Get started

SMC

CADJPY - Sell Opportunity After Support BreakOANDA:CADJPY has broken a key support zone, signaling a potential increase in bearish momentum. The price is currently retesting this broken support, which now serves as resistance. If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to move downward toward the 103.970 level, aligning with the prevailing bearish trend. Conversely, a failure to hold resistance could suggest a potential bullish shift. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Short
by DanieIM
2
EUR/USD Outlook to recover the imbalance My EU outlook for this week is similar to GU as the dollar index gapped to the upside which made pairs like GU and EU to drop down heavy. once price did so it did breach a lot of my previous demands so we have to now adapt and re adjust our analysis and forecast. So i have this demand zone that as you can see is getting reacted off of which what i drew out a. while ago which is the 8hr demand zone. I feel like this zone will hold as there is of validity. If price reacts well and manages to cover that gap i will then look to short inside the 1hr supply zone but after finding of course LTF confirmation. COnfluences for EU Buys are as follows: - The price gap has left a significant imbalance that needs to be filled. - Price is currently in a 8-hour demand zone that previously caused a Break of Structure (BOS), making it a valid POI. - There is a large pool of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken. - The setup aligns well with the DXY correlation. - For price to carry on going down it must form a correction to the upside regardless. P.S. If price decides to go lower then we might be in a bearish trend temporarily and will have to look for a new near by supply to capitilise on a shift of trend to the downside. Thats if this 8hr demand doesn't hold.
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBPNZD Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Sell SetupOANDA:GBPNZD is approaching a critical resistance zone that has previously attracted strong selling interest, making it a key level to watch. If rejection signals appear, such as bearish engulfing candles or increased selling volume, I anticipate a move toward 2.19900. However, if the resistance fails to hold, it may open the door for further upside. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in. Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
Short
by TrendDiva
1
GBPPLN: Bullish Bounce Expected from Key Support ZoneOANDA:GBPPLN is at a significant demand zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong support level. The current market structure suggests the potential for a bullish reversal at this level if buyers regain control. I anticipate that if the price confirms a rejection from this demand zone, the market may move upward toward the 5.07402 level. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
Long
by DanieIM
2
NAS100 Bounces Off Key Support: Targeting 21,820PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is trading within a rising channel, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend. The price recently bounced off the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a significant support level. The structure indicates the potential for further upside, with the next target around the 21,820 level. The bullish scenario assumes that the price maintains its momentum and respects the trendline support. A clear break and retest of the minor resistance zones along the way could confirm this upward movement. However, a break below the channel would invalidate this setup and suggest potential bearish pressure. Let me know your thoughts or if you have an alternative perspective!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by DanieIM
1
USDCHF - Buy Setup After Resistance BreakOANDA:USDCHF has broken out of its descending channel and is now pulling back to retest the key breakout zone, which aligns with a critical support level. This retest is crucial in confirming the breakout and establishing bullish momentum. If buyers defend this level and bullish rejection patterns emerge (e.g., bullish engulfing candles or long lower wicks), it could signal the continuation of the upward move. I anticipate a rally toward the 0.91250 level, which has previously acted as a significant area of interest. This setup aligns with the idea of a break-and-retest pattern, offering an opportunity to join the bullish trend at a favorable entry point. ⚠️ Key considerations: Monitor the price action closely for confirmation before entering long positions. If the 0.90650 level fails to hold, a deeper retracement may occur, invalidating the bullish setup. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
FRA40 at Key Resistance - Is a Pullback Imminent?PEPPERSTONE:FRA40 has reached a significant resistance level. Price has made a strong bullish move into this region, but the market structure suggests the possibility of a reversal due to potential exhaustion of buying momentum. This setup aligns with the idea of trend exhaustion near resistance. A rejection from this zone could provide a short-term bearish opportunity targeting the 7,775 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation signals before entering trades. Let me know your thoughts or if you have additional insights to share!
PEPPERSTONE:FRA40Short
by DanieIM
8
EURUSD 3 Feb 2025 W6 - Intraday Analysis - Taste of Trade WAR!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 3 Feb 2025 W6 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment " Strike the bound, and the free will take heed " Market Volatility and Geopolitical Strategy: Assessing the Implications of a Trump Presidency Recent market movements underscore a critical narrative: A second Trump administration carries significant potential to reignite the trade policy volatility that defined his first term. Historical precedent offers a clear lens—within weeks of taking office in 2017, President Trump implemented tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, upending decades of trade consensus. Investors initially dismissed these measures as negotiation tactics, but markets are now pricing in a more structural shift. As of this week’s open, risk-on sentiment reflects renewed acceptance of Trump’s uncompromising stance, particularly following his social media assertion that “the pain from tariffs will be worth the price.” A Businessman’s Approach to Geopolitics Trump’s career as a dealmaker suggests a presidency anchored in transactional realism. His administration’s “America First” doctrine—evident in the rapid escalation of the U.S.-China trade war—demonstrates a willingness to weaponize economic policy to recalibrate global alliances. This strategy aligns with a proverb often cited in Egyptian diplomacy: “Strike the bound, and the free will take heed.” By aggressively targeting key partners (the “bound”), the U.S. signals resolve to broader adversaries (the “free”), including Europe and emerging economies. Strategic Outlook for Investors With 205 weeks remaining in a hypothetical term, market participants should prepare for sustained turbulence. The 2018-2019 trade war eroded nearly $1.7 trillion in global equity value; a second iteration could prove more disruptive given today’s fragmented supply chains and inflationary pressures. In conclusion, while Trump’s policies may inject short-term uncertainty, they also recalibrate the playbook for global engagement. Investors who disentangle rhetoric from actionable strategy will be best positioned to navigate this paradigm. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹At Swing Extreme 🔹Swing Pullback 2️⃣ 🔹With Risk-On sentiment, market opened with a gap down reaching the extreme Swing Low. 🔹The expected move is done with the market open. More development is required on LTFs. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is to continue bearish as long the Risk-On sentiment is still active and no soft tone from Trump in regards to Tariffs. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback 2️⃣ 🔹Swing turned bearish signaling the 4H/Daily bearish continuation. 🔹After a BOS we expect a Pullback, but currently the Risk-On sentiment is the main theme (Technical will follow sentiment) so not currently expecting a valuable pullback phase for the bearish BOS. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is set for price to continue bearish and fulfill the Daily Bearish continuation.
by Amr-Sadek
XAUUSD post ATH outlook (Bullish oppurtunities)I expect gold to maintain its bullish momentum. After breaking the all-time highs (ATHs), price is likely to slow down and potentially form a Wyckoff distribution. A corrective move may be required before gold continues its push to the upside. Following the recent break of structure, I’ve identified two clean demand zones where a potential buying opportunity could develop. While the deeper 3-hour demand zone is more ideal, I’ll be watching for price to reach the nearby POIs, where I’ll seek lower time frame confirmations to continue trading in line with the uptrend. Confluences for GOLD Buys: - Price has taken out ATHs, indicating that bullish momentum remains. - The overall structure on higher time frames remains bullish. - Another break of structure to the upside confirms the trend. - Clean demand zones have formed, which could serve as strong bases for the next rally. - This is a pro-trend trade that aligns with market bias and the DXY chart. Note: If price starts to slow down and shift character to the downside, I’ll look for valid supply zones to form. This could present a counter-trend opportunity to ride the sells back down to key demand levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
NZDHUF – Potential Long from Key Support ZonePEPPERSTONE:NZDHUF has reached a key support level, which has historically acted as a strong demand zone, leading to bullish reversals. The recent decline into this area suggests a potential opportunity for buyers to regain control and push prices higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candle, or long lower wick, would strengthen the case for an upward move. If buyers step in, price could rally toward 222.600. This setup aligns with a short-term bullish outlook within the broader market structure. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in. Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
Long
by TrendDiva
1
EURUSD - Sell Setup After Key Support BreakOANDA:EURUSD has decisively broken below a key trendline, signaling an increase in bearish momentum. This breakdown suggests that sellers are gaining control, with the potential for further downside continuation. In the near term, price may revisit the breakout level for a retest, where the previous support could now act as resistance. A failure to reclaim this level would reinforce bearish sentiment, increasing the likelihood of renewed selling pressure. If sellers maintain dominance, the price may head toward the 1.03120 level. For confirmation of continued downside movement, traders should look for bearish technical signals, such as a rejection wick, a bearish engulfing candlestick, or increased selling volume. Conversely, a sustained move back above the resistance level could invalidate the bearish setup and shift the bias toward a potential bullish recovery. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in. Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
Short
by TrendDiva
1
BTCUSD at Major Resistance – Will Sellers Take Control?COINBASE:BTCUSD reached a significant resistance zone. This zone has consistently acted as a key area of interest where sellers regained control, leading to prior reversals. If the price confirms a rejection through bearish price action, such as wicks signaling rejection or bearish engulfing candles, I anticipate a move downward toward the $101,155 level. However, if the price successfully breaks and holds above the resistance zone, this would invalidate the bearish outlook and could open the door for further upside. Traders should monitor price action closely at this critical resistance area. Let me know your thoughts or if you see an alternative perspective!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by DanieIM
3
“XRP/USD - Adding a Second Position to Ride the Wave”4H Bias Holds Strong - 5M Entry Refinement In continuation of my initial position on XRP/USD, I’ve added a second entry to compound on the 4H bullish bias move. Key Observations: 1. 4H Structure: The price respected the order block within the IDM zone, confirming bullish intent. 2. Refined Entry: Top screenOn the 5M timeframe, after a sweep of SSL and a clear CHoCH, price retested the order block. I entered on the bullish reaction with TP levels set at 3.3974. 3. Bigger Picture (2H for Clarity): The engineered liquidity was swept cleanly, and momentum aligns with the continuation plan toward higher levels. Both positions are running in sync, aiming for the same take-profit zone. I’ll monitor how price action develops overnight for potential adjustments or further refinement. Let me know your thoughts—are you tracking XRP/USD, or are you focused on other pairs this week? Drop a comment below! Bless Trading!
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by Juicemannn
EURUSD 3-7 Feb 2025 W6 - Weekly Analysis - Tariffs Impact & NFP This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 3-7 Feb 2025 W6 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment On February 1, 2025, President Donald Trump announced the imposition of tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, effective immediately. The tariffs include a 25% levy on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. These measures are intended to address issues such as illegal immigration, drug trafficking, and trade imbalances. The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring the situation to assess the potential economic impact of the new tariffs. The primary concerns include: Inflation: The tariffs are expected to raise the cost of imported goods, which could contribute to higher inflation rates. This development may influence the Fed's monetary policy decisions, potentially leading to adjustments in interest rates to manage inflationary pressures. Economic Growth: The increased costs for businesses and consumers may dampen economic growth. The Fed will need to balance the risks of slowing growth with the potential for rising inflation when considering future policy actions. In summary, the imposition of tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China has introduced significant uncertainty into the markets. Investors are concerned about the potential for increased costs and supply chain disruptions, while the Federal Reserve is evaluating the implications for inflation and overall economic growth. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicates that the liquidity was enough as per previous week analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS. 🔹Price currently looking to target the liquidity built up during September 2024 and maybe reaching the Weekly supply zone (In INT structure Premium). 🔹Price had tapped into the Weekly Demand formed from the Bullish CHoCH last week. Is this demand enough to initiate the INT Pullback or with the current market sentiment and USD expectation to strength in the short-term we will continue Bearish following the Bearish Swing and INT Structures to target the Weak INT Low and Weak Swing Low? 🔹Expectations for price react from the current Weekly demand and then target the Weak INT Low to target the Weak Swing Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and currently mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone. 🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low. 🔹Currently price tapping into a Daily/Weekly Demand Zones which could provide some bounce / or reversal for price to continue up (Depends on market Sentiment and if tariffs will trigger Risk-Off and USD Strength or it’s already priced in from last week strength in USD). 🔹Expectation is set to Bearish and more LTF development required to have a clear view. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Reached Swing EQ 🔹Swing Pullback 2️⃣ 🔹Price managed to create a Bearish iBOS indicating that the Swing Pullback started. 🔹After the iBOS, we expect a Pullback. 3️⃣ 🔹Price currently tapping into the Daily/Weekly demand which could provide a short-term pullback (waiting for at least a Bullish CHoCH to confirm). 🔹Expectation is set to have a reaction from the Daily / 4H Demand zone to facilitate the pullback (Aligns with the Daily/Weekly expectations) then we will continue bearish to facilitate the Daily / Weekly expectations of bearish move. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek