BTCUSD Hurst Cycles intradayBTCUSD Hurst Cycles intraday
Using method phasing analysis it give us at jan 11, 16:00 utc -3 an posible low of 5 Day cycle
Sine Wave
spx 12-15 [evening update\ alternative]good evening,
what a week right?
got an alternative setup right here
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take a look at this pitchfork pull from ath
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it does seem like we're attempting to back-test it from above, after a successful break-out.
some bullish divergence is present.
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take a look at the us dollar,
which is playing out a 4th wave right now,
of the 5 wave sequence to the downside
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could it be possible that we're still in a wave 4 of the 5 wave sequence?
yep, it is possible - just less probable than the top being in locally.
it would be quite outrageous if we did end up expanding up to 4300 into the end of this year,
so expect the unexpected.
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downside target on this smaller e.f at 3860~3840.
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dxy, 12-12 updategood evenin',
wasn't too long ago when i called the top on the dxy.
all the dxy bull bro's were like, no way man its going to go up forever.
>okkk boomer, 😏
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so here's my take on what comes next.
theorizing a bit into the future here-
idea goes like: we correct down in 3 waves, then put in an equal sized leg to the upside into the 120~130 region in
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original post:
o' man o' man.if i'm right about this, so many people are going to so devastated.
most market participants are already completely and utterly distraught,
this rally could just simply set them over the edge.
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i'm theorizing a full blown rally in the months ahead, right into april \ may.
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russel200 expanded flat target sits right a the 1.75 algo, which is roughly at $2392
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please don't treat this as financial advice.
consult your financial advisor before making any decisions in this market.
btc 12-7 [bull plan b]gm.
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gotta make this post real quick due to this overnight structure.
before you read any further, go look at one of my old posts via:
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that is what i think could precisely be at play ☝
basically one more low to catch some stops,
then massive spring phase.
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not sure which one the market is going to initiate,
but i know for sure that we gotta be ready for both.
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ps. i'm going live at noon eastern time, swing by for more info.
btc 11-26 updategm
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i've been trying to figure out a way to finish the count at 13\14k, but the structure just simply will not let me.
so i'm proposing an expanded w5 to finish the count between 11~7k.
that might seem low to some people, but when you zoom out - it's just a little ripple in the ocean.
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the final capitulation phase in crypto generally see's the hash-rate crash through the ground,
the weaker btc miners go insolvent,
and most of the major players who were not prepared for this \ who were over-leveraged, simply just fall off the grid.
it can be easily avoided,
by not being in the market at this time.
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ps. i could be wrong about the bear case - so refer to the bull case if you're on the other side.
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and if you've made it this far,
just know that it's always darkest before dawn.
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Spx500 Bear Case.Good evening,
This post is part of a series of requests i recently received.
The request was: "What is your bearish projection on the US stonk market".
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Talked about this one recently via:
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My estimated top for the Spx500 = $4080~$4742.
High probability target = $4164.50.
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My estimated bottom on this one is roughly between $3550~2576.50
High probability target = $3233.25
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oil 11-24 update.good evening,
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remember in my last oil post when i called the top?
there was some really salty humans in the comment section who were most likely bag holders from the absolute peak of the bull run.
this is an update for them.
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last post:
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i feel like oil has entered into a quatervois here, which is basically "crossroad" in french.
currently seeing two potential trajectories:
1.
-oil runs up to 100ish through an expanded flat (green targets most probable, grey are weak, and red is unlikely, but always possible).
-after which, a swift downturn to my $57 target from the original post.
2.
-oil simply see's a dead-cat bounce, creates another hidden bearish divergence, and rolls over yet again - continuing it's bearish trajectory to my original target.
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all paths lead down there, potentially even deeper - but the question as always is: which path's it gonna take?
ps. no offense to all the people who talk smack on my posts, you're always welcome if you have a proper argument.
just keep in mind, "fundamentals, is not a proper argument".
Russel2000 Bear Case.Good evening,
This post is part of a series of requests i recently received.
The request was: "What is your bearish projection on the US stonk market".
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The russel2000, if I'm not mistaken -
has thousands of small-cap stocks within it,
here's my bearish projection for it.
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My estimated top for the russel2000 = $1876 ~ $2392
High probability target = $2036
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My estimated bottom on this one is roughly between $1527 ~ $1163
High probability target = $1324
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NYSE Index Bear Case.Good evening,
This post is part of a series of requests i recently received.
The request was: "What is your bearish projection on the US stonk market".
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Some may ask,
what is the NYSE Index?
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The NYSE Composite is a stock market index covering all common stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange,
including American depositary receipts, real estate investment trusts, tracking stocks, and foreign listings.
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My estimated top for the New York Stock Exchange Index sits at $15,546 ~ $18,545
High probability target = $16,600
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My estimated bottom on this one is roughly between $12,293 ~ $10,064
High probability target = $11,319
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Nasdaq Bear Case.Good evening,
This post is part of a series of requests i recently received.
The request was: "What is your bearish projection on the US stonk market".
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Well, this right here is my primary bear case for the Nasdaq. Keep in mind, this is just a single bear case from my perspective; there's always many different potential outcomes, and it's my duty to discover them, and share them with you - the trader.
>Just because you are seeing this picture here today, does not mean this is what will happen .
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Tuesday November 29th 2022 ~ December 21st 2022 = my calculated top for the Nasdaq.
Estimated to sit between $13,016 ~ $15,308.
High probability target = $13,697.
ps. if money rotates, or a proper catalyst appears, nasdaq could squeeze up to some of the higher targets on my chart to create a regular or expanded flat.
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Friday May 12th 2023 ~ Tuesday October 24th 2023 = my calculated bottom.
Estimated to sit between $9449 ~ $7361.
High probability target = $8085.
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Let's learn about flats.good evening,
in preparation for my next few bear posts,
i'd like to talk about the three different types of flats in the markets.
the main reason why i'm bringing this up right now,
is because the USA Indexes are displaying all three of these patterns currently,
so it's important to familiarize yourself with these fractals, for future references.
feel free to share this with your peoples if you find it helpful.
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regular flats :
• A corrective 3 waves move labelled as ABC
• Subdivision of wave A and B is in 3 waves
• Subdivision of wave C is in 5 waves impulse / diagonal
• Subdivision of wave A and B can be in any corrective 3 waves structure including zigzag, flat, double three, triple three
• Wave B terminates near the start of wave A
• Wave C generally terminates slightly beyond the end of wave A
• Wave C needs to have momentum divergence
Fibonacci Ratio Relationship
• Wave B = 90% of wave A
• Wave C = 61.8%, 100%, or 123.6% of wave AB
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expanded flats
• A corrective 3 waves move labelled as ABC
• Subdivision of wave A and B is in 3 waves
• Subdivision of wave C is in 5 waves impulse / diagonal
• Subdivision of wave A and B can be in any corrective 3 waves structure including zigzag, flat, double three, triple three
• Wave B of the 3-3-5 pattern terminates beyond the starting level of wave A
• Wave C ends substantially beyond the ending level of wave A
• Wave C needs to have momentum divergence
Fibonacci Ratio Relationship
• Wave B = 123.6% of wave A
• Wave C = 123.6% – 161.8% of wave AB
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running flats
• A corrective 3 waves move labelled as ABC
• Subdivision of wave A and B is in 3 waves
• Subdivision of wave C is in 5 waves impulse / diagonal
• Subdivision of wave A and B can be in any corrective 3 waves structure including zigzag, flat, double three, triple three
• Wave B of the 3-3-5 pattern terminates substantially beyond the starting level of wave A as in an expanded flat
• Wave C fails travel the full distance, falling short of the level where wave A ended
• Wave C needs to have momentum divergence
Fibonacci Ratio Relationship
• Wave B = 123.6% of wave A
• Wave C = 61.8% – 100% of wave AB
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-- full credit to elliottwaveforecast for all of these guidelines
Bitcoin 4th Cycle AnalysisIn 2020 I made my first lines in the chart.
They were not just scribbles. I projected where BTC could be based on what I had gathered and the fundamentals I understood at the time.
Two years later it seems to be relevant and I cleaned it up a little.
Please leave you thought or share it if you find it interesting.
When It Might EndUsing Projection, Sine Line, Gann 192 day time cycle, my educated "guess" is this virus will peak around August 2020 with approximately 3.7 million U.S. cases and start to decline until bottoming out in Feburary 2021. Squeeze Momentum Indicator by Lazy Bear showing 2nd wave of infection.
SPX will go down this week thanks to JP PowellOver a billion shares are short as inflation pressures are true. I personally think it will go up in the long term remember this is not financial advice.
BTCUSDTPERPThis is not sure for 80 % and do your search before you enter in this position and you can do with your money whatever you want to do dont forget to follow me. Go with 0X leverage and the stop loss is less than 2% so if this trade loss we will nit less so much but if this trade going right we will take so much
LITUSDT I saw two bearish harmonics patterns a butterfly and an anti-butterfly. These two patterns coincide with the current Elliot Wave counts going through wave B of the corrective ABC phase. As per Wolfe Wave pattern, the TP is at 1.210 but this will only happen if the price will bounce above 0.972 which will make a 5th wave extension. Please note that every time a harmonic pattern TP is reached expect a reaction or pullback that may happen so make sure to secure your gains if ever you have considered my analysis.
Obvious&Typical Foot-of-God patternObvi && typical *foot of god pattern* unfolding. Looks like he’s punting some pink pingballs balls, Will he shank the punt?
Stay tuned.
This idea is NOT endorsed by Nike even though it looks like the actual original Jordan’s
#23
#Bulls
#volatilitySQUEEZE
#NOASS (combo of Nikes and MOASS but it backfired and sounds like I’m describing your gf)
UPDATED Fibonacci and Sinewave Prediction So here's the latest update on my wacky idea that uses Sinewave and Fibonacci indicators to try predict the future chart movements.
Will it work? No idea but for some reason, I seem to think this could be somethiong or at least the start to something that would lead us somewhere insightful.
Guys, any input on this idea would be appreciated.
Updated on Fibonacci with Sineline Intersect Guys... the more I keep playing with this idea the more it seems to be telling me that this is something awesome.
Can anyone confirm that Im on some kind of right track with this idea?
My idea of BTC LONGMy idea of BTC LONG
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My idea of BTC LONG
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My idea of BTC LONG
Will it keep going down? BTCI have a feeling this won't end the way we imagine just yet. We are waiting for the flip and we are hoping for no death cross. All I see is in the long run those with strong hands will be rewarded.
