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EURUSD 23 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - US Jobless ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Nothing much changed in sentiment since Tramp inauguration Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation after BOS 2️⃣ 🔹As expected, price created a bullish BOS as per the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. 🔹Price didn’t mitigate any supply after the BOS so there is a high probability that we will continue up till we reach the 4H or Daily supply to initiate a BOS pullback phase (Can’t be ruled, we always have the expectation that a pullback will start at any time after any break of structure). 🔹Currently price is within a 4H FLIP zone that caused the BOS. Which could keep price bullish to target the weak INT high. 3️⃣ 🔹My expectations is set for price to continue bullish till we mitigate a 4H/Daily supply. 🔹Will be following the LTF to follow the expectation of bullish continuation while putting in consideration the probability of a bearish move for the bullish BOS pullback phase that can start anytime. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹Price created a bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback phase. 🔹We didn’t mitigate any supply zone to initiate the Swing Pullback Phase yet so we could continue bullish. 🔹Price is currently within the 4H FLIP zone and at the INT Structure extreme. 🔹The last defined demand zone within the INT structure failed and there is a probability that the INT structure could turn bearish to fulfill the BOS requirement for a Pullback Phase. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is still bullish until we have a confirmed bearish iBOS to initiate the Pullback Phase. 🔹Longs: As the demand failed, I’ll be waiting for a shift in the OF to bullish and demand to start holding to target the Weak INT High. 🔹Shorts: Will be waiting for bearish iBOS for pullback phase.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 24 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - EU & US PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Nothing much changed in sentiment since Tramp inauguration, yesterday Trump ease the tone on tariffs which gave optimism in the market (Risk Off) and weakened the dollar across the board. Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation after BOS 2️⃣ 🔹As expected, price created a bullish BOS as per the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. 🔹Price didn’t mitigate any supply after the BOS so there is a high probability that we will continue up till we reach the 4H or Daily supply to initiate a BOS pullback phase (Can’t be ruled, we always have the expectation that a pullback will start at any time after any break of structure). 🔹Price mitigated the 4H demand within the 4H bullish INT structure and currently targeting the 4H Weak INT high. 3️⃣ 🔹My expectations is set for price to continue bullish till we mitigate a 4H/Daily supply. 🔹Will be following the LTF to follow the expectation of bullish continuation while putting in consideration the probability of a bearish move for the bullish BOS pullback phase that can start anytime. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish / ii Structure Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bullish BOS, price still holding bullish respecting the Bullish INT Structure. 🔹INT Structure Strong low liquidity swept and price mitigated the 4H demand zone to continue bullish. 🔹** 15m Swing is currently the 4H swing and I started mapping the ii Structure until I can reset my 15m Swing with a bigger price range. 3️⃣ 🔹Currently ii Structure is bullish and we are in continuation phase to target the Weak INT High. 🔹Expectations is that price to continue bullish and to mitigate the 4H/Daily Supply zone to maybe initiate a pullback phase.
by Amr-Sadek
Wheat- In a Clean Resistance Zone, can it reach 542.00?Wheat is already within a critical resistance zone that has times before led to bearish reversals. In any case this area, marked by previous price rejections, could once again attract selling pressure. If bearish confirmation occurs—through rejection wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or a decrease in buying volume—we could see a decline toward the 542,00 level. However, a breakout above this resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook and suggest potential for further upward movement. So keep an eye on that. Wait for clear signs of rejection before considering short positions.
PEPPERSTONE:WHEATShort
by TrendDiva
3
EURUSD 22 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - ECB Lagarde speechThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT) 🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme) 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed and created a bullish INT Structure. 3️⃣ 🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, price pulled back to the INT Structure EQ (50%) but didn't mitigate the 4H demand and just reacted from the previous INT structure range. 🔹With the current PA, there is a high probability that price will take out the Bearish Swing High to fulfil the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. More LTFs development required for a clear direction. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT) 🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme) 2️⃣ 🔹INT Structure turned bearish yesterday after failing to break the Bearish Swing Strong High. 🔹Price pulled back after the Bearish iBOS and swept the liquidity above the Strong INT High. 3️⃣ 🔹As mentioned in the 4H analysis, with the current PA there is a high probability that the Swing High will be broken but still no confirmation and technical is all pointing for bearish moves. 🔹My technical expectations still bearish till we have a Bullish BOS.
by Amr-Sadek
Smart Money Strategy: Short Opportunity with EUR/JPY Smart Money Strategy: Opportunity with EUR/JPY at Key Fibonacci Levels The EUR/JPY pair is currently facing downward pressure, trading around 161.10, as speculation mounts over a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). With market expectations nearing a 92% likelihood of a rate increase by the BoJ in their upcoming January meeting, this could push short-term borrowing rates to the highest since the 2008 financial crisis, bolstering the Japanese Yen. Key Levels for Strategic Entry: Optimal Short Entry : Focus on the 162.103 level, where the pair may encounter significant resistance. Fibonacci Reversal Points : The 0.75 and 0.71 levels are more than technical markers; they are critical points where institutional investors—often referred to as the 'smart money'—typically engage. These levels are key for identifying potential shifts in market dynamics. This trade is not just about capitalizing on market trends—it's about strategically positioning at a technically significant level to maximize the potential for profits. Follow for more insights and ideas #tradingforex #trading #forex #tradingstrategy #Smartmoneyconcept #SMC #tradingtips #trader
Short
by InwardTrader
BTC CMEAfter touching the weekly BISI, the price dropped behind the stops in the shorts, the daily BIs became an inversion and gave support to the price without pushing it down. If this is a Екгьз rally, we will see how the price will react within 4 hours, a selling pattern is formed, there is inefficiency, a block of refusal is possible, which can lower the price to 0.5 range Will this move be to fill the weekly BISI again or will it continue to send orders up? Now those who entered long have opened positions, I think the price will follow their stops
CME:BTC1!Short
by Jojo2075
EURUSD 21 Jan 2025 - Intraday Analysis - German ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Jan 2025 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT) 🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme) 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed yesterday with price creating a bullish INT Structure. 3️⃣ 🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, there will be a pullback required. 🔹Expectations is set to Bearish with more development on LTF to confirm. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT) 🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme) 2️⃣ 🔹Price finally broken the range from Jan 16 and reached the bearish Swing Extreme forming Bullish INT Structure. 🔹There is probability that Swing High may be broken based on the Daily/Weekly requirements for pullback and the current market sentiment (Risk Off) as of US Tariffs announcement from Trump yesterday. 3️⃣ 🔹My technical expectations is set to Bearish and looking for Shorts but I need to see a bearish iBOS before any executions.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 20-24 Jan 2025 W4 - Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 20-24 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart AnalysisDaily Chart Analysis4H Chart AnalysisEconomic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Interest Rate Differentials: The widening gap between US and Eurozone interest rates favors the USD. Higher US yields attract capital flows, supporting the USD against the euro. Inflation Trends: While inflation in the Eurozone remains subdued, the US continues to grapple with sticky inflation, keeping the Fed cautious about easing policy. This divergence further supports the USD. Energy Prices: Elevated energy prices, driven by geopolitical tensions or supply disruptions, could weigh on the Eurozone’s trade balance and economic growth, adding pressure to the euro. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Expectations is for price to start a pullback phase from the Weekly demand zone / or from the liquidity sweep from the Nov 2022 low (Require Daily/4H confirmation). Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish approaching the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the receint iBOS, price pulled back to EQ (50%) of the INT Structure but currently failed to create a new iBOS with a Bullish CHoCH forming a new Demand. 🔹Expectations is not clear as we could start a deep pullback to intiate the Weekly Pullback Phase required or the current failure to creare a new Bearish iBOS is just a pause in market for more bearish move to at least the Weekly Demand. More development required from LTFs. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Fractal) 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that price is contained within it. 3️⃣ 🔹Price is currently ranging between Supply and Demand which clearly makes price indecisively have a clear direction. More developments required on LTFs to have a clear expectation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
3
Key spot on the board for SOFI On the MonthlyNever financial advice. Just offering perspective. At a key spot for Sofi. In the midst of a monthly bearish imbalance, specifically a bearish fair value gap which holds more weight than a volume imbalance. We pushed off a bullish breaker which can be a solid indicator as a push up, with the the high of that green box acting as a support, followed by a strong bullish move. 16.47-17.13 is where the monthly bearish fvg begins and ends. A monthly close(13days) above 17.13 would be encouraging for bulls, with no bearish imbalances on this higher timeframe. If we cannot get a monthly candle close above 17.13 we can see a strong rejection, setting a new bullish range from most recent low to high, which we can then see a move back into discount. My ideal bearish outlook: Monthly bearish imbalance reject, which is currently at 50% bearish discount, to retest bullish breaker + bullish fvg + monthly liquidity sitting at the low of previous month10.63. Targeting ----> 8.53- 10.63. Ideal bullish outlook(continuation): Monthly bearish imbalance mitigated here with a monthly candle close above here. Next points of liquidity ---24.65---24.95 as targets. Ideal bullish outlook(entry or reentry): Entering ----> 8.53- 10.63. Be aware that this analysis is on a higher timeframe of a Monthly perspective and may take time to develop.
NASDAQ:SOFI
by bwinvests