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SLC Brazilian Agricultural Producer and Farmland Investor ThesisExecutive Summary We are overweighting SLC Agrícola (SLCE3.BZ) over U.S. agribusiness stocks (BG, ADM, MOS, CTVA, FPI) in the current macro environment. The key drivers are: Geopolitical arbitrage (Trump-Russia détente benefits Brazilian exporters more than U.S. firms). FX tailwinds (weaker USD boosts BRL-denominated farmland values). Commodity cycle positioning (SLC’s cotton/soy mix outperforms U.S. corn/ethanol plays). Valuation gap (SLCE3 trades at 9.1x P/E vs. 14x+ for U.S. peers). Top Trade: Long SLC Agrícola (SLCE3.BZ) I. Macro & Geopolitical Edge: Why Brazil Wins 1. Trump’s Pro-Russia Policy Reshapes Fertilizer & Grain Flows Sanctions Relief: Russian potash/phosphate exports resume → BrasilAgro (AGRO3) and SLC benefit from 25-30% lower input costs (U.S. farmers already hedged). U.S. Grain Export Risk: If Trump pushes Ukraine grain deals, ADM/BG lose pricing power in EU/Asia markets. 2. USD Weakness Favors BRL-Linked Assets Fed Cuts + Trump’s Dollar Policy: BRL appreciation (R$4.60/USD by 2026E) boosts: SLC’s USD-linked revenue (68% of sales). Land appraisals (Brazilian farmland up 18% CAGR in USD terms). U.S. Companies Hurt: ADM/BG’s LatAm earnings face translation drag. 3. BRICS Neutrality vs. U.S.-China Decoupling Brazil remains trusted supplier to both China and EU (no trade wars). U.S. agribusiness (ADM/BG) exposed to: China soy tariffs (if Trump escalates). EU carbon taxes (ADM’s ethanol margins at risk). II. Company-Specific Advantages: SLC vs. U.S. Peers A. SLC Agrícola (SLCE3.BZ) – The Optimal Play Metric SLC Agrícola U.S. Peers (ADM/BG/MOS) P/E (2025E) 9.1x 12-18x EBITDA Margin 38% (2025E) 8-15% FX Benefit BRL appreciation USD translation drag Geopolitical Shield Neutral (BRICS) Exposed to U.S.-China wars Key Catalysts: Cotton Supercycle: Trump’s EU-China trade war could spike prices (SLC has 40% exposure). Hidden Water Rights: 120k hectares of irrigated land (R$3.2B unreported NAV). Ferrogrão Railway Completion (2026): Cuts logistics costs by 18%. B. U.S. Agribusiness: Relative Weaknesses Stock Key Risk Mitigation ADM Ethanol mandate cuts (Biden hangover) Divesting plants BG Brazilian tax case (R$4.5B liability) Land asset cover MOS Saudi JV delays (CFIUS scrutiny) Fertilizer optionality CTVA Patent cliff (2027+) M&A speculation FPI U.S. farmland cap rate compression Rent escalators III. Conclusion: Why SLC Over U.S. Peers? Geopolitical Arbitrage: Brazil avoids U.S.-China/EU trade wars. FX Leverage: BRL appreciation boosts USD earnings + land values. Commodity Mix: Cotton/soy > corn/ethanol in Trump’s policy regime. Valuation: SLCE3 at 9.1x P/E vs. 14x+ for U.S. stocks.
BMFBOVESPA:SLCE3Long
by beckett_07
Solice competing with SandboxHello there everyone!!! 😃🌏👋 Thank you for considering my approach today, let's dive in⭐⏬ Note 📌 more accurate target will be available as we move along, this is a relatively new project. My bias is very bullish🏵🐮 Fundamental analysis :🤸‍♂️🌊 So, Animoca Brands who created the p2e game the Sandbox is at it again along with the incredible Solice team. The CEO of SLC was one of the members of the original Fantom team. Turns out Animoca is top investor in the Solice VR metaverse project . It's no surprise to see them investing in meta projects across all blockchains it's what they do... but not this heavily, so we suspected bullish price action at launch. Anomica is not the only investor in this VR project either, it was also invested in by gate , Kucoin , and FTX via Alameda research. Launch was on gate and huobi , then it was added to dex's on Solona such as Raydium and Orca . 💭😁 They've locked up a large amount of the supply with a massive staking system ranging across dex's and exchanges. The last staking will be on tomorrow Jan 15th for one full week on gate📌🕘📆 I can't help but think that these big players have something planned for when it's all locked away, after all, Pro Shares just filed for a Metaverse ETF . There is clearly institutional interest and SLC's stopping power against BTC downtrend is very apparent. Technical analysis: 📈📉 This is relatively new token, so we don't have a whole lot of data yet but here is what we know👀 💫We saw price correct and bounce from 0.618 fib after reaching 4.25 dollars from 7 cents at launch. 💫Watch the chart as it's breaking out on the daily now and seemingly gaining support at 30 percent retracement line. 💫We could see a retest of upper purple line on chart above before more upwards movement. 💫If we fall below ~2.79 again, an updated TA would be wise 🐶 💣 WIth that being said buy pressure is very high right now and no one really knows ✔ This metaverse land💲 is not going to be cheap (in theory)🏜🌋🏝 📆📌🕘 Four land sales🏝 🌅are coming up which will require large amounts of SLC to purchase. The game itself launches this quarter. In my opinion we could see 10 to 25 dollars in the coming months given the current MC and the amount that is locked up. In fact, at a Sandbox or Mana MC the coin would be worth 100's of dollars in the future... Meta and the right p2e projects have been the play indeed in the past couple months. That being said, I always recommend you do your own research👽 Thank you so much! Happy trading all and please remember 👍👇 🛑🛑🛑This is not financial advice🛑🛑🛑 Above are approximate targets based on fibs etc. I always recommend looking at multiple charts when making a big investment! Always have a stop loss ✋🛑💲 set Any thoughts 💭💡, questions 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️❓, good 👍, bad👎, happy 😄 or sad 😥, in the comments always welcome. Jazerbay ☯
SLong
by jazerbay
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