Silver is about to rally hard. Just look to history.Its simple really.
If the silver/stocks ratio breaks out, in combination with a breakdown of the gold silver ratio, money inflows from both stocks and precious metals investors flows into silver.
The last time this happened, lead to a strong silver rally.
At the moment, we just need to wait for the gold/silver ratio to breakdown below the green line, then its off to the races for silver.
Silverlong
DXY (Dollar) Intra Day/Week Play - 27/05/2024On the monthly we can see that the dollar is on aan upward trend after breaking outu of it's previous range at 88.528 which has now become a key level of support.
We have seen this extention continue to levels 113.016 and then returned back to create a range between 101.421 (lows) and 107.424 (highs)
Price action is suggested to continue ranging to complete distributiob before heading to the downside to test the POC levels of 99.885 and possibly even further to 94.510 to test the bullish order block which has yet to be mitigated before continuing back on the upward trend.
On the Weekly we can get a clearer picture of this range and noticeably see that supply side liquidity at 106.726 has been swept which futher confirms our assumption that price will continie to the downside to the POC levels at 99.955
On the 4 hour we are able to get an even cleared picture with some assumptions being made that will test the 105.051 levels to form a bearish head and shoulders pattern and then heading down to test support level of 104.043 as part of a change of character, only to retract back to retest previous support at 104.380 and continue to he downside to reach our POI at 102.517.
Taking all these price movements into consideration it is very likely that we'll see the greenback test all these levels to head back int the demand zone area of 100.500 - 102.000 over the coming week.
Let me know what you guys think.
Hope you have a great week ahead.
Happy Trading.
Silver at the top of a channel?Silver has been trading traditional fib longs and and extensions in this big bull runup. However, we are very overextended, trading well in excess of big support over the past two days. We are also at a potential top in terms of it trend channel. The risk of a decline in silver is significant, and unlike gold which gives you a clue on the fifteen minutes charts, silver could simply start falling and keep going. Given the lack of bull fib support, I think this is a good spot to take profit and enter a small short position. There is a good chance that we begin the down leg of silver here.
SILVER TO $750 IN THE NEXT DECADE ?This has to be the biggest Cup & Handle Formation in Human History. Holy Smokes.
Ok, let's dive into the Fundamentals:
1) Industrial Demand: Silver is essential in various high-growth industries such as electronics, solar energy, and medical devices. As technological advancements continue, the demand for silver is expected to increase significantly.
2) Investment Demand: Economic uncertainty, inflation, or financial crises often lead investors to seek precious metals like silver as a safe haven.
3) Supply Constraints: Silver mining production may face challenges due to factors like depleted mines, increased extraction costs, or regulatory changes. Supply shortages can occur if production cannot keep up with demand, which will ultimately lead to a short squeeze.
4) Monetary Policy and Inflation: Central banks' monetary policies, such as maintaining low interest rates or implementing quantitative easing, can weaken currencies.
5) Green Energy Initiatives: The push for renewable energy sources, particularly solar power, relies heavily on silver for photovoltaic cells. As global efforts to combat climate change intensify, the demand for silver in green technologies is likely to rise, boosting its price.
(aka Agenda 2030 - The Great Reset)
What scares me about this chart is that it suggests terrible events are imminent.
The impact of these events cannot yet be measured, but they will be catastrophic for humanity.
Stay Safe and keep stacking as fast as possible, NFA!
CYANE
This little guy is about to rocket 700% minimumThis is a great leveraged silver miner play. I can see this easily doing more than 700% when silver breaks its ATH, which this miner wasn't even around for, so I can say that it can do 1400%. Obviously do your own research, this is NOT financial advice. I also own this miner myself so I put my money where my mouth is...
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Endeavor Silver is about to blast off!This has broken out of two downward trends and Powell is about to be dovish with the dollar and let inflation rip again for Biden to get reelected.
I see a VERY ATTRACTIVE options play right now - Endeavor's May Call contract at $2.50 is .20 right now and the O/I is off the charts. $5 is .05 or $5 a call. If silver blasts off like I think then these guys could rocket past that was they hit $12 in 2011. August is the next options expiration month, and has some high volume, but not as high as May.
I think buying calls here would be a good choice. If you're concerned then brake up your months from May and August. I expect miners and metals to get pummeled this summer when BOJ announces rate CUTS when they implode. I'd diversify into the dollar or USDJPY or USDCNY at that point cause China will devalue their currency after the BOJ cuts rates to negative (to stay competitive).
THIS ISN'T FINANCIAL ADVICE!! I am making a purchase into these securities as well, so I'm putting my money where my mouth is.
🚨🚨🚨Oh boy - Silver is gonna 🚀A TTM Squeeze on the Daily, Weekly and Monthly = a huge move is coming.
I believe Powell will talk about adjusting the acceptable inflation rate in his speech tomorrow from 2% to 4%. He will appear dovish and inflation will rocket in the dollar starting April when the gamma has rolled off the quarter.
I've also been noticing that precious metals are higher priced in China's SGE Exchange and rises in the morning and gets hit down during NY time. This means China is setting the prices of silver and gold and that the FED has lost control of inflation.
In June the FED will end up hiking to 8% and the markets will take a dive. Then a false flag will be used to to justify the FED lowering rates as the dollar TVC:DXY ascends to 120-160. This will explode hyperinflation after the Dollar implodes (2026-2027), just in time for the FED to roll out the CBDC's under social credit scores. Please stock up on freeze dried food, water, ammo and physical silver and gold - and stay away from the cities. There's a good possibility the election will be called off under Martial Law.
I will release a stock pick I think has some peculiarities I noticed that will exponentially skyrocket if this happens. Kinda a lottery ticket. It's not financial advice so beware - and I also will be investing in this stock as well so I'll have skin in the game.
If by any chance the market interprets what Powell says as Hawkishness, like NO interest rate cuts this year FOR SURE, and that they're still targeting 2% inflation rate than all bets are off and precious metals will sell off before some summer event that causes the FED to cut rates (the false flag attack). Either way, precious metals will be the canary in the coalmine to watch going forward.
Gold Shines in Emerging Markets, While Silver Seeks RefugeThe recent economic landscape has painted a fascinating picture for precious metals. Gold has emerged as a champion for investors in economies with developing currencies, like the Turkish Lira (TRY), Indian Rupee (INR), and Chinese Yuan (CNY). Conversely, silver seems to be finding favor as a store of value in more established economies with mature currencies, like the Euro (EUR). Understanding the economic forces behind this divergence can provide valuable insights for investors.
Emerging Market Reliance on Gold
For emerging economies, gold has historically served as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. As these economies experience higher inflation rates and potentially weaker currencies compared to their mature counterparts, the allure of gold's perceived stability grows.
• Inflation Hedge: When inflation erodes the purchasing power of local currencies, gold's historical tendency to maintain its value becomes especially attractive. Investors in these markets can turn to gold to preserve their wealth.
• Currency Devaluation Shield: A weakening local currency can make imports more expensive and hinder economic growth. Gold, on the other hand, is often seen as a global currency, offering a sense of security against fluctuations in the domestic currency.
• Safe Haven Appeal: Emerging economies can be more prone to political and economic instability. Gold's reputation as a safe-haven asset provides a sense of security during turbulent times.
Silver's Appeal in Mature Economies
While gold thrives in emerging markets, silver seems to be resonating with investors in mature economies for different reasons:
• Industrial Applications: Silver's extensive use in industrial applications, particularly in the green energy sector with solar panels and electric vehicles, makes its price more susceptible to economic growth. As mature economies tend to be more stable and have a higher potential for sustained growth, silver can benefit from this positive economic outlook.
• Lower Barrier to Entry: Compared to gold, silver has a lower price point. This makes it a more accessible investment option for a wider range of investors in established economies, where wealth distribution may be more even.
• Hedging Against Stock Market Volatility: While not as traditional a safe haven as gold, silver can offer some protection against stock market downturns. Its price often exhibits a positive correlation with the stock market during periods of economic growth, but it can also hold its value or even rise slightly during market corrections.
The Interplay Between Currencies and Precious Metals
The strength of a country's currency can also influence investor preferences for precious metals.
• Strong Dollar, Weaker Silver: A strong U.S. dollar (USD) can make dollar-denominated assets like silver cheaper for investors holding other currencies. This can potentially lead to increased demand for silver in economies with weaker currencies.
• Euro's Stability, Silver's Holding Power: The Eurozone, though facing its own economic challenges, offers a more stable currency environment compared to some emerging markets. This stability could make silver an attractive option for investors seeking long-term value storage without the volatility associated with emerging market currencies.
Investing Considerations
Gold's recent performance in emerging markets and silver's traction in mature economies highlight the importance of considering the interplay between economic conditions, currency fluctuations, and investor preferences.
• Diversification: Including both gold and silver in a portfolio can provide diversification, offering protection against different economic scenarios.
• Long-Term Outlook: Both gold and silver have a history of holding their value over time. Investors should consider their investment horizon and risk tolerance when deciding how much of their portfolio to allocate to these precious metals.
• Economic Context: Understanding the specific economic climate, both globally and within the investor's own country, can be crucial for determining which precious metal may be a more suitable investment choice.
The ongoing dance between gold and silver in the context of emerging and mature markets presents a dynamic and ever-evolving investment landscape. By staying informed about economic trends and understanding the drivers behind investor preferences, individuals can make informed decisions about incorporating these precious metals into their portfolios.
Up to 207% gains in SilverSilver has given a strong impulsive break out from the long term trendline resistance after long accumulation phase.
Big volume candles since July 2023 confirm healthy accumulation by strong hands.
Currently price is in Primary Wave 3 which can end somewhere near 66 level. A potential gain of 135% by end of this year.
Wave 5 target is around 87-88 levels which can be achieved by the end of 2026. Around 207% gains from CMP within 3 years.
Do your own due diligence before taking any action.
Peace!!
Don’t Miss Out: Capitalize on the 2024 Precious Metals RallyOur in-depth analysis throughout 2024 has consistently identified a strong upside for precious metals. This aligns perfectly with the predictions outlined in our Annual Letter 2024, where we highlighted a significant rally for gold and silver. Current market trends indicate this uptrend will hold until April 22nd, 2024. While a temporary correction may follow, our research suggests a renewed surge for precious metals beyond that date.
The volatile nature of the metals and commodities market can make navigating it a challenge. Here’s where market timing expertise comes in. Through in-depth analysis of market trends and historical data, our team can identify potential entry and exit points for precious metals like gold and silver.
SILVER Seeks Support at $22.00 Amidst Rate Cut ExpectationsOn Monday, silver experienced a sharp downturn, revisiting the $22.00 mark, reflecting a more than 2.5% decrease from its previous close. Market participants swiftly adjusted their expectations of early rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), leading to a substantial sell-off in the white metal.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the current price is positioned in a crucial support area around $22.00. This zone is fortified by a dynamic trendline, historically supportive of price rebounds. Additionally, the 78.6% Fibonacci level acts as a potential discount area, offering a foundation for the price to find support. The Stochastic indicator remains in oversold conditions, signaling the potential for a rebound. Anticipating a recovery, our outlook targets a return to $24.50 and $26.00 in extension.
Economic Landscape:
Turning to economic news, the CME Fedwatch tool suggests that investors are now eyeing a potential interest rate cut in May. This shift in sentiment is attributed to persistent price pressures driven by robust household spending and favorable labor market conditions. The upcoming focus of the week will be on the release of United States Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data scheduled for Thursday. A positive GDP reading would reinforce the narrative of 'higher interest rates,' aligning with the Fed's cautious approach towards premature rate cuts.
Outlook:
As silver grapples with the $22.00 support, the interplay of technical factors and market sentiment becomes crucial. The dynamic trendline and Fibonacci support offer a potential springboard for a price rebound. However, the economic landscape, particularly the GDP data release, will significantly influence the metal's trajectory. Traders are advised to closely monitor developments to navigate potential price fluctuations in the coming days.
Conclusion:
The silver market finds itself at a critical juncture, seeking support at $22.00 amid shifting expectations of Fed rate cuts. Technical indicators suggest the potential for a rebound, yet the economic data release later in the week will undoubtedly play a pivotal role in determining silver's path. Traders should exercise caution, staying adaptable to evolving market dynamics as they unfold throughout the week.
Our preference
Long positions Above Support Area $20 with targets at 24.50 & 26 in extension.
Inflation, and the coming SILVER PRICE EXPLOSION! As central banks around the world are losing their grip on baskets full of fiat currencies, real, tangible commodities like Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium are going to make an incredible run. There are three metals related to monetary systems throughout history: gold, silver and copper. So far we've seen gold pull ahead in the running, but soon silver will running it down with veracity!
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
Silver Fails At Top of Range . . . Now what?Silver: Daily Fibs and Indicators: Silver has a bull fib objective that takes it to 28.86, a massive move. It held it's 61.8% line in October 23 and was on it's way until December 23 when it stopped at the high of it's daily range. We traded down early in the year, only to test that high again htis past week. And, we are selling off of it again. We can't trust gold to go higher if Silver doesn't make a new high here. Silver lost it's embedded reading of the past 4 days. Big test for silver is 24.21, the BB midpoint, and the bull fibs from lows. that 23.55 level was resistance and the fact that it's the 61.8% line and support could be very key to support here. IMO, that would be a good place be a buyer for silver.