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What does AI Fatigue look like for Indices? What is moving lately? Tech stocks in Nasdaq and S&P are down, whereas traditional stocks in the Dow Jones and the smaller-cap stocks in the Russell are holding well. Micro E-Mini Russell Futures and Options Ticker: M2K Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:RTY1!Short
by konhow
#small cap stock ready for upward move?#smallcap stock Dharmraj crop Incorporated in 2015, manufactures and deals in pesticides including concessionaires of public health products for pest control, insecticides, herbicides, fertilizers and allied products related to research and technical formulations. its 1120 cr company with decent PE VS ROCE ratio, FII increase their stake from 5.5% in Mar'24 to 6.97% in June'24. This week it has taken resistance from the important fib level of 349 and if next week it manages to sustain above this level then it can move up to touch 386,410,424,443(imp level). Once it will sustain above 443 I will try to trail to another important fib level of 537. Below this week's low of 290 it will become weak for the time being. Since I am not SEBI registered please do your research before taking trade in this stock. Please let me know your thoughts on this stock or if you want me to analyze any stock for you then please mention in the comments thanks for reading.
NSE:DHARMAJLong
by ssudhirsharma11
MidCap vs. LargeCap. Technical & Fundamental Levels to WatchThe Russell 2000 trailed the S&P 500 significantly in 2023, gaining about 17% compared to a gain of about 24% for the large cap index. That underperformance has spilled over into 2024. As of July 10, 2024 the Russell 2000 YTD is about Zero compared to a 17.75% gain in the S&P 500 (SPX) and 23.50 gain in Nasdaq Composite Index (IXIC). By the way, that valuation measures make the small cap Russell 2000 index much more compelling when compared to the S&P 500. Small caps relative to the S&P 500 on a price-to-book basis is back to where it was in 1999. As of June 30, 2024 small caps price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 2.10, as it described on FTSE Russell 2000 Index Factsheet, while Total US Market (Russell 3000) P/B ratio is 4.42. I'll be brief. Perhaps it will be the briefest brief over the past ten god years I'm here on TV. DON'T MISS IT, AS IT ONE PER LIFE OPPORTUNITY. The main technical graph is ratio between RUT (Russell 2000 Index) and S&P500 Index, and it back to support that was never seen over the past 25 years, since March 1999. What's happened with market at these times? ⭐ Nasdaq Composite Index doubled in price over the next 12 months (March, 1999 - March, 2000), than turned 4x down. ⭐ S&P500 Index printed +20 per cents (March, 1999 - March, 2000), than turned 2x down. ⭐ March 1999 was the absolute low and was a launch point of 12 years of outperformance for Small caps vs Large caps. Will history repeat itself..? Who knows... But personally I believe - Yes, it can.
TVC:RUT
by Pandorra
Small 'n Furious. Early 2020's Signaling A Big Midcap Run AheadThe Russell 2000 trailed the S&P 500 significantly in 2023, gaining about 17% compared to a gain of about 24% for the large cap index. That underperformance has spilled over into 2024. Year-to-date, the Russell 2000 is about 2% compared to a 7% gain in the S&P 500. By the way, that valuation measures make the small cap Russell 2000 index much more compelling when compared to the S&P 500. Small caps relative to the S&P 500 on a price-to-book basis is back to where it was in 1999, which was the absolute low and was a launch point of 12 years of outperformance for small caps. As of January 31, 2024 small caps price-to-book ratio is 2.01, as it described on FTSE Russell 2000 Index Factsheet. Like a sensationally increased shares of Supermicro NASDAQ:SMCI or e.l.f. Beauty Inc NYSE:ELF , I believe many other small cap stocks can be the best ideas for 2024, in part because of that participation in the ongoing stock market rally is improving and is no longer concentrated in just ultra-mega-cap tech stocks, like it was in 2023. If so-called breadth improves in the stock market, then small cap stocks will catch a bid. There are three factors will help to boost small-cap stocks in 2024. First, fund flows into the stock market are necessary for small cap stocks to outperform. If retail funds aren't flowing into the stock market, then funds likely aren't flowing into small cap stocks. That have changed already in late 2023 as investors start to warm up the stock market. To be clear, let's take a look at lower technical graph, so-called "AUM", or AMEX:IWM assets under management chart, that is one of the most important ETFs metrics. While it's been correlated pretty well with IWM price action over the past two years, last December has changed the rule, as managed assets smartly jumped to almost historical highs. Second, small cap stocks are highly levered and tend to have a higher cost of capital, so a decline or no more hikes in interest rates should benefit small cap stocks much more than large cap stocks. To be clear, let's compare two graphs: for actual U.S. Interest Rate and Expected on Dec, 2024 Interest Rate. Finally, an expansion in economic growth could be a "huge tailwind" for small cap stocks as they are highly exposed to the domestic economy. An overlooked area of the stock market is set to soar in 2024 after significantly underperforming the S&P 500 last year. In technical terms, AMEX:IWM graph is near to break its 52- and 104-weeks highs, to deliver the price 50 percent higher after a breakthrough, like it did it before, on the hottest ever edge of 2020 and 2021.
AMEX:IWM
by Pandorra
6
Russell 2000 Breaks 52-Weeks Highs, Recovering from Bearish HugsSmall caps still look like good long-term play despite Russell 2000 backlog in the first half of 2024 vs Large Cap S&P500 Index (SPX) and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) and Nasdaq-100 indices (SPX). As of July 10, 2024 the Russell 2000 YTD return was about Zero compared to a 17.75% gain in the S&P 500 (SPX) and 23.50% gain in Nasdaq Composite Index (IXIC). By the way, that valuation measures make the small cap Russell 2000 index much more compelling when compared to the S&P 500. Thursday was a historically strange day in the stock market. That may be good news. 👉 The Russell 2000 rose more than 3%, while struggles for Big Tech stocks weighed on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. At the same time, every stock in the so-called Magnificent Seven fell, including a more than 5% decline for Nvidia and a 2.3% drop for Apple, which dragged down both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. 👉 Thursday was just the 2nd day in history since 1979 when the Russell 2000 rose more than 3% while the S&P 500 declined. The split trading came after the June report for the consumer price index early Thursday showed headline inflation declined last month and is now up about 3% over the past year. 👉 The Nasdaq Composite underperformed the Russell 2000 by more than 5 percentage points in what appears to be largest ever daily gap on record. The only other time the gap came in above 5 percentage points was in November 2020 (where broad stock rally began), right after Pfizer shared positive results from a Covid-19 vaccine trial. What is The Russell 2000 Index in US stock market universe?! 👉 The Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the US equity universe. The Russell 2000 Index is a subset of the Russell 3000 Index. 👉 The Russell 2000 Index represents just as low as 7% of the total market capitalization, however it includes approximately 2,000 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership (appr. two-third of The Russell 3000 Index components). 👉 The Russell 2000 is constructed to provide a comprehensive and unbiased small-cap barometer and is completely reconstituted annually to ensure larger stocks do not distort the performance and characteristics of the true small-cap opportunity set. Russell 2000 Index characteristics (as of June 30, 2024) Price/Book: 2.10 Dividend Yield: 1.44 P/E Ex-Neg Earnings: 16.90 EPS Growth - 5 Years: 14.14 Number of Holdings Russell 2000: 1,921 Russell 2000 Index Technical aspects In technical terms Russell 2000 Breaks 52-Weeks Highs, Recovering from Bearish Hugs
FX:US2000
by Pandorra
Chota Packet Bada Dhamaka Supreme Power Equipment LtdTransformer Market size is valued at USD 54 billion in 2022 and is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 7.2% between 2023 and 2032. o Large scale integration of renewable energy sources coupled with increasing electrification programs primarily across the emerging economies will accelerate the industry scenario. o Expanding urban infrastructure to proliferate product demand for commercial & industrial applications Power transformer market from the commercial & industrial applications segment is expected to exhibit nearly 7% growth rate between 2023 and 2032. o The global power transformer market size was valued at $27.7 billion in 2019, and is expected to reach $50.8 billion by 2027, registering a CAGR of 7.9% from 2020 to 2027. Indian Transformer Market Size o The India transformer market is expected to rise at a CAGR of more than 5% during the forecast period. o The Transformer market in India can be pegged at more than INR 12,000 Crores. Power Transformers contribute 45 percent of the total market and distribution transformers, 55 percent. o Anticipating the huge domestic, requirement of power sector expansion and overseas demand, the transformer industry in India has more than doubled its manufacturing capacity over the last five years. o Transformer manufacturing capacity in India stands at ~370 GVA with capacity utilization rates hovering around 60- 70 percent on an average over the last 5 years. Power Sector o India is the third-largest producer and consumer of electricity worldwide, with an installed power capacity of 416.59 GW as of April 30, 2023. o India's power generation witnessed its highest growth rate in over 30 years in FY23. Power generation in India increased by 8.87% to 1,624.15 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) in FY23. o According to data from the Ministry of Power, India's power consumption stood at 130.57 BU in April, 2023. o The peak power demand in the country stood at 226.87 GW in April, 2023. Attractive Opportunities In Union Budget 2023-24, the government allocated US$ 885 million (Rs. 7,327 crore) for the solar power sector including grid, off-grid, and PM-KUSUM projects. • To meet India’s 500 GW renewable energy target and tackle the annual issue of coal demand supply mismatch, the Ministry of Power has identified 81 thermal units which will replace coal with renewable energy generation by 2026. In Budget 2023-24, Government has committed an outlay of Rs. 10 lakh crore (US$ 120 billion) during 2023-24 towards infrastructure capital expenditure compared to Rs. 7.5 lakh crore (US$ 90 billion) (BE) during 2022–23. Company has reduced debt. Company is almost debt free. Company has delivered good profit growth of 108% CAGR over last 5 years. Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 67.2%. Debtor days have improved from 114 to 83.3 days. Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 87.0 days to 67.8 days
NSE:SUPREMEPWRLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
8
Oatly Whats likely, More Price Decline or Bottom reached?Hi Guys. This is a Technical Analysis Update on Oatly, (OTLY). On the 1 Week Timeframe. We are in a critical area for OTLY. We have continued our DECLINE from the REJECTION area With last weeks candle close, We have CLOSED BELOW the "MAJOR SUPPORT" Area. This candle close isn't enough information to assess what comes next. The next week or the next couple weeks we need CONFIRMATION. So its important to observe what happens next. So couple of scenarios can occur: 1. We confirm back ABOVE the MAJOR SUPPORT line. Leading to the formation of a DOUBLE BOTTOM pattern. This would confirm our bottom for OTLY, and we start to move back up to Resistance levels. 2. We CONFIRM our break BELOW the MAJOR SUPPORT. Leading to not only ALL TIME LOWS, but the potential for the DESCENDING Triangle to play out. If thats the case, we can go as LOW as $0.40 cents. But without data points, its hard to assess if we do go down that far or stop before. Notice also the "Bullish Divergence Trendline" on Price action. This line coincides with our "Measured Target". Could be an area where we bounce from and be a potential Bottom area. 3. Ideal scenario would be we come down a bit lower from the Major SUPPORT Line and start our way back up ABOVE "Major Support". This would form a "Head" and play into a potential bottoming pattern, the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern. The First green circle indicating our 1st bottom of potential double bottom, would be our left shoulder. Watch also the RSI. We are nearing a Support test on the "Bullish DIVERGENCE" trendline. We want this to stay as support. We don't want a break and confirmation BELOW the RED dashed line. It could negate our Bullish Divergence Trend. The STOCH RSI is also something to watch. We have traveled BELOW the 20 level. Extended stay below here, would indicate further Price DECLINES. We would like to see a BUllish cross back ABOVE 20 level for Bullish Momentum to come in and push prices back up. If we do get a cross, then Double bottom is likely. We need to stay level headed as OTLY bottoms out. Take it one step at a time with an objective mindset. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on OTLY in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:OTLYShort
by SafofAllTrades
7
U.S. Small Cap 3000 makes new ATH but U.S. Small Cap 2000 lagsU.S. Small Cap 3000 - TVC:RUA ✅A new ATH breaking above the Dec 2022 ATH U.S. Small Cap 2000 - TVC:RUT 🚨Continues to demonstrate relative weakness Light Blue by area on the chart 🔵 The U.S. small cap 3000 finally caught up with the other major indices such as the SP:SPX and NASDAQ:NDX as it previously has been demonstrating relative weakness failing to make new highs. That changed with the close of last week. The U.S. Small Caps 3000 index is inclusive of the large cap 1000 Index. The 3000 index also uses market capitalization-weighted methodology. This means the larger 1000 companies have a greater impact on the indexes performance. This may explain why the 3000 index is out performing the 2000 small caps index by a wide margin. The Small caps 2000 is a better representation of the of small-cap stocks/businesses whose market capitalization is about $250 million to $2 billion 🧐 So the 1000 Large-Cap stocks direct the majority of the small cap 3000 index's performance. The heavy spearhead of the index is the 1000 large caps. The S&P 500 Index tracks the largest 500 publicly traded companies, with exposure to 80% of U.S. stocks, compared to the U.S. Small Cap 3000’s 96% in U.S. Stocks 🧐 So the small caps 3000 index is a very concentrated index made up of primarily large U.S. stocks, even more concentrated by the S&P500 Divergence in Progress On this chart you can see that in Dec 2022 the U.S. Small Cap 3000 index made a new high whilst the 2000 index made a lower high. This was a warning signal at the time that prices were about to roll over. This is not a guaranteed signal however it is something to watch out for and it appears to be in progress again at present. We can add it to our armory of risk indicators that can, when used in aggregate, help inform us of probable outcomes (not guaranteed outcomes). One would hope the Small Cap 2000 would base here or make a new high. We can continue to watch these two indexes and see how they move together for an indication of things to come. You can find this chart on TradingView and hit play to see how they are moving in lockstep. PUKA
TVC:RUA
by PukaCharts
$IWM $145 before $400+?I know everyone is getting excited about IWM as it's rallied a lot over the last couple of months, but I think it'll face some pain in the coming weeks before it really starts to outperform. I am of the mindset that everything has it's cycle and I do think that going into the next bull market, that QQQ and SPY will underperform relative to IWM. That said, I think IWM will have a 25% correction before the bull market really begins. However after that happens, I think IWM will go to hit new highs and top around $400 sometime in 2025-2026. Support = $145 Resistance = ~$400
AMEX:IWM
by benjihyam
IWN Russel Index ETF ShortIWN on the reliable daily chart has been trending down for two in a descending channel as shown on the chart with upper and lower trendlines drawn with the tool. The Stochastic RSI oscillates in the interval between oversold and over bought and presently is well overbought at nearly 100. While the RSI may double top like it did in July, it is at least right now at the first top. The zero lag MACD is confirmatory with a K/D line cross well above the histogram. I will play this by buying a put option at a strike of $ 150 for October 24 If Biden tries to prompt up the market to gain a re- election and is successful, this will get stopped out. If interest rates are not pulled back by the fed soon, small caps will continue to get crushed. On the other hand when rates are pulled back, they will be nimble and recover quicker than the large caps and it will get stopped out. I think the fed will pullback rates to help Biden out, although the fed is not partisan ? Oil prices in their downward trend lend support to a slow fall off in the inflation rate. What goes for IWN also goes for DIA.
AMEX:IWNShort
by AwesomeAvani
OPRA drops after earnings beat LONGOPRA on the 30-minute chart dropped after an earnings beat as apparently a lot of traders expected better. The volume profile shows the vast majority of the trading occurred in the 12.75 to 13.05 range. This heavy accumulation should result in price movement in due time per Wycoff. I believe that a long trade is setup for a Fibonacci retracement of the drop into the middle levels and so 14.75 as shown by the indicator on the chart. The mass index indicator reached the reversal zone and then triggered with a drop below it confirming a probable reversal. The MACD shows bullish divergence. I will place a market order with a stop loss at 12.0 just below the POC line which is below present market price. This is a safe 10-13% trade which may take into the beginning of next week. I will take call option contracts as well.
NASDAQ:OPRALong
by AwesomeAvani
Why are investors turning their attention to mid-cap stocks?This will be the 2 questions we will be discussing today 1. So, what is happening on this divergence and its implication? 2. And who is leading who? a. Large cap leading the mid-to-small cap market? Or b. The mid-to-small cap leading the large cap market? The answer: The mid-to-small cap is leading the large cap market and why is it so? If recession hits, hypothetically mid-to-small cap stocks employing the majority of the work force or employees in United States will be the most affected, this huge workforce is also considered as the mass consumer. The large cap stocks, their business depends on the mass consumer. If the mass consumers start to tighten their belts, the large cap stocks revenue will also be affected subsequently. Some reference for traders: E-mini S&P MidCap 400 & Option: Outright: 0.10 index points = $10.00 Micro E-mini S&P MidCap 400: CME ClearPort: 0.05 index points = $0.50 E-mini Russell 2000 & Option: Outright: 0.10 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Russell 200 Outright: 0.10 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:EMD1!Short
by konhow
2
WISH Continuation of Momentum LONGWISH had a great day to finish out this past trading week. On the 15-minute day, two highs are drawn as horizontal resistance using the high candles with the wicks as "tweezer tops" while the support is drawn as a green line at a pair of "tweezer bottoms" I see this as a bullish continuation play for next week. A stop loss is set below the support line at $8.30 with a buy order placed at $.05 above the current market. Targets are $.05 below each of the resistance lines with an approximate reward to risk of 15X. This is a volatile small cap with the typical high-risk and high-reward scenario. I will take call options at the strike $ 7.5 for expiration on 5/5 expecting a return on risk of at least 75% leveraging the expected return on a similar stock trade.
WLong
by AwesomeAvani
1