XAUUSD Daily Outlook – July 7, 2025👋 Hey traders, welcome to the fresh week! After the Friday selloff, gold is approaching a key inflection point. Let’s break down what’s happening on the Daily chart and how to approach it with clarity — no guessing, just precision.
Stay focused. The real opportunity is always in how you prepare.
🌍 Macro + Sentiment
Market remains sensitive to yield shifts and broader risk sentiment (BRICS summit also continues)
Price remains elevated in premium territory after months of vertical flow — but structure is finally showing re-accumulation or re-distribution?
📈 Daily Bias
Neutral to bearish until the 3330–3344 zone fully flips cleanly as support
Structure shows lower highs, strong wick rejections in premium zones, and a need for confirmation
🧠 What the chart tells us:
Price is compressing between a D1 FVG (below) and unfilled premium OB (above)
Friday’s low wicked into a small imbalance — but was not a clean tap into the main OB
RSI is midrange, EMAs are flat, and momentum is indecisive
We're either gearing up for a bullish FVG reclaim or prepping for a deeper drop into discount
⚠️ Key Zones to Watch
🔵 Support Zones (Buy Zones)
3230–3208
→ D1 Fair Value Gap + unmitigated bullish OB + discount pricing
→ Valid only with clean bullish rejection. High interest for sniper entries if price returns.
3170–3154
→ Untapped daily OB + historical support wick + aligns with deeper discount zone
→ Stronger bounce zone if 3230 fails. Confluence with fib retracement & RSI likely oversold here.
🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Zones)
3420–3450
→ Premium FVG + D1 OB combo + previous bearish rejection wick
→ High probability inducement area. Valid only if price fails to hold 3344 flip.
3388–3402
→ Minor supply + internal structure break level
→ Short-term reaction area. Lower conviction but watch for rejection if price overextends.
🟡 Decision / Flip Zone
3327–3344
→ Former support now turned resistance
→ If this zone flips bullish and holds, bias shifts to continuation. If rejection occurs, confirms retracement deeper into discount.
✅ Conclusion
The market is entering a decision week — no rush. Let the chart guide you.
Clarity comes not from prediction, but preparation. This chart isn’t hindsight — it’s a live framework.
✨ Final Thought
If this chart feels clear, that’s because it was built with intention — not after the move, but before it happens.
The difference between noise and precision is structure.
And we don’t guess — we prepare.
🚀 If you appreciate detailed, real-time structure like this, hit follow and join the traders who value clean execution over hype.
💬 Drop your bias below — bullish or bearish this week?
📢 Disclosure: I use Trade Nation's broker feed on TradingView and I'm part of their influencer program.
📉 This is educational content and not financial advice.
Smartmoney
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | July 7–11, 2025“The market always whispers before it roars. The wise trader listens to structure.”
Hello beautiful minds 💬
We enter the second week of July with strong macro undercurrents and new structure shifts beginning to show. While the U.S. celebrated Independence Day, the market quietly set up key zones for next week’s liquidity sweep.
🔸 Macro & Geopolitical Overview
🟠 Geopolitics: Tensions continue post-BRICS Summit, with a focus on further de-dollarization talks.
💰 U.S. Economy: Consumer credit and NFIB small business confidence to kick off the week.
🔔 Big catalysts:
Wednesday: Fed speeches (Mouslem, Waller, Daly)
Thursday: Unemployment Claims + Bond Auction
Friday: Federal Budget Balance (a key fiscal stress indicator)
📉 Expect spikes in volatility mid-week and dollar reactions post-FOMC speeches.
🔸 WEEKLY BIAS:
Still bullish to neutral, but momentum is cooling inside a premium rejection range.
Price broke structure to the upside in May-June, forming a new weekly higher high (HH) above 3380 — but failed to hold convincingly above the volume imbalance (void zone) around 3430–3480.
We are now rejecting premium and hovering just under the 3327 level — previous institutional support and the midpoint of the weekly FVG.
🔹 Weekly Key Zones
🟢 Support zone to watch (buy interest)
3204–3230 = Weekly FVG + equilibrium retrace + EMA50 rising
This is the main discount reaction zone. If price taps in with bullish PA, we look for bullish continuation toward 3327 then 3380.
🟡 Mid-level (decision point)
3327 = prior key support now acting as resistance
Watch how price reacts here — if it flips cleanly with a daily close, short-term bullish pressure may return.
🔴 Supply zone / resistance (sell interest)
3420–3480 = Weekly FVG + premium OB + liquidity sweep zone
This is the main premium rejection area. If tapped again without strong volume or fundamentals, this may fuel a swing short setup.
🔸 What This Means for You
This week is about patience and precision. The cleanest setups may come after volatility spikes during Fed speeches. Structure will tell — but emotional control will confirm.
If you feel like you’ve been chasing trades lately… this is the week to reset.
Focus only on sniper setups. Wait for them to form. Let others rush.
🔚 Final Words from the Team
Clarity beats chaos. Always. This weekly map is your compass — now it’s your job to wait, watch, and act with precision.
🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for structured gold planning that respects both price and time.
🗨️ Drop a comment with your bias — bullish or bearish this week?
—
📌 Disclosure: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects market structure at the time of writing. No financial advice.
CAD-CHF Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 0.5832 so we are locally
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a local bullish move up
Buy!
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GBP-AUD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a retest of
The horizontal resistance
Around 2.0800 from where
We will be expecting a
Local bearish move down
Sell!
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EUR_NZD LOCAL SHORT|
✅EUR_NZD is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 1.9488
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 1.9420
SHORT🔥
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USD-CAD Local Rebound! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD is trading in a
Strong downtrend but
The pair made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 1.3540 from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound and we
Will be expecting a
Further move up
Buy!
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USDCAD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
USDCAD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USDCAD
Entry Level - 1.3605
Sl - 1.3575
Tp - 1.3668
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZDCAD: Market of Buyers
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy NZDCAD.
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AUDUSD: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the AUDUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
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GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3335.9
Stop - 3338.8
Take - 3330.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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US30 SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅DOW JONES is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 45,077
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 44,500
SHORT🔥
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EUR-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair broke
The key horizontal level
Of 169.814 and the breakout
Is confirmed so after a potential
Retest of the support cluster
Of the rising and horizontal
Support lines below we will
Be expecting a bullish continuation
Buy!
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Gold (XAUUSD) – July 4: Structure Shift & Short BiasYesterday’s price action (July 3) delivered a crucial structure break that changes our short-term trading outlook.
We were expecting a bullish continuation with a clean break above the 3365 M15 swing high .
Price reached as high as 3364, but failed to break the high — showing early signs of exhaustion.
Then came the PMI news release, triggering a sharp drop that broke the M15 Higher Low and shifted structure.
🔻 Structure Has Shifted
As of today, July 4, the intraday market structure has flipped from bullish to bearish.
✅ M15 trend: Now in a confirmed downtrend
✅ H4 trend: Entering a pullback phase
❌ Previous bullish continuation setup is invalidated
We now adjust our approach to align with the new structure — not the old expectation.
📉 Updated Bias: Short
With M15 and H4 now aligned in pullback, our active bias is bearish.
This means:
• We are not planning any long trades until structure shifts back
• Focus shifts to short setups only, executed with discipline
🔍 Intraday Short Setup Plan – July 4
We are watching for price to retrace into valid M15 POI zones before resuming the downtrend.
🔸 First zone to watch:
• 3348–3352 → M15 POI with strong probability for rejection
🔹 Execution Rule:
→ If price enters this zone
→ And we see M1 confirmation (ChoCh + micro BoS)
→ We will plan a short entry, with structure-based SL and minimum 1:3 RR
🎯 Downside Levels Ahead:
If bearish momentum continues, the next potential reversal/support zone is:
📍 3280–3285
→ This will be a key area to observe for signs of exhaustion or base formation
→ Until then, trend remains valid to the downside
🧭 Final Thoughts:
This shift from bullish to bearish bias is a textbook example of why we follow structure — not predictions .
The market gave a clean BoS at 3358, but failed to follow through.
Instead of forcing the long, we’ve now flipped bias in line with the chart’s reflection.
📖 Let the chart guide your thinking.
Structure reveals the direction.
Confirmation controls the execution.
The chart is the mirror.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is the Mirror: Mastering Gold with Structure, Stillness, and Price Action
AUD_JPY RISKY SHORT|
✅AUD_JPY is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 95.600
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 95.081
SHORT🔥
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SILVER Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend but the price will
Soon hit a horizontal resistance
Area around 37,32$ from
Where we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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GBP_CAD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅GBP_CAD broke the key structure level of 1.8580
While trading in an local downtrend
Which makes me bearish
And as the retest of the level is complete
Bearish continuation will follow
SHORT🔥
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EUR-AUD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD was trading along
The rising support line but
Now we are seeing a bearish
Breakout so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDNZD: Short Trading Opportunity
AUDNZD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short AUDNZD
Entry Point - 1.0834
Stop Loss - 1.0850
Take Profit - 1.0802
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUDJPY: Short Trade Explained
AUDJPY
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell AUDJPY
Entry Level - 95.193
Sl - 95.477
Tp - 94.658
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPAUD: Growth & Bullish Continuation
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current GBPAUD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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EURUSD: Expecting Bullish Continuation! Here is Why:
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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Gold Setup for July 3th: Don’t Get Caught in the Liquidity Net🌙 Good evening, sniper — lock in, load up, and let’s dance with Thursday’s chaos 💣
🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Pulse
Thursday’s setup is not for amateurs:
🔸 Non-Farm Employment Change
🔸 Unemployment Rate
🔸 Initial Jobless Claims
🔸 ISM Services PMI
🔸 Factory Orders
Add to that:
• A Fed still talking tough on rates
• Geopolitical flare-ups in the Black Sea and Middle East
• Gold trading deep into premium…
💡 This is where markets hunt weak hands, then flip direction without mercy.
We don’t chase candles. We wait for exhaustion. Then we execute.
🎯 Bias Snapshot (D1 → H4 → H1)
• Daily closed bullish but deep into old CHoCH + OB
• H4 printed HHs, but structure now presses into stacked supply
• H1 shows momentum fading — RSI divergence + weakening push
📌 Core bias: Still bullish — but every pip above 3360 is loaded with risk.
If 3380 fails to break cleanly, expect rejection.
If it breaks — the market likely wants full liquidity above 3400.
🗺️ Battlefield Zones
🟢 Buy Zone #1 – 3310 to 3320
The sniper’s discount pullback: Fibo 38.2%, M30 OB, EMA 50, and clean imbalance.
Wait for news spike + bullish confirmation to go long.
🟢 Buy Zone #2 – 3285 to 3295
The deep reaction zone.
Fibo 61.8% + OB + gap. Enter only on violent wick and rejection — but RR is exceptional.
🟡 Flip Zone – 3334 to 3340
This is where momentum flips:
• Hold above = continuation toward premium
• Break below = bearish reversal unlocked
No entries here — this is your compass, not your trigger.
🔴 Sell Zone #1 – 3357 to 3366
Classic CHoCH retest. H1/H4 OB with layered liquidity.
If price rejects here on post-news spike — short it back toward the flip.
🔴 Sell Zone #2 – 3387 to 3395
Top-of-range sweep.
If gold blows through zone 1, this becomes liquidity trap central.
Wait for rejection wick + bearish PA confirmation.
🔴 Sell Zone #3 – 3410 to 3420
The final premium kill zone.
This is where the market finishes stop-hunting every breakout buyer.
Fibo extension 1.272–1.618 hits here. If we wick this zone and stall — sniper short back to 3380–3366.
⚔️ Execution Blueprint
Wait for news to trigger the chaos — early entries are a donation.
Short 3357–3366 on exhaustion → target flip zone.
If price overextends into 3387–3395, get ready for the reversal play.
Extreme spike to 3410–3420? That’s your killshot short — ride it back down.
If price retraces into 3310–3320, it’s your safe sniper long.
Panic into 3285–3295? Deep long entry, only with confirmation.
Watch the flip zone (3334–3340) — above = bullish bias holds; below = bears back in control.
🎯 No guesswork. No hope. Just precision. Wait, confirm, and strike.
💬 Let’s stay sharp tomorrow — market will offer clean setups, but patience and clarity are key.
If this plan helped, drop a comment or share your thoughts below.
👉 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry plans crafted with precision.
Smash that🚀🚀🚀 if this plan sharpened your edge.
📝 You already know — we don’t guess, we execute. 🦅
Good night, snipers 💛
⚠️ Disclosure
I’m part of TradeNation’s Influencer Program and use their TradingView charts for analysis & educational content.
XAUUSD – July 3 Live Setup | Price at M15 POIGold has been moving in line with our bullish bias over the past few sessions.
Yesterday’s break above the 3358 M15 level gave us a clean Break of Structure (BoS) — confirming short-term bullish momentum within the larger framework.
After this strong push upward, the market is now retracing.
Price is currently entering a high-probability pullback zone: 3340–3342 (M15 POI).
This is a textbook base structure setup — where we wait for price to return to a valid zone after structure shift, and only act after confirmation on the lower timeframe.
🔍 Setup in Play:
Current Bias:
• M15 Trend: Bullish
• H4 Context: Bullish (after recent HTF shift)
• Market State: Pullback phase after BoS
Key Zone in Focus:
• 3340–3342 – M15 POI (zone of interest for continuation)
We are not entering blindly .
We are waiting for confirmation on M1 — specifically:
✅ ChoCh (Change of Character)
✅ Followed by a micro BoS
Only then do we consider a long entry — and even then, risk must be managed through proper R:R and structure anchoring.
🎯 Target:
If M1 confirmation occurs, the expected short-term target is 3365 — the next clean M15 structural high.
⚠️ Risk Conditions:
If price breaks below the POI without M1 confirmation — or aggressively violates the zone — the setup is invalid.
In that case, we simply step aside and reassess.
This is process-driven execution:
No need to predict.
No need to chase.
Just observe, confirm, and execute with structure.
📖 This is how we let the chart do the work.
The process protects us.
Structure invites us.
Stillness refines us.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders