NZD_USD SHORT FROM SUPPLY AREA|
✅NZD_USD is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 0.5860
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target at 0.5790
SHORT🔥
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EUR_NZD LOCAL LONG|
✅EUR_NZD is going down
Now but a local horizontal
Support level is ahead at 1.9300
So after the retest a local
Bullish rebound is to be expected
LONG🚀
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AUD_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅AUD_USD is going up now
And the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.6200 which is now
A support and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are locally
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further move up
After a potential pullback
LONG🚀
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EUR-USD Swing Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD grew nicely
Today but will soon hit
A horizontal resistance
Level of 1.1279 so after
The retest we will be
Expecting a local bearish
Correction and a move down
Sell!
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Examples of invalid setups | Judas Swing Strategy 07/04/2025As traders, it's crucial to spend time in the lab backtesting your strategy and exploring ways to optimize it for better performance in live markets. You’ll start to notice recurring patterns, some that work in your favor, and others that consistently lead to unnecessary losses. It might take time to spot these patterns and even longer to refine them to fit your trading system, but going through this process is what helps you evolve. In the long run, this is what you need to do to become a better trader.
We spent a considerable amount of time refining our entry technique for the Judas Swing strategy after noticing a recurring issue where entering with a limit order sometimes gets us stopped out on the very same candle. After testing a few alternative entry methods and making some key adjustments, we finally found an approach that worked consistently for us. On Monday, April 7th, 2025, this refinement proved its worth by saving us from two potentially painful losses. In this post, we’ll walk you through exactly what happened and how the improved entry made all the difference.
We got to our trading desks ready to scout for setups and were drawn to promising setups forming on both FX:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. This was exciting since the previous week offered no solid trading opportunities. As price swept the liquidity resting above the highs of the zone our bias quickly shifted toward potential selling setups for the session. But before taking any trade, we always ensure every item on our entry checklist is met. Here’s what we look for:
1. A break of structure to the sell side
2. The formation of a Fair Value Gap (FVG)
3. A retracement into the FVG
4. Entry only after a confirmed candle close
With the first two requirements on our checklist confirmed, all that remained were the final two and at this stage, patience is key. As price began retracing toward the FVG on both FX:AUDUSD and OANDA:NZDUSD , things got interesting. Price came into the Fair Value Gap on both pairs, checking off the third requirement. Now, all that was left was to wait for the current candle to close.
But that’s where things will be clear to you now.
Had we jumped in early with a limit order, we would’ve been stopped out on the same candle. This moment served as a perfect reminder of why we now wait for a confirmed candle close before taking any trade. It’s this extra step that helps us avoid unnecessary losses and stick to high-quality setups.
This entry technique like any other, comes with its own set of pros and cons. At times a limit order might offer a more favorable entry price compared to waiting for a candle close and that can influence both your stop-loss and take-profit placements. On the flip side, there are also instances where waiting for the candle close gives you a better entry than the limit order would have. That’s why it’s so important to backtest.
Your job as a trader is to put in the time to study and test what works best for your system. We chose this candle close entry method because we did the work. After extensive backtesting and data analysis, we found this approach aligns best with the results we aim for in the long run.
AUD_NZD POTENTIAL SHORT|
✅AUD_NZD is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 1.094
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target at 1.086
SHORT🔥
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NZD_USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅NZD_USD will soon retest a key resistance level of 0.5680
So I think that the pair will make a pullback
And go down to retest the demand level of 0.5620 below
SHORT🔥
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GBP_USD SUPPORT CLUSTER|LONG|
✅GBP_USD is going down
To retest a strong support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support levels
So a local rebound is to be
Expected but its a risky
Setup given the general
Volatility on the market
So use small lot size
LONG🚀
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NATGAS Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Resistance of 3.626$ and the
Breakout is confirmed so we
Are bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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GOLD Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a nice correction
Of almost 7% on the general
Panic over the trade wars which
Gives us a great opportunity
To jump into Gold with a discount
From a nice horizontal support
Level of 2945$ from where
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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EUR-GBP Swing Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP surged sharply
And is locally overbought
So after the pair hits the
Horizontal resistance
Of 0.8624 we will be
Expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
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NZD_USD RISKY LONG|
✅NZD_USD has hit a key structure level of 0.5520
Which implies a high likelihood of a move up
As some market participants will be taking profit from short positions
While others will find this price level to be good for buying
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bullish correction
LONG🚀
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Bitcoin Analysis - Bear Trap Complete - Bullish Reversal StartedBitcoin recently swept the liquidity resting at the $78K level, taking out the previous lows before initiating a strong reversal with a double break of structure to the upside. This signals that smart money has engineered liquidity to trap retail traders and induce early shorts before driving price in the intended direction.
The move up has left behind a well-defined bullish order block in confluence with a fair value gap, which held firmly on the retracement. This confirms that institutional positioning is present, and the market is now efficiently repricing higher. The fact that price reacted strongly from this zone further reinforces that smart money has absorbed sell-side liquidity, and the path of least resistance is now to the upside.
With liquidity now resting above the descending bearish trendline, price has a clear target. The bearish trendlines, especially in the context of a corrective move, act as a liquidity magnet. Retail traders shorting into this structure are providing the fuel for the next leg up, as their stops accumulate above each lower high. The market makers and algorithmic liquidity providers understand this, and price is now gravitating towards that liquidity pool. The inefficiencies left on the chart from the recent aggressive down move also suggest that these imbalances need to be filled, further strengthening the case for continued bullish expansion.
The entire bearish move preceding this was nothing more than a well-structured inducement. It served to lure in breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downtrend, and trap liquidity at the lows before the true direction was revealed. This is a classic example of manipulation before expansion. This principle repeats across all timeframes and market conditions.
With this in mind, the most probable scenario now is a continuation towards the next major liquidity pool above the bearish trendline, likely leading price into the 92K–98K range where a significant daily order block sits. This area will be critical to observe, as it could act as a distribution zone where smart money starts offloading positions. However, until then, the structure remains decisively bullish, and every retracement into demand zones should be seen as an opportunity to position long, rather than a sign of weakness.
DXY PULLBACK EXPECTED|SHORT|
✅DXY surged again to retest the resistance of 103.400
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bearish pullback and a move down
SHORT🔥
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NZD-USD Strong Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-NZD is approaching a
Horizontal support level
Of 0.5521 so when the
Market opens we will be
Expecting the pair to retest
The support first and then
Make a nice bullish rebound
Buy!
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AUD-NZD Massive Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD has also fallen
Down by a lot last week
And we think that the
Initial panic move is over
So as the pair is oversold
And is about to retest a
Horizontal support of 1.0740
A strong bullish correction
Is to be expected on Monday
Buy!
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GOLD BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅GOLD fell again to retest the support
But it is a strong key level of 3000$
So we are already seeing a rebound
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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NATGAS SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅NATGAS will soon retest a key support level of 3.728$
So I think that the pair will make a rebound
And go up to retest the supply level above at 3.887
LONG🚀
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SILVER Strong Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER got decimated
By the bears last week
And lost almost 15%
Of its value, which is
Clearly an overreaction
And an oversold situation
So after the potential retet
Of the strong horizontal
Support below around 28.97$
On Monday we are likely
To see a bullish correction
Buy!
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DAX RISKY LONG|
✅DAX is going down to retest
A horizontal support of 20,400
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that we will see a rebound
And a move up from the level
Towards the target above at 20,800
LONG🚀
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GOLD 3000$ Key Level Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a bearish
Correction just as pretty
Much everything else on
The market, but Gold is
Trading in a long-term
Uptrend so after the
Price hits an important
Psychological level
Around 3000$ a local
Bullish trend-following
Rebound is to be expected
Sell!
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USD-CAD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD went down and
Then up sharply on the
Tariff announcements
And the pair is now approaching
A horizontal resistance of 1.4264
From where we will be
Expecting a local bearish correction
Sell!
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Ethereum Analysis - Bull Trap - Don't Buy!COINBASE:ETHUSD recently tapped into the 1,800$ order block, but rather than signaling a bullish reversal, this level appears to be pure inducement. There is no fair value gap above this zone, meaning there’s no true imbalance that price needs to mitigate. This suggests that smart money is not positioning for higher prices here, but instead using this level to lure in retail longs before engineering a deeper move to the downside.
The broader market structure remains bearish, with price continuously making lower highs and lower lows. While many traders may see the 1,800 order block as a support level, the absence of a fair value gap indicates that this area lacks real institutional interest. Instead, it serves as a liquidity pool where market makers can absorb buy orders before driving price lower. The true liquidity targets lie below, particularly around the 600$ levels, where a significant number of stop losses and liquidation points are resting. These levels act as magnets, and until they are taken, the probability of a sustained bullish move remains low.
Additionally, the inefficiencies left in the previous sharp upward move suggest that price still has unfinished business to the downside. Smart money thrives on liquidity, and the clean lows below 600$ offer an attractive area for a deeper sweep before any meaningful bullish expansion can take place. This is a classic case of market manipulation, where early longs are baited into the market just before a significant downside move clears out weaker hands.
Once liquidity has been swept from the 600$ regions, the probability of a true reversal increases. At that point, institutional players will have accumulated enough liquidity to justify a move higher. The most logical upside target following this sweep is the 2,700 order block, which aligns with a previous imbalance and a major area of institutional interest. However, until the sell-side liquidity is fully taken out, any attempt at longs is premature and likely to result in being used as exit liquidity for smart money.
In conclusion, the current price action is a textbook example of liquidity engineering. The move down into 1,800$ was a carefully orchestrated inducement to trap buyers before a deeper price correction. The most probable scenario is a continued decline to sweep liquidity below 600$, at which point smart money will begin repositioning for a true bullish move toward 2,700. Until then, every attempt to push higher is likely just part of a larger manipulation cycle designed to fuel the next major market move.