Get started

Smartmoney

GBP/USD: Bullish Short-Term Move Towards Liquidity at 1.2700📊 Market Structure & Key Levels GBP/USD is currently trading around 1.2650, sitting at a key demand zone while maintaining a bullish structure on the 4H timeframe. The pair has been showing signs of accumulation and could be setting up for a liquidity grab towards 1.2700 - 1.2708 before any potential reaction. 🔍 Trade Setup: Bullish Bias Towards Liquidity Pool BUY Entry Zone: 1.2640 - 1.2650 Target 1 (TP1): 1.2690 (Minor Liquidity Grab) Target 2 (TP2): 1.2700 - 1.2708 (Institutional Resistance) Stop Loss (SL): 1.2625 (Below Demand Zone & Fibonacci Support) 📈 Why Take This Trade? ✔️ Bullish Structure Intact – Price is above key moving averages (6 EMA, 24 EMA, 72 EMA), and the Supertrend remains bullish. ✔️ Institutional Liquidity at 1.2700+ – Major market players have orders sitting above this level, making it a prime target. ✔️ Demand Zone & Fibonacci Support – Price is reacting from 1.2640-1.2650, aligning with Fibonacci retracement and historical demand zones. ✔️ Order Flow Confirms Strength – Market depth shows strong buy-side interest at current levels, supporting a push higher. 📰 High-Impact News to Watch ⚠️ Fed Chair Powell Testimony (Feb 27, 2025) – Powell's remarks on inflation and future rate hikes could bring volatility to GBP/USD. Any hints of a hawkish Fed stance may strengthen the USD, leading to potential pullbacks. ⚠️ UK GDP Data (Feb 29, 2025) – A weaker-than-expected print could weigh on GBP, while a positive surprise might fuel further upside. 📌 Final Thoughts: Trade Smart & Manage Risk! I’m keeping a close eye on the reaction at 1.2700-1.2708. Bulls have the upper hand, and liquidity above should get taken. Let’s see how price action unfolds! 🔥 What’s your bias? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
Long
by LDForex_
2
EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse. Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area. If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected. Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias 📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March. 🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return 🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%) 🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation. 💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias. 4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge 🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade. 🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data. 🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning. 🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside. 5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators ✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart. ✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. ✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone. 💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position. 6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY 🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning. 🔹 Trade Setup: Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection) Stop Loss: Above 157.26 Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00 🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short. 🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup. 📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Short
by LDForex_