Get started

SLV

#GOLD Update In the previous week's update, I highlighted enough certainty to go long because of the ending diagonal (C) of in the chart below. We spent the entire week creating the opening move, which I've labelled wave A or (1) below. There is no preferred structure at this moment, and the complexity of the scenarios should remain on the chart. However, I can somewhat discount the larger running triangle labelled in black circles ABCDE. Given that wave is a clear (W)(X)(Y), and wave is nearly 2x of , the running triangle is less likely but not ruled out.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Fomenka
Gold - When A New ATH Prints, Will You Get Trapped?It's not that I am fundamentally bearish on gold. Actually, I am fundamentally bullish on gold. But it's because I think the fundamentals of gold are bullish that this commodity is not bound to pump while the MMs have tipped their hands that they're going to sell Artificial Intelligence and Chinese Communist Party garbage to a willing horde of retail zombies and dead money hedge funds. And so if gold is really to return to relatively significant lows, like say $1,500, the purpose would be accumulation for $2,500 and $3,000. And if that's to happen, with the way the last three months of price action has been, the gold MM, which is really quite a shark, is extremely unlikely to allow the funds and retail cowboys who have been short under the triple top ATH at $2,089 to enjoy the ride down with them This monthly is too obvious that new lows aren't going to come before the highs are purged: And the weekly shows that the $1,936 dump rebalanced the gap created by the big March candle. A significant calculation in the markets is rumors that came out on Friday that the CCP would be pumping some QE to save its crashing markets. This news came on the back of names as big as Elon Musk, Jamie Dimon, Henry Kissinger, and Condoleezza Rice either traveling to the mainland for the first time in years or attending virtually, along with the Starbucks and Pfizer CEOs. So what's going on, if you ask me, is that the Party has once again been given a blood transfusion, and that blood transfusion may be in exchange for that gold it spent the last several months buying. This would naturally mean that gold would pump so it can be sold at high prices and bought back even lower, with the dual purpose being that it would cripple the CCP's gold reserves, which are loaned on leverage. Whenever you hear someone barking about how strong the CCP is, or worse, if they conflate "China" to "the Chinese Communist Party," you need to take a step back and ask yourself how a country whose lost tens or hundreds of millions of people to a pandemic it's still doing everything it can to cover up could possibly be strong. It's not that the CCP is going to invade Taiwan. It's that NATO and the other global factions are thinking about how they can take over Beijing via Taiwan when the Party falls in the imminent future. The persecution of Falun Gong by the Jiang Faction and the Communist Party itself in 1999 wasn't and isn't Xi Jinping's fault, but as the Party Chairman, his head hangs in the noose for this crime, a weakness that anyone can exploit at any time to get rid of Xi and the Party at the same time. But the problem is that a lot of the western world and Europe and other countries have participated in the persecution, which has targeted 100 million spiritual practitioners and gone so far as to commit the sin of live organ harvesting. And so this means that the situation in China is Mutually Assured Destruction, a real Game of Thrones, and ultimately the Heavens are playing them all for a fool together. So, here's the trade: Expect the $1,936 pivot to hold. (But $1,920 will also work) Buy really here or anywhere under $1,950. Be patient and don't get scared Sell $2,150 Collect 7-12% Buy wine and whiskey and treat your friends Now the kicker is that shorting gold at $2,150-2,170 will be a really good trade, but for the bear case to really apply you want to see a liquidity purge and distribution, rather than a sweep. Like, you want to see a wick or tweezers form on monthly bars, but you want to see gold spend some daily and/or weekly candles distributing and getting knocked down and trying again and getting knocked down over $2,100. Otherwise an ATH that doesn't show signs of having its fever break can go quite literally anywhere, although the macro and timing does not currently make sense for this to be the case at present. One of the best ways to play this is in the GLD ETF. Calls when it trades to about $178.5 with at least 3 months on the contract will print a lot of money closing over $200 if my trade is correct. I can only tell you that the world is in trouble. A bull impulse when breadth is poor, macro conditions are poor, the timing doesn't make sense... all of them should be causes for alarm. One day these distractions won't be maintained anymore and there will be significant problems we all have to face outside of the computer in the real world. To make it through that, you have to be a good person, cultivate virtue, and go back to valuing and maintaining our traditions again.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by LordWrymouth
4
US Dollar $DXY making history?Not long ago we mentioned the current strength in the US #DOLLAR. Since then TVC:DXY has slowly crept higher and it is testing the downtrend. Head & Shoulder top pattern is likely done. It is taking to long & pattern has been in place. 🚨🚨🚨 This is the 1st time that the US Dollar has not broken this major support level in the month it retested! IS it really "Different this time"? Looks like it! Continues #GOLD entering oversold territory but it's likely going lower, waiting to rebuy lots sold. #SILVER maintains its downward trajectory & about to face up trend. Precious metals are suppressed with derivatives. WHY? Higher prices in these show that there are issues in the financial system. HUGE Squeeze coming in future?
TVC:DXY
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Is this Woo-Woo? Absolutely, it is. Get in here.I've not been doing a lot of technical analysis, but I really don't even need to keep up with it! I just come back every few months or years and check out my pitchforks. They're always giving me such an interesting perspective into the market. If my pitchforks align with my love for Wyckoff Cycles (forextraininggroup.com), I trade those. Today, for no reason, I added a little fib fan. I also added some grey boxes which were informed by various fib projections where I think the price action will be a knife fight. I added some red boxes where I lose total interest in a long position. I think the chart speaks for itself! Enjoy.
AMEX:SLVLong
by DonjonCapital
SLV OutlookJust a look at where it's been, and where it can go based on where it's been. Entering one of the oldest seasons we have; realization and dependence on basic things like service and what we use the most. Typically, materials like rocks bring value, cause governments and government made cash doesn't. This season will be different than all others. What has held value the most through all of known time? Beliefs and opinions. So be aware of what beliefs and opinions others hold, and have held through all of time. Who knows, someone else is likely to be more convicted of their beliefs than you , and to such an extent to commit their life to it. Might be good to know what their beliefs are based on, regardless if you agree or not.
AMEX:SLVLong
by undomaturists
4
Silver SI - A Simple Trendline and Levels ScalpSilver's price action has been curious, as it started to drop suddenly right at the beginning of February. Lost 5% in a day, in fact. Gold took a little bit longer to move, and notably dumped on a much smaller magnitude. I have an open call from mid-January that gold is likely to correct, and it appears to be coming to fruition: Gold GC1 - Discard Greed, Enjoy the Tranquility of Rationality The thesis being that the Nasdaq and tech will moon... Nasdaq NQ QQQ - Reality Will Be a Tough Pill for Permabears And as it does, metals will dump, and once the stock market is exhausted then the pump cycle will rotate back into metals, and things will really go. All that being said, I believe that based on Silver's price action that it's dumped for the purpose of short trapping and liquidating longs and is about to make another move up before silver really starts to head down. A warning on China Since January 10, the Chinese Communist Party has claimed that there has been 0.00 new Wuhan Pneumonia/COVID-19 cases. This comes after news that the country was absolutely sacked by the pandemic after Xi Jinping threw away the disastrous COVID-Zero social credit lockdown blunder. The after effects were so significant that countries like South Korea were suddenly blanketed in difficult-to-explain smog , which may very well have come from mainland cremation furnaces being on full blast. What this tells you is that at any moment, any bullish impulse in markets-at-large can be interrupted by big time pandemic problems, up to and including the USSR-style fall of the CCP. So you have to be careful, and you have to be prepared. Mainstream media is not going to alert you that there's any problems with their darling erstwhile model of the world they want to create: the Chinese Communist Party. They'll leave you ignorant until the disaster is sprung on you like a cantilever and you'll be the one who suffers the regrets. If you have heavy long positions you should really hedge with 60+ day 10% OTM puts on the indexes/index ETFs. The call To understand silver, we have to look at the long term price action. Monthly We're dealing with a _very_ wide dealing range between $30 and $12~. '22's low of the year was only $17.50, and any very very bearish scenario below that could see as low as $13. I have reservations that we see $13. I think that in reality a bear impulse on silver might only go as low as $15, and not for very long. On weekly bars, the present situation is more obvious. Weekly We're dealing with a 10+% pullback with both a trendline and the $25 algorithmic/psychological operation figure that went untouched. Not only did $25 go untouched, but they set a double top there before the curiously-timed dump that gold did not follow. Thus, I believe that what the market makers have set up to do is to raid the $25.50 level, perhaps in the period around Tuesday's CPI and into the end of February, before silver retreats back towards $18. The iShares Silver Trust $SLV likewise set a double top, failing to raid the previous daily high by 2 cents. All the stars are aligning, so to speak, and makes a fine trade long over $25 in anticipation of a Lyft-style fakey trendline breakout: LYFT - Buy the Dip, Ride the Lift $22 --> $25.5 is close enough to 15% and in a time horizon that should manifest before February is out. This play will also knock out a ton of short sellers, while bringing in a lot of momentum traders who like to buy highs. The MMs may also use this to drag in the fools who think that the USD is done and that their bullion will reign supreme, despite us living in an era when every central bank wants to install its own digital currency and its own CCP-style social credit system. And thus, if this pump does manifest, you have to mind your greed. Over $25 is a sell and you want to see big manipulation to the downside, because when this Party is very close to being finished, $50+ silver is legitimately coming.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by LordWrymouth
3
💿 iShares Silver Trust | Aims $26, $33 and $44iShares Silver Trust (SLV) is developing a strong bullish bias based on this long-term, monthly, chart. First, Silver peaked in April 2011 (left side of the chart). This is followed by a strong bear market that hit a low in December 2015. This low is tested again March 2020 thanks to Covid. The whole period from late 2015 to early 2020 can be considered a consolidation phase. After the March 2020 low, which set the lowest price since February 2009, a new bullish wave develops. With a higher low set in September 2022 and now strong bullish action/signals developing, Silver is aiming at a higher high. The targets based on Fib. proportions together with EW theory go as follow: 1) $23.4 2) $29.6 3) $33.3 4) $43.8 This setup is invalidated with a monthly close below $13.0. This is super-long-term. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
AMEX:SLVLong
by MasterAnanda
10
AW Silver Long Trade Idea - Based On The Silver and Gold Video..Just another updated long trade idea now that we have confirmation. I will link the Silver and Gold Video down below so you can see what this idea is based on. Trade Parameters: ENTRY: At Market. STOP: $19,894. TARGET: $46 Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
FX_IDC:XAGUSDLong
by AriasWave
AW Silver Long Trade Idea - Based On The Silver and Gold Video..This long trade idea is based on the latest video - THE SILVER & GOLD VIDEO linked below in related ideas. Silver has printed some very clear waves over the last few years and is getting ready for a nice move up. I do not believe Silver will make a new all-time-high in this run up, so shorting at the highs is encouraged. Only trade these moves if you understand the waves especially AriasWave because that is what this idea is based on. I created AriasWave methodology for this specific reason, so that you know what comes next. Confirmation for this move up will come in at break of 21.30. ENTRY: 21.30 (Or at Market) STOP: 18.00 (Critical Support) OR The Low Once 21.30 is surpassed. TARGET: $46.00 Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
FX_IDC:XAGUSDLong
by AriasWave
AW Analysis - THE SILVER AND GOLD VIDEO...In this video I explain exactly what I believe is going on in the grand scheme of things. Everything you have been told about precious metals is a lie. Believe it or not, the waves are going to do what the waves will do. I believe that looking at precious metals as a safe haven asset is a fool's game. Humans will always come up with different reasons why it's a good idea to do anything. You could convince young traders that a warship is their mother. Check it out, let me know what you think. Learn the waves, it will be the best thing you ever did for your trading abilities. Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AriasWave
SILVER Bounce from Support?!Here we are looking at SILVER on the Weekly TF… As you can see, SILVER has been trading within a macro symmetrical triangle structure, which has clear and established support and resistance lines. Silver has been trading within this structure since March of 2020 (COVID—19 Crash). Since then, it has tested descending resistance 5 times on the weekly, and ascending support 3 times (so far). Currently, SILVER is on its way to that support, and I expect it to reach that line soon (relative to the weekly TF candles). While it’s still too early to definitively say, I do believe that SILVER will bounce from support, and make another run to resistance in another attempt to breakout to the upside. 
What do you think SILVER will do next? Let me know in the comments! Cheers!
TVC:SILVERLong
by GarethSolowayOfficial
4
Have Gold and Silver bottomed? What do charts tell us?Gold has had a very healthy pullback into a critical zone. Last year it had a significant move down, took out all the lows around 1700, and bounced hard. Despite interest rates and the US Dollar being much higher than 1-2 years ago, Gold has held extremely well. After its rally since its November bottom, it finally pulled back and got into crucial support. To me, it's critical support because that's where the market topped before the last leg down, and a level around which it chopped for a while before breaking out at the beginning of the year. These levels are also crucial because they acted as resistance in 2011-2012, while this is an area the market traded at for a long time. Gold went in a relatively short period, from oversold, to overbought to back into a fair price (all on the weekly chart timeframe). It looks like it will aim for the 2100 level to sweep the double top that formed right after the Russian invasion, as the current structure doesn't look bearish. It feels pretty unlikely that we will get prices lower than 1700 before we take out the highs first. I would consider a close below 1700 a significantly bearish signal, but until then, I see the market as bullish. As it is now at the yearly pivot, it might have one last dip to fill some of the gaps lower and then start aiming for all the higher gaps, along with the double top, as such blatant double tops tend to be broken. Silver seems to be in a somewhat similar position. Silver has a double top created much more recently and has significant gaps to the upside. In my previous ideas, I discussed Silver going up to 24 and topping around that level. My longs worked, but I never shorted, and I am okay that I didn't because it took the trade a long time to work. Timing in trading matters, and you can't be in a short trade like this for too long. In this case, the market bottomed at massive support, bounced, had a healthy correction, and is now getting closer to support again. The chart is somewhat weird, but I doubt we will see much lower prices before seeing new highs. Both for Gold and Silver, I thought lower prices were possible, but until I see a liquidity crisis begin, I can't call for much lower prices. Both formed excellent bases, especially Silver. Gold to 1300-1400 and Silver to 14-16$ before going higher isn't impossible. However, given what's happening with inflation and the financial system, I doubt it will happen. China and Russia are buying Gold; long-term inflation won't get under control, and the risk of a significant financial crisis is looming. I would say that silver doesn't seem to be in a good situation, mainly due to its industrial demand being heavily impacted and the fact that central banks would only buy gold, not silver. So what's the bull case here for gold and silver? 1. Liquidity cycle turned up. Dollar and rates will come down while money will keep flowing. 2. Tensions among countries leading countries/investors to neutral alternatives. 3. Hedges in case of escalating crises of all sorts. It's possible that due to all the material and labor shortages, investing in stocks isn't ideal. Investing in commodities like Copper might be a better alternative, given their importance in a rapidly changing global economy. Gold and Silver might do very well in an environment of many negative changes but might not outperform some commodities that face major shortages. Below we can see the nice bounce of Copper off support and its clean reclaim of the Yearly pivot. For example, Copper could be one of the great beneficiaries of the transition to the green economy and the Chinese reopening.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BitcoinMacro