Get started

Smartmoneyconcept

EURUSD – Rebalancing Before Repricing HigherEURUSD is currently trading within a corrective phase after failing to sustain its bullish momentum from the earlier impulsive rally. The market structure on the 1-hour chart shows a clean breakdown from recent highs, with sellers starting to step in more aggressively. This pullback feels more like a calculated retracement than a complete trend reversal, and the market may be seeking out a deeper discount before any continuation higher. With multiple rejections forming at lower highs and downside pressure increasing, it looks like EURUSD wants to drive lower first before making a run for higher levels. Consolidation Structure We’ve been consolidating after the last upward push, forming a short-term range with price grinding sideways but gradually bleeding lower. What stands out is the clear cluster of equal lows forming, acting as obvious sell-side liquidity. Just below that area sits a 1-hour fair value gap that remains unmitigated, offering a strong magnet for price. The FVG sits just beneath the golden pocket zone, which adds more confluence for a potential reaction from that area. This range looks designed to draw in early buyers, only to flush them out before price finds real support. Bearish Scenario – Setup for a Deeper Retracement Right now, the structure leans bearish in the short term. The market looks like it wants to run the lows and wick into the 1-hour fair value gap sitting below the golden pocket. This area is an unmitigated imbalance that lines up perfectly with the idea of a final liquidity grab. I’m expecting price to reach down into that gap, around the 1.112 region, before any kind of reversal occurs. The goal of this move would be to clear out stops and rebalance the inefficiency from the previous rally, setting the stage for the next leg higher. Bullish Scenario – Reversal from Discount Once price trades into the 1.112 zone and sweeps the current lows, the setup for a bullish reversal becomes much cleaner. That area offers a combination of liquidity, inefficiency, and fib confluence, making it a high-probability level for buyers to step back in. If we get a solid rejection or displacement out of that level, the upside potential opens up quickly. The idea is that after this corrective move and stop hunt, the market reclaims momentum and starts driving toward the next key structure zone. Price Target and Expectations If price delivers the expected sweep and mitigation into 1.112, I’ll be looking for confirmation of bullish intent and signs of strength to enter long. The target sits much higher, all the way at the 0.28 fib level, which is around 1.20. That level offers a logical take-profit zone based on fib projection and structure alignment. The potential reward-to-risk on this move is excellent if the entry holds and the displacement confirms. This would essentially be a play on manipulation and continuation, classic liquidity run before expansion. Conclusion EURUSD is setting up nicely for a textbook sweep-and-reverse play. The market is currently moving lower, and I’m expecting that move to extend into the 1-hour FVG just below the golden pocket, targeting an entry near 1.112. From there, if price reacts cleanly, the next leg should aim for the 0.28 fib level at 1.20. All the ingredients are there: a clean imbalance, obvious liquidity to take, and a higher-timeframe fib target to anchor the move. Just need to wait for price to do its job and follow the plan. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
40
“XAU/USD Buy Setup | Breakout Retest with 3-Target Bullish StrucThe hope of this idea presents a bullish setup on Gold (XAU/USD) based on a breakout–retest structure with multi-session volatility for price action. Strong recovery above the intraday consolidation zone near 3180-3183 breaks the sharp liquidity sweep beneath 3171. This aggressive recovery may suggest a fakeout and reversal whipsaw: a smart money signature. 🔹 Technical Rationale: Entry Zone (3181-3183): Aligned with supply candles' base as well as minor demand zone order. SL (3180): Structural support and bullish engulfing low just beneath. TP1 (3187): Prior minor high. TP2 (3190): Consolidation rejection zone around psychological approximate value. TP3 (3192): High-value liquidity cluster and potential sweep zone above high. The market has printed higher lows after the fakeout suggesting bullish continuation bias resulting the structure holding until 3180. With favorable R:R ratio and flexible structure, everything stays intact. ⚠️ Risk Note: Confirmation based trend continuation idea. Strong volume sustaining move below 3180 invalidates the idea. 📈 The structure and set levels provide clean bounds to wait for market dynamics.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FadeTheFake
SALIK (DFM) BOS confirmed the bulls are back in charge### 🌀 **Elliott Wave Structure** * The stock completed a textbook 5-wave impulse (1 → 5). * Followed by a complex **ABCDE correction**, ending with a liquidity sweep on Wave (E). * Current price action is a **bullish breakout** — likely the start of a **new impulsive cycle**. ### 📐 **Fibonacci Extension Target** * **7.35 = 100% Fib extension** of previous impulse (Wave 1–5), projected from Wave (E). ## 🎯 **Trading Setup** | **Entry** | Market @ 5.90 | | **Stop Loss** | Below 4.75 (beneath main OB) | | **Take Profit** | 7.35 (100% Fib extension ) | | **R/R Ratio** | \~1:3.6 | --- > “SALIK finally ripped through resistance like butter. BOS confirmed the bulls are back in charge. That 7.35 target? It’s not just a guess — it’s fib math.” > *“Fibonacci is the map. Price is the vehicle. Volume is the fuel.”* --- ### ⚠️ **Disclaimer** > This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always manage risk and use stop losses. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
DFM:SALIKLong
by MESHANL
Bitcoin – Respecting $103k FVG, Approaching ATH.Bitcoin failed to fully fill the large 4h and 1h FVG around the $100,000 zone, front-running the level before bouncing sharply. This type of price behavior suggests strong demand, with buyers stepping in aggressively before the inefficiency could be completely mitigated. The market is now shifting back to a more bullish tone after establishing a short-term bottom near the key higher-timeframe FVG. Consolidation Structure The price action has been messy and range-bound over the past few days, stuck between the major 1h/4h demand zone around $102,000 and the $105,000 resistance level. Within that broader range, Bitcoin created a new 1h FVG on the push off the lows, which has already been respected intraday around the $103,000 area. That newly formed FVG now acts as short-term support as price grinds upward again toward the prior resistance. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios On the bullish side, if Bitcoin flips the $104,500 to $105,000 resistance area cleanly into support with a convincing displacement and consolidation above it, there’s a good chance it will break out and target higher inefficiencies above $106,000. That would confirm buyers are in full control and using each FVG as a stepping stone higher. However, if price gets rejected again inside the resistance zone without showing signs of strength or accumulation just below it, we could see another rotation lower back to the $100,000 FVG or potentially even a deeper retest of the broader $97,500 area. A rejection at the highs could align with a sweep of local buy-side liquidity and serve as a trigger for a short-term reversal. Price Target and Expectations Upside breakout targets sit around $106,200 and higher, based on the previous price inefficiencies and trend structure. On the downside, if we see rejection, price may revisit $100,000 and possibly test the deeper 4h imbalance zone closer to $97,500 again. Current Stance For now, price is trading inside the upper portion of the range and grinding into a known resistance area. There’s no clear confirmation yet of either a breakout or rejection, so the next move depends heavily on how price reacts within the $104,500 to $105,000 zone. Watching for either bullish continuation (with a clean flip and hold above) or a strong rejection setup for a possible fade back into the midrange. Conclusion Bitcoin continues to respect FVGs both to the downside and upside. The bounce from the 1h/4h demand confirms higher timeframe interest, and the respect of the new 1h FVG around $103,000 shows short-term strength. The next major decision point is the $105,000 resistance. A clean break and flip could signal continuation, while rejection there may trap longs and send price back toward demand.
Long
by TehThomas
43