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Sinewaves

Here is intraday swing forecast for GOLD, heading towards 2300As we expected in 2023, we know any limited supply commodities will lead to an All Time High caused by FEDs monetary policy When we combine with Gann Method on how he predict everything, we know it will really happens for sure. Now we can see that GOLD and BTC will reach All Time High as soon as possible Watch the time and date we have mentioned in the analysis, time will control as swing reversal while price will control market behavior. While yellow line in Gann Fan act as fair value slope, so price will be back on that yellow line before it change its direction
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Chartwatcher1996
BTC : 5Day MACD Fib WavesBitcoin Bitstamp 5Day moving average convergence/divergence and fibonacci-based primary and secondary sine wave structures established from historical MACD positive and negative momentum. The MACD is displayed using the standard fast and slow lengths of 12 and 26, respectively. Signal smoothing length is the standard value of 9. For visual clarity, the signal line is not displayed... but I have left in the colored fill between the MACD line and signal line, so you can still see where the signal line would be. Also included is the colored fill between the MACD and zero line. The wave structure template used in this idea is roughly relative to a standard fibonacci channel, using the following levels : 0, 0.214, 0.236, 0.50, 0.764, 0.786, and 1.00. The primary fib wave template is displayed using solid lines. The positions of the upper and lower bounds of the wave structure are established using the March/April 2021 high, and the June/July 2022 low. The horizontal positioning of the wave structure is established using the March/April MACD high for the lowest wave value. The highest value of the 1.00 wave (amplitude), as well as its' wavelength, is established using the 0.50 midline level interactions...but more on that soon. Note, while the build and placement of the fib wave structures mimic a standard fib channel, it is not exact. Looking closely, you'll notice that the midline isn't exactly in the middle of the 0 and 1.00 wavelines. The structure compresses towards the bottom, thus it is not vertically symmetrical. Either way, these fib wave levels surely line up with the MACD rather impressively. Also of note, by applying a horizontal fibonacci channel using the lowest values of the 0 and 1.00 wave levels, and adding 0.35, 0.382, 0.618, and 0.65 to the existing levels, one can see interesting interactions between the MACD and these horizontal levels. Returning to the primary wave structure... we can see some very interesting interactions between the MACD and the waves. Here we look at the pink/blue wave levels : And here, we look at the 0.50 green midline : These midline interactions were used in creating the amplitude and wavelength of the entire wave structure. By looking at all the interactions, I believe that it is fair to assume that interactions similar to these could occur in the future when the MACD reaches the various levels of this fibonacci wave structure. Ok. So what if, in the future, the MACD reaches beyond the upper and lower bounds of the fibonacci wave structure? My first thought was to just extend the current wave structure by adding more levels above and below the existing structure : This could indeed be useful. But, when I looked at the current structure, and then looked at historical MACD values before 2017, I concluded that this structure doesn't necessarily apply to that data. If I were to predict future MACD action beyond this structure, especially a massive logarithmic rise/drop similar to what happened at the end of 2020/beginning of 2021, I would need to think about this completely different, and find a another method... one outside of simply adding more levels above and below the existing structure. What did I find? Let's return to the midline interactions that we looked at earlier. We see the MACD hits the green midline and reverses 3 times before breaking through the it, and then the MACD rises to the white 1.00 fib wave level. I realize the following might be reaching a bit far, but, what if this particular MACD behavior pattern occurs again in the future? If the possibility of this occurring again exists, is there any existing MACD data that I can use to form an entirely new fib wave structure? A new structure that when placed properly, allows this behavior pattern to occur once again? Here is what I found. I can place a brand new wave on the chart, one with a larger wavelength, and a much larger amplitude. I can modify its' wavelength, amplitude, and position, so that it mimics the midline of the existing wave structure, but on a larger scale. Take a look... here it is, displayed with a dashed line : Now I ask, is it possible to estimate the other levels of this new structure using this waveline and any existing MACD data? Here is what I found : Is this stretching a bit too far? Maybe. But, I think that this way of thinking is what is necessary to imagine what the MACD may look like in the future if there is a massive logarithmic swing in either direction. And of course, because this new fib wave structure is built using less data than the previous structure, and involves more estimation, it is likely to be less accurate as well. So, if all of this possibly plays out, what would the MACD look like if it did reach these types of levels? Well, using an unpublished pinescript indicator that I wrote, I can give you an idea of what it would look like... If you take all of the existing MACD data, offset it horizontally to the right by 500, and then multiply the values by 4.20, you get this : Awesome, right?!?! Interestingly, this projection also fits the initial fib wave extensions that I used in one of the previous images above. Take a look : So, in conclusion, this is how I created the main chart of this idea. I tried to include my logic and reasoning behind it. Is this useful? I think so. Naturally it depends on several factors such as whether you agree with the logic and conclusions of this idea, whether you use the MACD to help you trade, the timeframes of your trades, as well as your trading style. If anything, I think this chart is definitely worth looking at every now and then, especially when the MACD gets close to the various levels. Regarding sine waves, I have found some other waves that can be applied to the MACD that could prove useful. I refer to them as sub-waves. These are not placed within a unifying fib structure... they are individual waves, each with different amplitudes and wavelengths. All sub-waves : I think that these sub-waves can be useful at levels in between the fib wave levels of the two main structures, and overall help add to the validity of the notion of using sine waves in conjunction with an MACD while trading. Finally, here is a bonus 5Day MACD fib grid image... Thank you for checking out my idea. I hope it makes you look at sine waves, fibs, and the MACD differently. Please give it a boost if you liked it, and feel free to comment. //Durbtrade
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Durbtrade
BTC Geometric Price and Time projectionThis chart looks at a 200-day dominant cycle of BTC (current DC is actually 185 days peak to peak represented int he Gann Box). Based on this analysis with geometry and gann boxes at the 185-day dominant cycle length, I see a price for BTC at 39K by October. I think this is a very conservative target. That said the geometry of it all cannot be ignored. The 0.25 and 2.5 shows up in multiple places with a perfect 0.33 on the 0.25 Gann Box representing the price axis bringing completion of peak to peak at 185-200 day cycle around 39,000 - 40,000. I could also see a flash dump in the next day or two down to 29,600, but that is the bottom. BTC has moved sideways for the majority of its declining cycle strength which tells me it has strength. Long story short I would not be trading this market and accumulating for the longer-term is probably the best move.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by pasenner23
BTC/USD - Cycle Patterns and the next Crypto Bull-runUsing Sine-waves, we can clearly see that BTC/USD has followed a Cycle Pattern of 8-Bars so around 1461 days to achieve a new maximum ATH Candles before a cycle back downwards. Note that each half cycle is between 730-731 days. If this cycle pattern is correct, we can expect the next maximum BTC ALL TIME HIGH to be achieved anywhere around the 6 Month Candle starting on Tuesday 1st July 2025 before a cycle back downwards. I have added Fib Re-tracement Levels so you can see that BTC needs to CLOSE this 6 month Candle ABOVE the 0.236 Fib level at $16,256. Note that I am talking about a NEW maximum ATH before a cycle back to the downside. As an example, you can see from Monday 1st July 2019 to Thursday 1st July 2021 multiple ATHs can be achieved and broken so i am talking about the next maximum ATH before a cycle back to the downside. So according to this Cycle Pattern, technically the next Crypto Bull-run should start anywhere on the 6 Month Candle that starts at Saturday 1st July 2023. But one thing we should factor in is that the world is already in a Recession and possibly heading into a depression. So the next Crypto Bull-run could start later as it has on other cycle pivots. So technically it could also start anywhere on the 6 Month Candle starting Monday 1st January 2024. As a worst case scenario, and depending on how bad inflation gets then we could end up seeing a full 8-Bar cycle to July 2025 that is downwards. Again this is all my opinion so I hope this chart is helpful to your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
2
Fundamentals versus Technical Analysis - Part OneMany people believe that fundamentals are responsible for causing the price to move up and down. This traditional view couldn't be further from the truth. Fundamentals are in fact just a story, a narrative. Let me explain. In the chart you can see 3 price rises represented by 3 arrows. The fundamentals whether in the financial times, Twiitter, Forbes, NBC, YouTube, Facebook e.t.c would tell you that the price rise was due to: Whales heavily invested in this crypto on those days. Or that they trillions of crypto were burnt on those days, or that Binance and other platforms decided to list that crypto coin on those days. e.t.c These are some examples of fundamentals Fundamentals have NO bearing on up or down price movement. See Part 2 to understand why....
by NewtonsWave
3
Technical Analysis - The Truth - Part 2Imagine you are a detective. You arrive on the crime scene and find a body surrounded by blood at the bottom of some stairs. The suspect says the victim accidently stabbed himself whilst he fell down the stairs. The story seems credible. However, the Technical Analysis (the data) tells a different story. It shows that the victim was first poisoned. Then stabbed in the back. Then the body was dragged to the bottom of the stairs. The Technical Analysis showed the fundamentals up for what they were. A story. The same is true when trading. Trading is a science. It is not a mystery. And it has nothing to do with fundamentals. The Technical Analysis (data) shows that sine waves are responsible for the up and down price movement. The price follows the pattern of the sine wave. Not fundamentals. The price does not move up because Elon Musk likes that particular crypto, or that they have started to burn more crypto than normal, or because Forbes says the Government are now backing that crypto. e.t.c Just think about it. Light waves, sound waves, gamma waves, brain waves, electricity all travel through sine waves. They all follow the same pattern. Price movement is no different. It follows the path, pattern and contours of the sine wave. It is the law of physics. When the sine waves rises, so does the price. When the sine wave falls so does the price. If you are not trading sine waves you are trading blind. I hope this helps. Regards Jason
by NewtonsWave
2
sine-usitis (heh)nfa, SOS, wagmi etc... drew circle between '17 and '19 tops drew trendlines between '17 top and several bottoms "sine lines" (check your drawing toolbar) between '17 top and where the trendlines intersect the circle fit sine lines to chart would we just be looking for confluence to predict moves, since many of the sine waves fit? before i started fitting the waves on the chart I just did waves between tops, and there seemed to be some time alignment with tops and bottoms...but that's just time cycles basically, i want more still trying to visualize charts in 3D (pricetime) and remember that the sine waves we know and love look different in 3D as well...like how the fib spirals are actually conical helixes IRL (hello mr nautilus nice house you have there). excellent GIF here www.businessinsider.com also trying to learn what sine waves even are LOL
INDEX:BTCUSD
by FinanciallyCodependently