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Learn Best Change of Character CHoCH Model in Trading with SMC Most of the SMC traders get Change of Character CHoCH WRONG! In this article, I will share with you Change of Character models that have a low accuracy and better to be avoided. I will teach you the best CHoCH model for Forex Gold trading and show you how to identify it easily. Let's start with the basic theory first and discuss what Change of Character signifies. Change of Character in Bearish Trend In a downtrend, Change of Character CHoCH is an important event that signifies a violation of a bearish trend. CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes above the level of the last lower high. Above, is a text book Change of Character model in a bearish trend. For the newbie traders, such a price action provides a strong signal to buy while it fact it is NOT . One crucial thing is missing in this model to confirm a bullish reversal. According to basic trend analysis rules, we say that the market trend is bullish if the price forms a bullish impulse, retraces and sets a Higher Low HH , forms a new bullish impulse with a new Higher High HH. Only then, we can say that the market is trading in up trend. CHoCH model above confirms a bearish trend violation BUT it does not confirm a trend change. Such a model may easily signify a deeper correction. Look what happened with GBPNZD. Though the price formed a confirmed bearish CHoCH, it was a false signal and just an extended correction. That's a perfect bullish reversal model. It combines CHoCH and conditions for a bullish trend. Such a union is extremely accurate in predicting up movements. Examine a price action on USDJPY. Not only the price formed a confirmed CHoCH but also we see a start of a new bullish trend. Change of Character in Bullish Trend In an uptrend, Change of Character CHoCH is a significant event that signifies a violation of a bullish trend. CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes below the level of the last higher low. Above is a typical model of a bearish CHoCH. For many traders, that is the signal to open short. However, it is not that accurate and one important component is missing there. According to basic price action rules, the market trend is bearish if the price forms at least 2 bearish impulses with Lower Lows LL and a pullback between them with a Lower High LH. Only when these 3 conditions are met, a bearish trend is confirmed . Perfect bearish Change of Character model should include both CHoCH and a bearish trend price action. That will confirm a violation of a bullish trend and start of a new bearish trend. EURCAD has a very strong potential to continue falling: not only we see a valid bearish Change of Character but also a start of a new bearish trend based on a price action. Next time when you identify CHoCH on forex market, make sure that you check the preceding price action. It will help you to more accurate assess reversal probabilities and make a wiser trading decision. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
GOLD Risky Short! Sell! Hello,Traders! GOLD made a bullish Rebound but will soon Hit a wide horizontal Resistance of around 3,345$ And as we are locally bearish Biased after the recent rising Support breakout we will be Expecting a bearish pullback And a local move down Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by TopTradingSignals
2
XAUUSD Bullish OutlookThis chart captures a highly strategic bullish setup on XAUUSD, rooted in Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and institutional trading principles. The market has performed a major liquidity sweep, dipping below previous lows to collect resting sell-side liquidity before reacting sharply from a key demand zone. Why Bullish? The Confluences: Liquidity Sweep: Price manipulated below a significant structural low to trap late sellers and activate institutional orders. This move into deeper liquidity suggests the smart money is building long positions. Extreme P.O.I. + Demand Zone: The blue zone marks a high probability reversal area where demand outweighs supply. This zone is validated by historical reactions and refined to align with an Order Block (OB) a clear footprint of institutional accumulation. Bullish Structure Anticipation: After the reaction, price is expected to form a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish market structure. Multiple resistance levels are in sight, each one representing an objective for price to reach in its journey upward. Entry Point: $3,343 – $3,330 Located inside the OB and demand zone, this is where price is likely to build a base for upward continuation. Stop Loss: Below $3,324 TP1: $3,363 (first internal structure break) TP2: $3,375 (mid range target) TP3: $3,383 (structural high retest) TP Final: $3,405 (liquidity target above EQH) Remember confirmation is key before execution. #GOLD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 25, 2025👋👋 Hello traders! Gold is still moving down strongly. Today’s plan is made for traders who want clear and precise levels. Let’s look at the structure, important zones, and where to watch for trades. 1. Higher Timeframe Overview (Daily, H4, H1) Daily: Price is falling near the 200 EMA around 3323. RSI shows less buying strength. We wait for a clear move. H4: The trend is down with lower highs at 3418 and lower lows at 3311. RSI is low, showing weak buying. Price is near the 200 EMA. H1: Small bounce up to 3328–3332 resistance. RSI is weak, so price must break this zone to move higher. 2. Lower Timeframe Details (M30, M15) M30: EMA5 crossed above EMA21 but price is near resistance at 3328–3332. RSI is neutral. M15: Price broke a small wedge up but is limited by EMA21 and EMA50. RSI near 58 shows price could be overbought. 3. Key Zones and How to Trade Them 🔻 Sell Zone: 3345 – 3352 Look for signs that price rejects this zone (wicks, bearish candles) before selling. 🟡 Flip / Decision Zone: 3360 – 3380 Do not trade here. This zone will show if trend changes. Wait for clear confirmation. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3300 – 3285 Look for price rejection and strong buying signs before buying here. 🟢 Deep Buy Zone: 3265 – 3272 Only buy here if price goes below 3280 and shows strength. 4. What to Do Current price is about 3323. If price goes above 3332, watch the sell zone 3345–3352 for a short trade. If price drops below 3332, expect a move down to the buy zone 3300–3285. Do not buy above 3360 without a clear trend change. Be patient and wait for good signals. 5. Important Levels Zone Price Range Notes Sell Zone 3345 – 3352 Best short zone Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 Wait and watch, no trades Buy Zone 3300 – 3285 Good buy zone Deep Buy Zone 3265 – 3272 Last buy chance 📣 If you like clear and simple plans, please like, comment, and follow I’m part of Trade Nation’s Influencer Program and get paid to use their charts.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
6
CAD_CHF RETESTING LOWS|LONG| ✅CAD_CHF will be retesting a support level soon around 0.5830 Which is a deeps low for the pair From where I am expecting a bullish reaction With the price going up but we need To wait for a reversal pattern to form Before entering the trade, so that we Get a higher success probability of the trade LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
 
 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by ProSignalsFx
1
Bitcoin - Bounce Incoming or Breakdown to 97.5k?Market Context Bitcoin recently swept the 100k lows, clearing out built-up liquidity beneath that level. This move formed a strong reaction candle, suggesting interest from buyers and confirming the presence of resting demand. The sweep aligns with the concept of smart money targeting obvious liquidity pools before shifting direction. It also marks a potential short-term low, at least temporarily. Short-Term Structure and FVG Setup Following the sweep, price tapped into a clean 1H fair value gap and has been respecting it so far. This is our immediate line in the sand. As long as this gap holds, we’re dealing with a scenario of temporary bullish order flow. The market structure on lower timeframes suggests the potential for a short-term rebound, possibly into the inefficiencies left above. Upside Target and Gap Fill Potential If price continues to hold the 1H FVG, we could see a push higher that targets unfilled gaps above, particularly the one where we saw a clean rejection previously. There’s a clear inducement just above recent highs, so a sweep of those could be used to fill that imbalance. This would align with the idea of running internal liquidity before reversing or stalling at supply. Bearish Breakdown Scenario On the flip side, if price breaks down from the 1H FVG without reclaiming structure, the entire bullish idea invalidates. In that case, I expect price to gravitate back toward the 97.5k zone. This would be a logical area for deeper mitigation and potential reaccumulation, especially since it sits below the current consolidation. The failure to hold the gap would signal weak demand and continuation of the broader bearish leg. Scouting Liquidity and Price Flow Right now, the main idea is tied to how price behaves around the short-term 1H FVG. That is the pivot. Hold it, and we should see some form of liquidity run into the unfilled gap above. Lose it, and the next wave of downside should unlock, pushing us closer to 97.5k. Either way, liquidity remains the core driver in both directions. Conclusion Price has swept major downside liquidity and is now reacting to a key imbalance. As long as the 1H fair value gap holds, I expect short-term upside targeting unfilled inefficiencies and internal highs. A failure to hold would shift the bias back to the downside, with the 97.5k range as the next probable draw on liquidity. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
by TehThomas
40
GOLD: Next Move Is Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,303.99 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,285.33..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 24, 2025“Snipers wait. Structure tells the story.” Hello traders! The market is stuck between the FOMC high at 3452 and the confirmed low at 3340. Price is compressing under H1 supply and above a key liquidity pocket. Here's your full plan with all sniper zones — now including a decision zone for intraday confirmation. 📰 Macro + Fundamental Context Powell Testimony + multiple FOMC speeches today → high potential for dollar-driven volatility. Inflation concerns and hawkish tone expected → short-term gold bearish pressure unless structure reclaims 3415+. Smart money likely hunting liquidity both below 3340 and above 3400. 🔸 HTF Structure Summary (D1 → H4 → H1) D1: Consolidation between 3452 and 3340. No new BOS. H4: LL formed at 3340. LH not confirmed. Market is compressing under resistance. H1: CHoCH + BOS confirmed. Current price sits in mid-range. 🔍 Sniper Entry Zones 🟥 Sell Zone 1: 3382–3395 H1 supply zone with previous rejection. Includes order block + FVG. Valid for new short entries if price returns and rejects. 🟥 Sell Zone 2: 3406–3420 High-risk spike zone from FOMC. Only valid during fast, news-driven price movement. Not a default entry unless confirmed rejection. 🟨 Decision Zone (Flip Area): 3360–3372 This is the key intraday flip level. If price stays below, sell zones remain valid. If price closes above, short bias is invalid and market may aim higher. Use this zone to confirm bias before entering from either side. 🟩 Buy Zone 1: 3335–3345 Strong demand under equal lows. OB + small imbalance on M15. Valid for intraday long setups if confirmed with bullish price action. 🟦 Buy Zone 2: 3305–3285 H4 demand zone with major liquidity below. Deep reversal area — only valid if price breaks 3340. Smart money may be waiting here. 📌 Key Levels Summary Zone Type Price Range Explanation 🔺 Premium OB 3450–3480 Daily supply zone 🟥 Sell Zone 1 3382–3395 Active H1 supply 🟥 Sell Zone 2 3406–3420 FOMC wick inducement 🟨 Flip Zone 3360–3372 Decision area — confirm bias 🟩 Buy Zone 1 3335–3345 Demand under equal lows 🟦 Buy Zone 2 3305–3285 H4 demand + deep liquidity 📣 Final Notes 📌 The market is at a critical moment. The flip zone (3360–3372) will decide tomorrow’s control: bear continuation or deeper retracement. Watch price at the zone. Let the structure speak. Trade only where the logic is clean. 👁 Good luck in the market tomorrow, traders! — GoldFxMinds 🟨 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation’s Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in educational work.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
EURAUD: Possible Swing Movement of 660 pips expected! FX:EURAUD on daily candles of last few days breakthrough and now dropping back to demand zone where we expect price to bounce strongly and at least we expect target one to accomplished by end of January. While target two and three remain a long away from our current price area. Stop Loss should be below the strong wick of daily candle. From fundamentals side AUD will be weaken and EURO can be bullish for next few months, taking entry will require a strict risk management as this is a swing trade, do not expect to achieve the target in couple of hours or days. Good luck and trade safe.
Long
by Setupsfx_
18
USDCAD - Long triggered We have entered into the discount area of the most recent swing point on USDCAD. With doing this we have taken out all the areas of liquidity within the trading range so it was time to look for potential long moves. Now at current price we have had a great example of AMD where by we Accumulate Manipulate and then the hope is that we begin to distribute higher. There was also a nice fair value gap that was left behind on the 5min So all that was left to do was execute. Let us see how it plays out. Win or lose great entry super happy with the trade. Lets see how it goes
Long
by BenFxLDN