SMC
USD-CAD Locally Overbought! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD is trading in a
Strong uptrend but the
Pair is locally overbought so
After the retest of the
Horizontal resistance level
Of 1.4466 from where
We will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
Sell!
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Dominate Gold the 15-Min Chart with SMC, Breakouts,Sharp Entry'sIntroduction
In the fast-paced world of forex trading, understanding institutional moves is crucial. The 15-minute timeframe provides the perfect balance between actionable signals and structural clarity. By combining Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Change of Character (CHoCH), and Breakouts, you can build a robust strategy to identify high-probability trades with minimal risk.
Why Focus on the 15-Minute Timeframe?
Clarity in Price Action:
Reveals institutional footprints like liquidity sweeps and order blocks.
Less noise compared to lower timeframes (1-5 minutes).
Faster Setups:
Quick entry/exit compared to swing trading on higher timeframes.
Perfect for traders who prefer multiple opportunities within a day.
Scalability:
Can be used for scalping or short-term intraday trading.
Key SMC Concepts Explained
1. Change of Character (CHoCH)
CHoCH is one of the most reliable indicators of a trend reversal.
What is CHoCH?
A shift from a bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows) to a bearish one (lower highs and lower lows) or vice versa.
Indicates a potential reversal or start of a new trend.
How to Identify CHoCH?
Look for a liquidity sweep (stop-hunt) near significant highs or lows.
Wait for the market to break the most recent structural high/low (depending on the direction).
Confirm a new trend by observing a strong impulsive move.
2. Liquidity Zones
Liquidity is where institutions execute their large orders. These areas act as magnets for price action.
Common Liquidity Areas:
Double Tops and Double Bottoms: Retail traders’ stop-loss zones.
Trendline Liquidity: Stops placed along support or resistance trendlines.
Session Highs/Lows: Focus on the Asian session’s range for liquidity traps.
3. Order Blocks (OBs)
Order blocks represent areas where institutions place large orders before a significant move.
How to Use OBs for Entries:
Identify untested OBs near a liquidity zone.
Wait for price to return and mitigate (test) the OB.
Use CHoCH or a breakout confirmation for precise entries.
4. Breakouts
Breakouts often occur after a liquidity sweep and signal continuation. However, combining breakouts with CHoCH gives them much higher reliability.
Key Breakout Tip: A breakout should follow a liquidity grab and lead to a CHoCH for confirmation.
Step-by-Step Strategy: Combining SMC, CHoCH, and Breakouts
Analyze the Higher Timeframe:
Use the 4-hour timeframe to identify the primary trend (bullish or bearish).
Identify Liquidity Zones:
Highlight key areas where liquidity may be resting (double tops/bottoms, Asian session highs/lows).
Wait for a Liquidity Sweep:
Watch for price to grab liquidity above/below these zones.
Look for CHoCH:
Bullish CHoCH: Price breaks a lower high (LH) after sweeping liquidity below a low.
Bearish CHoCH: Price breaks a higher low (HL) after sweeping liquidity above a high.
Confirm with a Breakout:
Wait for price to break a significant level with momentum after CHoCH.
Mark the Order Block (OB):
Identify the last bullish/bearish candle before the impulsive move.
Enter the Trade:
Place a limit order at the OB.
Stop Loss: Just beyond the OB.
Take Profit: Nearest liquidity zone or a 3:1 risk-to-reward target.
Example Trade Setup: Bullish Reversal
Scenario:
4-hour trend is bullish, but the 15-minute chart is showing a pullback.
Steps:
Price sweeps liquidity below a double bottom.
A CHoCH occurs as price breaks a recent lower high (LH).
A 15-minute bullish OB forms near the breakout level.
Entry is placed at the OB.
TP targets the next double top or a key resistance level.
Annotated Chart:
(Include a chart with the liquidity sweep, CHoCH, breakout, OB, and TP levels clearly marked.)
Pro Tips for 15-Minute SMC Trading
Patience is Everything: Wait for liquidity sweeps and CHoCH before entering.
Higher Timeframe Bias: Ensure your trades align with the 4-hour or daily trend.
Use Volume Indicators: Spot strong breakouts with increased volume.
Refine Entry Timing: Use the 5-minute timeframe for precise entries within the 15-minute OB.
Journal Your Trades: Record setups to refine your understanding of CHoCH and SMC.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
Ignoring Liquidity Sweeps: Jumping into trades before a proper liquidity grab often leads to losses.
Rushing into Breakouts: Many breakouts fail without CHoCH or a clear liquidity sweep.
Neglecting Risk Management: Always set stops and respect your risk limits.
Why This Strategy Works
This approach combines:
The precision of the 15-minute chart.
Institutional trading mechanics (SMC and OBs).
Clear reversal signals (CHoCH).
The momentum of breakouts after liquidity grabs.
Together, they create a strategy that aligns your trades with smart money while minimizing false signals.
Conclusion
The 15-minute timeframe offers a unique opportunity to blend precision and profitability. By mastering CHoCH, liquidity sweeps, and breakouts, you can elevate your trading game and consistently capture high-probability setups.
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Institutional Supply: EUR/GBP shortsHey,
Price is currently in a key counter-zone supply..
This means that I'll be watching it closely to see if the 4h wants to slow down.
PA is very strong to the upside at the moment..
I want to see my indicator print a star formation to take it short.
Let's be patient.
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
USDCAD: Confirmed Bearish Trap?! 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD formed a bearish trap with a false breakout of a key daily/intraday
horizontal support.
The trap was followed by a confirmed bullish imbalance and a breakout
of the upper boundary of a consolidation range on a 4H.
With a high probability, the price will rise and reach 1.444 level.
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SILVER Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in a local
Uptrend and the price is
Consolidating above the
The horizontal support
Level of 29.89$ so we are
Locally bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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GOLD WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅GOLD is approaching a supply level of 2665$
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bearish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
SHORT🔥
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