BTC/USD - Bull Market/Bear Market CycleApart from a few deviations, BTC/USD is still following its 731/730 day Bull Market/Bear Market Cycle.
After the next 6 Month Candle which starts July 2025, we may see an even crazier new ATH or we may start early into the inevitable 1 1/2 to 2 year downtrend before the next major BTC Bull-run, which according to this chart, should start around July 2027.
Be on the lookout for a new Descending Triangle Pattern on this one Month chart, this normally leads to a 48% breakdown drop from the bottom of the Descending Triangle Pattern as can be seen previously on this chart.
The 6 Month Chart:
Sine Wave
Gold: Watch for Selling OpportunitiesGold remains under pressure around the 3100 level, where previous trapped buyers are creating significant selling pressure. The heavier resistance zone lies between 3127–3146, so if you’re holding long positions, don’t be greedy — this is a crucial area to watch!
Tomorrow during the U.S. session, we’re expecting major economic data and headlines. The market will likely see high volatility, and instead of a clear one-way trend, there’s a higher chance of a two-way sweep (both up and down).
Trading Advice for Tomorrow:
Avoid chasing price or getting caught in emotional trades.
Control your position size — even if you end up holding during turbulence, a small and managed position won’t hurt you. You might even come out profitable.
But if you enter with full margin and no risk control, the result could be heavy losses or even blowing your account. This is my honest advice!
During the Asian and European sessions, the technical outlook favors short positions. Consider selling around the 3103–3123 zone, with support levels at:
3078 / 3066 / 3051 / 3027 / 3011
I will release updated strategies for the U.S. session tomorrow based on key data releases. Stay tuned and feel free to reach out if you have any questions.
Good luck and trade safe!
HAG Long: A trade based on the current geopolitical climateHENSOLDT AG ( HAG ) continues to respect its long-term ascending channel, with price action now testing multi-year resistance. Heightened geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US, EU, and Russia, coincide with recent upward momentum. Historically, international conflicts have bolstered defence equities, and the current macro backdrop remains consistent with that theme.
A sustained breakout above resistance could signal a shift in market expectations, while the underlying trend reflects the broader geopolitical landscape. Ironically, the chart represents the doomsday clock better than the clock itself. The irony doesn't end there, for global peace lies below the support for this stock. As soon as supporters of this stock take their hands off the wheel, peace inches closer. Bears on defence stocks bring peace. 🏝️
For now, it's time to be a bull. Probably.
More Selloff potential It is possible that the market may selloff starting at 1.25732 approx. So Im a seller there with a stop at 1.27. Its highly likely that the market wont touch that level in my opinion. The same price "frequency" that caused the low at 1.21 will be the same frequency that produces resistance at 1.25732. The repeat pattern (inverted) from feb 5th 2024 low to march 8th high and the downswing from July 13th to august 25th combined provides the expected action to play out at 1.25732. I am a seller for now. Will it get there? Only TIME will tell.
Large Bearish idea for current Bitcoin cycle.On the Daily chart very noticeable Double Top ~$107k. Certainly, short term move towards 93k. Afterwards probably the decision to make that will change the outlook of the next 1-2 years.
$85-86k could mean as first support. Then with the break of it, reaching low 70s and high $60s (~530 day downtrend will be near complete). If it were to continue tumble close to $55k (which I don't think it will), I am personally not going to hasitate for a long time to grab as much as I possibly can.
I'm convinced we'll be more than alright after this big Bear Trend.
Bitcoin 61548 correction cycle ends Bitcoin 61548 correction cycle ends
And it reaches a price that must start a new cycle of climbing or correction
It has a target of 65623 to 65952 in 1 and 4 hours.
On the other hand, there is another target in the daily time of 53498
We have to see what will happen, whether we have a bullish candle or a correction
My opinion is more on the upside, after the upper target is hit, the correction should start
On the other hand, we have a daily target of 88,500, although this is weaker than the rest of the targets, but it cannot be ignored.
You have to see what they do
Is Kaspa ($KAS) About to Repeat History?Is Kaspa ( CRYPTOCAP:KAS ) About to Repeat History?
Looking at Kaspa’s price action, we are approaching a key bottom based on its power law model. Historically, Kaspa has followed its own unique cycles, with the -50% deviation from the power law providing ultimate buy opportunities. These moments are rare, and we are currently hovering around that critical zone, signaling a potentially high reward entry point.
While past cycles weren’t always perfectly aligned, the bottom signals have consistently been amazing buy zones. If Kaspa continues to follow its power law trend, this could be a golden opportunity for those looking to enter at a strategic price.
Does the news even matter, or should we simply wait for Kaspa to grow in USD value over time?
With Kaspa’s cyclical nature, it seems that patience could pay off massively. The power law has proven to be a reliable guide so far, and right now, we may be witnessing another rare buying window.
Key Points:
Approaching a -50% deviation from Kaspa’s power law: Historically rare and highly profitable
buy zone.
Kaspa follows its own cycles, and we may be at another cyclical bottom.
The risk-to-reward ratio in this area could be massive if history repeats itself.
What do you think—will Kaspa follow its power law and surge, or are we in for a new pattern?
📉💥 Ultimate buying opportunity?
#Kaspa #KAS #Crypto #PowerLaw #Cycles
Gold? I see long and big shortThis is an experimental model, if this was accurately impressive then it should reach those levels and you know that market is most likely manipulated and controlled
To predict the market you need a frequency domain analysis rather than time domain analysis with some trigonometric functions
DISCLAIMER : Idk anything about the result of this model and indeed i'm not responsible of any investment you made since this was not an investment or financial advice
Will Bitcoin bonce off the Power Law trend this time?After each halving event in the past bitcoin price tend to come back to the blue "buy zone".
Currently bitcoin price toched the 15 year long Power Law trend (green line).
It is the perfect line to bounce off. However, if we analyze the previous 3 halving events we will see that the blue zone was hit each time after halving. In the current cycle this means that the price may come in below 50k zone, but not for very long time.
The lower wave band is corrently at about 40k level.
Let's see the outcome.
Bitcoin and Global LiquidityWhenever global liquidity increases, this liquidity increase fuels Bitcoin and supports Bitcoin's rise. This pattern has been continuing in the form of a sine wave since 2009. Global liquidity falls at certain times and rises at certain times. Since 2011, global liquidity has been rising in a low-speed trend, exceeding the previous peak each time it rose. Global liquidity, which last peaked in 2022, returned to a slow increase at the beginning of 2023. I think there is currently at least a 100% gap for this rise to be completed. I think Bitcoin will also rise as this gap is filled. I think it is essential for at least a long-term cryptocurrency investor to follow global liquidity closely. While this global liquidity is not meaningful to explain the SP500 or Nasdaq indexes, it appears to be in full correlation with Bitcoin.
Sine Curves and NasdaqSharing a quick chart art analysis of sine curves over the Nasdaq.
If this kind of pattern continues, we should see the start of a sideways move over to the second half of the sine curve after which, the move to the top continues. If the pattern holds true, we can expect a retracement in the 40% to 30% range sometime in an 18 month timeline.
Short and BTFD on the transition across during the Summer
Long in the Autumn for the final leg up
Note that the first two sine curves complete on a 2 year schedule and are part of a similar inflation regime. This current sine curve looks set to extend to 4 years with significant inflationary attributes.
I think this is interesting because it is not a click bate doom scenario nor is it a full guns blazing BTFD scenario.
Anyhoo... it's chart art. Take it for what it is.