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XAUUSD LIVE OUTLOOK – JULY 23, 2025Good evening, traders—let’s get this right, no mistakes. Gold hit 3,438, then pulled back and found support exactly in the 3,380–3,390 zone. Here’s your precise update: 🔸 HTF OVERVIEW (H4 → H1) New High & Liquidity Sweep: A clean breakout to 3,438 invalidated every old supply. Primary Demand: Price settled into the 3,380–3,390 H4 order block (untested FVG beneath). H1 confirms this blue zone as the critical buy area. Invalidated Supply: No valid sell zones until we carve fresh structure above 3,438. 🔹 LTF PRECISION (M30 → M15) M30 Flow: Spike to 3,438, then instant drop into 3,380–3,390. Volume spiked on the decline, then eased as price held. M15 Structure: Inside 3,380–3,390, watch for a clean BOS above 3,395—that’s your bull‑bear pivot. Until then, this zone is the edge of the knife. 🎯 KEY ZONES & TRIGGERS Buy Zone #1 (Live): 3,380–3,390 Confluence: H4 order block + unfilled FVG + H1 swing low Trigger: M15 BOS above 3,395 and retest. Buy Zone #2 (Backup): 3,350–3,360 For a deeper pullback—untested H4 demand. Sell Zone: 3,420–3,438 Confluence: unfilled H4 FVG + premium supply Fade only on clear M15 rejection (pin‑bar/engulf). Decision Pivot: 3,395 Above = bullish continuation; below = stand aside. ➡️ ACTION PLAN Longs: Enter on M15 close above 3,395 and retest; targets at 3,420 then 3,438. Shorts: Only on rally into 3,420–3,438 with a decisive rejection candle. Invalidation: A sustained break below 3,380 warns of a deeper flush toward 3,350–3,360. 🚀 CALL TO ACTION If this nailed your edge, smash that Like, Follow @GoldFxMinds for daily sniper updates, and Boost this post so your fellow traders don’t miss these live levels! Drop a 🔥 if you’re ready to strike the next move. Disclosure: I’m part of TradeNation’s Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their chart feed. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Crude Oil Rebound Incoming? Key Demand Zone 📈 1. Technical Analysis – Daily Chart (CL1!) The price has returned to a demand zone between 64.60 and 65.30, an area that previously triggered strong bullish reactions. The July 22nd candle shows a clear lower wick, indicating potential buyer absorption and a possible short-term reversal. The next key resistance lies between 67.80 and 68.80, which aligns with a well-defined supply zone. Daily RSI remains weak but shows signs of bullish divergence, suggesting potential accumulation. Bias: bullish from current levels, targeting 67.50 – 68.00. Invalidation on a daily close below 64.40. 2. Institutional Sentiment – COT Report (CFTC, July 15, 2025) Non-Commercials (Speculators) Long: 308,915 (↓ -24,223) Short: 146,488 (↑ +22,724) Net Position: sharply declining → bearish divergence in speculative sentiment Commercials (Hedgers) Long: 857,803 (↑ +66,342) Short: 1,046,199 (↑ +18,118) Net Position: still negative, but improving → reduced hedging = less downside pressure 📉 Interpretation: Funds are closing longs and adding shorts, showing bearish positioning. However, commercials are slowly reducing their hedging exposure, which could indicate short-term stabilization if the technical support holds. 3. Seasonality Periods analyzed: 20, 15, 10, 5, and 2 years July historically shows negative average returns: -0.71% (20Y) -1.26% (15Y) -1.37% (10Y) The seasonal pattern indicates continued cyclical weakness into August. 📌 Interpretation: The summer period typically brings seasonal bearish pressure, which aligns with current 2025 performance. 🌐 4. Macro & Fundamentals EIA inventory builds for 3 consecutive weeks → demand weakness in the U.S. No additional OPEC+ cuts announced → supply remains ample Stable inflation data in the U.S. and China → no uptick in energy demand Overall macro data is neutral with a slightly bearish short-term bias
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
USDJPYDate: July 22,2025 Session: Tokyo and London session Pair: USDJPY Bias: Long 1. Clean liquidity pool left unswept from last week's NYC Open (Thursday). Took this trade earlier today but looks like price wanted to consolidate in the liquid pool its currently in. I still hold the same idea and think the sweep will definitely take place sometime this week. Now looks like the perfect time to enter. If Asia session cant get it done its up to London and New York session. Entry:147.534 Stop Loss:147.215 Target:148.768 RR:3.89
Long
by Dave1147
NZDUSD Is a Short-Term Rebound on the Table?NZD/USD is down nearly 0.4% in Tuesday’s European session, trading near the key support area of 0.5940 — a confluence of the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the midline of a descending channel. The pair is pressured by rising expectations that the RBNZ may cut rates in August, while the USD remains volatile amid uncertainty surrounding trade talks between the US and its key partners. 🔍 Technical Overview – Structure & Momentum ✅ Overall Trend: Bearish short-term (descending channel) ✅ Current Structure: Price is testing key technical support at 0.5940 ✅ Volume Profile: VPOC and upper supply zones remain key targets on a bounce NZD/USD continues to respect the bearish channel structure. However, the support zone at 0.5940 (Fibo 0.5 + recent demand) is showing signs of holding. If price sustains above this level, a bullish correction toward the 0.6006 and 0.6040 supply zones is a valid scenario. 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🔸 Bullish Short-Term Scenario (if 0.5940 holds): Entry: Buy around 0.5940 TP1: 0.60064 (VPOC + supply zone) TP2: 0.60400 (OBS sell zone) SL: Below 0.5905 (sell-side liquidity break) 🔹 Bearish Continuation (if support breaks): A clean break below 0.5905 confirms downside continuation Look for retest and short entries targeting deeper channel lows (0.586x–0.583x) ⚠️ Macro Risk Drivers Growing expectations of an RBNZ rate cut in August Ongoing US trade negotiation uncertainty with key partners Potential USD volatility around upcoming macroeconomic releases 📌 Key Price Levels to Watch Technical Support 0.5940 Fibo 0.5 + mid-channel Sell-Side Liquidity 0.5905 Bearish confirmation if broken VPOC + Supply Zone 0.60064 First upside target OBS Sell Zone 0.60400 Final bullish target / resistance 💬 The descending channel remains in control, but 0.5940 could be the key pivot. Wait for confirmation before entering, and watch volume closely.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
2
AUDUSD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why: The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Short
by UnitedSignals
2
USDJPY Correction Complete, Is the Bullish Trend Back in play?After pulling back from the recent high near 149.17, USDJPY has shown signs of strength again, rebounding off the confluence support at the ascending trendline. The bullish narrative is supported by a hawkish FOMC tone and news that a U.S. federal court temporarily blocked Trump-era tariffs. The pair now awaits upcoming U.S. economic data for further directional clarity. 🔍 Technical Outlook – Structure & Momentum ✅ Primary trend: Bullish ✅ Correction phase: Completed near CP zone and trendline ✅ Key structural areas: FVG Zone, CP Zone, and trendline remain intact Price has responded positively from the CP Zone + OBS Buy Zone around 147.438, aligning with the uptrend line. As long as this structure holds, buyers may push the market toward the next resistance zones. 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🔸 Bullish Bias (preferred scenario): As long as price holds above 147.438, we expect continuation toward the FVG zone, with immediate targets at the GAP + OBS Sell Zone (148.703) and extended potential to the Buy-side Liquidity zone at 149.122. A clean breakout above 149.122 opens the door to Fibonacci extensions: 149.72 and 150.05. 🔹 Bearish Scenario (if invalidated): If price breaks below 147.438 and loses the trendline, we may see a deeper drop toward the Liquidity Buy Zone at 146.825, where strong buying interest is expected to re-enter the market. ⚠️ Macro Risk Drivers Hawkish FOMC minutes continue to support USD strength Paused trade tariffs reduce political headwinds, improving risk sentiment Upcoming U.S. economic data could trigger sharp intraday moves → watch closely 📌 Key Price Zones Liquidity Buy Zone 146.825 Major long re-entry zone CP + OBS Buy Zone 147.438 Current active support FVG Zone 148.20 – 148.68 Intraday bullish target GAP + OBS Sell Zone 148.703 Short-term resistance Buy-side Liquidity Zone 149.122 Final bullish objective 💬 Structure remains bullish unless the trendline breaks. Stay patient, wait for confirmations at key zones, and follow your plan with disciplined risk management.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold Rejection & Retest Zones AnalysisGold has recently broken out of the 1H ascending trendline with a strong bullish push 🚀. After this breakout, we are now watching key supply and demand zones for the next move. 🔴 Bearish OB (3398-3404): Price is currently hovering around the bearish order block, which could trigger some short-term rejection or pullback from this zone. 🟢 Bullish OB Zones (3350 & 3330): If gold decides to correct lower, we have two important bullish OBs below, perfectly lining up with the previous trendline retest ✅. These zones can offer high-probability buy setups if price respects them. 🎯 Focus is on watching for possible rejections from the top OB, or waiting for a deeper retracement towards the bullish zones for buy confirmations
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Erin_Gold_Vault