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SLV

Commodities and Transportation paint PictureOur ongoing efforts to dissect these markets and to help educated and inform traders has led us on an exploration path into the general market activities of two leading market indicators; Commodity prices and Transportation Prices. These two core elements of any regional or global economy are usually about 3~6 months ahead of the general markets. When viewing the Transportation Index, remember that transportation is key to any growing economy and a healthy economy. When an economy is doing well, the transportation sector will be busy shipping and delivering consumer product and staples as well as manufacturing equipment and supplies. When viewing the Commodity Index, remember the Supply and Demand equation where greater demand for commodities needed to manufacture, create, deliver or sell a product will drive prices higher as supply remains relatively constant, prices will increase. Therefore, the theory of today’s research post is “are Transportation and Commodity prices telling us anything important about the future stock market valuations?”. Let’s get into the research. First, the NASDAQ Transportation Index is painting a very clear picture that the upside price move starting near the end of 2016 drove prices well above historical normal ranges. Even today, we are well above historical ranges originating from the lows in 1998 and including the range expansion from the highs of 2007 to the lows of 2009. Given the premise that the Transportation Index would be highlighting increased economic activities across the planet and particularly those of more mature economies, one should expect that global trade/economic activity should be near all-time highs. What we would expect to find to help confirm our analysis is the price levels of general commodities would be increased to match the renewed optimism we believe is growing in the global markets. Obviously, if the global economies are doing well and trade/sales are increasing, then we would expect core commodity levels to increase as demand stays strong which we have seen this happen time and time again during economic cycles. GLD SLV GDX JNUG NUGT SIL GDXJ IYT XTN TPOR
AMEX:GLDShort
by TheTechnicalTraders
1
SILVER - Could the 200MA Catapult Silver to $21+ AgainI was looking at the daily chart and noticed that the price was catching support along the 200MA. We did this before back in 2016 at right around the same price and time of year. If this support can hold, I think we may get a big breakout beyond resistance. This will be no small feat though. Silver broke below the long standing uptrend support line (blue) and the price has been unable to break the pink resistance trend or the the weekly 200MA (yellow). However, the price is now directly in between them. And unlike in 2016 where the price had to hit $21 to touch the pink resistance trend/weekly 200MA, now they're just overhead at $16-16.30. A strong push from the bulls may be exactly what is needed to get silver out of its bear market.
TVC:SILVERLong
by jpbrown1023
1
Gold should fall to this support level before bouncingThe US Dollar is poised to rally back to near $97.50 as this recent downside price swing ends.  We believe the US/China trade talks and North Korea deal with result in a strong upside potential for the US Dollar and the US stock market as time progresses. A certain number of industry analysts are starting to announce the recent December 24th lows and subsequent rally as a “new bull market”.  We have been suggesting to our followers that this market has lots of room to run as a continued global capital shift takes place.  We do expect some price rotation over the next 3~5+ weeks in certain sectors – including the US stock market and Gold.  We believe the US Dollar INDEX:DXY strength will continue to push higher, above $97, with the potential to reach near $99 before the end of this year.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by TheTechnicalTraders
SLV Resistance Right Where We ExpectedThe Fed''s decision to "pause" rate hikes justified the current levels for silver. That may have marked a short term top (SELL THE NEWS) as price touched the top of the lower sloping channel. The monthly chart shows that the recent monthly test of the closing low failed. While prices rallied despite closing lower in November (testing the August closing low), I am expecting another stab at that November closing low. A close above that level at the end of Feb signals a successful test of the low and a good chance for higher prices. A gap up above the channel line changes everything!
AMEX:SLVLong
by Glewis54