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SMC

TAO/USDT – Long Setup ActivatedA potential bottom might be in place here. 🔍 Key confluences: – Strong CVD rebound (spot + futures) – Funding rate turning positive – Top traders ratio shifting bullish (smart money buying the dip) – Open Interest stabilizing after a clean flush – And above all: my Scalp Cloud Signal just fired a bullish confirmation ✅ 🎯 Targeting a short-term move to the 365–373 zone. SL clearly defined below the local sweep. 💡 Tool used: Scalp Cloud Signal by The Degen Company — Precision tool for scalping and micro trend shifts.
Long
by TheDegenCompany
1
Is Nasdaq still bullish? Steep correction today as expectedIf you look at my last post, you can see where I explained the expectation. As range theory would state, the rejection from the bottom of a range creates a target in the high of the range. I have identified the candle top that I believe is the target for this rally. If the bearish imbalance is stacked with too many orders we will not make it there. We are sitting right around the 50EMA for hourly as well as retesting the break point and bottom of the hourly bearish orderblock as I have marked. It is in my opinion that the Void will act as a magnetic anomaly and assist in pulling price up as many institutional orders will be in that range, but we'll see 🔑 Share with a friend in need of real guidance 🫡
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by HollywooodTrades
DAX: Target Is Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse DAX together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 22,461.17 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 22,275.67..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XETR:DAXShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
Ultimate Guide to Master ICT KillzonesWhy Timing Matters Just as Much as Price Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and ICT methodologies are built on the idea that markets are manipulated by large players with precision. While most traders obsess over price levels, entry models, and liquidity zones, many fail to realize that none of those matter if they happen at the wrong time. Time is not an afterthought, it's a core part of the edge. Price can show you where the move might happen, but time shows you when smart money is most likely to act. That window of action is what ICT calls the killzone. What Are Killzones? Killzones are specific time periods in the trading day when smart money typically executes large moves. These sessions have predictable volatility and institutional order flow. They are not just random hours, they coincide with major session opens and overlaps. The most relevant killzones are: London Killzone (LKO), 2 AM to 5 AM EST New York Killzone (NYKO), 7 AM to 10 AM EST New York Lunch/Dead Zone, 11:30 AM to 1 PM EST (low probability, often reversal traps) Each killzone offers unique opportunities depending on how liquidity has been engineered prior. ICT-style setups are most reliable when they form within, or directly in anticipation of, these windows. The Trap Before the Real Move Smart money loves to trap retail traders. This trap usually happens just before or early in a killzone. For example, if price takes out a key high at 2:30 AM EST (London open), many retail traders see a breakout. But those in tune with SMC see it as a classic liquidity raid, bait before the reversal. Once that external liquidity is taken, smart money shows its hand with displacement, a sudden, aggressive move in the opposite direction. This typically forms a clean imbalance (Fair Value Gap) or a breaker block. That’s your cue. If the price returns to that level within the killzone, that’s the optimal entry window. Confluence is King: Time, Liquidity, and Structure The most reliable SMC setups happen when: Liquidity is swept early into a killzone Displacement confirms the real direction during the killzone Entry happens via return to an FVG or OB created within that same session The setup might still look right if it forms outside these windows, but without proper timing, it’s often just noise or engineered liquidity to trap impatient traders. Real-World Example: NY Killzone Short NY, At 8:30 AM EST, price runs above the Asian highs, sweeping liquidity Displacement, Sharp bearish move breaks structure to the downside at 8:45 AM Entry, Price retraces into the 5M FVG at 9:10 AM Result, Clean reversal into a nice profit trageting liquidity, all within the NY session Outside of this killzone structure, the same setup likely would have chopped or failed. Common Mistakes Traders Make With Time Chasing price outside of killzones, Setup might look good, but volume is thin and no follow-through comes Assuming all killzones are equal, London setups are often cleaner in structure, while NY has more manipulation around news Forcing trades in NY lunch, Midday reversals do happen, but they’re lower probability. If you're not already in a position by 11 AM EST, it's often best to wait for the next day The Discipline Edge Most traders overtrade not because they lack setups, but because they don’t filter based on time. By only trading when price interacts with your levels during active killzones, you immediately reduce the number of bad trades and increase your focus on meaningful opportunities. Good setups are rare. Good setups in the right timing window are even rarer. That’s where consistency comes from. Final Thoughts Time is not optional. In SMC and ICT, it’s not enough to have the level, you need the timing. Killzones are your filter, your edge, and your context for every trade. Once you understand how time and price move together, and stop treating every moment on the chart equally, your trading will start to reflect the true flow of smart money. Wait for time, wait for price, then strike. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by TehThomas
70
Bitcoin - Gearing Up for a Break Above Key ResistanceBitcoin has been grinding just below a key resistance zone, marked clearly around the 95,400–95,800 region. This area has seen multiple rejections in the past, making it a strong level where sellers are actively defending. Despite this, the broader trend structure remains intact to the upside, with price respecting a higher-timeframe ascending trendline and forming higher lows. Consolidation Structure Current price action shows a range developing just under resistance, with signs of weakening bullish momentum in the short term. We’ve had multiple wicks into the highs, but no convincing close above. On the flip side, there’s a visible support zone around 93,000–93,800, which has previously been used to absorb liquidity and fuel moves higher. This zone is confluenced by the ascending trendline from previous swing lows, offering a clear area for a liquidity sweep. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios In the short term, a pullback into the green support block looks likely. This would serve two purposes: sweep out late longs and provide fresh liquidity for a stronger bullish push. A dip into this level that still respects the trendline would maintain bullish structure despite violating the local higher low. If price holds this zone and begins forming higher lows again, we could see an impulsive move into and possibly through the resistance. A clean break and close above 95,800 would likely open the door for much higher prices, as the level has capped upside multiple times and a breakout would likely trigger stop orders and breakout buying. Failure to hold the green zone and the trendline, however, would break the short-term bullish structure and increase the probability of a deeper retracement, possibly invalidating the breakout thesis temporarily. Price Target and Expectations If the resistance breaks, the path toward 105,000 remains in play. That target aligns with the macro breakout structure and continuation from the trendline, supported by higher timeframe bullish sentiment. What do do now Watching for a pullback into 93,000–93,800 to see if liquidity is swept and support holds. No interest in chasing price into resistance. The key is to see how price reacts at the next low and then again at 95,800. If the pullback unfolds and buyers step in with momentum, that would provide the cleanest long opportunity into new highs. Conclusion The market looks poised for a short-term dip to rebalance liquidity before mounting a serious attempt to break a long-standing resistance zone. As long as the trendline is respected, the bullish structure is intact, and any sweep of local lows may offer a strong risk-reward entry for continuation toward 105k. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
46
GBPJPY bearish move🔹 Pair / TF | GBP/JPY, 1 h → 15 m | | 🔹 Bias | Bearish (selling the break of support) | 1. 📊 Key Levels Level Price Role R1 191.721 Major resistance (green) Broken Support 190.65 (black line) Minor support → now resistance R4 189.828 Next minor support R2 189.355 Next major support 2. 🚨 Trigger Price closes below the 190.65 support (black line) on 1 h, AND 200-hour MA (red) has just been rejected—sellers stepping in. This decisive break flips 190.65 into new resistance. 3. ✅ Confirmation RFI oscillator on 15 m dips below its rising trendline and fails to reclaim it. Momentum is clearly bearish—no divergence or oversold reversal signal. 4. 🎯 Entry & Stops | 🔶 Entry Zone | 0.19060–0.19050 (just below 190.65) | | 🔴 Stop-Loss | 0.19180 (above R1 at 191.72) ≈ 120 pips | Place a Sell-Stop at 0.19055 (mid-zone). Risk: 1–2% of account on ~120-pip SL. 5. 🎯 Profit Targets Target Level Pips RRR T1 R4 189.828 ~82 pips 1 : 0.7 T2 R2 189.355 ~125 pips 1 : 1 Scale out: Exit ½ at T1. Let the rest run to T2. 6. ⚙️ Trade Management Move SL to breakeven once +40 pips in profit. Monitor RFI on 15 m: If RFI spikes above its trendline before T1, close remaining. Adjust if you see large wicks or volume spikes into support zones. 7. 🔑 Rationale Support→Resistance flip at 190.65 gives a logical entry & SL. 200-hour MA rejection confirms sellers overpowering buyers. RFI confirms sustained bearish momentum. High RRR (>1 : 1) ensures edge even with a moderate win-rate. ⚡ Highlight: This is a bank-order-flow style fade—selling the break of minor support after a MA confluence test, riding momentum into larger support zones.
Short
by Delast2
NZDUSD Bearish moveShort-setup: breakdown of support Trigger: Price has decisively broken below S1 (0.59337) and the 200-hour MA (red) on the 1h chart. Confirmation: RFI just dipped below its ascending trendline and failed to reclaim it—momentum is bearish. Entry: Short at market 0.5930–0.5925 (just below S1). Initial Stop: Above R2 at 0.5944 (≈15-18 pips stop). Targets: T1: S2 at 0.5886 (~45 pips → RRR ≈ 1:3) T2: R3 (long-term) at 0.5853 if momentum stays strong (~75 pips → RRR ≈ 1:5) ⚡ Highlight: This is a bank-order-flow style fade—selling the break of the minor support after a test of the 200-hour MA confluence.
Short
by Delast2
Bitcoin - Major Daily Imbalance and Possible Move to $105k?Bitcoin already broke out of the bearish structure a while back, and honestly, that was the first major shift everyone should have been paying attention to. Ever since that breakout, we have been building bullish structure on the higher timeframes, higher highs, higher lows, and overall strong momentum to the upside. This gave the bulls a clear advantage, and so far, nothing has really changed that bigger picture. Consolidation Structure Now, looking at the current price action, something important stands out. During the last big push up, Bitcoin left behind a massive daily imbalance zone. It is way too big to just leave open like that. Markets hate inefficiencies, especially ones of that size, and more often than not, these kinds of imbalance zones get filled at some point. Because of that, I am fully expecting price to come down, revisit this imbalance area, and fill it properly before making any serious move higher. It is a natural thing for the market to do, clean up inefficiencies, grab liquidity, and then continue the main trend if the structure holds. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios The most important thing to watch here is how Bitcoin reacts once it gets into the imbalance zone. If we dip into it and then start seeing bullish reactions, I will be looking for confirmation that the bullish structure is still intact. Specifically, if we can avoid a daily candle close below the bottom of that imbalance, the bullish case remains valid. However, if we get a full daily close below the imbalance, that would be a strong warning sign. That would tell me that the bulls lost control and we could be looking at deeper downside or a shift back into bearish conditions. But as long as that does not happen, I am still looking for the market to respect the structure. A dip into the imbalance, hold, and then continuation higher, that is the ideal scenario. Price Target and Expectations If we get the reaction I am looking for after filling the imbalance, I think Bitcoin has a real shot at rallying towards $105,000. That level lines up perfectly with a strong resistance area on the chart, and it would make sense for price to reach for it if the momentum stays bullish. Now, reaching $105,000 will not be easy. That is going to be a major test for the market. There will likely be heavy selling pressure around there. But if the trend stays strong and we keep putting in bullish structures even as we approach that resistance, it is definitely possible to break through eventually. Current Stance Right now, I am being patient. I am not chasing the current move higher. I am waiting for price to come back down into the imbalance zone. If we get a proper retest and hold, that is where I will be looking for my entries, targeting the move towards $105,000. No daily close below the imbalance zone = bullish continuation plan still in play, Daily close below = reassess everything and possibly step aside. Conclusion To sum it up, Bitcoin already shifted bullish a while ago with the structure break. Now it is just about cleaning up the inefficiencies it left behind during the move up. If the market does what it usually does, fill the imbalance and maintain bullish structure, then the setup towards $105,000 is very much alive. Patience is key here. Let the market come to us. No need to force anything. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
46
DXY: Will Go Up! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse DXY together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 98.933 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 99.097.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
1