Get started

Smartmoneyconcepts

Bitcoin Analysis - Bear Trap Complete - Bullish Reversal StartedBitcoin recently swept the liquidity resting at the $78K level, taking out the previous lows before initiating a strong reversal with a double break of structure to the upside. This signals that smart money has engineered liquidity to trap retail traders and induce early shorts before driving price in the intended direction. The move up has left behind a well-defined bullish order block in confluence with a fair value gap, which held firmly on the retracement. This confirms that institutional positioning is present, and the market is now efficiently repricing higher. The fact that price reacted strongly from this zone further reinforces that smart money has absorbed sell-side liquidity, and the path of least resistance is now to the upside. With liquidity now resting above the descending bearish trendline, price has a clear target. The bearish trendlines, especially in the context of a corrective move, act as a liquidity magnet. Retail traders shorting into this structure are providing the fuel for the next leg up, as their stops accumulate above each lower high. The market makers and algorithmic liquidity providers understand this, and price is now gravitating towards that liquidity pool. The inefficiencies left on the chart from the recent aggressive down move also suggest that these imbalances need to be filled, further strengthening the case for continued bullish expansion. The entire bearish move preceding this was nothing more than a well-structured inducement. It served to lure in breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downtrend, and trap liquidity at the lows before the true direction was revealed. This is a classic example of manipulation before expansion. This principle repeats across all timeframes and market conditions. With this in mind, the most probable scenario now is a continuation towards the next major liquidity pool above the bearish trendline, likely leading price into the 92K–98K range where a significant daily order block sits. This area will be critical to observe, as it could act as a distribution zone where smart money starts offloading positions. However, until then, the structure remains decisively bullish, and every retracement into demand zones should be seen as an opportunity to position long, rather than a sign of weakness.
Long
by WickstonFX
2
TRADE IDEAS: ES FUTURES (ESM2025) – 3/26/2025 PLAYBOOK# 📊 TRADE IDEAS: ES FUTURES (ESM2025) – 3/26/2025 PLAYBOOK ## 🟢 SCENARIO 1 (BULLISH) **DIRECTION:** Long **STRUCTURE BIAS:** Bullish **ENTRY LEVEL:** 5,795-5,815 (current zone, buying sell-side liquidity raids) **STOP LEVEL:** 5,785 (invalidate if hourly close below this level) **TARGET LEVELS:** - **Target 1:** 5,880-5900 (Weekly Key High Resistance Level) **R/R RATIO:** ~3:1 (depending on final execution) ### EXECUTION STRATEGY - **Entry Confirmation:** Look for price to raid previous unhit weekly lows (sell-side liquidity) - **Long Entries:** Establish long positions as price successfully raids these lows but fails to sustain below them - **Stop Placement:** Use 5,785 as a hard stop (hourly close below invalidates the trade idea) - **Target:** Take profits at 5880 - 5,900 (Weekly Key High Resistance) ### KEY POINTS - Current price action targeting sell-side liquidity in the form of previous unhit weekly lows - Wednesday typically not a low/high of week formation day, suggesting potential for continued movement - Tomorrow's High Impact News Event (GDP at 8:30 AM) likely to create volatility and could accelerate the move - Bullish structure prevails as long as price maintains above liquidity raid zones --- ## 🔴 SCENARIO 2 (BEARISH) **DIRECTION:** Short **STRUCTURE BIAS:** Bearish after bullish extension **ENTRY LEVEL:** 5,880-5910 (Weekly Key High Resistance Level) **STOP LEVEL:** 5,9550 (invalidate if hourly close above this level) **TARGET LEVELS:** - **Target 1:** 5,740 (Weekly Opening Gap upper boundary) **R/R RATIO:** ~3:1 (depending on final execution) ### EXECUTION STRATEGY - **No Immediate Short:** Wait for price to extend to Weekly Key High Resistance Level (blue line ~5,900) - **Rejection Confirmation:** Look for reversal candles and selling pressure at resistance - **Short Entries:** Establish short positions once price trades below confirmation level after testing resistance - **Stop Placement:** Use 5,925-5950 as a hard stop (hourly close above invalidates the trade idea) - **Scaling Out:** Partial profit near 5,800, hold remaining for potential move to 5,745 area ### KEY POINTS - After liquidity is taken at the Weekly Key High Resistance (blue line), expect manipulation and reversal - Short opportunity emerges only after bulls exhaust momentum at key resistance - Weekly Opening Gap (red zone) remains a significant downside target for next move - Any sustained hourly close above 5,965 **invalidates** this bearish setup ## MARKET BIAS - **SHORT TERM (Today – 1 Day):** - **Bullish** bias as price is likely to find support at current levels and move toward the Weekly Key High Resistance - Current price action suggests accumulation before a move higher - Tomorrow's GDP numbers (8:30 AM) represent a potential catalyst for accelerated movement - **LONGER TERM (1–2 Weeks):** - After testing the Weekly Key High Resistance level (~5,900), expect a reversal and move back toward the Weekly Opening Gap (red zone) - Market structure suggests a "liquidity hunt" pattern – first to the upside, then reversing to the downside - Major liquidity draw currently at the blue line, once exhausted, focus will shift back to the Weekly Opening Gap
CME_MINI:ESM2025Long
by LiquidityTracker
SPY WILL FALL|SHORT| ✅SPY has hit a key structure level of 577.50$ Which implies a high likelihood of a move down As some market participants will be taking profit from their long positions While others will find this price level to be good for selling So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ 

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ProSignalsFx
1