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SLV

SLV Wave 4 Setting Up for move to 20Still holding an uptrending channel. Holding this level would be super positive, setting up for a wave 5 move to the top of the channel. By rule, Wave 4 cannot breach Wave 1 so while lower prices are still possible, impulse waves generally conform to the channel. As my long term outlook is for eventually testing the highs, I was buying Jan 2020 and Jan 2021 LEAP calls. Earlier write- discussed the double bottom pattern. To prove the double bottom formation, price would need to break through the last major high just under 20. My expectation was that it would pick up steam and run to fill on gap on SLV above 25.50. Not certain if gaps in SLV get filled like gaps in stocks since XAGUSD trades pretty much continuous. I was watching today to see how SLV would react to filling the gap. I was buying as that gap filled. It then rallied from their but backed down at the close of the day. So I'm thinking that gaps are valid and there may be a run to 25+ As 20 gets touched/breached, would expect some selling but also, as another poster wrote, buying above 20, a breakout level, was the strategy. As the five wave pattern completes, I'm expecting the ensuing correction to last around 3 months, possibly into next year, so I'm planning to liquidate the 2020 calls, holding on to the 2021s. Expect lots of great trading opportunities during that correction phase to build a large position in anticipation for a run to test the highs.
AMEX:SLVLong
by Glewis54
6
Silver in Wave 5 of 3?It appears that Silver has completed a wave 4 (of 3). It immediately rose to the first Fibonacci projection of 1.618 and is entertaining moving to the 2.618 level. As the Wave 2 of the next higher level took around three months to play out, I am anticipating that when this wave 5 is completed and the higher level wave 4 begins, Silver may consolidate for a similar amount of time, meaning that we may drift to the end of the year. But as wave 5s are said to often be the most explosive in commodities, it will be important to be patient as this minor wave 5 plays out as well as the wave 5 of the next higher level that could begin playing out, if my review is correct, early next year. I'm currently looking to confirm the double bottom formation. This would require breaking above the last major high of 21.14 on XAG and 19.73 in SLV.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by Glewis54
Reasons Why I Won't Buy Silver NowSilver was definitely undervalued due to strong demand, supply deficits and the gold-silver ratio. In this chart, the blue moving line is the price of gold. We could obviously find that the gold-silver ratio has reached the highest level. So for long term view, buying silver is a really good choice. However, shall we buy the silver now or later? Here are couple reasons why i would like to buy silver later. 1. MACD: the macd of silver has reached overbrought area. In the recent 14 years, there were 8 times that silver's macd reached 4.81 level, and 6 of them dropped hard right after that. Now, the macd reached 4.81 level again. 2. RSI: the rsi of silver also reached overbrought area. In the recent 14 years, there were 7 times that silver's rsi reached 70 level, and 5 of them dropped hard right after that. Now, the rsi is moving above 72.2 level. 3. Short term trend is still bullish, but the strong resistance is around 17.32 to 17.57. It's also possible that silver moving like October 2010 in the next half year. But I prefer to wait a healthy correction before the next level breakout and it would be a good chance to buy low. (16.18 and 15.50 are strong supports. If silver break those supports, it may reach 14.90.)
COMEX:SI1!
by Nee_sh
SLV Will Buy the Dip Mentality Move to PMs?A more bullish view may place us in a minor wave 4 of a larger wave 3 structure with a test of the highs and the potential wave 5 coming in a couple of weeks. Some suggest that in commodities, wave 5 can be the strongest move. My longer term view (other posts) suggests a confirmation of the Major Double Bottom. To complete this formation, SLV must break above 20. As Central Banks continue to lower interest rates to negative levels, the move to precious metals should continue. With the gold/silver ratio so out of whack as it has been, it's possible that silver will eventually test the highs. SLV 2022 LEAPs are now listed. My patient money goes into LEAPs and physicals to take away my urge to trade my positions. Spreads are not friendly here resulting in stable long term positions.
AMEX:SLVLong
by Glewis54
1
Possible Wave 4 startingCould be that we have just completed a wave 5 finishing off a wave 3. The current downturn may be signalling the beginning of Wave 4. The last correction, wave 2, lasted approximately 3 months. Sometimes wave 4s can last a long time and display many different formations. The eventual Wave 5 should challenge the last major high, just under $20. I'm projecting that it will overshoot, going to a gap above $25 and then testing the breakout area ($20). I will be watching price on Monday or Tuesday to rally and test Wednesday's high. Given the current strength in the recent move, I expect price to break through to higher highs. But a failure to make new highs may confirm that Wave 4 is beginning.
AMEX:SLVLong
by Glewis54
1
Silver Looks Friggin BullishHello Traders, There has been a lot of talk about the precious metals recently (Gold / Silver) with many different reasons for the resurgent interest in precious metals ranging from the classic "store of value" to "finite resource" to "growing lack of trust in fiat currencies". From a Fundamental Analysis point of view I don't really know anything about Silver apart from the basics so if you are reading this and know your stuff about Silver please put it in the comment section. This chart is from a TA perspective. Since the beginning of 2002 the price of Silver went on a bull run which peaked in April 2011. That run lasted about 10 years with gains in the region of 1125%. Very nice if you were long on Silver. From an Elliot Wave perspective the price printed a nice set of bullish impulse waves. Then over the course of the next 4.5 to 5 years the price retraced to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, pretty much to the wick. WickHunter loves it when the market obeys Fibonacci. This entire move looks like a massive Wave 1 and Wave 2 has been completed and price is gearing up for a wave 3. "If" this is the case and tbh that's exactly what it looks like, then Silver could go to the moon here. I've used the Fibonacci extension tool on that wave 1/2 and plotted the 1.618, 2.618, 3.618 and 4.236 extensions as targets. Nobody knows which of the targets will be hit, only time will tell. WickHunter
TVC:SILVERLong
by WickHunter