EURUSD – Bearish Rejection and Targeting the 4H Imbalance ZoneEURUSD has shifted into a clear bearish tone following multiple rejections from a well-established resistance level. Over the past several weeks, price has struggled to break above that zone, showing consistent signs of selling pressure each time it attempted a push higher. The most notable move came when price briefly spiked above the resistance in what now appears to be a fakeout. That move did not hold, and it’s very likely that it served as a classic liquidity grab engineered to sweep buy stops resting above the range highs before reversing direction.
This kind of behavior is typical in a distribution phase, especially when seen at a high-timeframe resistance zone. The fake breakout essentially confirms that the upside liquidity has been taken, and that smart money is shifting direction. Since that event, price has been making lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing the current bearish structure.
Consolidation Structure
Before the fakeout, EURUSD had been consolidating just under resistance, building up a tight range. This kind of structure tends to lure in breakout traders, and the eventual spike above the range likely cleaned out a lot of stop orders. What followed was an aggressive reversal back into the prior range, which is a strong sign that the breakout was not genuine.
Since then, price pushed down and attempted a retracement, but that retracement got rejected precisely within a fair value gap. This is significant. It tells us that even during a pullback, the market is respecting inefficiencies and continues to deliver bearish reactions rather than signs of strength. That rejection further confirms that bears remain in control and that the earlier break was nothing more than a trap.
Bearish Scenario
With resistance holding and the fair value gap rejection now confirmed, I expect EURUSD to continue its descent and seek out deeper levels of interest. The most obvious draw on liquidity now sits below the current price, the large four-hour imbalance zone. This imbalance was left behind during the impulsive rally that preceded the fakeout, and it has yet to be filled.
Inside that imbalance, there’s also a golden pocket level lining up almost perfectly. That confluence between the imbalance zone and the 0.618–0.65 region adds weight to the idea that this area will act as a magnet for price. Markets seek efficiency, and this entire zone represents a void that price is likely to come back and rebalance.
The move into that zone would also allow the market to engineer sell-side liquidity along the way, particularly under the recent higher lows. Once those are swept, and if price begins to react inside the golden pocket, we may then begin to look for early signs of accumulation or even a bullish displacement, but until then, the short bias remains firmly in play.
Price Target and Expectations
The first key expectation is a clean sweep through the current local lows and a drive into the heart of the 4-hour imbalance. This is where I’ll be watching most closely for a potential change in behavior. Ideally, I want to see price push deep into the imbalance and tap the golden pocket before doing anything significant on the long side.
If price shows a strong reaction there, such as a bullish engulfing or a clear market structure shift that would signal the potential for a reversal. Until then, any bounce is likely to be short-lived and corrective in nature. The structure is still bearish, and the fair value gap rejection reinforces that.
Current Stance
Right now, I remain bearish. I’m not interested in fighting this momentum by jumping into premature longs. As long as price remains under the level it got rejected from, and continues to print lower highs, I’ll maintain a sell-the-rip mindset. If price delivers a deeper pullback from here, it may offer a short-term intra-day bounce, but the core expectation is still a move lower into the imbalance zone.
The area that interests me the most is the combination of the 4-hour imbalance and golden pocket, that’s the zone where I’ll shift from reactive to proactive and start looking for possible long setups. But I won’t consider longs unless price gets there and shows clear intent to reverse.
Conclusion
The market has already swept buy-side liquidity with the fakeout above resistance, and the rejection from the fair value gap confirms that sellers are still in control. Price is now being drawn toward the inefficiency below, and all signs point toward a continued bearish move until that imbalance is filled.
Until price reaches that zone and delivers a reaction worth trading, I’m staying patient and waiting for the setup to complete. Chasing entries in the middle of the range here doesn’t offer the best risk-reward. The focus now is on watching how price interacts with the 4-hour imbalance and the golden pocket, that’s where I’ll reassess the narrative and consider shifting bias if conditions warrant it.
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SMC
Bitcoin – Price Hits $100K, Will It Hold or Dive Into Demand?Bitcoin has officially reached the long-anticipated $100,000 mark, sweeping the psychological round number and clearing out a major pool of liquidity sitting just above it. This move came off the back of a sharp and impulsive leg, likely fueled by both spot demand and late-stage FOMO-driven breakout longs. At the same time, short liquidations added fuel to the upside, pushing price rapidly through thin areas on the volume profile. This type of vertical movement typically doesn’t last long without some form of corrective structure, and now that the $100K level has been tagged and liquidity taken, we can reasonably expect a period of cooling off, either through time-based consolidation or a more price-based retracement.
Consolidation Structure
The move up left behind two significant fair value gaps (FVGs) on the 4H chart. The first sits just beneath current price and represents the immediate imbalance created by the impulsive breakout candle. This is the shallowest inefficiency and would be the first area to watch for a potential short-term reaction. The second FVG lies deeper and overlaps perfectly with the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, the golden pocket. This deeper zone is structurally more important, not only because it aligns with the golden pocket ratio but also due to its proximity to the high-volume node clearly visible on the Volume Profile (VRVP). Below this zone, there’s a strong base of support built from the previous consolidation area, making it a prime candidate for a bounce if tested.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
Scenario 1: In the bullish continuation case, Bitcoin retraces slightly to fill the shallow FVG just beneath $99K. A clean reaction there, especially if backed by strong volume and low timeframe bullish structure, could lead to a resumption of the trend with a fresh leg upward. This scenario assumes that the current breakout is being respected by the market and that participants are eager to front-run deeper entries. If this plays out, we’d expect a relatively quick reclaim of $100K, potentially building a new higher-low formation before continuing into uncharted territory above $102K.
Scenario 2: The second and more complex scenario involves a deeper retracement toward the lower FVG and golden pocket, between roughly $96.2K and $95.2K. This would constitute a cleaner reset of the recent move and allow the market to shake out weak longs who entered during the euphoric breakout. It also opens the door for a possible inducement setup, drawing in early sellers only to reverse at a key confluence zone. The golden pocket, combined with the high-volume node just below, makes this a high-probability demand zone. If we see bullish SFPs, displacement candles, or lower timeframe market structure shifts from there, it would be a strong long entry zone for a reattempt at the highs.
Price Target and Expectations
If Scenario 1 plays out, we can expect price to reclaim the $100K level fairly quickly, with upside potential toward $102K to $103K in the near term. The risk here is limited, given the shallowness of the retracement, but continuation would likely be more gradual and grindy due to the lack of a proper reset. If Scenario 2 plays out, the bounce from the golden pocket could produce a much healthier structure for further upside, and in that case, targets beyond $104K become more viable. The lower retracement would offer a better R/R and allow the market to rebuild momentum organically.
Current Stance
Right now, we remain bullish on the higher timeframes, but recognize the need for a local correction. We’re not interested in chasing the breakout blindly, the move has already cleared a major liquidity level and needs to rebalance before any sustainable continuation. We’re watching both FVGs closely. If the first one fills and holds, we’ll look for signs of strength and continuation. But if price breaks deeper, we’ll shift our focus to the golden pocket and bottom FVG as the more attractive long entry. Below that, the VRVP shows thick support, so our bias remains bullish unless we get a confirmed breakdown beneath that base.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has done its job in tagging $100K and clearing the obvious liquidity pool above. What comes next is all about how the market digests that move. Either we get a shallow retracement into the first imbalance and continue higher from there, or we go deeper into the golden pocket and establish a more meaningful base. Both scenarios still lean bullish, the key is patience and waiting for the right structure to develop. There’s no need to force entries here. Let price come to your levels, wait for confirmation, and take the trade when the setup aligns.
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NASDAQ READY TO CONTINUE THE LONG-TERM WEEKLY BULLISH RUN
FX:NAS100
I just entered this buy trade on Nasdaq on the daily time frame.
The trade setup is a Swing trade following the monthly and weekly orderflow.
The Monthly is bullish, the weekly is also bullish, so I entered on the daily time frame retracement.
My overall take profit is a risk reward of 1:4.
GOLD RISKY SHORT|
✅GOLD keeps growing
While trading in an uptrend
So we are bullish biased long-term
But the price is about to retest
A local horizontal resistance
Of 3370$ from where we will
Be expecting a local pullback
But we advise you to use low
Risk because it is
A counter-trend trade
SHORT🔥
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USD_CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅USD_CAD is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 1.3964
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 1.3869
SHORT🔥
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Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: 88k or 100k?Bitcoin has broken through the 4H imbalance zone that also acted as an old resistance area. The break came through a clear displacement candle, which showed strong intent from the market. That same move left behind a new gap just under the previous resistance. Although price already retested that area once, it didn’t fully fill the gap, so we could see one more retest to complete the 50% line before the market chooses direction.
Consolidation Structure
The range before the breakout was clean, with multiple rejections from the resistance zone. That zone was front-run several times, then finally broken with conviction. Now, price is hovering just under that broken level, and the new gap created by the displacement candle is still fresh and technically unfilled.
Below current price, there’s a large inefficiency sitting between 88.2k and 90k. This zone stands out because it’s not only a clean 4H imbalance, but it also aligns with the golden pocket retracement from the last major leg up. That type of confluence usually attracts liquidity, especially if price gets rejected from the gap above and starts moving lower.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario would play out if price manages to reclaim the gap zone, pushes back above the resistance cleanly, and treats the gap as support. That would be a classic structure flip, where the previous resistance becomes a new base, and the gap gets inverted into a continuation zone. If we see that, the next upside targets would sit around the 96k to 97k area, where more liquidity is likely resting.
On the other hand, if price moves into the gap and gets rejected again, that confirms sellers are still active at that level. In that case, I’d expect the market to push down and start filling the inefficiencies below. The 88.2k to 90k area becomes the primary draw. It’s packed with confluence from the 4H imbalance and the golden pocket, and it also lines up with previous demand zones. If price reaches into that area, it could trigger a strong reaction and potentially form the next higher low.
Price Target and Expectations
If we see rejection from the current gap, the target shifts to the 88.2k to 90k zone. That’s where I’ll be watching for bullish signs, since it’s the type of level where buyers often step in. A clean reaction there could be the start of a new leg higher. But if the market doesn’t get that low, and instead pushes up through the resistance, then the bullish breakout scenario is active, and we’d be aiming higher toward the 96k range or even the 100k.
Current Stance
Right now, I’m in reactive mode. The trade will depend on what happens at the gap zone. If we get another rejection from it, I’ll look for a move into the golden pocket below. If we reclaim the gap and break resistance, I’ll be looking to enter on confirmation of the flip. No trade from the middle, only once price gives clear direction from either key level.
Conclusion
This is a clean two-scenario setup. Either price fills the remaining gap and flips resistance, triggering the bullish continuation, or we reject from that area again and drop into the 88.2k to 90k range for a deeper liquidity grab. Both are valid, and both offer high-probability trades once price confirms the path.
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NZDUSD: Is That a Liquidity Grab?! 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD formed a bearish trap after a test of an important
intraday demand zone.
A violation of a resistance line of a wedge pattern on an hourly
confirms a strong buying interest.
The price may bounce at least to 0.5913
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USD-CAD Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD went up sharply
And is about to hit a horizontal
Resistance of 1.3964 from
Where we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
And a local move down
Sell!
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GBPUSD - Liquidity Grab & BoS Signals Bearish ReversalSmart Money Concepts (SMC) Analysis
1. Liquidity Sweep & Break of Structure (BOS):
Price consolidates above a trendline with multiple rejections (blue lines).
A liquidity grab occurs below this trendline – classic inducement setup.
After the grab, a bearish BOS (break of structure) is confirmed with a strong candle closing below the trendline and recent lows.
2. Order Block:
Price retested a 4H bearish order block (grey shaded zone) before rejection. This OB aligns with the last bullish candle before the drop.
Rejection from the OB confirms institutional interest (SMC).
3. Imbalance / Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The drop left a minor imbalance zone, suggesting possible continuation down to fill the inefficiency.
Price Action Analysis:
1. Trendline Break:
Ascending trendline has been broken with strong bearish momentum.
Indicates a shift from higher lows to lower lows → possible trend reversal.
2. Supply Zone Respect:
The price failed to make a new high and was firmly rejected at resistance.
Double top or lower high formation adds bearish confluence.
3. Target & Risk-Reward:
The trade setup indicates a short entry just below trendline break.
Target around 1.29393, likely based on previous demand zone or liquidity pocket.
Stop above 1.33664, likely above the OB or structural high.
Solid RRR (>3:1) visible.
Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias:
Break of internal structure (Price Action)
Liquidity sweep below trendline (SMC)
Bearish Order Block rejection (SMC)
Strong bearish engulfing candle
Favourable RR trade plan
Conclusion:
This is a high-probability bearish setup combining a trendline liquidity sweep (inducement), break of structure, order block rejection, and efficient risk-reward positioning. The price is expected to target 1.29393, aligning with a previous demand or liquidity zone.
Thanks for your time..
GOLD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a retest of
The local horizontal resistance
Of 3348$ and is alreaady
Making a local pullback
So despite our long-term
Bullish bias we will go short
With the Take Profit of 3297$
And the Stop Loss of 3372$
Sell!
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EUR_CAD MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT|
✅EUR_CAD is consolidating
Beneath the horizontal resistance
Of 1.5700 and as we are bearish
Biased we will be expecting
A further bearish move
Down towards the target
Below around 1.5573
SHORT🔥
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GBP-USD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
About to retest a horizontal
Support level around 1.3178
From where we will be expecting
A local rebound and a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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EUR_USD LOCAL LONG|
✅EUR_USD is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 1.1187
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 1.1278
LONG🚀
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USD_JPY WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅USD_JPY will be retesting a
Resistance level soon around 147.500
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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BTCUSDT 13R Trade Breakdown: Deep Crab Pattern + SMC Precision Hello Traders!
If you enjoyed my previous post on combining Harmonic Patterns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) for high-precision, high-risk-to-reward trades, then you're going to love this breakdown on BTCUSDT.
If you haven’t checked out my earlier content, make sure to scroll below this post and see that first—it sets the foundation for what we’re diving into here.
📈 BTCUSDT Trade Breakdown: Harmonic x SMC Precision Entry
This analysis was originally shared around three weeks ago on my YouTube channel, and if you were with me live, you’ll remember I was closely watching for a Bullish Deep Crab Pattern to complete before considering a LONG position.
Let’s walk through the setup and outcome step-by-step:
🕰 WEEKLY TIMEFRAME:
Price was reacting to a Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) and had filled the imbalance.
As shown in the chart:
🔍 SETUP: Strategy Confirmation
Important Reminder:
Just because price hits a key level doesn’t mean we jump in to buy or sell.
✅ There must be a confirmed Harmonic Pattern that aligns with the key SMC level.
On the Daily Chart, we identified a valid Bullish Deep Crab Pattern:
B-point at 0.886
PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) at 1.618 FIB Extension
This PRZ aligned perfectly with the key level identified on the Weekly chart.
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY (15-Minute Chart):
We zoomed into the 15M chart for an SMC-based entry.
Supply-to-demand flip confirmed with a visible liquidity inducement—textbook confirmation.
Entry was just a few pips below the recent swing low to limit downside risk in case of invalidation.
Take Profits (TPs) were set using standard Deep Crab targets, based on FIB retracements from A to D:
✅ TP1 at 0.382
✅ TP2 at 0.618
✅ TP3 at 0.786
✅ TRADE OUTCOME:
Entry was cleanly triggered and the price followed through as expected.
All three profit levels were successfully hit:
✅ TP1
✅ TP2
✅ TP3
We secured an impressive 13R on this single BTCUSDT trade —a solid example of what happens when Harmonics and Smart Money Concepts are aligned.
💬 Your Turn:
Did you take this BTC trade using a different strategy?
Or did you spot the pattern and enter alongside me?
Drop your thoughts and experiences below this analysis—let’s learn together!
GBP_USD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅GBP_USD is approaching a
Demand level of 1.3181
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs
Of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon
Just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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EUR-GBP Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP made a retest
Of the wide horizontal
Support area around 0.8458
From where we are already
Seeing a bullish rebound
So we are locally bullish
Biased and will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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USOIL | 4H | SWING TRADING Good morning, dear friends
Due to high demand, I’ve prepared a USOIL analysis for you. My target level is set at 63.600.
Once my target is reached, I’ll be sharing updates under this post.
Dear friends, your likes are always my biggest motivation to keep sharing analyses. That’s why I kindly ask each of my followers to show their support—please don’t hold back on the likes.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes. It truly means a lot
GBPUSD | 1H | BULLGood Morning Traders;
My target level for GBP/USD is 1.33966—just wait for this level and stay patient.
I put in a lot of effort to prepare these analyses for you, so don’t hold back on showing your support with a like! A huge thank you to everyone who supports me—every single like is a source of motivation for me to keep sharing my insights.
GBP_AUD RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅GBP_AUD surged again
To retest the resistance of 2.0769
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bearish pullback and a move down
SHORT🔥
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