USD INFLATION!FUNDAMENTALS-
the ONLY "Major" news we have this week is the USD inflation data on Wednesday 8/11 @ 8:30AM est ...
Now we've seen what NFP has done already. Dollar soared because bloomberg revised down the expectations due to a poor ADP, (check 2 post ago), but NFP wasnt bad.
Now i can see US inflation CPI data to continue it's trend of coming in WAYYY over expectations!
TECHNICALS - 12Hr W on NZD & there's also more room to grow on the DXY. I can see NZD testing the bottom of the range for ANOTHER test then.
FUNDAMENTAL SIDENOTE - NZD RAISES RATES NEXT WEEK FROM .10% TO .25% .. SO U MIGHT WANNA REALLY GET RRADY TO BUY IT AFTER THE SELL OFF
STOP .693 - I FORGOT TO EDIT THAT PART IN ! :(
Slattsignals
Cad/Jpy shorts 🩳 JPY dumps whenever there is a strong nfp report and surprisingly is the strong when nfp is bad due to the correlation with US Yields. In my opinion, Jpy gets strong here. I think the best opportunity may be against the CAD.
STOP - 88.06
ENTRY - 87.93
TP1 - 87.2
TP2 - 86.9
TP3 - 86.6
then looking for a reversal!
STOP STOP HUNTING!!!THIS IS THE DEFINITION OF A STOP HUNT!
we've all seen how the dollar has exploded over the past couple of days but NZD is not giving up without a fight you can see that every time the kiwi goes below .695 on the weekly candle it rushes back up before the week is over.
now fundamentally speaking, WE KNOW the RBNZ (New Zealand Central Bank) will be raising rates next month from the current .25%. & WE KNOW THE SMART THING TO DO IS TO PUT OUR MONEY INA STRONG CURRENCY WITH HIGH INTEREST RATES, ESPECIALLY AGAINST LOW ONES JPY( -.10%) CHF(-.75%), & USD (.25),which happens to be all the "SAFE HAVEN" currencies
i cannot be the only one looking ahead and seeing the true potential of the KIWI.
nzdusd must go to .7315 (400+ PIPS)
nzdchf must go to .662 (250+ PIPS)
nzdjpy MUST GO TO 83.9 (800+ PIPS)
Nzd Finally READY!the DOLLAR, YEN, & SWISS FRANC has all extended their strength to start the week but ONCE AGAIN unlike other pairs that have lost their respective support levels against the dollar, NZD SHOWS SIGNS OF STRENGTH.
i believe it's ready across the board now..
nzdusd entry .693
stop : .691
TP1 : .7225
TP2 : .728
TP3 :7315
nzdchf entry .6385
stop : .6370
TP1 : .647
TP2 : .654
TP3 : .662
TAPER TANTRUMFundamentally speaking, WHY are we short on CAD? So what if they revised their gbp down for this year. the following 2 has been revised up and the tapering has continued, something the us cannot seem to do. so im going to buy the new and sell this rumor! the real news is cad is going to continue to taper and we cannot seem to stop spending.
technically speaking .. 6 hour and 12 hour harmonic patterns. first the 12hr pattern went from entry(D) to TP1(B) & is now re testing that entry level again in my eye for further downside continuation. Target levels in blue
nzd usd buysRELATED TO PREVIOUS IDEA BELOW:
right now im seeing multiple things:
1. a daily harmoinc M bat
2. we only were supposed to sell to .695, which is acting as support... or atleast this area is
3. we're at daily, weekly, & monthly support
with that being said, i say we see .73's again.. & that move begins now. TARGETS on the chart!
FOMC DAY :)IT'S FOMC DAY & well the us has been on a great recovery, cad has just reported horrible retail data, & US GDP is tomorrow as well! OMG ... we couldn't have asked for better timing with the news events lining up !
(Not financial advice, just my overly hyper emotions getting riled up for possible profits)
stop 1.2355
Entry 1.2393
tp1 - 1.245
tp2 - 1.2525
tp3 - 1.265
Hello, EU bulls!!is it time? time for what u may ask... TIME TO LONG EU!!!! In 2021, usd has fell to multiyear lows against aud, cad, gbp, & nzd.
Euro, along with ch& jpy, has been lagging TREMENDOUSLY .. & now with the dollar pairs at support across the board and euro showing signs of life in other pairs i truly believe we can see 1.23 again and THE JOURNEY BEGINGS HERE
ENTRY 1.1845
TP1 - 1.188
TP2 - 1.199
ULTIMATE GOAL 1.23 & once we touch 1.199 thats all i need to see for another run to the 1.20's price again
lol i accept coins and cashapp $bakedbenji :)
nzd/ usd shortnzd is on a weekly resistance and looksto be coming down. there's a daily harmonic W pattern signaling that it wants to test the weekly low.
there is usd cpi today, 2/10, and fed j powell is speaking. i think those 2 high risk events may help this move.
entry: .72336
stop: .7268
target: .90965
Ratio 4:1
eur/usd BULLISH 8hr harmonic M Classic M pattern on eu. Although it looks like a H&S on a larger time frame. i believe it has found support.
on a fundamental side, i dont believe this nfp week will be good. employment isnt where it needs to be, biden has rejected the GOP $618B stimulus package.
Democrats are taking their first votes Tuesday toward passing a $1.9 trillion coronavirus bill, potentially without Republican support.
President Joe Biden met with GOP senators, who are offering a roughly $600 billion proposal. (we know he declined it)
The budget resolution Democrats put forward would allow them to pass stimulus checks, unemployment benefits, vaccine distribution funds, and state and local government aid. - via CNBC
EUR CAD BUY 4HR HARMONIC 'M' PATTERN FOUND
what im looking for is 1.5527 to find support along a previous inverted H&s neckline(blue) & also the horizontal support of 1.55
my ideal ENTRY would be 1.55 but that may be too late, so anywhere under 1.5527 is good enough for me to continue to avg down my positions with a stop at 1.548 if it came to that point
so my ideal entry and tp scenario oes like this
stop 1.548
entry 1.55
tp1 - 1.5565
tp2 - 1.565
tp3 - 1.567
if we get to to 1.56 im going to update and let the trade run by itself as i will be looking to take most of my profit off around there
U/CAD Swing Buy Potential (potentially only trade for the month)There is a 3 day harmonic crab on this pair.. since the time frame is so big, this one might take a while ..
i believe this is a false breakout below the harmoic channels and shall resume quickly
entry 1.268
stop 1.265
TP1 1.273
TP2 1.277
Once we reach there im done
NZD/JPY potential swing shorti/we bought it on the way up TWICE : 1ST TIME
2ND TIME :
i mean YEN is highly IN DEMAND, i think it's only right i sell, just going to give it a shot . it was already rejected by the blue line like i was looking for, and it stood sideways for a couple days. May just be the order gather for the short in my opinion.
My entry 73.6
Tp1 73.15 & Tp2 72.75.. then maybe i give this an update
USD/CAD AVG PRICE (potential SWING buy)only thing im waiting for to truly go long on this pair is the CAD Cash Rate thats coming up here within 4 hours, but 1.2875 is the avg price for usd cad. I've been watching it for days.. the pair has obviously found support but the cash rate is the only thing putting pressure on the cad. That happens at 10AM EST.
Oil has dropped, dollar(dxy) has hid a demand zone, those are all the confirmations i need.
so Avg entry is 1.2875 (i will be wait for cash rate spike to get in at a lower price)
My first take profit is not until 1.292, that is literally 135 pips, im just going to take 40% off and let it run to it's full potential. all of my take profit's are on the chart....
REMEMBER CAD CASH RATE MAY SPIKE THIS DOWN WITHIN THE NEXT 4 HOURS
Nov 30- Dec 4th AUD/USD buyonly reason i took this trade :
@Outside_The_Box_NZ - please keep holding NU and AU longs @SlattYSL
@Outside_The_Box_NZ - so he needs to eat his own damn word
by the way im 200+ pips deep into nzdusd
Well i posted this last week and was screaming for aud to be bullish going into this week. not being cocky just following the technicals and seeing how they hold as the fundamentals are implemented. If the markets are going to be forward looking so am i. Just over the past 2 weeks i've called eur/jpy for 100+ pips, nzd/jpy for 170+ pips, gbpjpy for 50 pips, aud/jpy for 100 pips, & i literally called this one last week, with no description, just because i saw it setting up.. if you follow me & actually take my trades i just ask that you show me some love on CashApp: $BakedBenji
Now on the real, china is recovering faster than the us, and the asia market revolves around china. Especially with biden very fond of china and willing to do plenty of deals with them will only increase the value of Asian currencies. Also this week we have aud gdp and cash rate coming up, but not before the Chinese PMI data. Then focus should switch back to the USD on wednesday as congress votes on some bills and possibly a bipartisan extension bill to keep people from being evicted and for student loan forbearance, maybe stimulus as well. Basically the vote is mainly keep the government funded through the next months, before they take their recess. More important date is Jan 5th, because Georgia run off elections, and we get to see who controls the Senate. Democrats already have the house and presidency, if they get the senate too, GOOD BYE USD. DXY WILL TANK
Nov 30-Dec 4 Aud/Jpy Swing Trade (continuation)this is why im long aud jpy, i see a 3day ascending wedge pattern forming, some people move their rend lines because of false break outs but as you can see i never moved my green or red trend lines and i also am buying off of the green trend line just under the red because i cloned that resistance one and brought it down just a little bit because it was a prior resistance in the past if u can see, so i know where im wrong and im minimizing risk.
ALSO on the FUNDAMENTAL view of things we have the following upcoming events
Mon Nov 30 @ 10:30PM EST AUD : Cash Rate / RBA Rate Statement
Tue Dec 1 @ 7:30PM EST AUD : GDP q/q
If all goes as expected, we should see massive spikes within the pair. Then let's see how the rest of NFP week plays out.
There's also the fact that there is a daily Head and Shoulders pattern close to the neckline
& a 3 day also approaching a neckline
if you've made it this far, & you've most likely taken my trade before, feel free to show love via CashApp: $BakedBenji