Get started

SMC

EURUSD - Bullish Continuation SetupEURUSD recently retraced into a key demand zone where a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) aligned perfectly with the golden pocket (between 61.8% and 65% Fibonacci levels). This confluence provided a high-probability setup for a bullish reaction. After testing this level, price rebounded sharply, confirming that buyers are still active and protecting discounted imbalances. Imbalance Reaction and Demand Strength The initial bounce from the 4H FVG was clean, with price quickly reclaiming structure and leaving behind a fresh series of upside imbalances. These newly formed gaps are now being respected on smaller retracements, showing that the market is still imbalanced to the upside and that buyers are stepping in early during pullbacks. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios As long as price continues to respect these imbalances, the short-term outlook remains bullish. The next major test lies at the resistance zone around 1.14000, which previously caused a sharp rejection. A minor reaction is expected there, but if the market maintains bullish momentum, we could see a clean break above that level. A failure to hold above the smaller imbalances near 1.12800 would be the first sign of weakness and could open the door for a deeper retracement back into the original 4H FVG. Price Target and Expectations If the current structure holds, I expect price to push into the 1.14000 resistance zone and eventually aim for the 1.15270 level as the next major liquidity target. The current price action shows a healthy series of higher highs and higher lows, supported by imbalances being filled and respected, suggesting further upside continuation. Conclusion EURUSD is showing clean bullish structure following a textbook reaction from the 4H imbalance and golden pocket zone. As long as the market continues to respect the newly formed imbalances, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Eyes are now on the resistance zone for signs of either rejection or breakout continuation. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
35
Bitcoin - Will we go back to $99k?Bitcoin is showing its first real signs of weakness after an extended bullish run. The current price action around $106,700 suggests a loss of momentum, with price hovering just above a key daily low that could act as a pivot point. If this low gets taken out, it would likely mark a short-term shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish, opening the door for a deeper retracement toward key inefficiency zones that remain unfilled. Consolidation and Liquidity Structure After the sharp breakout in early May, price rallied aggressively with minimal pullbacks, leaving behind several imbalance zones that now act as downside magnets. The previous range high around $99,000, which acted as a strong resistance level earlier this year, has not yet been properly retested. This area aligns with a large daily imbalance, making it a highly probable target in the event of a breakdown. Currently, price is consolidating just above this previous resistance-turned-support zone, and pressure is building. Bearish Breakdown Potential If the current daily low breaks, it would likely trigger a flush into the $99,000 to $95,000 range, where we find that unfilled imbalance waiting to be closed. A break and acceptance below the $99,000 level could suggest deeper trouble for the bulls. In that case, the next major downside target sits around $92,000, where an even larger inefficiency from earlier in the year remains open. This level also coincides with a significant accumulation zone that could provide the next strong base of support if the market continues correcting. Bullish Recovery Conditions On the flip side, if Bitcoin holds this low and finds demand stepping in at current levels, we could see a local bottom form. A recovery and push back toward $108,000 or even a reattempt of the $112,000 highs would be back on the table. But for this bullish case to stay alive, the current daily low must hold. A sweep and reclaim could trap late sellers and fuel a quick reversal. However, right now, the pressure is clearly leaning to the downside unless buyers show strong intent soon. Imbalance Zones and Key Price Areas The most critical area to watch is the $99,000 level. It’s the confluence of an old resistance, an unfilled imbalance, and psychological round number support. If price tags this zone, we’ll need to monitor reaction closely. Weakness below $99,000 opens the door to $92,000, which is where the next higher timeframe imbalance sits. If we start accepting below $92,000, that would confirm a much more extended corrective phase is underway. Price Target and Expectations The primary expectation is a move into the $99,000 imbalance zone, assuming we get a clean daily low break. A bounce there would offer the first chance for a bullish reaction, but if sellers dominate, $92,000 becomes the secondary and more extreme downside target. A reclaim of $108,000 would invalidate this short-term bearish thesis and shift the focus back toward the highs. Conclusion All eyes are on the daily low. A clean break below it would change the tone of this market and likely initiate a short-term bearish cycle, targeting inefficiencies left behind during the rally. $99,000 is the key zone to watch first. If it holds, bulls may step back in. If not, $92,000 becomes the next target in line. For now, caution is warranted as the risk of deeper downside continues to grow. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
45
NG1!: Move Down Expected! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse NG1! together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3.473 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3.447.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
RUS:NG1!Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Up! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.984 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.109.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
SILVER: Target Is Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 33.241 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.119.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EURUSD – Bearish Reversal in Motion, Fair Value Gap Draws Price EURUSD has recently reacted strongly to a major resistance zone, where price previously stalled and reversed in the past. After running into this area again, we saw a sharp and immediate rejection, which confirms the presence of aggressive selling pressure. This rejection was not just a weak pullback, but a strong displacement candle that shows real intent from institutional participants. This kind of price action is typically a sign that the market has found a short-term top, and will now look to rebalance lower, especially if there are inefficiencies left behind during the last move up. With the rejection now confirmed and price starting to rotate lower, the odds increase that we see a deeper retracement in the coming sessions. Resistance Reaction and Liquidity Story The price reached into a well-defined supply area and rejected cleanly. This level was likely filled with buy-side liquidity from breakout traders and late longs, which institutions needed in order to fill their sell orders. After sweeping above the previous highs and triggering breakout entries, price snapped back below, creating a shift in short-term structure. That move also created a market imbalance, a price inefficiency that the market tends to come back and correct. With bullish liquidity absorbed at the highs, price is now looking for sell-side liquidity, which can typically be found below the previous higher lows and inside unfilled value areas. Fair Value Gap and Fibonacci Confluence Below the current market, we have a clean fair value gap that was left behind during the most recent impulsive bullish move. What makes this area even more attractive is that it overlaps perfectly with the golden pocket zone, the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence creates a high-probability target area, not just because of the imbalance, but also because this level acts as a common retracement zone where institutional traders often look to reaccumulate or exit short-term positions. This area is also likely to hold resting liquidity from traders who placed stop losses under recent higher lows. All these factors combined make the fair value gap plus golden pocket area a natural draw for price, the market tends to gravitate toward these zones when there’s unfinished business left behind. Expectations and Potential Development Going forward, I expect price to continue bleeding lower in a controlled fashion, possibly forming minor lower highs along the way. Once the fair value gap is reached and filled, we could see signs of support or accumulation, depending on the context at the time. It’s important not to blindly long from that area, but instead wait for a market reaction, ideally a shift in structure on the lower timeframes, to signal that buyers are stepping back in. If the market holds that area and confirms support, it could launch a new leg higher. However, if the fair value gap fails and price continues to break down, it would signal that this move is not just a retracement but possibly the start of a larger bearish leg. Conclusion The rejection from resistance has opened the door for a deeper retracement. With a clear fair value gap and Fibonacci golden pocket below, the market now has a logical destination to correct toward. This level offers a clean narrative for continuation lower, and it aligns with both price action structure and algorithmic models. Patience is key now, the best opportunities come when price delivers into clean zones like this one. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
35