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Smcconcepts

Trend Exhaustion Detected – Bearish Structure AheadUS100 (NASDAQ) 30-minute chart as of July 26, 2025, with technical insights based on the visible elements. 🔍 1. Trend Analysis Primary Trend: Uptrend (bullish structure) The price has been respecting a rising parallel channel, marked by: Ascending support (lower boundary) Ascending resistance (upper boundary) Market structure shows: Higher Highs (HH) Higher Lows (HL) ✅ This indicates continuation of bullish momentum until structure breaks. 📐 2. Market Structure Elements Structure Type Label on Chart Price Zone (approx.) Break of Structure (BOS) BOS (center-left) ~22,950 Higher Low (HL) HL (2x) ~22,700 (1st), ~23,050 (2nd) Higher High (HH) HH (2x) ~23,150 and ~23,300 Resistance Labelled ~23,300–23,320 Demand Zones Labelled ~22,450–22,700 🔁 Break of Structure (BOS) The BOS occurred after a prior swing low was broken, followed by a new higher high, confirming a bullish shift. 🧱 3. Support / Resistance Analysis 🔼 Resistance Zone The price is testing strong resistance around 23,300–23,320 Multiple rejections in this area Trendline resistance also aligns here A rejection arrow is drawn, indicating potential bearish reaction 🔽 Support Zone (Immediate) 23,180–23,220: highlighted green box is a local support block If broken, likely to revisit 23,000–23,050, or even down to 22,900 range 🟩 4. Demand Zones Zone 1: 22,450–22,600: Strong bullish reaction historically — likely to act as a key demand if a deeper pullback occurs Zone 2: 22,850–22,950: Validated with prior accumulation & BOS event 🧠 5. Key Observations Price is at a critical inflection zone: Testing a resistance zone At the upper trendline of an ascending channel A bearish reaction is projected (black arrow) Possibly targeting the green support zone around 23,180–23,220 If that fails, demand at ~23,000 will likely be tested Ichimoku Cloud: Currently price is above the cloud → still bullish Cloud is thin → potential weakness or upcoming consolidation ⚠️ 6. Trading Bias & Setup Ideas ✅ Bullish Bias (if price holds above ~23,180) Long entries can be considered on bullish reaction from support Target: retest of 23,300–23,350 or even breakout continuation ❌ Bearish Bias (if breakdown below support) Short entry valid below 23,180 with: TP1: 23,050 TP2: 22,900 A breakdown from the ascending channel would signal trend exhaustion 🔚 Conclusion Current Price: 23,298.4 Trend: Bullish, but at resistance Next move: Watch for reaction at resistance and support box below Bias: Neutral-to-bullish unless the structure breaks below ~23,180
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AllyPipsExpert
4
GBPAUD: Calm Before the ConfirmationPrice has swept liquidity below the previous week's low and broke structure to the upside. Now it’s retracing into a Fair Value Gap that aligns beautifully with the 38.2% to 50% Fibonacci zone. I'm not in yet. I’m watching for a clean bullish confirmation, like an engulfing or strong rejection candle, before entering . The 50 EMA supports the bias and helps confirm that I'm trading in the direction of the short-term momentum. If all aligns, I’ll be targeting the previous week’s high. This is a reminder that being patient often protects your capital more than being early.
Long
by J4mesWick
1
#USDJPY: Swing Buy Almost +2000 Pips! Dear Traders, The USDJPY currency pair appears to be in an accumulation phase at the moment, as evidenced by the lack of significant price movement throughout the current week. Several factors contribute to this trend. Firstly, several significant economic events are scheduled for this week, particularly tomorrow and Friday. These developments will have substantial implications for the future trajectory of the USDJPY pair. Consequently, there’s a possibility that the price may experience a decline before initiating a bullish trend. We’ve recently seen a strong bullish candle, which suggests a strong bullish move in the coming weeks. Additionally, the strong USD could continue rising, while the JPY is dropping. Secondly, there are two primary areas where the price could reverse its course. The extent to which the USD reacts to the economic data will indicate potential reversal zones. It’s crucial to conduct your own analysis before making any financial decisions. This chart should be used solely for educational purposes and does not guarantee any specific outcome. Regarding the stop loss, as this is a swing trade, it’s advisable to employ a larger stop loss if the price reaches entry zones. The take profit level can be determined based on your entry type and analysis. We wish you the best of luck in your trading endeavours and emphasise the importance of trading safely. Please share this analysis with others through likes, comments, and social media platforms. If you have any questions or require further assistance, don’t hesitate to comment below. We’re here to provide support. Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
8
EURCAD: Liquidity taken, imbalance left behindPrice swept the liquidity above the previous day’s high and then broke structure to the downside. That’s often a sign that smart money was hunting stops before shifting direction. Now I’m watching for price to come back and fill the imbalance (FVG) it left after the break. If that happens and price respects the FVG zone, we could see a continuation lower with the next target being the previous day’s low where more liquidity is likely sitting. I’ve also added the 50 EMA here as confluence. It helps keep me trading in line with the broader market flow and stops me from fighting the trend. This is one of those spots where patience is key . Let the market return to the zone on its own terms, wait for a reaction, and keep protecting your mindset just as carefully as your capital.
Short
by J4mesWick
#EURUSD: Nothing to expect from DXY| View Changed Swing Trading|Hey there! So, we were previously thinking EURUSD was going to be bearish, but things have turned around and it’s looking bullish for now. The extreme bearish pressure on USD has caused all the major USD pairs to be in a range. As the week goes on and we get the NFP data, the market will probably focus more on these economic indicators. So, it’s not surprising to see some market ranges during this time. We’ll keep a close eye on the market, as there might be some manipulation going on this week. We recommend waiting until Monday’s daily candle closes to see if the bullish trend is strong enough. Then, based on the price momentum, you can make your decisions. We hope you have a great week and safe trading! If you like our work and analysis, please consider liking, commenting, and sharing our content. Cheers, Team Setupsfx ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
36
demand zone spotted... LET THE HUNTING BEGIN!!!📉 USD/JPY 4H Analysis – Demand Zone Revisit Expected The pair is currently in a retracement phase after tapping into a higher-timeframe supply zone. Let's break down the structure and reasoning behind this setup: 1. Market Structure & Smart Money Footprints • The chart begins with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside from a prior low, confirming a bullish shift. • This upward move was supported by multiple Short-Term Supports (SS) that were respected throughout the bullish trend. • Price has maintained a general uptrend structure, making higher lows and higher highs, but is now showing signs of a correction. 2. Supply and Demand Zones • Supply Zone (147.288 – 148.000): This is the last bearish zone before a sharp sell-off, indicating institutional selling pressure. Price tapped into this zone and has since reacted bearishly — a likely area where smart money took profits or initiated shorts. • Demand Zone (139.740 – 140.728): Marked from the origin of the bullish impulse and supported by a previous BOS, this is a critical area where institutional buying may resume. It also aligns with a liquidity sweep and previously unmitigated demand — a key confluence zone for potential longs. 3. Current Market Behavior • Price is currently declining toward the demand zone, and based on structure, this is likely a healthy retracement. • The chart suggests a buy limit setup at demand, with a tight stop just below 139.740 and a target near the previous supply reaction. ________________________________________ ✅ Trade Idea • Bias: Bullish from demand • Entry: Around 140.728 • Stop Loss: Below 139.740 • Take Profit: 147.288 (just before the supply zone) • Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:4 This setup assumes price will respect demand and continue the bullish structure, especially after multiple SS validations and a strong institutional reaction in the past. 🧠 Final Thoughts This setup reflects classic Smart Money Concept principles: • Structure shift via BOS • Entry at unmitigated demand • Exit just before major supply • Strong confluence from price history and liquidity sweep zones Wait for confirmation in the demand zone — a bullish engulfing, internal BOS, or FVG fill could give additional confidence to enter long. NB: x represents previous liquidity sweep $$ represents liquidity bos represents break of structure CHEERS TO WEALTH!!!
Long
by eaonimisi
EuroNewzealand dollar.. a possible sell to Buy structure Price is still bullish from 4hr structure leg.. but I'll love to see a sell reaction come next week and here is why From 4hr Timeframe, price has taken out the inducement and is respecting the structure demand level, but 1hr seems to 15min TF seems to be telling that price has invalidated a major bullish leg and will likely go the extreme of the structural leg before continuing the bullish trend Whatever the price give come next week I'll react accordingly #SMC concept
Long
by abiodunfestus500
XAUUSD: +1500 TO +2200 PIPS Major Swing Move in Making, Two AreaThe first day of the trading week has seen Gold skyrocket, clearly indicating a bullish price direction. Our recent analyses had clearly shown this, and the volume confirms further bullish momentum. Additionally, the NFP news this Friday will be a trend changer, regardless of its positive or negative impact on the USD. There are two potential take-profit targets. Before taking entry, please conduct your own analysis. Good luck and trade safely, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
26
EUR/USD - Daily highs taken, now what?Introduction The EUR/USD made a strong move higher today, establishing a clear uptrend on the 4-hour chart. With this latest push, it swept the daily liquidity above the previous high. The question now is whether the EUR/USD will continue moving higher or if there are opportunities for long entries at lower levels. Liquidity Sweep EUR/USD has taken out liquidity above the daily highs, where many stop losses are typically positioned. These stops have now been removed from the market. This area could potentially act as a support and resistance flip. However, if we see a 4-hour candle close below the previous daily high, further downside becomes likely. Where Can We Look for Buys? During the recent 4-hour move higher, significant progress was made. This upward movement created a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $1.149 and $1.145. This FVG aligns perfectly with the golden pocket Fibonacci level, drawn from the swing low to the swing high. As a result, this zone forms a strong area of confluence for potential buy positions to target a retest of the highs. Conclusion Although we are currently breaking above the previous high, this move has yet to be confirmed as sustainable. Holding above this level is crucial. If a 4-hour candle closes below the previous high, it becomes likely that we will revisit the daily FVG and golden pocket Fibonacci zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
by Youriverse
40