.
Entry: $27.75
TP: $28.76
SL: $27.47 (feel free to go wider as the broken fib level should provide some decent support)
Happy trading!
Blackrock Gold Corp - could this be the breakout ?Blackrok 2 week moving average up from 0.755 to 0.765 with a new high this month at 0.92.
Could this be the breakout from the 6month retracing period ?
Their property in Tonopah West is looking promising as it has seen virtually no exploration they are looking promising and they just increased their exploration budget by 9m.
I've been holding the position since August hoping to see it in green again.
Could this be the point when the tide turns ?
$XAG CFD - Silver can go to 30 and above if it clears 28 hereAs said before and I will say it again, in the past months, Silver's trend and evolution is much clearer than Gold's
As you can see from the chart, after reaching 22 on Thanksgiving week (1765 correspondent in Gold ), Silver has had a clear uptrend.
More, last week's fall in Gold to 1760 has a 26.50 correspondent in Silver , being far from a drop and just a simple and minor correction (22% higher than the recent low).
I expect this divergence to continue, and Silver to be more bullish than Gold also in the future.
My strategy for Silver is buying dips and I expect $28 zone to be broken and accelerate its up-move.
The first resistance is at 30, but this can be easily be broken if we also have a wave of Gold optimism.