Beneficial news makes GBPJPY come back stronglySD/JPY remains in a difficult position as the fundamental backdrop remains tilted in one direction, but the threat of intervention acts as an obstacle to trend continuation. At this stage, the deviation in many JPY pairs is still large because the Bank of Japan keeps interest rates at the floor level despite rising inflation. Most other major economies have responded to inflationary pressures with interest rate hikes, and in the US, more rate hikes are still likely as data remains strong. This has helped maintain trading activity as many JPY pairs continue to show positive buying and selling rates
Singaporeforex
Singapore dollar weighing down the British poundThe Singapore dollar has shown great strength for the past 12 months against the Great British pound, underpinned by the Singaporean economy growing 7.6% and expectations for it to continue growing the rest of this year. Adding to the strength of the Singapore dollar in recent weeks is China starting to lift its strict lockdowns, as China is Singapore’s third largest trading partner.
Looking at the weekly chart of the GBPSGD, we can easily see the strength of Singapore weighing this pair down. The BGPSGD has recently taken out the low from June 2020 and is possibly targeting the March 2020 next.
With an Aroon indicator on the chart of GBPSGD, we can look at the portions highlighted within the two circles and their corresponding trends in the chart above. The Aroon indicator is typically used for spotting trends and the strength of trends by following the movement of an orange ‘Up’ line and a Blue ‘Down’ line.
Within the first circle, the rising Up and Down lines suggest a weak trend for the corresponding chart. As such, the uptrend quickly petered out and entered a period of consolidation and a quicker reversal.
Within the second circle, we can see the Down line cross below the Up before reversing its trajectory. This movement in the Aroon indicator corresponds with the attempted bullish push in the GBPSGD. Once the Aroon lines reversed, The bullish push disappeared, and a strong bearishness entered the GBPSGD, and did so until the start of May. Currently, we can see that the two Aroon lines are separated by quite some distance. It may be worth keeping track of the Aroon lines to determine how close the GBPSGD wants to move toward that March 2020 low, if its downward trend holds.
SGDUSD Continues Moves Within a RangeWhile USDSGD began the past week of trading with a downward moves, these were quickly reversed by the end of the week and the price ended up where it started: Clearly, traders can see over the past few months that USDSGD prefers to trade within its range of horizontal resistance at around 1.3612 and of support between around 1.3442 and 1.3473. Bull bear indicator signals oversold while RSI is less convinced of a move in either direction. Meanwhile, a whole host of exponential moving averages suggests that the trend is further down. Overall, the in general picture for USDSGD remains what it was last week and the week prior which is to short.
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USDSGD Poised for a ReboundMoving averages suggest we have some more way to go down as we continue a strong downward trend. Moreover, the strength of this slide is notable. Resistance from February was broken as was resistance from January AND price action also broke a trend line from back in 2018. In spite of this, RSI and stochastic suggests we are poised for a rebound as both are flashing that this move was overdone. Let's see how it pans out or if this trend will continue. Keep in mind though, this is a short term long call. My apologies if I don't keep up and update the trade on time on here. Keep an eye on DXY as well as it looks like the dollar was hit across the board from the dovish Federal Reserve sentiment.
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USD/JPY Daily Update (4/8/17) *Possible Swing Back But..We are now at the nice support level and it is due for a swing back.
It can go the way up to 111.5, or little beyond. But I do not think it will make big uptrend.
It is more of the possible swing back and the downtrend will resume sooner or later.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
SGDINR @ daily @ last 5 trading days up! Trend-Reversal start?Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
more 4XSetUps @ 1482 Major Cross-Rates (741 on both sides) @ my GOOGLE Drive
drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
AUDNZD Bearish Basic StructureSimple short trade on the AUDNZD here, price has been making lower highs and lower lows on the 4H timeframe. Decide to place 2 limit orders on the 0.618 and 0.786 RETRACEMENT OF XA.
Identified possible areas of reversal as my profit targets. Shooting for extended targets.
USDCHF BEARISH ABCDA channel formation can be seen on the 1D chart.
Price has bounced off the upper channel, moved downwards and is now retracing back up
Entered 1/2 position the 0.618 RETRACEMENT OF XA, set a limit order for 1/2 position at the 0.786 RETRACEMENT OF XA
Fib level coincide with structure levels and RSI divergence has occurred! Perfect example of my ideal entry! Excited to see how this trade plays out!
AUDJPY BEARISH BAT and BEARISH ABCDAUDJPY on a DOWNTREND here, identified 3 possible SHORT ENTRIES
Advanced Pattern
A possible BEARISH BAT PATTERN. ENTRY @89.26 (Purple line)
ABCD Pattern
Using XA as the impulse leg, i identified ENTRY ZONE 1, between the 71.8 and 61.8 RETRACEMENT OF XA. However, i do not feel that this entry zone will be hit, given that it has already been tested 4 times. But hey who knows?
ABCD Pattern
This entry is the one i have most confidence about. i have identified ENTRY ZONE 2, between the 71.8 and 61.8 RETRACMENT OF BC. While there is a lack of structure for confluence at this level, if price does manage to retrace to this zone, it will be a ideal point to SHORT, with STOPS above B
EURGBP SHORT BASIC STRUCTURE + 1234Looking at EURGBP, price has been a down trend since April this year. Price has retraced to touch the 0.618 RETRACEMENT OF XA. The 0.618 - 0.718 RETRACEMENT ZONE also confluences with a major structure level, the previous high!
Looking deeper, we see that the retracement is also a 1234 SETUP, confluence with RSI DIVERGENCE and a DOJI, whose upper wick extends into the 0.618-0.718 RETRACEMENT ZONE.
Would be a fantastic setup to short. However, bearing in mind the EU Referendum happening on 23/06/16 which will decide if the UK will stay in the EU, i will probably sit this pair out, at least until the storm passes!
NZDJPY ABCD/1234 SHORT Found what I thought would be a simple shorting into a downtrend when price retraced to the 61.8 RETRACEMENT of the impulse leg XA
Further inspection of the RETRACEMENT LEG ABCD revealed a 1234 movement, which terminates at the 1.272 EXTENSION OF AB . This level has further confluence with structure on the left and with the 61.8 RETRACEMENT OF XA. This will be our ENTRY ZONE
Price seems to have neared ENTRY ZONE and retraced. Planning to enter a full position @75.41
NZDCHF BEARISH BUTTERFLY and BULLISH CYPHER LONG? SHORT?Identified 2 Advanced patterns on the NZDCHF.
Purple Triangles represent a BEARISH BUTTERFLY(Completed)
Blue Triangles represent a BULLISH CYPHER
Clearly we are now stuck at an impasse, to go LONG or SHORT, that is the question.
Taking a step back to the 1D time frame, we can see that price has moved in a pennant formation ( grey lines) While it is not within my trading plan to utilise such price patterns, a price breakout to the up/down side is known to follow the termination of a pennant. Thus, we know that SOMETHING is BOUND to happen, but which direction will it go?
Based on the 1D and 1W time frame, this pair seems to be in a downtrend, so i would be entering on the BEARISH BUTTERFLY. However i have yet to refer to the fundamentals such as the COT report and/or Currency Strength Meters.
Thus my current verdict would be to short this pair
AUDNZD BASIC SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LONGBat pattern just completed (Not drawn in)
Pair moving to support level dating back to late OCTOBER 2015. Simple buying at a support level. Profit targets at 0.618 RETRACEMENT OF XA. Will probably wait for a reversal signal like a higher high higher low or a double bottom on the 4H time frame before entering
EUR/USD BEARISH GARTLEY, SHORTING 2 HALF POSITIONSThe 127.2 extension of the ABA leg is rather far from the 78.6 retracement of the XA leg. Decided to short 2 half positions at those points. Any thoughts on this method? Have seen variations for the ROE of a Gartley, some requiring confluence while others do not!