Simple
Trade/Market review for 6/26/24Great day today although maybe not the best conditions depending how you trade. I was able to catch a second chance entry for an Anty setup. Although price did not follow through with the trend, I caught the second leg of the attempted continuation.
Price trailed up above yesterdays high and then came to a swift collapse back down below followed by a repeated attempt to break yesterdays high again but failing to do so.
Price continues to bounce between yesterdays high and low.
Narrative Analysis and Market Insights | EU & EJ - 09 June, 2024Join me as I dive into my daily analysis routine, conducted every evening before the market opens. I'll show you how I decide whether to trade or stay out of the market the following day. My strategy revolves around trading just two currency pairs, and I'm excited to share my insights with you. Stay tuned for regular updates and trading tips.
BTCUSD simple analysis: bearish to bullishChart reached 70.25k and went bearish, staying in a state of sideways. This sideways form a triangle which broke below. Watching USD strength, there's a great chance that bitcoin will get even weaker making a bearish trend, but for safety, I don't recommend on selling. D1 timeframe shows that tuesday haves high chance to finish bullish, so if bearish happens, it may only be a bearish shadow and candle may transform to bullish at the end of the day.
Hope to recieve boost!
This follows up my D1 plan, fifth wave of Elliot Wave.
Trade wise 👍.
BTC simple analysis: Volume correctionElliot Wave on recent bearish trend finished. High volume candles where left behind. Waiting for volume correction.
Chart bounced on 300% E.W. fibo. . Fibo is between 2 and 4 peaks of E.W.
Expecting to reach at least, cloose to the top of closest H volume candle.
BTC simple analysis: box retestChart finished a bearish Elliot Wave and now can u-turn. Since it didn't complete full volume correction, it can go directly to 338% of E.W. fibonacci.
Fibonacci is between 2 and 4 of E.W.
The boxes are from an hour that was five times repited from a previous HH (or LL).
Retest can finish without hitting the box.
Sidenote: I have two boxes and don't know which on chart will go, but it will still go up so there shouldn't be any problem.
BTC simple analysis: Elliot Wave fifth waveElliot Wave has been settled in D1 time frame. Waiting for fifth wave to finish on 300% of E.W. fibonacci.
Fibonacci is between 2 and 4 peak of E.W.
USD should become strong or BTC become weak, which, I believe it's what's going to happen.
SL behind 1 peak.
there's a chance that wednesday finish bearish.
Note: Trade wise 👍
think cold.
BTC simple analysis: box retestChart finished a bearish Elliot Wave and now can u-turn. Since it didn't complete full volume correction, it can go directly to 338% of E.W. fibonacci.
Fibonacci is between 2 and 4 of E.W.
The boxes are from an hour that was five times repited from a previous HH (or LL).
Retest can finish without hitting the box.
Sidenote: I have two boxes and don't know which on chart will go, but it will still go up so there shouldn't be any problem.
BTC simple analysis: Wave reversalChart made a simple u−turn toward a midle low peak of a HH peak.
Big waves (w−z) still ongoing. Even so, I'll start selling now to take the first bearish wave.
Fibonacci is on a LL and midle HH. This is a strong fibonacci support if chart bounce on the 100% level once so then it reaches 288% or even 461%. I'm using it for reversal prediction.
SPY simple chart analysis: following previous post ideaElliot Wave finished forming the A of ABC correction just on the fourth wave of giant minor E.W. D1 t.f.. Two sets of abcde waves finished and builded a complete smaller abc correction, giving open doors for a bullish momentum.
Trend still can continue until 300% of E.W. fibonacci.
fibonacci is between the 0 and 2 of E.W., starting from 50% instead of 0.
It already passed atractive channel giving opportunity for sideways.
Note: I sugest to not take this trade if you are starting it😋.
USDCAD bullish limitABC correction of recent downtrend in progress. Current bullishtrend should reach at least 37.6k.
A from ABC correction hits double top. This is for better structure.
Triangles show resistance and weaknesses of chart progression. The current triangle should be repelling it, making chart go more directly toward objective.
The w to z waves are to identify a relative impulse. It is just for guide.
EURUSD simple short analysisHH peak settled on H1, make first cup pattern (reaching 200% zone of reversed head and shoulders), completed a rational two (to three) wave sets of abcde, and, if chart wants to complete a tripple peak pattern hitting a diagonal resistance, it can even complete the triangle showing end of accumulation and start of distribution, breaking the zones below, reaching 400% of the volume balance/cup pattern.
it can take time to reach that low, though, because it can go down but then go up. So, cloose SL when op. is on profit.
BTC simple chart analysis: price limitAfter seven bullish minor waves in H4 t.f., later on chart reached 65.5k with a HH shadow that hits 300% of previous candle putting fibo. inside of it, on coordinates 64500 and 64k. The red parallel channel shows where chart feel atracted. Combining this aspects I can assume chart will go bearish for the moment. Later on, it should reach 57k at least, completing volume correction. Then, it can go up if corrections are needed.
BTC simple trading strategy for scalpers using H4Finished bullish Elliot Wave. Sideways should take half of bullishtrend, top of recent bearishtrend, create weak bullish candles or pass resistance and crash down.
Can form a triangle pattern. If not, it can do a cup pattern.
tip: use a to e waves to know sideways structure end. You can start it from lowest peak and set two more for structure understanding.
sideways should take around 25 candles but can reach lower if waves are small and shadows are big. Nothing changes if reaches more.
VOLUME INDICATORS, PART 2. SEVEN COMMON VOLUME INDICATORS.Understanding Volume Indicators:
Volume indicators are essential tools for traders and analysts, providing insights into market activity and sentiment. In this guide, we'll explore seven common volume indicators and how you can use them to enhance your trading strategies.
1. Volume
Volume is the simplest volume indicator, representing the total number of shares or contracts traded over a specific period. It's like the crowd size at a Super Bowl game—when the stadium is packed and roaring, it indicates a lot of interest and activity. Similarly, high trading volume suggests significant buying or selling activity in the market. Traders often use volume to confirm the strength of price movements and identify potential trends.
Volume, the bedrock of volume analysis, represents the total number of shares or contracts traded over a specific period. Common parameter values range from 20 to 50 periods for short-term analysis and 100 to 200 periods for long-term trends. Remember, volume precedes price movements, so significant changes can hint at impending shifts in direction.
2. On-Balance Volume (OBV)
On-Balance Volume (OBV) adds a cumulative total of volume when the price closes up and subtracts it when the price closes down. It's akin to keeping score of how loud each team's fans are cheering during the Super Bowl game. If one team's supporters get louder as the game progresses, it suggests growing momentum for that team. Likewise, OBV helps traders gauge buying and selling pressure, providing insights into potential price movements. A rising OBV indicates bullish momentum, while a falling OBV suggests bearish sentiment.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) tracks cumulative volume based on price movements. Set your period length typically between 14 to 20 periods for optimal results. A rising OBV confirms bullish trends, while a falling OBV suggests bearish sentiment. Divergences between OBV and price often foreshadow reversals.
3. Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D Line)
The Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D Line) combines price and volume to show how much of a security is being accumulated or distributed. It's like a tug-of-war between the two teams during halftime at the Super Bowl. The team with more supporters pulling harder gains ground. Similarly, the A/D Line measures the battle between buyers and sellers. If it's trending upwards, it suggests that accumulation (buying) is outweighing distribution (selling), indicating potential upward price movement.
The Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D Line) gauges the flow of funds into or out of a security. Optimal period lengths range from 14 to 30 periods. Rising A/D Line values signal accumulation and potential price appreciation, while declining values indicate distribution and possible downturns.
4. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) measures the flow of money into or out of a security based on both price and volume. It's akin to checking the enthusiasm of the fans after each touchdown at the Super Bowl. If the fans are still hyped and buying team merchandise, it suggests sustained enthusiasm and support. CMF helps traders assess the strength of buying or selling pressure. A positive CMF suggests buying pressure, while a negative CMF indicates selling pressure.
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) measures buying and selling pressure relative to price movements. Common period lengths vary from 10 to 30 periods. Positive CMF values indicate buying pressure, while negative values suggest selling pressure. Look for divergences between CMF and price for early reversal signals.
5. Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) calculates the average price a security has traded at throughout the day, weighted by volume. It's like a buffet at a Super Bowl party where each dish is labeled with the average popularity rating from all the guests. The more popular dishes have a higher average rating. Similarly, VWAP gives traders a sense of the average price level where most trading activity has occurred. Traders use VWAP to assess whether their trades were executed at favorable prices relative to the day's average.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) calculates the average price weighted by volume. Period lengths typically range from 20 to 50 periods. VWAP acts as a dynamic support or resistance level, guiding traders on optimal entry and exit points. Monitor deviations from VWAP to identify potential trend shifts.
6. Money Flow Index (MFI)
The Money Flow Index (MFI) measures the rate at which money is flowing into or out of a security based on both price and volume. It's akin to fans at the Super Bowl game exchanging team merchandise and tickets. The more transactions happening, the more money is flowing between fans. MFI helps traders gauge market sentiment. A high MFI suggests strong buying pressure, while a low MFI indicates selling pressure. Traders often look for divergences between MFI and price movements to anticipate potential reversals.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) evaluates the rate of money flow into or out of a security. Optimal period lengths usually range from 10 to 20 periods. High MFI values indicate overbought conditions, while low values suggest oversold conditions. Watch for divergences between MFI and price for reversal signals.
7. Volume Rate of Change (VROC)
Volume Rate of Change (VROC) measures the rate of change in volume over a specific period, showing whether volume is increasing or decreasing rapidly. It's like measuring the acceleration or deceleration of the crowd's excitement level during different parts of the Super Bowl game. If the crowd gets louder and louder as the game progresses, it indicates increasing excitement and momentum. Similarly, a rising VROC suggests increasing buying or selling activity, while a falling VROC suggests waning activity.
Volume Rate of Change (VROC) measures the rate of change in volume over a specific period. Common period lengths vary from 10 to 20 periods. Rising VROC values signify increasing volume momentum, indicating potential price continuation. Falling values may precede price reversals.
GME and VOLUME? Let's go back and see GME on the Weekly
In conclusion, volume indicators provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential price movements. By understanding and incorporating these indicators into your trading strategy, you can make more informed decisions and improve your overall trading performance.
REMEMBER, no one indicator on it's own tells you much, but a lot of different indicators all telling you the same thing at the same area... pay attention to that kind of confirmation.
Hope this helps!!
I've linked PART 1, 10 COMMON INDICATORS.
This post is all Volume related.
You can go in depth with all of these, I don't find it necessary for most traders, but the option is there, however, you'll need someone more advanced than myself to help you through that.
EURNZD - Keep It Simple 📊Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Daily: Left Chart
EURNZD has been hovering inside a big range and it is currently approaching the upper bound of the range acting as a resistance zone.
On 1H: Right Chart
📈 For the bears to take over, we need a momentum candle close below the neckline highlighted in gray.
📉 Meanwhile, EURNZD would be bullish short-term and can still trade higher inside the daily resistance.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
AUDUSDI have analyzed the AUDUSD market and noticed a significant increase due to recent news. The US dollar has weakened, causing the Australian dollar to rise in value, particularly in regards to gold. This is because the Australian dollar is closely linked to gold, and we can expect further growth. It's advisable to wait for a price correction to the support level before entering into a purchase deal. Good luck!
BTC - Market Structure 101 📚 Keeping It SimpleHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📊 I find the BTC H1 chart interesting as it has been respecting the market structure cleanly inside the rising channel recently.
📈 As the price approaches the lower bound of the channel, the bulls are taking control for an impulse after breaking above the last high in blue and the 21 EMA.
📉 Conversely , as the price nears the upper bound of the channel, the bears take charge for a correction after breaking below the last low in green and the 21 EMA.
Today, BTC rejected the upper bound and broke below the green low and 21 EMA, signaling that the bears are currently in control.
📉 The bears are expected to maintain control, and we anticipate a movement towards the lower bound of the channel.
📈 However , a shift in momentum could occur if the bulls regain control by breaking above the red channel and reaching 38,100. In such a scenario, we would anticipate a bullish continuation towards the upper bound of the rising channel.
What are your thoughts? Do you believe BTC will continue to adhere to this simple market structure?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr