BTCUSD Rejection Setup – Order Block Hit, Weak Lows in Sight!📉 BTCUSD is setting up a textbook bearish reversal — Smart Money style.
This 1H chart shows Bitcoin tapping into a high-timeframe Order Block at ~$104,190–104,560, with a clear rejection from the premium zone and confluence with the upper trendline.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Order Block tapped at $104,190–104,560
✅ Strong rejection candle near the trendline resistance
✅ Price failed to break above the Strong High — a sign of Smart Money distribution
✅ Targeting Sell-Side Liquidity at $101,420
✅ Final target? Weak Low and liquidity pool around $99,189
🔍 Smart Money Confluence:
Price has moved into a premium selling zone, aligning with the upper bounds of market structure
Order Block rejection suggests institutional selling interest
Weak lows below $100K are prime targets for liquidity grabs
Retail longs are likely trapped — ideal conditions for a downward sweep
🧠 Institutional Logic:
Smart Money doesn’t chase price — it delivers it. This move likely represents a "Mitigation and Distribution" phase before a deeper selloff:
📌 Mitigation of previous long positions inside the OB
📌 Distribution at the highs before targeting the next liquidity pool
📉 Trade Idea:
Short Entry Zone: $104,200–104,500
Targets:
TP1: $101,420 (Sell-side Liquidity)
TP2: $100,000 (Psych level / Weak Low)
TP3: $99,189 (Liquidity Magnet)
Invalidation: Clean break and close above $104,800 (above the OB and Strong High)
🧠 Tip for Traders:
Wait for a confirmation bearish structure shift or lower high on the LTF (15m/5m) before entering full size. Smart Money leaves clues — not impulses.
💬 Comment "BTC Setup" if you’re trading this drop
🔁 Save this analysis — this is how Smart Money dominates crypto markets.
Smartmoneyconcepts
Order Block Rejection with Channel Breakout, Smart Money at Work🧠 BTC/JPY Smart Money Breakdown — May 17, 2025
This setup is a textbook bearish reaction off an Order Block right at the top of a rising channel. Let’s dive into what the big money is doing behind the scenes ⬇️
🧩 1. Context
Market was respecting a rising channel on 15m
Price made a final sweep of internal liquidity into a:
🔴 Red Order Block
📏 Premium zone above the mean
Now we’re seeing a strong bearish displacement candle closing outside the structure 👀
🎯 2. Trade Setup
Entry zone: 15,090,000–15,150,000 (Order Block zone)
SL: Above 15,150,000
TP Zones:
TP1: 15,000,000 (psych level + OB base)
TP2: 14,900,000
TP3: 14,829,228 (full imbalance fill + liquidity resting zone)
➡️ Risk-to-reward ≈ 1:3+, depending on exit
🔍 3. Smart Money Confluence
Order Block rejection: Institutional footprint
Break of channel support: Sign of displacement
Liquidity sweep: Retail breakout bait → SMC trap
Momentum candle shows no hesitation — bearish intent confirmed
If you want sniper trades that flip zones into gold, this is it.
📉 Wait for a possible retest if missed — price might kiss the OB again before further melt.
🧠 Final Thought:
The JPY strength + BTC weekend illiquidity combo makes this setup extra spicy. Stay sharp for potential retests or lower timeframe entries 🔍
💬 What’s your bias? Will BTCJPY keep dumping or fake the break? Let’s debate in the comments 👇
🧠 Tag your trading buddy & follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily Smart Money insights.
BTCUSD 15M | Order Block Slam + Channel Break | 1:4+ RRR Setup🧠 BTC/USD Breakdown — Smart Money Style | May 17, 2025
This one’s textbook bearish premium reaction — the kind of move that wipes out late buyers and fills institutional orders. Let’s zoom into this juicy setup ⬇️
🧩 1. Smart Money Context
Price climbs inside a rising wedge structure
Enters premium zone and taps a defined 🔮 Order Block (OB)
OB rejection confirmed with:
Liquidity grab
Bearish engulfing
Channel break 🚨
🎯 2. Trade Details
Entry: 103,500 – 103,800 (OB zone)
SL: 103,850
TP Zones:
TP1: 103,000 (OB base)
TP2: 102,500
TP3: 101,420.70 (full breakdown completion + imbalance fill)
Risk-to-reward: 1:3 to 1:4.5+ depending on your exit style.
🔍 3. Why This Setup Works
Order Block marks institutional selling zone
Liquidity sweep triggers false breakout trap
Channel break with volume confirms momentum shift
Final candle closes with strength — this ain’t no fakeout
This is how smart money loads up and leaves retail chasing ghosts 👻
📉 Missed the initial entry? Watch for a pullback to the OB for a possible second chance!
🔥 Final Note:
The weekend price action often moves erratic, but this setup shows institutional control — wait for confirmation and let price do the heavy lifting 🧘♂️
💬 Drop your thoughts: bullish retest or straight dump incoming?
📲 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for clean, no-BS smart money analysis every day!
ETH Just Slapped Into an Order Block — Next Stop: Dump City?🔎 Ethereum Smart Money Sell Setup | May 17, 2025
The ETH/USD 30-minute chart just gave us a juicy bearish confirmation off a clean Order Block rejection, wrapped in a downward sloping parallel channel — exactly what smart money watches for. Here’s the breakdown:
🧩 1. SMC Narrative
Price tagged a bearish OB right at the mid-supply zone 🟣
Followed by strong engulfing rejection candle
Breakdown from the minor trendline support → confirms bearish shift
Order block lines up with the premium zone of the overall bearish channel
Retail might think this is support — we see liquidity 👀
🎯 2. Trade Specs
Entry: ~2,516.09 (OB upper edge)
SL: 2,520.00
TP Zones:
TP1: 2,476.99 ✅ (almost hit)
TP2: 2,450
TP3: 2,409.47 (final target at channel low)
Risk-to-Reward: Approx 1:4.5
🛠️ 3. Why This Setup Works
Price delivered a channel breakout + OB rejection combo
Strong volume spike during the OB touch = institutional activity
The bounce off the OB is weak — signaling exhaustion
All signs point to a grind down to lower channel support
If you know, you know — this is how banks exit in stealth mode 🚪👻
🎯 Bonus Tip:
If ETH retests the OB zone again with weak bullish candles — that’s your secondary sniper entry 🎯
📣 What’s your bias? Think bulls can reclaim this OB, or are we headed straight into deeper discount pricing?
📲 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily laser-focused setups, SMC concepts, and precision trading breakdowns!
XAUUSD Taps Premium OB – Bearish Liquidity Trap Incoming!📉 XAUUSD Smart Money Setup – Bearish Rejection from Premium Supply Zone
Let’s get straight into it, fam. Gold (XAUUSD) just made a textbook move into a premium Order Block, and it’s screaming liquidity trap + reversal opportunity.
🧠 Market Structure Breakdown:
✅ Clean internal bearish structure
✅ Lower highs and lower lows maintained
✅ Current price rally = retracement into OB, not a reversal
This is a pullback into premium, designed to bait breakout buyers before slamming back down. Smart Money 101.
🔮 Key Confluences:
🟣 Order Block Zone:
3,290.000 – 3,331.405
Origin of impulsive bearish move
Aligned with supply imbalance and unmitigated sell orders
Tapped perfectly at 61.8%–79% Fib levels
🔻 Fibonacci Retracement (Swing High to Low):
50.0% → Current market price (3,286.370)
61.8% → OB mid zone
70.5% – 79% = ideal entry zone for institutional short positions
📍 Target Zone:
3,120.765 (0% Fib)
Solid RR with minimal drawdown potential
🧠 Smart Money Narrative:
Market induced sellers at the low
Rallied back up aggressively to entice breakout longs
Now entering sell-side OB where Smart Money is looking to unload positions
Retail sees a “breakout” — we see distribution. 💼
💡 Entry Strategy:
📌 Entry: 3,290 – 3,331 (OB + 70.5%–79% Fib)
📌 Stop Loss: Above 3,333 zone
📌 TP1: 3,210
📌 TP2: 3,150
📌 Final TP: 3,120
🎯 RRR: 1:4.5++ – chef’s kiss for swing traders
🔁 Risk Flow Checklist:
✔️ Structure confirms bearish bias
✔️ OB unmitigated + untouched since initial drop
✔️ High-volume price sweep prior to tap
✔️ Clean internal liquidity grabs before entry
This is the kind of setup you wait for — not force.
🧘 Pro Tip:
Let the OB do the heavy lifting. Don’t chase price — wait for the rejection signal:
Wick rejection
Bearish engulfing
Shift in internal market structure
Patience = profits. 💸
🧨 Summary:
This XAUUSD chart is a Smart Money masterclass:
Clean bearish BOS
Premium OB with Fib confluence
Trap setup above liquidity
Big RRR with minimal exposure
🗣️ Comment “GOLD SNIPER” if you caught the tap!
🚀 Save and study this setup — they don’t come often, but when they do, they pay big.
GBPUSD Hits Institutional Supply – Bearish Rejection Loading…⚠️ GBPUSD Smart Money Setup – Premium Price, Weak Low, Juicy Liquidity Below!
We’ve officially entered Smart Money playground territory on GBPUSD.
Here's what's happening:
🧠 Market Structure Narrative:
🔹 Price ran straight into a premium OB
🔹 Internal structure shift already played out
🔹 Now in distribution territory, prepping for a dump
Price has tapped into a high-probability sell zone (purple OB zone) between 1.34500–1.35000, where Smart Money is most likely positioned to unload shorts.
🟪 Order Block Confluence:
📌 OB Range:
Base: 1.34500
Cap: 1.35000
This zone caused the previous bearish impulse – unmitigated until now
Price reacted sharply upon entry = signs of institutional interest
💡 Clean, unmitigated supply = chef’s kiss setup.
🔻 Liquidity Engineering:
🧊 Below current price sits a “Weak Low” marked around 1.32400
💰 Below that: massive Sell-Side Liquidity at 1.31400
📌 This = high-probability magnet for Smart Money to drive price lower
🔁 Fibonacci Confluence (if applied):
Entry zone aligns with 70.5–79% retracement of previous impulse leg = premium risk zone for pro sellers.
💣 Entry Strategy:
🎯 Sell Zone: 1.34500–1.35000
📍 SL: Above 1.35100 (above OB + liquidity grab buffer)
📍 TP1: 1.32400 (Weak Low)
📍 TP2: 1.31400 (Sell-side Liquidity)
📍 RRR: Up to 1:5+ depending on entry precision
This is a swing trader’s dream — premium risk, maximum reward.
💡 Confirmation Tools:
✅ Bearish engulfing candle on LTF
✅ Internal BOS on M15-H1
✅ Rejection wick from OB or candle body stall = sniper entry
Be the sniper — not the FOMO chaser. 🎯
🧠 Key Lesson:
"Weak lows exist to be broken. OBs exist to be respected. Combine both = Smart Money sniper mode."
Let the trap trigger and ride the liquidity wave down.
🗣️ Drop a 💀 if you’re watching this setup play out!
📌 Save this chart — it’s a Smart Money blueprint.
USDJPY: Smart Money Reloads at Demand ZoneThis pair is showing some next-level institutional behavior right now, and the play is looking ripe for a long position — here's why:
📉 Previous Sell-Off = Liquidity Engineering
USDJPY had a strong downward leg creating a perfect internal liquidity pool, then took out that internal high (marked by triple liquidity tags 💵💵💵) just above a descending channel. That was your classic fakeout / inducement trap.
🎯 Price Tapped Into a Fresh Bullish Order Block
Price dipped deep into a refined OB (purple zone) aligned with the lower channel and then wicked hard out of it. That move created a bullish rejection wick, confirming buyer interest from smart money.
You can see price forming a micro HL structure at the edge of the demand zone — premium setup for continuation.
📍 Key Confluences:
✅ OB sits right around the mid-channel EQ
✅ Demand zone is built on top of a strong low (142.680 area)
✅ Strong risk-to-reward setup aiming for weak high and buy-side liquidity
✅ Rejection aligns with a bullish change of character (ChoCh) from lower timeframes
💥 Targets:
🔹 TP1 - Weak High at 144.400
🔹 TP2 - Buy Side Liquidity sweep at 145.514
🔹 Extended Target - Ride it to channel top / HTF imbalance fill above 146.000
📈 Trade Idea Summary:
Entry Zone: Anywhere in the OB range from 143.554 to 143.189
Stop Loss: Below 143.000 or the strong low
Risk-Reward: Easily 1:5+ if targeting full range move
🚨 Why It Matters:
This chart screams smart money accumulation at the bottom of a channel. Retail traders might still be shorting the retracement — but smart money is loading longs while price consolidates at demand.
If price clears the weak high, it could ignite a bullish rally into the upper supply zones where liquidity lies.
💬 Comment "UJ MOVE" if you're entering this sniper long!
🔁 Repost this if you’re tracking it with your team!
Gold (XAUUSD) Primed to ExplodeGold is looking ultra-reactive right now and ready to pop. This is textbook SMC with a clean roadmap.
🔍 Market Narrative:
Price action shows a series of equal highs + trendline liquidity sweeps, followed by a deep sell-off into a premium demand zone. What makes this setup powerful is how it:
Swept internal liquidity below structure
Tapped a strong low while entering a discount OB zone
Respected FVG (Fair Value Gap) sitting right in the golden zone (61.8–70.5%)
📍 Key Confluences:
✅ Triple inducement zones (yellow circles = retail trap triggers)
✅ Perfect bounce off the strong low (3,298.783)
✅ Price projected to react off FVG and then target the weak high + buy-side liquidity
✅ Target aligned with a -27% Fibonacci extension, i.e., 3,369.600
📈 Price Roadmap:
Current PA pushing up to break the Weak High
Slight retrace or reaction from the Fair Value Gap
Continuation bullish leg towards Buy-Side Liquidity: 3,345.470
Final extended TP at 3,369.600
🎯 Trade Plan (Long Idea):
Entry: Upon retrace into FVG (ideally between 3,314.560 – 3,312.046)
Stop Loss: Below the strong low (~3,298.783)
TP1: Weak High → 3,330s
TP2: Buy-side liquidity sweep → 3,345.470
TP3: Fib extension at → 3,369.600
RRR: Solid 1:4+ potential
🧠 Institutional Insight:
Smart Money is using retail trendline breakouts and fake resistance levels to stack orders before the real move. This play is all about accumulation + imbalance correction + liquidity run.
💬 If you’re watching Gold, drop a 🔐 or “XAU MOVE” in the comments!
EURUSD Bounce Incoming? Smart Money Reversal BrewingThis EURUSD setup is a case study in smart money accumulation after a liquidity sweep + channel break. Price action is aligning like clockwork for a long setup, and the confluences are hard to ignore.
🧠 Breakdown:
🔻 Bearish Channel Structure: Market has respected this descending channel since early May — multiple taps, respected diagonals
🟡 Reversal Clues: Clean sweep of liquidity at the channel bottom with bullish engulfing candle
💰 Order Block + Discount Zone:
OB marked inside the 50%–79% retracement range
🔹 OB top: ~1.12567
🔹 Key entry: Between 1.12567 – 1.12199
🔹 SL: Below 1.1180 (clean under discount zone)
📈 TP zone: 1.15728 — previous market structure high and fib -100% level
✅ Risk-Reward: 1:5+ if played with precision
🔍 Why this setup is 🔥:
✅ Channel break = structure shift
✅ OB + Fib 61.8%–79% = strong demand confluence
✅ Liquidity below equal lows already taken
✅ Sharp bullish move after sweep = signs of big players entering
✅ Price likely to pull back to mitigate before exploding
🧠 Institutional Logic:
“Liquidity fuels price. Structure guides it. Confluence confirms it.”
The market swept lows, flipped structure, and now is likely returning to fill orders before the next leg up. This is a classic bullish mitigation play.
📊 If price taps into the OB and shows bullish confirmation — this is a sniper zone.
Set alerts. Wait for the wick. Enter on the flip. Let the market work for you, not the other way around.
ETHUSD Bearish Trap Unfolding: FVG Fill Targets Sell-Side Liq!🚨 ETHUSD – Smart Money Bearish Setup (30-Min Timeframe)
Ethereum just gave us a beautiful SMC reversal setup after a short-term range liquidity sweep. Let’s break this down so you don’t miss the next leg. 👇
🔍 1. Structural Liquidity Sweep
A clean grab above internal highs pushed price into a well-defined premium zone where both Order Block (OB) and Fair Value Gap (FVG) reside. It’s not a bullish breakout – it's a liquidity trap.
The strong high at ~$2,566 hasn’t been breached, meaning structure still leans bearish.
🟪 2. Order Block Reaction Zone
Price is tapping directly into a bearish Order Block zone (~$2,559–2,566), showing hesitation and rejection candles.
💥 OB rejection confirmed with wicks and short-body closes
🔻 Follow-through expected down to clean up inefficiencies below
This is where Smart Money quietly enters short – right before the crowd realizes it wasn’t a real breakout.
🟦 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Below Price
A large FVG zone (~$2,553–2,503) is waiting to be filled. This is textbook Smart Money behavior – price rallies into premium, rejects OB, and aggressively seeks to rebalance inefficiency below.
📉 4. Weak Low & Sell-Side Liquidity
Below $2,530 lies a Weak Low, likely to be swept as price seeks out Sell-Side Liquidity. Final target sits at ~$2,487, right before the broader demand re-enters.
This is a liquidity vacuum move:
Price is engineered to sweep internal liquidity → break structure → mitigate deeper imbalance.
🎯 5. Trade Setup Breakdown
📍 Short Entry Zone: $2,555–2,566 (OB + trendline + FVG rejection)
🔐 Stop Loss: Above $2,570 (structure break level)
🎯 Take Profit Zones:
TP1: $2,530 (Weak Low sweep)
TP2: $2,503 (FVG base)
TP3: $2,487 (Sell-Side Liquidity)
⚖️ Risk:Reward Ratio – 1:3 or better
💡 Bonus: Add trailing stop after TP1 for locked-in gains
🧠 Market Psychology Lesson:
Retail sees a breakout of range = FOMO buys
Smart Money sees trapped longs = entry fuel for bearish move
Weak lows = targets
Your job = be the hunter, not the hunted. 🎯
✅ Summary:
ETHUSD is setting up for a classic bearish SMC reversal. Price tapped the OB, respected structure, and is showing a roadmap toward Sell-Side Liquidity below $2,500.
Don’t fade the confluence:
Premium OB + FVG
Rejection wick confirmations
Weak low + clean internal liquidity targets
⚠️ Keep emotions out, follow the setup, manage risk like a sniper.
💬 Type “ETH ON LOCK” if you’re tracking this beast with precision. Tag your trading squad!
Bitcoin’s Fake Pump Ends HERE! OB + FVG = Bearish Trap?📊 BTCUSD SMC Breakdown (3D Chart)
Price tapped into a High Probability Reversal Zone (OB + 61.8–79% Fib) with strong downward projection. This is a classic case of Smart Money selling into late bull euphoria. 👀
🧠 Smart Money Story:
Sell-side Liquidity Grab: Prior highs got swept—liquidity hunted 💧
Order Block (OB) + 61.8–79% Fib: This area is confluence-rich
Channel Top + Trendline Rejection = Extra confluence 🧱
Strong bearish reaction wick confirms Smart Money presence 🔥
Projection drawn toward 105,968 = -27% extension
📌 Key Technical Zones:
Zone Type Level / Range
Order Block : 108,267.68 (Purple Zone)
Premium Zone (OB + FVG) : 108,267 – 108,938
Entry Trigger : 108,251.52 (Current Price)
SL Zone (Invalidation) : Above 109,000
TP1 – TP2: 106,800 – 105,968 (TP2 = -27%)
🛠️ Trade Setup Idea (Short):
Sell Entry: 108,251 – 108,937
Stop Loss: 109,200
Take Profit 1: 106,800
Take Profit 2: 105,968
RRR: ~1:4 📉💰
BTCUSD Smart Money Reversal: OB + FVG Trap Targets Weak Lows🚨 BTCUSD Smart Money Concept Alert (30-Min Timeframe)
A classic bearish setup is unfolding on Bitcoin, and it’s screaming trap + reversal for anyone watching closely. Here’s why this could be your high-probability short of the week… 👇
🔍 1. Liquidity Sweep at Key High
We just saw a clean sweep of prior swing highs near 108,400 – a clear signal that Smart Money has hunted liquidity above weak retail stops. That big push into the premium zone? Not real demand. It’s engineered manipulation. 🔧
📉 2. Premium OB + FVG Confluence
Price has just tapped into a juicy confluence zone:
🔲 Order Block @ ~108,400–108,494
🟦 Fair Value Gap (FVG) imbalance sits right below
🎯 All aligning with 61.8–79% Fib retracement from the prior bearish leg
This is where Smart Money institutions enter the party. Look left: it’s the same game played again and again. Trap the highs, fill the imbalance, then dump.
🔄 3. Reversal Evidence Already In Play
A bearish reaction candle confirms rejection from this OB zone. The wick shows aggression – a clear sign of selling pressure stepping in at the premium.
Expectations now shift from retracement to trend continuation toward unmitigated demand zones below.
🧠 4. Weak Low & Liquidity Engineering
Below current price lies a weak low around 107,300 – that’s your magnet. Price needs to sweep that inefficiency, and the structure suggests liquidity vacuum mode is active.
Key zone targets:
🟨 First TP: 107,800 (FVG base)
🟨 Second TP: 107,300 (weak low sweep)
🔻 Final TP: 106,832 (full mitigation zone = 1400+ pip potential)
🎯 5. Execution Plan
💼 Smart Entry:
Entry zone is anywhere from 108,250 to 108,490 (OB + FVG overlap)
SL above 108,600 (structure invalidation)
📊 Targets:
TP1 – 107,800
TP2 – 107,300
TP3 – 106,832
⚖️ RR: ~1:3 or better if executed precisely
🧩 Market Psychology:
This isn’t just technicals. It’s narrative vs. reality.
Retail sees breakout → Long
Smart Money sees sweep → Sell
Retail buys late → Fuel for Smart Money exits
🛡️ Risk Reminder:
Trade the setup, not emotions. Let price come to your zones. Stay mechanical, not emotional. Partial out and trail stops once TP1 hits. Never chase.
✅ Summary:
BTCUSD is showing a perfect bearish Smart Money setup. OB + FVG confluence, strong premium reaction, engineered weak low, and liquidity zones below. Textbook SMC pattern. Play it right, and this setup could deliver clean, high-RR profits.
⚡ Drop a “BTC READY” in the comments if you're watching this one with sniper focus.
🧠 Tag a trading buddy who still thinks we’re in a breakout!
AUD_USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅AUD_USD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 0.6515
Price decline is to be expected on Monday
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DAX Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in an
Uptrend and the index
Is retesting the horizontal
Support level at 23,319
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A bullish rebound and
A move up next week
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP_CAD RISING SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅GBP_CAD is trading along the rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above at 1.8605
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD is About to COLLAPSE from a Fake Pump!📊 GOLD SMC Analysis (XAU/USD 4H)
Gold just tapped into a major Fair Value Gap + Premium OB Zone, aligning with the 79% retracement level. Market structure shows exhaustion, and a perfect short setup is forming.
🔍 Smart Money Narrative:
Strong prior bearish move = institutional sell-off ✅
Clean retrace into FVG (Fair Value Gap) and OB (Order Block) = sell zone 💯
Price tapped into 3,351 – 3,364 range (marked red)
That level aligns with the 79% Fib + channel resistance 🚨
The confluence = Smart Money liquidity grab ➡️ expect dump
📍 Key Confluences:
✅ FVG: clear imbalance filled (great trap zone)
✅ Order Block: bearish origin of last impulse
✅ 79% Fib Level: classic retracement kill zone
✅ Bearish Trendline + Channel Top: dynamic resistance
✅ 3:1+ RRR short idea in play
📉 Trade Plan (Sell Setup):
Entry Zone: 3,351 – 3,364
Stop Loss: 3,442 (above swing high)
Take Profit:
TP1: 3,280 (61.8% level)
TP2: 3,120.76 (full move, 0% Fib)
RRR: 1:3 to 1:4 🤑🔥
🧠 Institutional Logic:
Retail is chasing breakout highs 😬
Smart Money is selling into OB + FVG → trap those late longs
Next? Smash weak lows and rebalance price with a deep pullback
💬 “Gold’s headed for a cliff dive?” Drop a 💰 or ‘XAU’ if you’re riding this wave down!
BTCUSD (Bitcoin) Setting Up for a Trap and Crash📊 BTCUSD Smart Money Breakdown – May 23, 2025
This is a textbook liquidity trap setup — and the roadmap is crystal clear. The market already induced buyers at the top, is now tapping into an Order Block (OB) + 79% zone, and is preparing to nuke.
🔍 Market Narrative:
Strong high established – retail likely placing longs above that.
Clean retracement into Order Block zone (110,322 – 110,850) – where Smart Money is selling into demand.
PA is projected to fake a bullish breakout, reverse, and go for a deeper Fair Value Gap fill near 107,786, eventually targeting the Sell-Side Liquidity zone at 106,188.31.
📍 Key Confluences:
✅ OB + 79% Fibonacci = strong SMC reversal zone
✅ Clear FVG waiting to be filled = imbalance = magnet
✅ Weak low at 107,786.83 = perfect inducement for Smart Money run
✅ Final stop = Sell Side Liquidity sweep below 106,200
📉 Price Path Forecast:
Reject Order Block + Premium zone (110,496 – 110,850)
Retrace → FVG fill (between 108,900 – 107,800 zone)
Minor pullback or fake rally
Final move: liquidity raid under 106,188
Smart Money buys low again, setting up next bullish leg (later)
🎯 Trade Plan (Short Idea):
Entry Zone: Between 110,322 – 110,850 (OB)
SL: Above 111,000 (above inducement)
TP1: 107,786 (Weak Low)
TP2: 106,188 (Sell-Side Liquidity Pool)
RRR: Approx. 1:4 to 1:5 🔥
🧠 Institutional Logic:
Retail sees sideways structure = buys top resistance
SM sees that = sells into premium zone
This is accumulation → manipulation → distribution at its finest.
💬 Think BTC’s about to drop hard? Type “DUMP” or 🔻 in the comments! Let’s see who’s trading with the big boys.
BTCUSD Double Tap Into OB Before Massive Sell-Off! 2,000+ PipsHere’s why this could be one of the cleanest bearish setups of the week based on institutional flow and price action:
🚨 Step 1: Liquidity Engineering in Full Effect
We’ve got multiple areas where price was engineered to grab liquidity — clearly visible with those highlighted zones. Bitcoin pumped into a Strong High, tagging liquidity above a key trendline while respecting an internal parallel channel.
This move was not random. It was a textbook liquidity sweep.
🔁 Step 2: Order Block + 70.5% Fib Confluence
After the sweep, price retraced precisely into a bearish Order Block that overlaps perfectly with the 70.5% Fibonacci level — a hidden gem Smart Money loves to use for optimal entries. It’s the sniper zone.
This is where the first rejection came in, marking the start of bearish intent.
⚠️ Step 3: Break of Structure + Weak Low Exposed
As price dropped, it broke back under a weak low, confirming shift in market structure. This is your Change of Character (ChoCh) — the moment sellers regain control.
We’re now seeing retracement candles struggling to push above the OB/Fib zone. Rejection here confirms the setup.
🎯 Target Zones Breakdown:
✅ TP1 - Weak low around 110,200
✅ TP2 - -27% Extension (~109,500)
✅ TP3 - -62% Fib extension (109,268)
🚀 Extended Target - Possible sweep of Sell Side Liquidity all the way to 108,000–107,500
This is a potential 2000+ pip move if the full extension plays out.
🧠 Market Psychology in Play:
Institutions love to trap traders long after major breakouts. That last pump into the high? It wasn’t retail demand — it was liquidity generation. Now that they’ve swept the highs, they're driving price down to rebalance and mitigate.
Every highlighted zone on this chart? It’s a Smart Money footprint.
📌 Entry Game Plan:
Watch how price behaves around the current OB zone (111,250–111,618).
If price rejects and flips back under the midpoint (111,116), that’s your trigger.
Enter with tight SL above 111,750 and aim for TP1, TP2, and trail the rest to TP3 or lower.
📈 Risk Management Reminder:
Set your SL above structure.
Don’t overleverage — this is a clean setup, but patience is 🔑.
Let price come to you, not the other way around.
✍️ Final Thoughts:
This BTCUSD setup screams Smart Money — we’ve got:
Liquidity grabs ✅
Clean OB + Fib confluence ✅
ChoCh + structural rejection ✅
Strong R:R with multiple targets ✅
This might be the move to catch before the weekend liquidity sweep.
💬 Comment "BTC MOVE" if you’re watching this with me!
🔁 Tag your trading fam who needs to see this breakdown!
Trading AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 20/05/2025We’re halfway through the week and already sitting on two clean setups, all rooted in the Judas Swing Strategy. After Monday gave us nothing worth trading, Tuesday served up textbook opportunities on OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. In this breakdown, we’ll walk through two trades from Tuesday and highlight how they followed the exact Judas Swing playbook: manipulation first, then break of structure, retracement and execution
AUDUSD: The Classic Fakeout Reversal
Tuesday's OANDA:AUDUSD setup was as clean as they come. Price action leading into our session was heading downward. Liquidity had built up nicely above and below our zones giving us the bait we needed for the Judas Swing setup to trigger.
As expected, our session opened with a sharp fake move to the downside, sweeping the sell-side liquidity and trapping breakout sellers. What came next was the real clue: a decisive break of structure to the upside, signaling that the manipulation was complete and the true direction was about to unfold.
Price formed a Fair Value Gap (FVG) during the move up, and once it retraced into that imbalance, we executed our buy:
Entry: 0.64007
Stop Loss: 0.63907
Take Profit: 0.64207
The result? We faced some drawdown and a clean move into target. It was a low-stress trade that respected the plan from entry to exit
NZDUSD: Same Script
If OANDA:AUDUSD was the blueprint, OANDA:NZDUSD mirrored it almost exactly since they are closely correlated pairs.
Again, we started the session with a tight range. Liquidity had stacked nicely above and below the zone. Then, right on cue, the market delivered its Judas move, a fast pump below the pre-session lows, baiting in breakout shorts.
This was followed by a swift rejection and a clear break of structure to the upside. Once that displacement printed a Fair Value Gap, we knew where our opportunity lay.
Entry: 0.59002
Stop Loss: 0.58902
Take Profit: 0.59202
We entered on the retrace, and price moved smoothly in our favor. The difference here? We barely faced any drawdown on this trade as it moved straight to hit our TP putting us up 4% on the two trades
These setups reinforce why the Judas Swing Strategy is so effective in manipulated markets:
- We don’t chase breakouts we wait for the trap
- We don’t force trades we wait for displacement and confirmation
- We trust our backtested process even when we miss trades or price misses TP by a whisker
Not every trade will close out perfectly, but this method is built around structured logic and patience
Gold Tap into Order Block, Ready for the Drop?Here’s a surgical bearish setup on XAUUSD, right out of the smart money playbook. Gold has tapped into a premium order block inside the golden zone (between 61.8%–79%) and is showing signs of exhaustion. This could be the beginning of a major sell-off.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
🔻 Bearish Channel:
Market respecting both internal and external structure — clear downward channel
🟣 Order Block Zone:
Price tapped into the OB nestled between 3,332 – 3,338
➕ Aligns with 70.5%–79% Fib retracement zone (premium price)
🔂 Swing Failure Pattern (SFP):
Price wicked above previous minor high, showing manipulation + rejection
🔥 High RR Setup:
✅ Entry: 3,331.7 (current OB tap)
❌ SL: ~3,370
🎯 TP: 3,120 zone (0% fib extension + previous structure)
🧠 Confluences:
Liquidity taken above minor highs
OB + Fib alignment
Previous channel high rejection
Structural LH forming
🎯 Trade Idea:
This is a textbook distribution phase after a channel mitigation. Smart money has likely finished accumulating above highs and is prepping for markdown.
Plan:
Wait for bearish confirmation (e.g., 15min BOS or engulfing candle)
Enter short from OB
Trail SL if price breaks below the mid-channel zone
🧠 Quote for Traders:
“Price doesn’t reverse randomly. It reacts at engineered levels by the institutions.”
— Stay reactive, not predictive.
EUR-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.1300 which is confirmed
So now the price is consolidating
Above the new support
And after a potential retest
Of the support level we are
Likely to see a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY Long Setup: Triple Confluence Zone Locked InSmart money traders love one thing more than anything — confluence. This BTCUSD setup hits all the marks:
📈 Structure Breakdown:
Market breaks structure to the upside ✅
Impulsive bullish leg breaks prior high ✅
Pullback into 61.8% golden zone + OB ✅
Rejection wick = perfect entry confirmation ✅
This is a high-probability continuation setup after BTC made a clear bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on the M30 timeframe.
🟦 Order Block Zone:
OB Range:
Top: ~106,989
Bottom: ~106,759
This OB was the last down candle before the big bullish impulse that broke structure. Price returned to mitigate here, then instantly rejected = Smart Money entry confirmed 🔒
🧮 Fibonacci Levels:
61.8%: Sliced right into it
70.5% – 79%: Deeper liquidity zone just below
The entry wick taps right into the sweet OB/Fib confluence zone and launches 🚀. It’s giving sniper precision with a low drawdown entry.
🎯 Trade Parameters:
Entry: ~106,759
SL: Below the OB zone
TP: 108,022 (previous high)
That’s an RRR of around 3.5–4.0x — a clean asymmetric play, just the way smart money wants it.
🔍 Confirmation Factors:
Bullish BOS on M30
Price returns to OB zone + golden ratio
Clean rejection candle with demand absorption
No internal structure break = bullish narrative still valid
🧠 Key Lesson:
“When OB meets Fibonacci, don’t ask why. Load up — the market just told you why.”
Let setups like this come to you. No chasing, no emotions. Let the algo-driven footprints guide you to the money.
📈 Missed this one? Save it for your playbook — this is how high-probability trades are built.
Drop a 💰 if you caught the same move!
AUD_NZD WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅AUD_NZD made a bearish
Breakout then a retest of the
New resistance around 1.0867
From where we are already
Seeing a powerful pullback
So we are locally bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further move down
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.