Smart Money Entry Triggered – TP1 & TP2 in SightPrice broke a clean demand zone, which was previously respected as a reaction level, and indicated signs of accumulation. Following a corrective pullback, the buyers returned — consistent with higher time frame bullish structure.
???? Important Zones:
Demand Zone: 3,312 – 3,310 → Smart money re-entry area of interest
Sell Zone: 3,310 – 3,304 → Invalid if price breaks and closes below
TP-1: 3,318 → First liquidity zone
TP-2: 3,325 → Breakout continuation target
???? Bias:
Bullish as long as price remains above the demand zone.
Invalidation if price closes firmly below 3,304.
???? Strategy Summary:
Entry: 3,312 (within demand zone)
SL: 3,304.50 (below structure & sell zone)
TP1: 3,318
TP2: 3,325
This is a clean smart money chart with obvious risk-to-reward logic. If you benefited from it, leave your view in the comments!
Smartmoney
GBPCAD: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of GBPCAD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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EURGBP: Bears Will Push
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURGBP pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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EURUSD Mirror Market Concept – Retest Before Bullish Expansion 🔍 Analysis Summary:
This EUR/USD setup is constructed using the Mirror Market Concept (MMC), which identifies price behavior patterns that tend to "mirror" across central zones or key support/resistance levels. The chart highlights multiple "Ellipse + Central Zone" regions that represent strong consolidation and price decision areas, reflecting symmetry in market reactions.
📈 Key Technical Insights:
Central Zones & Ellipses: These are repeated zones where price action has shown symmetry in both accumulation and distribution phases. Watch how these ellipses mirror prior moves, indicating likely zones of reaction.
Previous Target & Reversal Area : The market completed a leg to the previous target (around 1.1410), followed by a rejection from a major resistance zone, initiating a reversal. This aligns with the Mirror Market structure, where the move downward reflects the previous bullish leg.
Support Level: A significant support zone has been marked near the 1.1275 level. Price action reversed from here, respecting this base and forming a reversal zone.
Retesting Phase: After bouncing from support, the price is entering a retesting phase around the 1.1330 level (identified ellipse). This retest is critical—if held, it could trigger bullish continuation.
Major BOS (Break of Structure): Once price breaks and sustains above the 1.1360–1.1380 region, it will confirm the BOS and pave the way toward the final Target Zone at 1.1450–1.1470.
🎯 Trade Plan Overview:
Bullish Scenario: Look for confirmation of support near 1.1320–1.1330 during the retest. If price holds and forms bullish structure (e.g., higher lows, bullish engulfing), consider long setups targeting 1.1450.
Bearish Invalidator: A breakdown and close below the support level at 1.1275 would invalidate the bullish bias and call for reevaluation of the setup.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This analysis reflects the mirror behavior of price and the market psychology around equilibrium zones. MMC provides a structured way to anticipate future price action by understanding how historical reactions unfold. Watch key zones and wait for confirmation before engaging.
XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – Smart Money Setup with Key Zones & Target 🧠 Market Summary:
This chart shows a classic Smart Money Concept (SMC) play. We're looking at how big players (banks, institutions) trap retail traders, push price through liquidity zones, and move toward their real targets.
📌 Detailed Breakdown:
1️⃣ Ellipse Zone (Left Side – Accumulation Phase)
This shaded ellipse shows where price was moving sideways in a tight range. This is a classic accumulation zone, meaning big players were quietly building their long positions.
✅ Price stayed in this range from May 20–21 before breaking out with strong bullish candles.
👉 What this means: Institutions are loading up. Once they’re filled, they push price upward fast.
2️⃣ Central Zone of Market (Green Diamond)
After the breakout, price made a small pause/retest, which we marked with a green diamond.
This is a re-accumulation area—a temporary consolidation before another push up. It’s also a mid-point, showing the “central engine” of this price move.
👉 What this means: Market still bullish here, collecting more orders.
3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (Top of Chart)
Price reached this supply zone near 3,360–3,370 and immediately faced strong rejection.
You can see:
Long wicks at the top
Bearish pressure stepping in
Start of a curve formation
👉 What this means: Big players are offloading their long positions and preparing for a reversal.
4️⃣ Rounded Top Curve (Distribution Phase)
Notice the arc shape drawn over the candles.
This is a distribution pattern — a rounding top that shows price is topping out slowly. It’s often a sign that smart money is exiting while trapping late buyers.
🔻Price then dropped aggressively, breaking structure.
5️⃣ BOS (Break of Structure)
A major bearish signal occurred here.
Price broke a recent low and created a BOS (Break of Structure) — a strong confirmation that the market has shifted from bullish to bearish.
👉 What this means: Now we look for retracement entries to go short.
6️⃣ 50% Retracement + Reversal Area
After the BOS, price pulled back to the 50% Fibonacci level and hit a small resistance zone (highlighted in purple). This is a classic area for smart entries.
✅ This level rejected price again — showing bearish confirmation.
7️⃣ Target Zone – 3,330.055
A clean, well-defined target area where:
Liquidity rests
Previous orders may get triggered
Market could react strongly
👉 If price pushes into this zone again, expect a reaction (either continuation or a reversal).
8️⃣ Support Zone – 3,290.345
This is your final support zone if the market continues to drop.
If price breaks this support, it could open room for a larger bearish move.
🎯 Trading Plan (Example):
📈 If price retraces to 3,330.055 and shows rejection → consider short setup
📉 Watch 3,290.345 for bounce or breakdown
❌ Invalidation: Break above 3,370 (major resistance)
💡 Bonus Tip – Trading Psychology:
“Smart money doesn’t chase. It waits for the trap to be set, then strikes with precision.”
Stay patient. Don’t rush entries. Let price come to your zones.
🏁 Summary:
This chart is a full example of smart money manipulation, showing:
Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Breakdown
BOS + 50% retrace = high-probability short
Key zones: 3,330 (Target) & 3,290 (Support)
📢 Don’t Forget:
If this analysis helped, drop a like, share, or comment your view below!
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #Minds #ForexStrategy #GoldSetup #SMC #LiquidityZones
EUR_AUD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EUR_AUD price grew again
To retest the resistance of 1.7640
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Dow Jones Index Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US30 index keeps going up
But the price will soon hit
A strong horizontal resistance
Level around 42,876 from where
We will be expecting a local
Pullback and a move down
Sell!
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EUR-AUD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD made a retest
Of the key horizontal
Resistance level of 1.7640
From where we are already
Seeing a bearish pullback so
As we are locally bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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AUD_USD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅AUD_USD is trading along
The rising support line
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above 0.6460
LONG🚀
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OSCR 1W — When the Chart Speaks Before the FundamentalsThe Oscar Health chart is currently forming a textbook cup and handle — a long-term reversal structure that has completed its base and is now breaking out of the consolidation zone. The bullish structure is confirmed through price action, volume, and positioning relative to key moving averages.
The price has broken through the upper boundary of the handle, shaped as a descending wedge. The breakout is accompanied by increased volume — a clear sign of capital rotation out of accumulation. All major moving averages (EMA, MA50, MA200, WMA) are trending upward, and the price is holding above them all, confirming the bullish momentum.
According to Fibonacci extension levels, drawn from the historical low of $1.50 to the peak near $23.26, the first wave target stands at $36.71 (1.618 level), with an extended target at $45.02 (2.0 level).
Structurally, the setup suggests a medium-term scenario pointing from current levels toward the $36–45 range, with the potential to repeat the kind of explosive move seen during the 2023 phase, when the price increased more than sixfold.
On the fundamental side, Oscar Health is actively recovering: in 2024, revenue grew by more than 50%, net losses were cut nearly in half, and the client base continued to expand. The company is strengthening its share in the digital insurance market and gaining support from institutional investors, including Morgan Stanley and Capital Group. The latest quarterly report was positively received.
The breakout is technically clean and fundamentally supported. The immediate pullback zones sit at $14.95 and $13.40. Below that, moving averages may act as control zones for reaction.
GBP/USD Ready to Explode or Collapse? All Eyes on 1.3600British Pound (CFTC - CME)
Commercial traders increased their long positions by +1,839 contracts and short positions by +3,597. Net exposure remains negative, but the significant short increase suggests active hedging and risk management.
Non-Commercial traders (speculators) reduced their longs by -1,396 and increased their shorts by +1,827, signaling weakening sentiment toward the GBP.
Open Interest rose modestly by +465 → showing renewed engagement, though there’s clear divergence between Commercial and Non-Commercial positioning.
Implication: Net pressure remains bearish, but there's evidence of short saturation from Commercials, possibly hinting at a consolidation phase or reversal ahead.
USD Index (ICE Futures)
Non-Commercials increased both longs (+2,044) and shorts (+1,975), signaling indecision.
Commercials slightly increased long exposure (+689), while shorts remained mostly flat (-114).
Implication: The dollar shows cautious strengthening, but with no strong directional conviction. A period of ranging price action is likely.
2. Retail Sentiment
67% of retail traders are short GBP/USD, with only 33% long.
Volume favors short positions as well: 7,727 lots vs. 3,866 long.
Implication: From a contrarian perspective, the excessive short bias among retail traders supports a short-term bullish scenario, possibly driven by a short squeeze or liquidity run.
3. Historical Seasonality
May shows a historically bearish tendency:
10-Year Avg: -2.22%
5-Year Avg: -1.60%
2-Year Avg: -0.65%
Implication: Seasonal bias remains negative, but should be interpreted alongside COT and sentiment data to avoid misleading signals.
4. Technical Analysis
Price is currently trading inside a weekly resistance zone between 1.3513 and 1.3600, following a strong bounce from a dynamic support.
A previous structure break failed to follow through → bull trap was avoided.
The weekly RSI is rising from neutral levels, suggesting momentum is shifting upward.
Previous demand zones around 1.3176 and 1.3047 held well.
Implication: A potential breakout is forming, but it occurs near a key technical level. Without strong volume or fundamentals, the area may trigger a sell reaction.
5. Market Depth
There is a heavy cluster of short orders above current price, while long orders appear scattered and less aggressive.
This creates a liquidity magnet effect, which may lead to bullish spikes towards 1.3550–1.3600 before any meaningful distribution.
Implication: Potential upside extension in the short-term to hunt stops, followed by a bearish reaction.
🎯 Operational Outlook
Main Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish short-term, Bearish (Seasonal) mid-term
Key levels to watch:
Resistance: 1.3550–1.3600
Support zone: Ascending trendline and 1.3340–1.3176
Likely Scenarios:
Price may spike toward 1.3550 to clear liquidity before facing rejection.
A confirmed weekly close above 1.3610 opens the door to 1.3750.
A drop below 1.3340 confirms structural reversal and bearish continuation.
AUDNZD: Long Trading Opportunity
AUDNZD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long AUDNZD
Entry Point - 1.0821
Stop Loss - 1.0797
Take Profit - 1.0866
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURJPY: Bearish Continuation
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURJPY pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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JPY/USD – Clean Rejection from Mini Resistance | Bearish Move🔻 1. Major & Mini Resistance Zones
Mini Resistance Zone: This is a key supply area that aligns with previous highs and recent structure points. As the price approaches this level, it tends to react due to unfilled sell orders and trapped buyers.
The chart shows a rejection from this mini resistance zone — visible through strong bearish candles. This suggests institutional selling pressure has entered the market.
Major Resistance is still untouched above, which becomes a clear invalidation level for any short bias. If price breaks and sustains above it, the bearish idea would be invalidated.
🔄 2. MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) at Work
The MMC idea is clearly illustrated. The price movement after the last major drop is mirrored on the right side:
Strong rally > Formation of lower highs > Resistance retest > Sharp decline
These mirrored behaviors often hint at psychological repetition in the market, driven by trader memory and order placement.
The bearish movement after retesting the mini resistance looks nearly identical to the previous leg on the left — reinforcing the idea that we may see a similar downside structure repeat.
🌀 3. Central Zone Area – Liquidity Trap and Reaction Point
The Central Zone Area is labeled where a previous sharp bounce occurred. This zone is critical for several reasons:
It acted as support multiple times.
It’s also where a liquidity grab occurred — shown with a long wick — before a reversal rally.
In current price action, this zone may again act as a magnet for price, as institutions seek liquidity to fuel further moves. Once price reaches it, expect a temporary bounce or reaction.
📐 4. 50% Fibonacci Retracement Confluence
The projected target sits right on the 50% retracement level of the previous bullish leg.
Institutions frequently target the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci zones to rebalance orders and create continuation moves.
This target zone is marked in purple and is aligned with historical support, adding confluence.
📉 5. Sharp Bearish Reversal from Structure
You can observe a very clear shift in momentum:
The uptrend was broken with a strong bearish engulfing candle.
That move wiped out several minor bullish structures — a sign of structure collapse.
This breakdown, combined with the resistance rejection and MMC mirroring, strongly supports a bearish continuation bias.
📊 6. Previous Targets and Structure Memory
The previous targets and historical swing points are not just annotations — they represent real zones of order flow memory.
When price revisits these levels, you often see reactions (reversals, consolidations, or continuation).
🎯 Trade Plan (Based on Chart):
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: After rejection confirmation at mini resistance
Target Zone: 0.00675 area (50% retracement)
Invalidation: Close above 0.00715 (Major Resistance)
✅ Conclusion:
This JPY/USD 4H chart beautifully showcases the power of technical structure, Mirror Market Concepts, and liquidity-focused trading. With a clean rejection from mini resistance, a history of mirrored bearish setups, and a confluence target at the 50% zone, this chart suggests a high-probability short opportunity for disciplined traders.
AUDJPY: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDJPY pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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GOLD: Long Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3295.4
Sl - 3287.5
Tp - 3311.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1346
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1371
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AVAX/USDT#AVAX Spot Strategy 🚀
AVAX is currently at a solid buy zone for spot entries.
The coin is in the top 15 by market cap, which adds fundamental strength.
💡 Recommended DCA approach:
Split your planned allocation into 3 entries — market volatility and manipulations remain high, especially lately.
• Entry 1 — at current price
• Entry 2 — around $15
• Entry 3 — if price drops to the $7–4 zone
This gives an average entry of ~$15, creating strong upside potential.
🎯 Targets:
• Target 1 = $35 (+50% from current levels)
• Target 2 = $45 (+90%)
• Target 3 = $55 (+135%)
📌 Key resistance zone: $30–35
Once reached, we’ll monitor price action + seasonal market behavior.
If momentum supports it, additional entries could be considered in that area.
Gold Price Action Analysis – Using MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) 🔍 Overview:
In this idea, we dive deep into XAU/USD's (Gold) short-term bearish move using a blend of Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) and Smart Money Concepts (SMC). The 15-minute chart provides an excellent visual of market psychology shifting, with CHoCHs, supply-demand zones, SR flips, and the Black Mind Curve highlighting the story of price.
🧩 Market Structure Breakdown:
🔵 1. Major Resistance Zone Formed
Price pushed aggressively upward but met strong rejection near the major resistance zone.
This zone acts as a ceiling for the bullish momentum—setting the first signal for a possible reversal.
🔵 2. Black Mind Curve Activated
A descending Black Mind Curve was plotted to reflect the psychological shift from bullish to bearish.
Price failed multiple times to break above this curve, highlighting strong internal weakness.
The Black Mind Curve visually reinforces the bearish tone and offers a roadmap for probable lower highs.
🔵 3. Minor Resistance + SR Interchange
As price dropped, it created a minor resistance.
When price returned to this area and rejected it, this confirmed an SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange)—a classic MMC feature.
Mirror Market Concepts suggest that old demand often mirrors into new supply. That's exactly what happens here.
🔵 4. Major CHoCH: Change of Character
A decisive break of the bullish structure signaled a Major CHoCH, confirming bearish order flow.
This is the moment smart money starts repositioning for shorts—liquidity has been grabbed above previous highs, and the direction shifts.
🔵 5. 50% Retracement
After the impulsive drop, price retraced nearly 50%—a key area of interest for MMC traders.
This level often acts as a decision point. In this case, price rejects the retracement, creating an ideal zone for re-entries.
🔵 6. Targeting the Demand Zone
The projected target lies in a prior demand zone, which mirrors earlier supply structure.
This aligns with MMC’s principle of "market reflection"—what was resistance becomes support again, and vice versa.
🎯 Trade Bias: Bearish
Entry Confirmation: After CHoCH + rejection from 50% level + re-alignment with Black Mind Curve.
SL: Just above the 50% retracement or last minor high.
TP: At the marked target zone near historical demand.
🧠 Why MMC Works Here:
MMC helps you see the market in reverse—where previous zones mirror and reflect. Combined with smart money triggers like CHoCHs, BOS, liquidity sweeps, and SR flips, this makes for a precise trading model that goes beyond basic support and resistance.
The beauty of MMC is that it reveals where the crowd is wrong and where the real momentum lies.
🔑 Key Takeaways for Traders:
The Black Mind Curve helps visualize hidden resistance paths.
CHoCHs are crucial in understanding market intent.
MMC allows traders to anticipate instead of react.
High probability setups form where multiple MMC/SMC elements converge.
Always wait for confirmation, not assumption.
GBP-JPY Resistance Cluster! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY made a retest
Of the resistance cluster
Of the rising and horizontal
Resistance lines around 193.989
And we are already seeing a
Bearish reaction so we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Move down
Sell!
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USD/JPY Breakdown: Is 140 the Next Target? Smart Money Says Yes!USD/JPY is currently in a highly interesting technical and macro phase, characterized by divergences between price action and institutional positioning, negative seasonal signals, and retail sentiment that goes against what would typically be expected in a reversal scenario. Let’s break it down:
1. Institutional Positioning (COT Report)
The COT data reveals a mixed picture with bearish implications for USD/JPY:
On the USD side, non-commercial traders continue to increase their net long exposure (+2,044 new long contracts this week). However, this rise is almost equally offset by +1,975 new shorts, indicating indecision and hedging activity.
For the Japanese Yen, non-commercials (speculators) are significantly rebuilding long JPY positions, while commercials have started covering their short exposure.
📌 Implication: The net flow favors the Yen, meaning bearish pressure on USD/JPY. The increase in JPY long positions reflects expectations of a stronger Yen in the short to medium term.
2. Historical Seasonality
Seasonal data reinforces the bearish bias:
In May and June, USD/JPY has historically posted negative returns.
The 5-year average shows -0.57 in May and -0.76 in June, with both the 2Y and 10Y averages confirming a similar downward seasonal pattern.
📌 Implication: The current seasonal window does not favor a USD rebound vs. the Yen. Historically, the likelihood of downside increases into early summer.
3. Retail Sentiment
Retail traders are heavily long, with 64% positioned long on USD/JPY versus 36% short.
📌 Implication: From a contrarian perspective, this is a bearish signal. Markets tend to move against retail positioning, adding further downside risk.
4. Price Action & Technical Structure (Daily Chart)
On the weekly chart:
Price broke the key 144.00 support decisively, closing the week at 142.81.
Structure shows lower highs and lower lows, typical of a bearish trend.
RSI is falling but still above oversold levels, leaving room for further downside.
First demand zone: 141.50–142.20. A confirmed break could open the way to 140.00–139.80.
Key resistance on any pullback: 145.00–146.00.
📌 Implication: The confirmed break of support activated a bearish continuation setup, unless short-term bounces offer new sell opportunities near resistance.
5. Market Depth
Market depth shows a strong cluster of long orders above current levels, while short volumes appear fragmented. This suggests any short-term rally could face aggressive selling between 144.50–145.50.
🎯 Conclusion & Operational Outlook
The overall context points to a high probability of further downside in USD/JPY over the short to medium term:
Smart money is rotating toward the Yen.
Seasonal patterns historically support a drop in May–June.
Contrarian retail sentiment adds additional bearish weight.
The weekly chart confirms a break of structure, opening space below 141.50.
AUD_NZD SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅AUD_NZD is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 1.0780
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target at 1.0827
LONG🚀
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EUR-USD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a retest
Of the key horizontal
Support level of 1.1369
And we are already seeing
A bullish rebound so we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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