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XAUUSD Market Update – July 30 Late NY Recap🔸Macro Context Markets are still digesting Powell’s ongoing speech with no clear pivot signals. While FOMC tone remained cautious, no dovish surprise emerged. Trump’s upcoming comments keep geopolitical risks elevated. USD remains firm. Gold is reacting within key HTF demand as intraday volatility cools off. 🔸Bias Overview Weekly Bias: • Bearish rejection from the major supply wick 3439–3350 • Structure still below 3345, maintaining downside pressure • Weekly RSI cooling off — no bullish divergence yet Daily Bias: • Lower high locked below 3345 • Price reentered the imbalance toward 3272 • Clean structure remains bearish unless we reclaim 3302 H4 Bias: • Lower high formed at 3314 • Current price testing HTF Extreme Demand Base (3289–3272) • Still bearish unless we see a confirmed M15 or H1 BOS from demand 🔸Key Structural Zones 🔺Above Price (3272): • 3289–3294 Decision Block – M30 OB + FVG. First sign of momentum shift if reclaimed. • 3302–3314 Supply Reversal – H1 OB + previous BOS zone. EMA alignment adds pressure. • 3345–3350 Major Rejection Zone – H4 origin of last leg down. Strong resistance area. 🔻Below Price (3272): • 3254–3264 Imbalance + OB – H4 FVG + clean demand zone. Buy setup only on deep flush + reversal PA. • 3227–3214 HTF Demand Base – Daily OB + historical volume shelf. Final structural floor before deeper downside opens. 🔸Battle Plan ▶ Scenario 1 – Bearish Breakout If 3272 fails with momentum and no reversal signs, expect continuation into 3254–3264. No long trades unless BOS confirms. ▶ Scenario 2 – Reactive Long from Demand If price gives a strong reaction from 3272 with BOS on M15 or H1 and clears 3294, then a recovery into 3302 is possible. Only valid with confirmed PA + EMA shift. ▶ Scenario 3 – Choppy Rejection from 3294 If price tests 3294 but fails, watch for rejections back toward 3272. Scalpers can fade reactions if no bullish structure forms. 🔸Final Thoughts Price is once again testing our Extreme Demand Base from July 28 (3289–3272). The zone remains valid — but execution depends entirely on confirmation. Bears still in control unless we reclaim 3302 cleanly. No need to rush. Best RR setups are found at clean structural edges. Patience = profits. —💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments. ❤️ Like if you appreciate the precision. 🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for more sniper-level updates. With you all the way, — GoldFxMinds 📊 Analysis based on Trade Nation TradingView charts.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
5
GOLD PLAN – LIQUIDITY HUNT BEFORE THE REAL MOVE? SCALPING PLAN – LIQUIDITY HUNT BEFORE THE REAL MOVE? 🔍 🔹 Timeframe: 30M 🔹 Bias: Intraday Bullish to Bearish Reversal 🔹 Posted by: Clinton Scalper | Smart Money Focus 🔹 Date: July 30, 2025 🔍 MACRO CONTEXT – WHY GOLD REMAINS HIGHLY REACTIVE The macro backdrop continues to favor volatility in gold: 🟢 Dovish Fed tone ahead of FOMC – Fed speakers hint at a pause or rate cut timeline. – Inflation pressures are easing → lowers interest rate expectations. 📉 USD weakening + falling yields – 10Y U.S. bonds retreating → dollar under pressure → gold gains ground. 🌐 Geopolitical risks remain elevated – Tensions from Middle East and global recession risks continue to drive flows into safe-haven assets like gold. 🧭 Conclusion: Short-term upside still viable – but be cautious of liquidity traps and OB rejection. 📈 TECHNICAL + SMC INSIGHTS – THE CHART TELLS THE STORY 🔹 Structure Overview: Market broke out of a descending channel and formed a bullish ascending wedge. However, price is now approaching multiple OB SELL zones, aligning with smart money exhaustion levels. 🔹 Key Zones: 🔺 OB SELL Zones: 3,334 → 3,342 3,354 → 3,369 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension) 🔻 OB BUY Zones: 3,302 → 3,291 (confluence with previous liquidity sweep) 📍 Current Price: 3,330 – approaching first supply zone. 🔹 Smart Money Flow: Liquidity above 3,334 has likely been targeted. If price reaches 3,354–3,369 and shows exhaustion, expect distribution + reversal. Key confirmation will be a break back below the ascending structure with momentum. 🎯 TRADE PLAN – TWO POSSIBLE SCALPING SCENARIOS ✅ SCENARIO 1: SHORT FROM PREMIUM OB SELL ZONE Looking to fade bullish liquidity grab near top of range. Entry: 3,354–3,369 SL: 3,375 TP1: 3,334 TP2: 3,302 TP3: 3,291 Ideal for reversal scalpers catching the distribution move. ✅ SCENARIO 2: LONG FROM DISCOUNT OB BUY ZONE If price rejects OB SELL and dumps into unfilled demand. Entry: 3,291–3,302 SL: 3,275 TP1: 3,322 TP2: 3,343 TP3: 3,354 Smart money often reloads after hunting liquidity beneath discount OBs. ⚠️ EXECUTION REMINDERS ✅ Wait for confirmation candles: engulfing / wick rejection / breaker structure ⛔ No market orders without OB reaction 📊 Risk max 1–1.5% per position 📉 Use volume to confirm absorption / exhaustion in OB zones 📢 FINAL THOUGHT – TRAPS COME FIRST, THEN MOVES Smart Money doesn't chase price — it hunts stops first. We’re watching closely to see if price completes its liquidity sweep at 3,354–3,369 before a potential reversal. Alternatively, we wait for price to return to the OB BUY zone around 3,291 for a high-RR long play. 🔥 If this helped you: 👍 Like this idea 💬 Comment your thoughts below 🔔 Follow Clinton Scalper for weekly institutional-grade setups
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SCALPER-Clinton
4
SILVER Is About to Collapse? Watch This Critical Supply Zone!Price recently tapped a high near 39.20 before sharply rejecting from the 38.80–39.20 supply zone, confirming strong selling pressure. The current structure shows: - Supply zone tested and rejected - Likely return to the previous demand zone (36.50–36.00) - RSI is turning down, confirming loss of momentum A pullback toward 38.30–38.50, followed by a bearish continuation toward the 36.50 area, which acts as a key structural and institutional support. 🗓️ Seasonality Historically, July is bullish for silver: Last 5Y average: +0.89% Last 2Y average: +2.18% However, August–September are bearish months: August: mildly positive, but weak September: consistently negative across all time frames (-0.86% to -1.10%) This increases the probability of a downward move starting in early August, in line with current price action rejection. 🪙 Commitment of Traders (COT) – July 22 Non-Commercials (speculators): Longs: +656 Shorts: -516 Commercials (hedging): Longs: +1,337 Shorts: +916 ➡️ Commercials are increasing both long and short exposure, while non-commercials remain net long — a sign of moderate optimism. However, long positioning is slowing down compared to previous weeks. A potential exhaustion in bullish momentum is forming. 📉 Sentiment 52% short vs 48% long Volume: more lots on the short side (492 vs 454) Sentiment remains neutral to slightly contrarian bullish, but not extreme. This may allow for a fake breakout before a deeper move down. 🧩 Operational Summary Main bias: Bearish short to mid-term (starting August), supported by: - Technical rejection at supply - Negative seasonal tendencies ahead - RSI showing momentum loss - COT showing stabilization, not accumulation
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
EURUSD: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why: Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Long
by UnitedSignals
3
Euro Drops Hard — Is a 100-Pips Slide Toward 1.1500 Next?Euro’s current situation doesn’t look great — we’re clearly seeing strong selling pressure across the board. Price has now reached the block zones near 1.1600, and I want to break down what this area means to me. The lower pivot of the 1.1600 zone was created after the 50% level of the previous bullish leg was consumed — which is typical in many bullish trends. Based on that, we expected a move toward 1.1800 to break the structure and continue the uptrend. However, the recent bullish move lacked strength, which became quite clear during the last upward leg. And now, after that weak rally, we’re witnessing a sharp and aggressive selloff. This reaction weakens the 1.1600 block in my eyes — and I’m now watching 1.1500 as the more probable target. It’s a major price level and also aligns with a bank-level midline zone. In my view, it’s still too early to buy. I’d want to see price range and confirm before looking for longs. That said, this area could be a good place to partially exit short positions and lock in some profits. 🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion!!!
by Mehrasfx