Earnings Watch: August 6th Airbnb (ABNB 🏠)
The travel accommodation giant is expected to report an EPS of 0.91 and revenue of 2.73B. With a solid beat rate of 85%, can Airbnb surpass expectations? Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.98 and revenue of 2.48B.
Fortinet (FTNT 🔒)
Fortinet is projected to deliver an EPS of 0.41 and revenue of 1.40B. Holding a beat rate of 71%, investors are keen to see if they can maintain their streak. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.38 and revenue of 1.29B.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI 💻)
The company is set to announce an EPS of 8.10 and revenue of 5.31B. With a beat rate of 72%, will SMCI impress the market? Last year, they delivered an EPS of 3.51 and revenue of 2.18B.
Coupang (CPNG 📦)
Expected to post an EPS of -0.01 and revenue of 7.37B, Coupang has a mixed outlook. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.08 and revenue of 5.53B.
Sunrun (RUN ☀️)
The solar company is anticipated to report an EPS of -0.33 and revenue of 515.16M. With a beat rate of 50%, will Sunrun manage to impress the market? Last year, they delivered an EPS of 0.25 and revenue of 590.19M.
Redfin (RDFN 🏠)
Redfin is expected to deliver an EPS of -0.26 and revenue of 291.58M. Last year, they reported an EPS of -0.25 and revenue of 275.55M.
Shopify (SHOP 🛒)
The e-commerce platform is expected to report an EPS of 0.20 and revenue of 2.01B. With a beat rate of 58%, can Shopify exceed expectations? Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.14 and revenue of 1.69B.
Disney (DIS 🎥)
The entertainment giant is set to announce an EPS of 1.20 and revenue of 23.11B. Holding a beat rate of 77%, will Disney continue to enchant the market? Last year, they reported an EPS of 1.03 and revenue of 22.33B.
Lyft (LYFT 🚗)
Expected to post an EPS of 0.19 and revenue of 1.38B, Lyft has a beat rate of 80%. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.16 and revenue of 1.02B.
CVS Health (CVS 💊)
CVS is projected to deliver an EPS of 1.73 and revenue of 91.51B. With a beat rate of 88%, investors are keen to see if they can maintain their streak. Last year, they reported an EPS of 2.20 and revenue of 85.27B.
Monster Beverage (MNST 🥤)
The beverage company is expected to report an EPS of 0.45 and revenue of 2.01B. With a beat rate of 42%, will Monster impress the market? Last year, they delivered an EPS of 0.39 and revenue of 1.87B.
Lumen Technologies (LUMN 📡)
The telecom company is anticipated to report an EPS of -0.06 and revenue of 3.24B. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.10 and revenue of 3.66B.
🔍 As these giants reveal their financial health, it's not just about the numbers but also the story they tell about the consumer market and economic trends. Keep your portfolios ready for any surprises!
#EarningsSeason #StockMarket #InvestmentInsights
SMCI
SMCI: The Next Major Inflection Point! (D&W charts)On the daily chart, the stock experienced a notable downward breakout, moving sharply below a confluence of trendlines that had previously served as support. This breakout is significant as it suggests a strong bearish momentum, possibly indicating a shift in investor sentiment. The price is below the 21-day EMA, and there is no bottom signal on it yet.
In our previous public SMCI analysis, I warned you about this trend line, as a downwards breakout would frustrate any possibility of a bullish thesis, mid-term speaking. The link to our previous study, here on TradingView, is below this post.
Transitioning to the weekly chart provides a broader perspective, showing the stock's performance over a longer timeframe. Here, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level stands out as the next significant support level following the recent declines. This specific Fibonacci level is often watched by traders for potential reversal zones and could act as a strong area of interest for buying activities if prices were to reach this point.
The weekly chart also underscores a general downtrend after failing to maintain higher levels, which aligns with the bearish sentiment observed on the daily chart. The consistency of lower highs further emphasizes the pressure on the stock.
Overall, the convergence of these technical factors across different timeframes suggests that SMCI may face continued downward pressure in the near term, with crucial support at the 61.8% Fibonacci level possibly serving as a pivotal area for the stock's next directional moves.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Long way to go from here
Current situation: SKILLING:US100 : NASDAQ:SMCI is currently at support level.
Potential scenario: If tomorrow's earnings do not meet expectations, the stock could drop to around $450 in a heartbeat.
Why?
1. The movement that started on 4.03.2024 appears to be an ABC correction, and the stock is currently in wave C of that correction.
2. In an ABC correction, the most common Fibonacci level for wave C is when
Wave C = Wave A = 1 = $446
3. Other indicators, such as MACD, are also indicating a downward trend as expected.
The WavesInvesting indicator is also pointing to the same level as the Fibonacci ratio for its lower channel line.
However, if the earnings turn out to be very good, we may see support at the current level.
Simple question for you: support or down the water slide we go?
SMCI four-hour chart shows confluence.NASDAQ:SMCI shows a bullish cup and handle on the four-hour chart, as well as a bullish Gartley harmonic. Point C of the harmonic lined up with the lower four-hour 100 linear regression channel and provided the best entry. The middle of the four-hour 100 linear regression channel coincided with the handle of the cup, as well as the weekly 20 SMA, which provided another excellent entry with more confirmation.
SMCI You won't be able to catch this rally after it starts.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has so far followed to near perfection our last long-term analysis (May 13, see chart below) where we called for a prolonged accumulation (red Rectangle) of at least another 2-months before the real cyclical rally started:
We called then that 'patience will be rewarded' and the stock is finally close to rewarding your patience on the long-term. As you can see, every time in the past 18 months that the stock formed an Accumulation Phase this long, it then posted an incredible rally of +417%.
Throughout this process, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) always remained intact and supported. The rally started when the 1D MA200 got to its closest with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the exact situation we're at right now.
As a result, we expect the parabolic rally to start any day now and as the title says, once it starts it will be difficult to catch. Typically entries within the Accumulation Phase should be done while it lasts. Our long-term Target is intact at $3500 (exactly +417% from the recent Low).
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GME CRYPTO SMCI NFLX Video UpdatessLearn how to read price!
Learn where the key areas are
Learn good risk reward
Take notes on how FOMO and Euphoria behave, feel, and trade like
Learn what tight tight tight looks and behaves like both up and down
Learn the difference between CORRECTION and REVERSAL!
Shorting is for the elite of elite Navy Seal Snipers!
Lean and Prep for WEEK 7.1.24I am a discretionary trader. This means there are some weeks in the year when I wait and watch what’s going on. From here, there are 3 potentials -
1-We keep ranging here and the stocks keep choppy. In this case, it is waste of premiums.
2-We drop. In this case it is better to wait for lower levels to find attractive setups.
3-We rally. If this happens, I am pretty sure something nice and attractive will show up on my radar which I will share.
Stay Frosty!
SMCI: Breakout Ahead?Daily Chart:
On the daily chart, SMCI is forming an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation signal. The price has been making higher lows, suggesting accumulating buying pressure.
The resistance level around 972.44 is crucial. If the price breaks above this level, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend. However, if it fails to break through, it might revisit the lower boundary of the triangle or even the 21-day EMA, potentially testing investor sentiment and patience.
Weekly Chart:
In the weekly chart, the stock is exhibiting a flag pattern, typically a bullish continuation pattern formed after a strong upward move. The price has been consolidating between the 38.20% and 50.00% Fibonacci retracement levels, which often act as support during pullbacks. A breakout above the flag pattern's upper boundary could resume the prior uptrend, potentially reaching new highs. Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower boundary and the 50.00% retracement level, it could signify a deeper correction, possibly toward the 61.80% retracement level.
Conclusion:
Considering both time frames, SMCI is currently in a consolidation phase with bullish potential. The key levels to watch are the resistance at 972.44 on the daily chart and the boundaries of the flag pattern on the weekly chart. A break above these levels could confirm the continuation of the uptrend. However, caution is warranted if the stock fails to break these resistances, as it might signal a possible retracement or a period of further consolidation. Therefore, monitoring these levels closely will be crucial in anticipating the stock's next significant move.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
SMCI Excellent short-term buy opportunity.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 22 Low, with every Bullish Leg registering at least a +35.80% rise. The price is now just below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the final technical confirmation that's needed is for the 4H MACD to form a Bullish Cross.
As a result, this is an excellent short-term buy opportunity. Or Target is $1050 (just below the +35.80% mark).
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🍌🍌 SUPERMICRO — AI BANANAS RECOVER FROM THE BEARISH HUGSIt’s hard to believe that only a few short years ago, Super Micro stock was trading for $10 per share. Now that it’s hovering near the $1,000 area.
And Yes, SMCI stocks are still Top #1 over the all S&P500 components with +217% YTD performance in 2024, and +471% 12-months performance.
Supermicro is an American company, a major manufacturer of motherboards, cases, power supplies, cooling systems, SAS controllers, Ethernet and InfiniBand. The company specializes in the production of x86-server platforms and various components for servers, workstations and data storage systems. The headquarters is located in San Jose, USA. Founded in 1993.
Supermicro, Inc., a provider of end-to-end IT solutions for cloud computing, artificial intelligence/machine learning, storage, and 5G/Edge communications, continues to expand its data center portfolio with NVIDIA end-to-end rack cabinet solutions HGX H100 equipped with liquid cooling systems.
Supermicro's advanced liquid cooling technologies help reduce time-to-commissioning, improve performance levels, and reduce data center operating costs while dramatically reducing energy efficiency.
It is estimated that when using Supermicro liquid cooling systems (compared to air-cooled data centers), data centers save up to 40% in terms of power costs. In addition, direct cooling costs can be reduced by up to 86% compared to existing data centers.
In technical terms, SMCI shares are strongly above 26- and 52-weeks SMA, while a classic scenario 'recovering from bearish hugs' is happening right now.
AMSC Computer medium cap beats earnings LONGAMSC on the daily chart has went 3X in 7-8 months on the strength of earnings beats and
the tailwinds of the AI supertrend. I see this as an excellent swing long trade to hold into
the next earnings in 3-4 months. AMSC is currently at its ATH and going higher means no
overhead resistance.
SMCI - Super Micro Computer Inc - 50% move to all-time high?SMCI is approx a 50% gain away from all-time highs. Do you think the chip industry will rally again? How long do you think it will take to gain momentum? Price is currently hovering near the 100 EMA. This could be a good place for a bounce. Add SMCI to your watchlist?
DELL moves higher in continuation LONGDELL on the weekly chart shows its bullish trend which accelerated this past March as shown
on the Prive Volume Trend. The relative volume indicator shows some spiking blue volume
bars of buying volume = 3 of the 13 weeks in the past quarter. I see this as a long swing trade
or even an investment to hold at an easy to get into price compared with SMCI. DELL may be
a bit overbought and overextended but I am convinced it is for good reasons and that a trade
here will pay profit over time. The dip of 5% in the past trading day provides a good entry.
SMCI: Strong accumulation. Buy it while you can.Super Micro Computer is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 53.442, MACD = 90.250, ADX = 30.355) and the reason is that below the 1W MA50 it is expanding the new Cycle's accumulation phase. Every Cycle experienced this accumulation under the 1W MA50, sometimes shorter others longer. Technically, on a two year basis, every time it crossed under the 1W MA50 and consolidated, the stock was a buy opportunity.
The trigger to buy is given on the S1 level (50.60) of the 1W RSI. The last two Cycles grew by at least +400% from the first low that followed the crossing under the 1W MA50. Consequently we turn long on SMCI, aiming for another +400% rise (TP = 3,300).
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Semiconductor Bull Run: Is it OVER?AMD is experiencing a breakout from the falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish signal. Currently, the stock is above its immediate support zone and ended the last trading session with a bullish harami candle.
Although sell pressure seems unlikely given the current levels, keep an eye on the medium-term support zone to reassess your trading strategy if needed.
These levels are suitable for options trading and could result in excellent swing trades based on liquidity analysis.
The price target is between $185 and $190, with the potential to reach $200 if the bullish momentum continues.
Let's monitor how this develops.
Super positive view of SMCIOn the last Friday, SMCI stock showed clear ABC pattern with decreasing near by 0.618.
However, there were not strong bound with weak buying. So, it is fifty fifty.
It could be start of big 3 wave or just stopping by the support line.
In addition, it depends on Nvidia stock movement.
Members Daily Analysis - May 22 2024Markets Sold off: IWM (Small caps) underperformed.
Most commodities hit on the downside: Gold, Silver, Copper, Oil
Natural Gas surging & squeezing
NVDA pumping on earnings: Our SOXL calls will print.
SemiConductors i'll be trading tomorrow. NASDAQ:ON , NASDAQ:SMCI , NASDAQ:ARM