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GOLD Short Setup – OB Rejection + FVG Play to Weak Low 📉 XAUUSD | 4H Short Setup – Classic Smart Money Reversal Zone Gold is giving us a prime reversal opportunity off a stacked supply zone, aligning with: 🔵 79% Fibonacci Retracement 🟪 High-Timeframe Order Block (OB) 🚫 Failure to create a new high (bearish intent confirmed) Let’s break it down: 🔻 1. Price Structure Insight Clean swing high printed near 3400 Retraced down to a discount zone, then sharply reversed Price now tapping into a premium supply zone between 70.5% – 79% Fib 🟣 2. Key Zone Confluence 📍 Order Block: The final up-candle before a massive drop = institutional sell zone 📍 Fibonacci Levels: 70.5%–79% = premium sell levels 📍 Internal Liquidity: Price swept local highs before stalling 📍 Strong High Above: Untouched = inducement for future sweep (or rejection fuel) Everything screams Smart Money Sell Setup 📉 🎯 3. Trade Idea Sell Entry: Around 3,348 Stop Loss: Above OB & Strong High ~ 3,390 Take Profit: 3,120 (clear weak low = liquidity pool) ⚖️ 4. Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) 📥 Entry: 3,348 🔒 SL: 3,390 💰 TP: 3,120 ✅ RRR ≈ 1:5.4 Perfect textbook SMC setup—high confluence + asymmetric RRR = 🔑 🧠 5. Why This Setup Works Retail traders are lured into longs after bullish push Smart Money taps OB, rejects hard at premium Target: internal liquidity resting at weak low (3120) This creates a controlled sell-off that avoids grabbing the strong high 🟢 Drop a “GOLDEN SHORT 🪙💥” if you caught this setup before the crowd 💾 Save it for reference – this is how institutions trap liquidity 📤 Share with your trading fam — this setup is 🔥🔥🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Will the Bears Strike Back from 1.14? 📍1. TECHNICAL CONTEXT EUR/USD is trading around 1.1405, inside an ascending channel and right within a supply zone (1.1370–1.1470), which already triggered a rejection on April 16. Price action currently shows hesitation, with three consecutive candles at the top of the channel and RSI divergence, suggesting a loss of bullish momentum after an overextension. The bullish trendline from April remains intact and validated, but the upside is narrowing. Likely scenario: bullish exhaustion followed by a pullback towards 1.1270–1.1220, with a potential retest of both the trendline and the lower boundary of the channel. 📊2. COT REPORT (USD & EUR) – Updated to May 20 USD Index: Non-Commercials added +2,044 net longs, but also +1,975 new shorts. Open Interest rose by +2,207 → a more active market, but still mixed. Net exposure remains neutral to slightly bearish for the dollar. EURO FX: Non-Commercials cut -3,587 longs and added +6,814 shorts, while Commercials increased longs by +16,796. Speculative funds are gradually shifting short on the Euro, while Commercials continue to hedge long. → Combined read: Large speculators are reducing their Euro exposure and staying cautious on the Dollar. Short-term pressure on EUR/USD remains bearish, though no macro reversal yet. 📉3. SENTIMENT & POSITIONING Retail sentiment shows 71% of traders are short EUR/USD — a classically contrarian signal. However, price is now sitting in a liquidity cluster where smart money might exploit a final squeeze before a real reversal. Market depth shows strong imbalance, with long orders stacked above current price — suggesting potential stop hunt already triggered or about to fade. 🧭4. SEASONALITY Historically, May is a bearish month for EUR/USD: -0.0079 on 20-year average, and -0.0163 on 10-year average. Seasonality supports late May weakness and potential downside continuation into early June. ✅ TRADING OUTLOOK 📌 Primary Bias: short-term corrective bearish, waiting for clearer reversal signals. 📌 Key Reaction Zone: 1.1400–1.1470 → structural short area, already tested. 📌 Bearish Target: 1.1270 > 1.1210 (golden pocket + trendline confluence) 📌 Setup invalidation: daily close above 1.1470 with volume → possible extension to 1.1550/1.1580 📌 Macro support: Commercials remain long on the Euro → underlying structure still bullish, but too early to fade short-term bearish momentum.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
9
EURCAD (Supply/Demand + OTE + Liquidity)Hello traders! We have valid 705 fib level, there we can expect reversal + mitigation demand zone. Now price go to local correction. In local 0.5 fib level you will see big volume like confirmation before impulse till Demand. Entry: confirmation on LTF in POI Target: First problem zone is OB 4H MAIN MOVE IN SHORT - TILL 0.5 of GLOBAL FIB LEVEL. SEE PRIVOIUS IDEA. Demand zone also can be like fuel, so Have a profitable day and don't forget to subscribe for more updates! If you like this idea drop a like, leave a comment.
Short
by Hastur_smc
USD-CHF Free Signal! Buy! Hello,Traders! USD-CHF is once again Retesting a horizontal support Level around 0.8189 and the Pair seems to have formed A H&S pattern, so we are bearish Biased, however, a local bullish Rebound from the support Is possible so while risky A long trade still makes sense With the Take Profit of 0.8238 And the Stop Loss of 0.8184 Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
1
Gold 4H VIP Move – MMC Curve Break or Bounce?📈 Market: XAUUSD – 4H Timeframe This setup is based on Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), a method that reflects the idea of market symmetry, key structural levels, and curve dynamics (institutional behavior). We’re looking at how price interacts with historically significant zones, demand transfers, and resistance curves. 🔍 Full Chart Analysis Breakdown: 1. ⚙️ Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) MMC focuses on how past price actions "mirror" into the future. If a zone caused a strong move before, it can likely do it again — either by rejecting price or acting as a magnet for liquidity. You can see how historical supply and demand zones still influence price today. 2. 🧱 Major Resistance Zone (Top Blue Zone: ~$3,470 – $3,520) This is a historical supply area where sellers were previously dominant. Every time price enters this zone, it reacts with strong selling pressure. Watch closely: a clean breakout + retest above this zone could open the door to higher time frame bullish continuation. 3. 🚧 Black Mind Curve Resistance (Orange Arc) A dynamic resistance level based on institutional selling behavior over time. This curve aligns with historical highs and retracements, suggesting smart money is actively defending this region. Price is now testing this curve — either it gets rejected and drops, or breaks above for a breakout boom. 4. 🟦 Mini Reversal Zone (Around $3,400) This zone sits right under the curve and major resistance, making it a critical decision point. A strong reaction here could mean a short-term selloff, but if broken, this zone could flip into support, validating the breakout. 5. 📉 Trending Support Line (Upward Diagonal) Acting as short-term bullish support. As price pulls back, this trendline could catch the dip, causing a bounce toward the reversal or major resistance zone. You can also call this the "retest and boom" line, as seen in your chart’s annotation. 6. 🧊 Demand Transferred (Mid-Zone Shift) Shows where institutional demand entered and was then shifted upward to support the rally. This is a powerful MMC concept — demand didn’t disappear, it just migrated up, forming new support levels. 7. 🔄 SR Interchange Zone (~$3,160 – $3,200) Classic support/resistance flip zone. If the trendline and mid-zone fail, price might drop here to collect liquidity and trigger new buy orders. This is your “last stand” zone for bulls. 8. 🧱 Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmation BOS already occurred earlier on the chart — this confirms bullish shift in structure. Now, price is looking to retest the previous high or break it entirely. 🎯 Trade Scenarios ✅ Bullish Setup (Base Case): Price continues to hold above the trending support. Breaks mini reversal zone + Black Curve Resistance. Retests the zone (validation). Pushes toward the Major Resistance Zone ($3,470 – $3,520). ⚠️ Bearish Setup (If Rejected): Price hits the curve and mini reversal zone and gets rejected hard. Drops back to trending support, possibly breaks it. Targets SR Interchange Zone (~$3,160 – $3,200) as the next buy zone. 💬 Mind / Trading Wisdom: “Price doesn’t lie. It reacts. Let it show you the intention — breakout or rejection. Follow MMC structure, respect the curve resistance, and let price action guide your entries.” 📌 Summary for Traders: Concepts Used: Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), Curve Resistance, SR Flip, Demand Transfer, BOS. Current Price Action: Testing reversal zone + curve. Bias: Bullish but cautiously watching for rejection. Next Levels: Watch $3,400 – $3,520 for decision. Retest = entry. Rejection = liquidity hunt.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Cocoa Explosion Loading? Specs & Hedgers Agree🔍 Fundamental Analysis – Commitment of Traders (COT) The latest COT report, dated May 13, 2025, reveals a strong bullish accumulation signal, with a significant increase in long positions across all major trader categories. Specifically, Non-Commercials (speculative traders such as hedge funds and money managers) increased their long positions by +3,490 contracts while simultaneously reducing shorts by -467 contracts. This dynamic reflects renewed speculative confidence in the cocoa bullish trend. Simultaneously, Commercials (typically producers and processors) added +5,187 long contracts and closed -661 short contracts. This is especially noteworthy, as commercials usually take the opposite side of speculators. Here, however, their alignment with speculators may indicate expectations of upcoming supply constraints or market stress. Total open interest rose by more than +6,000 contracts, suggesting real capital inflow into the market rather than just rebalancing. This alignment between speculators and institutional hedgers is rare and often precedes further price appreciation. 📈 Net Positions & Price Action Looking at the “Net Positions & Prices” chart over the past year, it’s clear that Non-Commercial net positions are recovering after a notable drop in March and April. This reversal aligns with the technical bottom and the start of the current price rally. Commercials, although still net short (in line with their historical bias), are reducing their bearish exposure, hinting at lower physical supply pressure or a need for hedging against further price increases. Price action has reflected this narrative, surging higher following the April lows. 🕰️ Seasonal Analysis Seasonality adds another layer to the analysis. Historically, May tends to be flat or slightly bearish (10Y and 15Y averages), but the 2-Year seasonal line—which better reflects current market behavior—shows a strong bullish tendency starting mid-month. This supports the ongoing rebound and increases the likelihood of further upside in the short term. Historical data also shows that June, while volatile, is often positive or neutral in shorter cycles. 📊 Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, cocoa recently completed a strong bullish leg, rebounding from the 8,800–9,000 USD demand zone, identified as a clear area of institutional buying (evident through volume and impulsive candles). The price then decisively broke through mid-range resistance levels and tested a key weekly supply zone between 11,200 and 11,500 USD, where it was initially rejected. Currently, we are in a technical pullback, likely targeting the mitigation zone at 9,700–10,000 USD. This area represents a solid long entry opportunity if the market confirms a bullish structure on intraday charts (H1 or H4). The RSI is near overbought, yet without divergence—suggesting the trend remains structurally bullish despite a natural correction. 🧭 Strategic Conclusion Cocoa currently shows a rare convergence of bullish signals: supportive COT positioning, increasing net long interest, strong 2Y seasonality, and clear technical structure controlled by buyers. However, after the recent sharp upside move, a correction to key support zones is likely before another bullish leg unfolds.
ICEUS:CC1!Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
11