Is silver going to $26 per ounce? Maybe. In our preceding discussion on silver, we delved into the dynamics of supply and demand, highlighting the deficit in supply compared to demand throughout 2022. In addition to that, we talked about how this opportunity, coupled with some other factors, could present an interesting opportunity to go long silver. Since then, the price of silver rose from around $22.50 to more than $25 just a few days ago. Currently, one troy ounce of silver trades around $24.85. We continue to be bullish on silver and pay close attention to the area between $24.55 and $24.64. If silver manages to defend this area and ideally hold above it, it will be bullish. But if it fails and drops below its 20-day SMA near $23.90, it will prompt us to secure profits. At the moment, our price target of $26 stays in place.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of XAGUSD. The yellow arrow indicates a bullish breakout from the downward-sloping channel.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bullish
Weekly time frame = Bullish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
Silvermining
First Majestic: Shy…While First Majestic had actually already made it to the upper edge of the turquoise zone between $6.89 and $12.36, it has shied away and drawn back again until the retracement at 61.80%. Thus, we still give it some time to finish wave 2 in turquoise – although it could also continue the ascent from here. As soon as wave 2 in turquoise is completed, First Majestic should indeed move upwards, heading for the resistance at $19.41. However, there is also a 40% chance that First Majestic could slip through the turquoise zone and drop below the support at $5.30. In that case, it should extend the downwards movement until $2.91.
First Majestic Silver AG - Rare OpportunityFirst Majestic silver along with the rest of the mining stocks have been pummeled the last few weeks.. or months..er I mean years. It is my strong opinion that a rare opportunity has opened up in many of these stocks - historical.
These monthly candles really help depict the birds eye view necessary to spot the larger patterns and trend. AG has been forming a large wedge for many years and broke out a few years ago.. Price is now on the launchpad. It might be a slow rocket getting off the ground but it has a tremendous amount of fuel.
First Majestic: Refinishing…Like an artist with their painting, a craftsperson with their handiwork or a cook with their most exquisite dish, First Majestic seems not yet ready to let go of its work in the turquoise zone between $12.36 and $6.89 and apparently wants to add a finishing touch. Thus, it has arched back downwards and could aim for completing wave 2 in turquoise a bit deeper still in the turquoise zone. As soon as the current downwards movement is concluded, though, First Majestic should turn upwards and head for the resistance at $19.41. However, there is a remarkable 45% chance that First Majestic could break through the bottom of the turquoise zone and drop below the support at $5.30, which would then trigger further downwards movement.
Pan American Silver: Low 🎤 🎧She hit the floor (she hit the floor)
Next thing you know
Shawty got low, low, low, low, low, low, low, low…
“Shawty”, in this case, is Pan American Silver, which is shaking its “big booty” in its “apple bottom jeans” to the beat of Flo Rida’s song Low and is progressing deeper into the blue zone between $21.88 and $13.94. It has not (yet) “hit the floor” but could of course use the blue zone until the bottom to finish wave (ii) in blue. Afterwards, though, Pan American Silver should take off, heading for the resistance at $40.11. However, there is a 38% chance that Pan American Silver could get too low and thus drop below the support at $10.61, which would then trigger further downwards movement below the next mark at $5.38.
Silver Bullet Mines Major AchievementSilver has been beaten down and is pairings to bounce higher given rampant inflation and global economic strain. Both silver and copper are critical to industries including things like solar panel manufacturing for silver and electrical vehicle manufacturing for copper.
Silver Bullet Mines just announced it has successfully produced its first silver concentrate yesterday 7/12/2022at its wholly owned 125 metric ton per day mill near Globe, AZ.
They expect to produce copper from their Buckeye mine as well and have experienced no major setbacks, positioned now to achieve further milestones and increase production.
Both the mill and the Buckeye Mine are 100% controlled by SBMI.
Incredible opportunity at an incredible entry point with an ultra low cap early stage mining company.
Pan American Silver: Exciting!The tension is building! Pan American Silver is getting closer to the middle of the blue zone between $21.88 and $13.94, where it should ideally complete wave (ii) in blue. As soon as this is done, Pan American Silver should turn around and move upwards, heading for the resistance at $40.11. A 38% chance remains, though, that the price could drop through the blue zone and below the support at $10.61, thus initiating further descent below the next support at $5.38.
$XAGUSD - WallStreetBets Push Silver - Here's The Mining Co'sA list of Mining Companies to watch to tomorrow if the price of silver continues to soar.
We're close to making a recent high but far from making the all time high set back in 2011 at nearly $50 and right now we're near $30. It takes a lot to push up the price of silver but physically demanding it might do just that. So watch these Mining Companies during the Stock Echange Hours. I know I'm going to Jump on GPL and probably Furtuna, just because I've had luck with them before :)
Good Luck and Good Trading
SSVR.C - Undervalued silver play, bonanza drilling intercepts!SSVRC has reported bonanza silver grades of 3,760 g/t over 2.5 m and is an absolute bargain at $60M mkt cap / 51M float compared to peers. The drilling program has been expanded to 12,500 m and we should be seeing more results reported soon. Strong management group with history of discoveries. Fully funded for 2020. Trading in historical support zone and getting close to oversold area on the Daily chart.
KGC- Gold/Silver mining play (Industry)As usual, demand for Gold mining stocks has risen with the ore rally. Mining stock such as KGC has outperformed major gold/silver mining ETFs and completely obliterated gold/silver ETFS since March.
It is a higher risk and higher reward play for investors who want to ride the gold/silver trend.
EV/EBITDA TTM, Price/cash flow TTM and many other valuation ratio indicate that KGC are undervalued compared to its peers.
AUN Aurcana sets up for a very powerful move !!!Looks like Aurcana is ready for a big move !
Breakout on RSI.
On balance volume shooting up.
Volume growing exponentially.
Bullish hammer on the monthly chart.
Resistance at 0.68 has been overcome today by a 25% move. Backtesting at the moment.
AUN has been a laggard in recent times (maybe because of some debt on balance sheet).
With silver jumping above 20 dollars there could be some relief ...
Watch this closely in the followin weeks !
Mining on The Run - GPL Looks Good AgainI invested in GPL as it was an essential mining company for precious metals. Considering the price of precious metals are skyrocketing, so are the mining companies stocks. Great Panther silver has recently turned from a down trend to an uptrend. Just waiting on a retest of a trendline or a fib level before I sell some indecisive stocks and place them on GPL.
Discovery Metals - Great Silver Explorer to WatchBreakout of the $0.7 resistance signaling the continuation of the uptrend.
Pitchfork levels work perfectly with this configuration.
Gold Miners - SPX500 Ratio: Opportunity of a LifetimeAs you should know, ratios are measured from 0-1. The Gold mining sector hit its all-time high in 1984, registering a 0.9 on the ratio.
An individual company can go to zero, but an entire sector like metals cannot unless humanity gets wiped out. The mining sector is the closest to zero it has ever been. The last time it was this low was when gold bottomed in the year 2000 and the ratio bottomed at 0.03. Currently, the ratio sits at 0.025. I couldn't figure out how to make tradingview show additional decimals. In 2011 the ratio hit 0.2. That move from 0.03 to 0.2 from 2000-2011 was a roaring bull market in metals.
In the next chart, I'm going to publish, you will see that not only is the gold mining sector the cheapest it has ever been versus the US stock market, it is also the cheapest it has ever been versus the price of gold itself. For those paying attention, the opportunity in precious metals is right now.
A lot of investors right now are suggesting to sit on cash in preparation to buy a crash. In my opinion, the cash you should be sitting on is metals, not dollars. The mining sector is a long-term hold in my eyes. I also see intermediate profit opportunities in swing trading the metals in the 6-12 month TF.
Bullish Reversal PatternThe fundamentals look good for Fortuna, and I'm bullish on silver long term anyways. I think I'll be using this stock to invest in silver and profit from rising prices. If this reverse head and shoulders plays out, we could see 60-75% profit. I am not long yet however as I am waiting for a convincing break above the neckline, and a retest of the top of it.
Overlooked silver explorer-developer with no debtGolden Minerlas Company ($AUMN)
This is a Delaware corporation based in Golden, Colorado. The Company is primarily focused on advancing its El Quevar silver property in Argentina, as well as acquiring and advancing mining properties in Mexico, Nevada and Argentina.
The following is not investment advice, but simply captures my personal observations:
The market seems to have completely forgotten the stock; The most recent seeking alpha articles date back from 2014, for example. Current valuation reflects this, with a face-ripping 99% drawdown from its peak.
Management, however, has invested in expanding the resource base during the depth of the PM bear market, and now just entered in a new JV agreement with the potential to broaden their resource base even further (see: www.marketwatch.com)
That news seems to have sparked a break-out.
Now we see this breakout being backtested. I don't see increased volume, and I suspect silver bugs are mostly overlooking this stock still. Its marketcap is tiny at only 30M, so it won't take much to start making waves and get noticed....