Silver looks like it could take another 10% haircut before 🚀"That's a HUUUUGE wick" - Deuce Bigalow
Not uncommon for PA to come back down to touch the 20ema - which intersects a big trendline AND illustrates a backtest to the broken downward trendline. I anticipate this move happening fast, and could be combined with a minor market drop overall.
Exo-political situation that's escalating is the USDJPY - and the BOJ is taking it's good ole time with correcting its currency. When they dump treasuries I anticipate a vertical trajectory of precious metals AND miners. When that happens (not IF) that will over-ride any PA - so it might be wise to start building longer positions i.e. OTM call options slated for July expiration ( AMEX:AGQ ).
Since all Central Banks are reactionary in nature, the FED will wait till something breaks in the bond/treasury market but that can't happen until the BOJ dumps treasuries. And that can't happen until the dollar's ascent forces them to do this. So I see a higher dollar still, which will reflect the blunting of precious metals.
SLV
Are Gold & Silver done?Don't think #GOLD is done by any means.
HOWEVER.......
Sold some positions around the date of bearish engulfing. As of today the precious metal is still @ that price level. We missed a lil more upside but it wasn't much oi the whole scheme of things.
#SILVER shows same exact signs except the Bearish Engulfing.
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Junior Miners will fall 10-20% before catapulting in Mid MayMiners didn't accelerate to the upside like metals because they do better in lower interest rate environments, whereas metals do better for volatility events. You could buy ITM puts here on JNUG, NUGT, GDX or GDXJ and see a good return, or just wait for this to bottom in a couple of weeks and ride the lightning. THIS opportunity is one of the 2 that I see this year where you can buy OTM calls and this will be like Gamestop imo.
THIS ISN'T FINANCIAL ADVICE!
Endeavor Silver is about to blast off!This has broken out of two downward trends and Powell is about to be dovish with the dollar and let inflation rip again for Biden to get reelected.
I see a VERY ATTRACTIVE options play right now - Endeavor's May Call contract at $2.50 is .20 right now and the O/I is off the charts. $5 is .05 or $5 a call. If silver blasts off like I think then these guys could rocket past that was they hit $12 in 2011. August is the next options expiration month, and has some high volume, but not as high as May.
I think buying calls here would be a good choice. If you're concerned then brake up your months from May and August. I expect miners and metals to get pummeled this summer when BOJ announces rate CUTS when they implode. I'd diversify into the dollar or USDJPY or USDCNY at that point cause China will devalue their currency after the BOJ cuts rates to negative (to stay competitive).
THIS ISN'T FINANCIAL ADVICE!! I am making a purchase into these securities as well, so I'm putting my money where my mouth is.
Silver Squeeze Meme AGAIN? Do not get tricked!AMEX:SLV It's that time again! #silversqueeze is trending on social media. This meme resurfaces every 2-3 years CONSISTENTLY when whomever thinks the time is right to take retail traders' money. With Gold AMEX:GLD making new highs they are trying it once again.
Watch my video from 2021 and do the research on Google News yourself! Wait for the price action confirmation that I talk about in this video! Do not get tricked!
COMEX:SI1! COMEX:GC1!
Gold forms Bearish Engulfing, Silver at resistance🚨 🚨 🚨
#Gold is forming a Bearish Engulfing on the daily charts.
Volume is almost there for a confirmation of the pattern.
Money Flow is low.
Overbought.
Weekly we see Gold forming a doji = battle bulls & bears.
#Silver is at a major resistance.
This should be an interesting week...
AMEX:GLD AMEX:GDX AMEX:GDXJ AMEX:SLV
Inflation, and the coming SILVER PRICE EXPLOSION! As central banks around the world are losing their grip on baskets full of fiat currencies, real, tangible commodities like Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium are going to make an incredible run. There are three metals related to monetary systems throughout history: gold, silver and copper. So far we've seen gold pull ahead in the running, but soon silver will running it down with veracity!
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
$SLV Silver Inverse Head & Shoulders Weekly ChartAMEX:SLV Silver Inverse Head & Shoulders Weekly Chart, The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal pattern commonly observed in technical analysis. It typically consists of three troughs, with the middle trough (the head) being lower than the two surrounding troughs (the shoulders). This pattern suggests a reversal of a downward trend, with the price likely to move higher after the formation is complete. Traders often look for a breakout above the neckline, which serves as confirmation of the pattern and a potential entry point for long positions. The pattern is considered invalidated if the price breaks below the lowest point of the pattern.
Goldaholics Anonymous Pour yourself a glass of Goldschläger and let's review the 12 steps before diving into this.
1. We admitted that we were powerless over the Fed -- that our balance sheet had become unmanageable.
2. Came to believe that a Power greater than our central bank could restore us to solvency.
3. Made a decision to turn our fiat over to the care of sound money, as we understood it.
4. Made a searching and fearless inventory of our finances.
5. Admitted to Peter Schiff, Lyn Alden, and Pomp the exact nature of our wrongs.
6. Were entirely ready to have big, fat Gains.
7. Humbly asked to avoid getting short squeezed.
8. Made a list of all the naysayers about to be harmed.
9. Sent direct messages to them to gloat in victory.
10. Continued to count our gains and polish our bullion.
11. Sought through fundamental and technical analysis to improve our entries and exits.
12. Having had a financial awakening as the result of these steps, we tried to carry this message to other goldaholics, and practice these principles in all of our trades.
Macro Fibonacci
Below we can see the magic of Fibonacci extensions, measuring the last macro bull run to the 2016 low.
Zooming in a bit, it is clear that these levels attract attention. Each one of these fibs acts as a step in the staircase. All we need to do is look at volume and price action to validate each level. The smart money had their sell orders at the 0.618 Fibonacci extension. The 0.5 could not hold which indicates that the next level down will be tested. Watch for heavy volume to come in there near the 0.382 level.
In the U.S. stock market and many other developed financial markets, about 70-80 percent of overall trading volume is generated through algorithmic trading.
Historical Price Action
Looking back to the last bull run there are a few simple patterns to watch for...
1. Weekly MACD flailing around above the zero level.
2. Mark the down trends and wait for the break.
3. Price action is above the 20 Week EMA.
Trading Setup
Using historical price action the trading setup becomes clear...
1. Weekly MACD is flailing above the zero level.
2. The down trend line is clear. Wait for the break.
3. Wait for 20 Week EMA support.
Now, the targets are the Fibonacci levels above, and the ghost bars look reasonable, however, it would be wise to take a look at what exactly is driving Gold on this path.
The U.S. Dollar
The Dollar index inversely pressures Gold prices so this is worth noting.
1. Momentum is shifting bullish as a bullish MACD divergence reveals itself on the daily chart.
2. This recent move was the 3rd wave down which often precedes a reversal.
3. The index is at the bottom of this future channel.
As this index recovers back towards the 200 Week EMA, it will surely scare the metals market. However, the macro downtrend is only on it's first wave down. From a technical standpoint, the second wave is often the deepest as panic sets in from the failed recovery.
Treasury Yields
Yields recently had a similar bullish MACD divergence with a very weak recovery that followed. The trend is still clear and it's highly likely to roll over as it timidly approaches the trendline in the coming months. Gold has been riding along side Bonds so this should continue to drive up prices. Depending on the severity of falling yields, it could trigger temporary crashes in the metals. But longer term, buying the dips is the way to go.
Trading is risky. Don't do it.
Long
Bullion: Gold, Silver, Platinum
Equities: GDX, PHYS, CEF, SLV, RIO, SPPP
Futures: (Not yet)
$Silver making moves, has it finally stopped consolidating?Silver is looking like it finally wants to break out!
AMEX:SLV looks even better on the weekly chart!
Monthly, looks okay. not great but that can change over time.
This could be the beginning of a HUGE Squeeze!!!
2x would be nice and is possible this year.
Have physical, AMEX:CEF , 2025 #silver call options.
Short Silver on COT Force PushThe markets are really all about finding patterns and taking advantage of such forcefully. With Silver, the commercial producers and bullion banks tend to exert the most amount of market influence upon its price. The reason is that Silver is primarily an industrial metal sensitive to economic demands and also due to the fact that unlike gold, it is primarily mined as a by-product through the mining of other metals such as copper, iron, aluminum, etc.
If one can recognize the behavior of Silver once the commercial entities are starting to sell in larger then usual amounts, we can catch the downside action just as it starts to occur. In addition, the price action through the evident "force push" when the price is forced to a quick swing high and abruptly u-turned tends to signal that a price reversal is being confirmed. Today we have witnessed such event take place and we are now getting in position for an estimated $3+ decline in the price of silver in the coming weeks.
Watch for Silver to catch-up with GoldGold has broken out of a multi-year resistance to new all-time highs. Silver has been lagging Gold. It has started to move and should accelerate in its catch up once Silver future push through 26. I am long SLV as a proxy. Silver miners may also be a great play but I don't like the rise in energy prices, which could continue to be a headwind for them.
Where is $ flowing into? Central Banks = Gold. Retail = $BTCGood Morning
Let's see how CRYPTOCAP:BTC handles this next resistance level. Currently it is above.
Assets, not #Dollars!
Where are can you put your hard earned $???
Into #equities with high PE's?
Into #commercialrealestate?
#BTC #Bitcoin
#GOLD & #Silver as well as they have stood the test of time.
Economic Uncertainty and the Allure of Physical Silver
Silver has emerged as a resilient and attractive option for investors seeking refuge from economic uncertainties. As we delve into the intricate analysis of AMEX:SLV stock, it becomes apparent that the interplay between Treasury yields, the U.S. Dollar, and market sentiment is crucial in understanding the trajectory of silver prices.
Treasury Yields and Dollar Dynamics:
At the forefront of silver's market dance is the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, currently standing at 4.141%. Traditionally, higher yields bolster the U.S. Dollar, making silver more expensive in other currencies. However, recent silver performance has introduced a potential shift in this correlation, challenging conventional wisdom and prompting investors to question the metal's future direction.
Key Questions for Silver Traders:
The upcoming week poses critical questions for silver traders. Will silver's recent divergence from gold persist, or was it merely a momentary event driven by attractively low silver prices? The tone set by the Federal Reserve, particularly if it adopts a hawkish stance, could prove pivotal, potentially causing silver to relinquish its recent gains.
Silver's Response to Economic Data:
Intriguingly, silver has displayed a unique response to last week's economic reports, deviating from the well-trodden path of gold. This nuanced behavior indicates a more complex market sentiment towards silver, emphasizing the need for investors to stay attuned to the metal's independent movements.
Short-Term Outlook and Federal Reserve Impact:
In the short term, traders should brace for potential fluctuations in silver prices. While the market may continue to favor silver, the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be decisive. A hawkish stance could trigger a sell-off in silver, undoing the gains from the previous week.
Investing in Physical Silver:
Against the backdrop of economic uncertainty, some investors find solace in owning physical silver, be it in the form of coins, bars, or bullion. Despite risks such as theft and storage, the convenience of online purchases from reputable dealers like APMEX or JM Bullion provides a viable option for those seeking tangible investments.
Silver Stock Performance:
With economic uncertainties lingering in 2024, silver prices have climbed back near 2023 highs, currently quoting at $22.90 per ounce, reflecting a 0.12% surge. The interest in silver and precious metals tends to rise in turbulent financial conditions or elevated inflation, prompting investors to evaluate whether current silver price levels present a buying opportunity or are poised for a pullback.
Technical Outlook:
The technical analysis of Silver Trust Ishares reveals positive investor sentiment, with prices reacting positively after breaking an inverse head and shoulders formation. A decisive break above $21.25 will signal further positivity, while a break on the opposite side may be a strong negative signal. The stock has already broken through resistance at $20.50, predicting a potential further rise.
Conclusion:
As investors navigate the complex terrain of silver investments in 2024, the confluence of Treasury yields, the U.S. Dollar dynamics, and Federal Reserve actions will shape the trajectory of silver prices. The metal's unique response to market dynamics and its resilience in the face of economic uncertainties make silver an intriguing option for those looking to diversify portfolios and hedge against inflation risks. However, the cautionary notes on physical silver ownership and the vigilance required in monitoring short-term fluctuations emphasize the need for a well-informed and strategic approach to silver investments in the current financial landscape.
Friendly Reminder You Don't Own Enough Bitcoin.
The Dawn of the Final ETF Approval Week - Everything will change.
Bitcoin will obliterate Apple returns
Bitcoin will obliterate SPY returns
Bitcoin will obliterate Gold returns
Bitcoin will obliterate Silver Returns
Anything plugged into Bitcoin related or touching bitcoin will be rocket launched into an entire new global standard.
I have come to the conclusion that smart money will enter this first being convinced of a new turning of the way we will live life in the next century meaning they will move first.
At the $200,000 mark many will sell calling the top
(you will know they're wrong due to zero on chain data proving this top)
I suspect after $300,000 appears in a short period the first batch of doubters will start to enter the market.
After $600,000 is breached there will be motions moving and outrage to shut Bitcoin down calling it the next "2009" the next Mortgage backed securities"
(This will cause major short interest and major Puts following the consensus that this is a bubble and not a supply shock)
Reaching the $1,500,000 people short and call writers will be entering margin call territory.
Remember the hard critics of Bitcoin who will give in around the $1,500,000 - $2,500,000 mark over the next years, this will mark the start of the extended bear market.
So the question is do you own enough Bitcoin?
Silver is setting up for a short term collapseSilver seems to be setting up for a beating. Its forming a rising wedge, whos top aligns with a strong resistance. The rsi and macd are forming obvious bearish divergences. I believe that the light holiday liquidity, alongside the bearish setup, is a recipe for a beautiful buying opportunity
Is Silver going to test the 200 weekly?My reasoning of why silver will retest the 200 weekly.
1. The Dollar (DXY) is in a downtrend. I believe It is on its way to the 200 weekly moving average but before that happens I believe there will be a small rebound.
2. I believe the DXY is going to have a rebound as the daily RSI is nearly indicating oversold.
3.Silver is in a rising wedge pattern and it is nearing overbought territory on the daily RSI.
This is just me hoping. I'd really like to see a retest of the 200 weekly for an entry into silver again and off we go to a Christmas bull run. =)
$DXY US Dollar looks primed again#GOLD & #SILVER are still selling off since we made the call, very close to top.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is suffering its biggest drop since august of 2023.
The US #Dollar really looks like it settled at the 102 area.
Not a normal area to find support but it can happen.
TVC:DXY seems as if it wants to conceivably push higher from here.
AMEX:GLD AMEX:SLV CRYPTOCAP:BTC