Bitcoin - Blue Skies, Retest Before $125k?Bitcoin has pushed into blue skies after breaking through a major resistance zone around 110,000 USD. The breakout was sharp and impulsive, pushing price well into uncharted territory above 117,000. At these levels, traditional resistance becomes harder to pinpoint, and the market often behaves irrationally, so caution is warranted. With all-time highs being challenged, any small retracement must be handled with precision.
Support and Retest Zones
The previous resistance zone between 109,000 and 111,000 has now turned into a potential support area. This level acted as a ceiling for weeks and was finally broken with strong momentum. Price already had a minor retest on the breakout candle, which offers a bullish sign of acceptance. However, a deeper retest of this same zone remains a valid possibility, especially if short-term profit-taking intensifies.
Trendline Confluence
Alongside the horizontal support, we have an ascending trendline that has guided price from the June lows. This trendline now intersects with the 111,000–113,000 area, offering a secondary potential bounce level. If Bitcoin holds the trendline, a shallower correction could be enough to reset before another rally. But if we break below it, the horizontal support remains the final stronghold before deeper downside risks emerge.
Short-Term Scenarios
There are two likely short-term paths here. Either Bitcoin continues higher without a deep pullback, targeting 120,000–125,000 directly, or we see one more sweep into the 111,000 area before the trend resumes. The first scenario would trap sidelined traders, forcing late entries at higher levels. The second would provide a clean retest of structure, fueling a healthier, more sustainable breakout.
Price Target and Expectations
Assuming the retest scenario plays out cleanly and price confirms support at either the trendline or the former resistance zone, upside targets sit around 120,000 as the next psychological barrier, with 125,000 as a likely extension. These are natural magnet levels in a trending environment, especially with momentum still intact from the previous breakout.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently in price discovery, which means the structure must guide our expectations. A retest of either the trendline or former resistance could provide the next best entry. As long as we hold above the green support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and higher targets remain in sight.
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Mastering the Bollinger Bands- How to use it in trading?What is the Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands is a popular technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s. It is designed to measure market volatility and provide signals for potential price reversals or trend continuations. The Bollinger Bands consist of three lines: a simple moving average in the middle, usually calculated over 20 periods, and two outer bands that are placed a set number of standard deviations above and below the moving average. These outer bands automatically adjust to market conditions, expanding and contracting based on price volatility. The indicator is widely used by traders to understand the relative highs and lows of a financial instrument in relation to recent price action.
What will be discussed?
- How does it work with the lower band and upper band?
- What does the narrowing mean?
- What does the widening mean?
- How to trade with the Bollingers Bands?
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How does it work with the lower band and upper band?
The upper band and the lower band serve as dynamic levels of resistance and support. When the price of an asset touches or exceeds the upper band, it may be considered overbought, suggesting that a reversal or pullback could be near. Conversely, when the price approaches or breaks below the lower band, the asset may be viewed as oversold, indicating a potential rebound. These bands do not generate definitive buy or sell signals on their own but instead help traders assess market conditions. The interaction of price with the upper and lower bands often provides visual cues about the momentum and direction of the market, allowing for more informed decision-making.
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What does the narrowing mean?
The narrowing of the Bollinger Bands occurs when the price becomes less volatile over time. This contraction indicates a period of consolidation or low market activity, where the price is trading in a tighter range. Narrowing bands are often interpreted as a signal that a significant price movement may be coming soon, as low volatility tends to precede high volatility. This phase is sometimes referred to as the "squeeze," and traders closely monitor it to anticipate breakout opportunities. The direction of the breakout, whether upward or downward, is not predicted by the narrowing itself but usually follows shortly after the bands have contracted.
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What does the widening mean?
The widening of the Bollinger Bands reflects increasing market volatility. When the price starts to move rapidly either up or down, the bands spread further apart to accommodate this movement. This expansion typically confirms that a new trend is underway or that a breakout has occurred. The wider the bands become, the greater the degree of price fluctuation. During these times, traders may observe stronger momentum in the market, and the continuation of the move may be supported by the growing distance between the bands. However, extremely wide bands may also suggest that a reversal could be nearing, as the market can become overstretched in either direction.
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How to trade with the Bollinger Bands?
Trading with Bollinger Bands involves using the bands to identify entry and exit points based on the behavior of price in relation to the upper and lower bands. One common approach is to buy when the price touches or breaks below the lower band and shows signs of bouncing back, and to sell when the price reaches or moves above the upper band and begins to retreat. Another strategy involves waiting for the bands to narrow significantly and then entering a trade in the direction of the breakout that follows. Traders often use Bollinger Bands in combination with other indicators such as RSI, MACD, or volume to confirm signals and reduce the risk of false breakouts. It is important to remember that Bollinger Bands are not predictive on their own but are most effective when used as part of a broader technical analysis framework.
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Bitcoin - Power of 3 in play!The chart illustrates a classic application of the ICT concept known as the "Power of 3," a theory that outlines a common market behavior pattern consisting of three phases: consolidation, manipulation, and distribution. This model is often used by smart money traders to identify points where institutional players may be accumulating or offloading positions, typically by targeting retail liquidity.
Consolidation
In this scenario, Bitcoin has exhibited a prolonged period of consolidation, where price fluctuated within a defined range throughout most of June and into early July. This range-bound movement, highlighted in blue, represents the market gathering orders from both buyers and sellers, creating a liquidity pool on either side of the range. During this phase, market participants become uncertain about the next direction, while smart money positions itself for the next move.
Manipulation/sweeping liquidity
Recently, Bitcoin has broken out of this consolidation range in an upward move, which is now being interpreted as the manipulation phase. This move served to sweep the liquidity resting just above the established highs of the range. These highs were prime areas for stop-losses of short sellers and breakout entries of longs, making them attractive targets for institutional manipulation. The price push above this level, marked in green, appears to be a false breakout designed to trap breakout traders and trigger stops before a likely reversal.
Possible distribution phase
Following this manipulation phase, the chart suggests we are entering or have just begun the distribution phase, marked in red. Distribution in the context of the Power of 3 refers to the process where smart money offloads their positions onto unsuspecting buyers who entered during the manipulation. The anticipated outcome is a sustained move to the downside, aligning with the forecasted bearish structure shown on the right side of the chart.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the chart reflects a textbook ICT Power of 3 pattern in play on Bitcoin. After a lengthy period of sideways consolidation that built liquidity on both sides, Bitcoin executed an upward manipulation to capture liquidity above the range. Now, with the highs swept and buy-side liquidity taken, the market looks poised for distribution, signaling a probable downward move in the near term. Traders familiar with smart money concepts would view this as a high-probability reversal zone.
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AUDJPY Technical Breakout - Targeting 97.400 Next?TRADENATION:AUDJPY has recently broken decisively above a key resistance zone that had previously capped price for several months. This breakout was preceded by a period of compression and range-bound price action, where bullish momentum steadily built up, indicated by higher lows pressing against the resistance level. This type of structure typically leads to an explosive breakout, which we are now seeing unfold.
After the breakout, price came back for a clean retest of the broken resistance zone, which has now flipped into support. The retest held firmly, suggesting strong buyer interest at this level and confirming the validity of the breakout.
With this structure in place, the bullish momentum is likely to extend further toward the next target zone around 97.400, provided price remains above the current support.
As long as the price holds above the retested zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. A breakdown back below this area, however, would be a warning sign and could open the door to a deeper pullback.
Remember, always wait for confirmation before entering trades, and maintain disciplined risk management.
Bitcoin – Rejection Confirms Trap, Next Stop: $107kBitcoin attempted to take out the swing high around 110.5k but failed to clear the previous all-time high, resulting in a sharp rejection. This failure marks a significant turning point, suggesting a lack of bullish momentum at premium levels. The rejection came after a sweep of equal highs within a well-defined resistance zone, indicating a potential liquidity grab.
Highs Swept, But No Breakout
After dropping into support around the 107.5k region, price managed to push up and form a new swing high, but once again met heavy selling pressure after sweeping the prior equal highs. That sweep and the subsequent rejection give this structure the character of a classic liquidity trap, where smart money runs the highs only to reverse.
Weak Lows Below
The support zone has now been tapped multiple times, and the most recent low is structurally weak. It failed to produce a higher high, which makes it vulnerable to a clean stop hunt. Given this context, these lows are likely to be targeted next, as price seeks out sell-side liquidity resting beneath.
Expected Path Forward
I’m expecting further downside to unfold from here. The rejection from resistance, paired with the weak internal structure, suggests Bitcoin will take out the weak lows near 107.5k. Once those lows are swept, I expect a bullish reaction from the same demand zone, setting up a potential long opportunity back into the 109k–110k area. The plan is to look for signs of a reversal after the sweep, such as a 5M market structure shift or a fair value gap entry setup.
Liquidity Map and Trade Plan
The current price action is best viewed through the lens of liquidity. The highs were engineered to trap breakout buyers and then rejected. Now, the weak lows offer the next logical draw on liquidity. My focus is on short-term downside targeting that 107.2k–107.5k support region, followed by a potential bullish reversal setup once that liquidity is cleared.
Conclusion
This is a clean example of a failed breakout, followed by engineered liquidity moves in both directions. As long as price respects the current structure, my bias remains short into the weak lows, followed by a high-probability long setup once those lows are swept and the market shifts.
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GOLD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,358.00 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,349.30.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GBP_AUD LONG FROM SUPPORT|
✅GBP_AUD fell down sharply
But a strong support level was hit at 2.0500
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 2.0580
LONG🚀
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EUR_USD STRONG UPTREND|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is trading in an uptrend
With the pair set to retest
The rising support line
From where I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
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GBP-USD Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in a
Long-term uptrend along
The rising support support
Line and the pair will soon
Hit it and from there we will
Be expecting a bullish
Rebound on Monday
Buy!
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GBPUSD - 2 Selling opportunitiesLooking at GBPUSD
We have 2 opportunities to get short. Both have a build of liquidity before the areas of supply before them. This means we are looking for the early seller to get into the market before we get in so that all the early seller get stopped out.
As we can see the order flow on this is still bearish. So until the market shows me it want to go higher then we will remain bearish
Keep a close eye on this for tomorrow
GOLD SWING LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in a strong
Long-term uptrend along the
Rising support line so we are
Bullish biased and after the price
Breakout of the local opening wedge
We we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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EUR-USD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
Making a local bearish correction
But we are bullish biased and
After the retest of the horizontal
Support of 1.1640
We will be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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#GOLD UPDATESIn this analysis we're focusing on 2H timeframe for finding the upcoming changes in gold price.
Here we can see clearly that gold price creates trendline resistance and also price sweep all the SSL and pre. daily LQ sweep. Now I'm waiting for retracement, If price retest my supply zone and give bearish sign or reversal confirmation than we'll execute our trades. This is a higher time frame outlook. Further analyze more deeply into smaller time frame and place our position from an perfect point.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
Keep an eye on these levels. Confirmation is key.
#XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
USDCAD's Opportunity Bell Is Ringing — Don’t Miss Out!Hey there, my valued friends!
I’ve prepared a fresh USDCAD analysis just for you.
📌 If the 1.37245 level breaks, the next target will be 1.38000.
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NZD-CHF Broken Wedge Pattern! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CHF was trading in a
Narrowing bullish wedge pattern
And now we are finally seeing
A bullish breakout so we are
Bullish biased now and we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish move up after a
Local correction
Buy!
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Gold - Sell inboundGold is looking very promising for another sell off. we are already showing signs that price has intent to move lower with some lower timeframe break of structure.
Just waiting for a manipulation now of the most recent highs put in before price moves lower.
Let's see if we get an entry tonight.
US30: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 44,393.91 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,324.79 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,330.13.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EUR_NZD RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅EUR_NZD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 1.9500
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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USD-JPY Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY keeps growing but
A strong horizontal resistance
Is ahead around 148.500
So after the retest we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish correction on Monday!
Sell!
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