Get started

SMC

Bitcoin – Sweep the Highs, Next Target $98kMarket Overview Bitcoin has been trading sideways for more than 8 days now, forming a tight consolidation range with no real breakout in sight. This kind of price action typically signals accumulation or distribution by larger players. While it may seem indecisive on the surface, this phase is often where the market sets its trap. What looks like inaction is actually a setup in progress. Price is compressing, volume is thinning out, and both bulls and bears are being lured in. That’s a perfect recipe for a sudden, aggressive move that wipes out one side entirely. Liquidity Structure The structure of this range is very clean, which in trading terms usually means dangerous. On the top side, we have a lot of liquidity, just above $105,800. This level has been tapped multiple times but never convincingly broken, and it now acts as a magnet for liquidity. On the flip side, the downside holds multiple clean lows, all clustered under the $100,000 mark. Both ends of this range are packed with liquidity. Smart money doesn’t trade in fair value, it trades where the most liquidity sits, and in this case, both the top and bottom of the range are loaded. Inducement and Manipulation The real purpose of this kind of range is not balance, it’s inducement. The market is inviting traders to take breakout positions on both sides, knowing full well that it’s unlikely to follow through cleanly. I believe we are currently in the inducement phase of the cycle. The equal highs around $105,800 are baiting breakout longs and short stop-losses alike. A move above that level would act as the stop hunt, triggering the final wave of longs before the rug is pulled. Once that liquidity is taken, I expect a sharp reversal that targets the lows of the range and continues further toward the real pool of liquidity sitting between $98,000 and $97,500. Scenario Outlook The most probable sequence from here is a fake breakout to the upside, followed by an impulsive selloff. A wick above $105,800 would serve as the signal, and once that inducement is cleared, the move down should be fast and decisive. This drop would take out the range lows and sweep the stops of everyone who tried to buy the breakout. If price does hold above $105,800 and shows continuation with strong volume and follow-through, that would be an invalidation of this short setup and a shift in structure, in which case I would reassess and wait for a pullback before considering any longs. Price Target and Expectations The first key event is the sweep above $105,800. That’s where breakout traders will commit, and that’s where I expect the reversal to begin. From there, downside targets include the low of the range and deeper liquidity near $98,000 to $97,500. This area aligns with a big imbalance zone, inefficiencies and the golden pocket fib level.. The expectation is for a quick drop once the trap is sprung, with a potential for a reaction or even a new bullish setup forming near that demand region. Conclusion Bitcoin has been compressing for over a week, and that usually ends with expansion. But expansion is not always trend continuation, especially when the structure suggests manipulation. The current setup looks ideal for a stop run above the range before dumping into deeper liquidity. The key is to wait for the sweep and watch how price reacts. The more obvious the breakout, the more likely it is to fail. Liquidity is king in this environment, and right now, the biggest pockets lie below. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
125
EUR/USD Shorts to LongsMy outlook for EU mirrors GU: we may see a sell‑off develop. There’s a nearby 1‑hour supply zone I’m watching, but upside liquidity could invalidate it. A clean demand zone also awaits mitigation; once touched, it could fuel the next bullish leg. I’ll wait to see which direction price chooses first to determine which POI is hit. Confluences for EU sells are as follows: A clean 1‑hour supply that triggered a minor change of character to the downside. Asian session low and other liquidity pools sit below, inviting a sweep. Price has been in a multi‑week bearish trend. DXY structure aligns with this bearish scenario. P.S. If price pierces the supply, sweeps the upside liquidity, and breaks structure higher, I’ll look for the new demand zone that forms and reassess for potential longs.
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
EURUSD – Rebalancing Before Repricing HigherEURUSD is currently trading within a corrective phase after failing to sustain its bullish momentum from the earlier impulsive rally. The market structure on the 1-hour chart shows a clean breakdown from recent highs, with sellers starting to step in more aggressively. This pullback feels more like a calculated retracement than a complete trend reversal, and the market may be seeking out a deeper discount before any continuation higher. With multiple rejections forming at lower highs and downside pressure increasing, it looks like EURUSD wants to drive lower first before making a run for higher levels. Consolidation Structure We’ve been consolidating after the last upward push, forming a short-term range with price grinding sideways but gradually bleeding lower. What stands out is the clear cluster of equal lows forming, acting as obvious sell-side liquidity. Just below that area sits a 1-hour fair value gap that remains unmitigated, offering a strong magnet for price. The FVG sits just beneath the golden pocket zone, which adds more confluence for a potential reaction from that area. This range looks designed to draw in early buyers, only to flush them out before price finds real support. Bearish Scenario – Setup for a Deeper Retracement Right now, the structure leans bearish in the short term. The market looks like it wants to run the lows and wick into the 1-hour fair value gap sitting below the golden pocket. This area is an unmitigated imbalance that lines up perfectly with the idea of a final liquidity grab. I’m expecting price to reach down into that gap, around the 1.112 region, before any kind of reversal occurs. The goal of this move would be to clear out stops and rebalance the inefficiency from the previous rally, setting the stage for the next leg higher. Bullish Scenario – Reversal from Discount Once price trades into the 1.112 zone and sweeps the current lows, the setup for a bullish reversal becomes much cleaner. That area offers a combination of liquidity, inefficiency, and fib confluence, making it a high-probability level for buyers to step back in. If we get a solid rejection or displacement out of that level, the upside potential opens up quickly. The idea is that after this corrective move and stop hunt, the market reclaims momentum and starts driving toward the next key structure zone. Price Target and Expectations If price delivers the expected sweep and mitigation into 1.112, I’ll be looking for confirmation of bullish intent and signs of strength to enter long. The target sits much higher, all the way at the 0.28 fib level, which is around 1.20. That level offers a logical take-profit zone based on fib projection and structure alignment. The potential reward-to-risk on this move is excellent if the entry holds and the displacement confirms. This would essentially be a play on manipulation and continuation, classic liquidity run before expansion. Conclusion EURUSD is setting up nicely for a textbook sweep-and-reverse play. The market is currently moving lower, and I’m expecting that move to extend into the 1-hour FVG just below the golden pocket, targeting an entry near 1.112. From there, if price reacts cleanly, the next leg should aim for the 0.28 fib level at 1.20. All the ingredients are there: a clean imbalance, obvious liquidity to take, and a higher-timeframe fib target to anchor the move. Just need to wait for price to do its job and follow the plan. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
40
SILVER: Target Is Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.131 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 31.954.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1